Mississippi State Bulldogs (@HailStateFB)
Jeff Lebby (2nd year) (7-17)
Record: 5 - 7 (1 - 7) | Proj: 5 - 7 (#83) | SOS: (#10)
Roster | Injuries | Portals | Croots | Map
Record: 5 - 7 (1 - 7) | Proj: 5 - 7 (#83) | SOS: (#10)
| Mississippi State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Mississippi State at Southern Miss | -11.5 | 59.5 | W 34 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Mississippi State vs Arizona State | +6.0 | 58.5 | W 24 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Mississippi State vs Alcorn State | -42.5 | 56.5 | W 63 - 0 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Mississippi State vs Northern Illinois | -23.5 | 48.5 | W 38 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/27 | Mississippi State vs Tennessee | +7.5 | 63.5 | L 34 - 41 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/4 | Mississippi State at Texas A&M | +17.5 | 57.5 | L 9 - 31 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/18 | Mississippi State at Florida | +9.5 | 50.5 | L 21 - 23 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/25 | Mississippi State vs Texas | +8.5 | 48.5 | L 38 - 45 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/1 | Mississippi State at Arkansas | +5.5 | 66.5 | W 38 - 35 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/8 | Mississippi State vs Georgia | +9.5 | 56.5 | L 21 - 41 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/15 | Mississippi State at Missouri | +7.5 | 50.5 | L 27 - 49 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 11/28 | Mississippi State vs Ole Miss | +7.5 | 62.5 | L 19 - 38 | U | N | |
Record Prediction: 5.0 - 7.0 #83
Schedule Rating: #10
Record: 5 - 7( SEC: 1 - 7)
Spread Record 8 - 4 - 0 | O/U 6 - 6
Future 2026 Schedule
| Mississippi State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Mississippi State vs Eastern Kentucky | -26.5 | 61.5 | W 56 - 7 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Mississippi State at Arizona State | +6.5 | 57.5 | L 23 - 30 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Mississippi State vs Toledo | -10.5 | 56.5 | L 17 - 41 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Mississippi State vs Florida | +6.5 | 58.0 | L 28 - 45 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | Mississippi State at Texas | +37.0 | 58.5 | L 13 - 35 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/12 | Mississippi State at Georgia | +34.0 | 53.5 | L 31 - 41 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Mississippi State vs Texas A&M | +21.0 | 55.5 | L 24 - 34 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Mississippi State vs Arkansas | +7.5 | 55.0 | L 25 - 58 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | Mississippi State vs Massachusetts | -19.5 | 59.5 | W 45 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/9 | Mississippi State at Tennessee | +26.5 | 61.5 | L 14 - 33 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/23 | Mississippi State vs Missouri | +9.5 | 58.0 | L 20 - 39 | O | N | |
| Fri 11/29 | Mississippi State at Ole Miss | +26.5 | 63.5 | L 14 - 26 | U | Y | |
2024 Record: 2 - 10 (SEC: 0 - 8)
Spread Record 7 - 5 - 0 | O/U 8 - 4
Played: 5 Elite, 2 Good, 2 Avg, 1 Bad, 1 Poor
Future: 0 Elite, 0 Good, 0 Avg, 0 Bad, 0Poor
2026 class: 227 points #26
2025 class: 225 points #28
2024 class: 223 points #28
2023 class: 223 points #26
2022 class: 219 points #27
Average Class Ranking: #27
Average Recruiting Points: 223
2025 class: 225 points #28
2024 class: 223 points #28
2023 class: 223 points #26
2022 class: 219 points #27
Average Class Ranking: #27
Average Recruiting Points: 223
Four Year Crootin Profile
Consistent Top 25 Contenders
4 Year Class: #27 - Best: #26 Worst: #28
CFB Crootin Averages
SEC Class: 260 #18
Power 4 Class: 225 #18
FBS Class: 179 #69
Consistent Top 25 Contenders
4 Year Class: #27 - Best: #26 Worst: #28
CFB Crootin Averages
SEC Class: 260 #18
Power 4 Class: 225 #18
FBS Class: 179 #69
2021 class: 211 points #25
2020 class: 220 points #27
2019 class: 237 points #24
2018 class: 218 points #27
2017 class: 220 points #24
Average Class Ranking: #25
Average Recruiting Points: 221
2020 class: 220 points #27
2019 class: 237 points #24
2018 class: 218 points #27
2017 class: 220 points #24
Average Class Ranking: #25
Average Recruiting Points: 221
2025 Portal Class #16 - 32 players, 87 Avg
2024 Portal Class #37 - 15 players, 87 Avg
2023 Portal Class #37 - 12 players, 87 Avg
2022 Portal Class #36 - 9 players, 88 Avg
Transfer Portal Classes
Portal Data only 2022 forward
Portal Data only 2022 forward
Offensive Coordinator Jeff Lebby (in his second season)
(Tr) - new transfer in 2025
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Shapen | 195 | 304 | 64% | 2436 | 15 | 8 | 8.0 |
| Kamario Taylor | 30 | 55 | 55% | 388 | 4 | 1 | 7.1 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluff Bothwell (Tr) | 128 | 639 | 6 | 5.0 | 43 |
| Davon Booth | 136 | 552 | 7 | 4.1 | 22 |
| Kamario Taylor | 64 | 395 | 7 | 6.2 | 39 |
| Xavier Gayten | 24 | 149 | 2 | 6.2 | 25 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brenen Thompson (Tr) | 53 | 948 | 6 | 17.9 | 58 |
| Anthony Evans III (Tr) | 63 | 751 | 4 | 11.9 | 57 |
| Seydou Traore | 34 | 361 | 5 | 10.6 | 55 |
| Ayden Williams (Tr) | 19 | 222 | 0 | 11.7 | 49 |
Defensive Coordinator Coleman Hutzler (in his second season)
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahron Manning (Tr) | 85 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Nic Mitchell | 72 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Brylan Lanier | 65 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Isaac Smith | 64 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nic Mitchell | 72 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Will Whitson (Tr) | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Darron Reed Jr. (Tr) | 21 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Kalvin Dinkins | 25 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelley Jones | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
| DeAgo Brumfeld | 33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Jahron Manning (Tr) | 85 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Returning Production
Overall Returning Production: 62% #36
Offense Returning Production: 57% #68
Defense Returning Production: 67% #20
Overall Returning Production: 62% #36
Offense Returning Production: 57% #68
Defense Returning Production: 67% #20
Transfer Portal
2025 Portal Class #16
32 Commits, 87 Avg Rating
41% of 2025 Roster from Portal, 38% TY
2025 Portal Class #16
32 Commits, 87 Avg Rating
41% of 2025 Roster from Portal, 38% TY
Team Talent
2025 Talent Rating: 844.00 #40
Offense Talent #31 | Defense Talent #37
2024 #1 | 2023 #1 | 2022 #29 | 2021 #29
2025 Talent Rating: 844.00 #40
Offense Talent #31 | Defense Talent #37
2024 #1 | 2023 #1 | 2022 #29 | 2021 #29
2025 - 2022 Records
2025 Record: 5 - 7
2025 Conf Record: 1 - 7
Spread: 8 - 4 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 6
2024 Record: 2 - 10
2024 Conf Record: 0 - 8
Spread: 7 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 8 - 4
2023 Record: 5 - 7
2023 Conf Record: 1 - 7
Spread: 4 - 8 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 6
2022 Record: 9 - 4
2022 Conf Record: 4 - 4
Spread: 7 - 5 - 1 | Totals: 7 - 6
Four Year Record: 21 - 28
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 26 - 22 - 1
Four Year Conference Record: 6 - 26
2025 Record: 5 - 7
2025 Conf Record: 1 - 7
Spread: 8 - 4 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 6
2024 Record: 2 - 10
2024 Conf Record: 0 - 8
Spread: 7 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 8 - 4
2023 Record: 5 - 7
2023 Conf Record: 1 - 7
Spread: 4 - 8 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 6
2022 Record: 9 - 4
2022 Conf Record: 4 - 4
Spread: 7 - 5 - 1 | Totals: 7 - 6
Four Year Record: 21 - 28
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 26 - 22 - 1
Four Year Conference Record: 6 - 26
2021 - 2018 Records
2021 Record: 7 - 6
2021 Conf Record: 4 - 4
Spread: 7 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 7
2020 Record: 4 - 7
2020 Conf Record: 3 - 7
Spread: 5 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 4 - 7
2019 Record: 6 - 7
2019 Conf Record: 3 - 5
Spread: 4 - 8 - 1 | Totals: 7 - 6
2018 Record: 8 - 5
2018 Conf Record: 4 - 4
Spread: 8 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 4 - 9
Eight Year Record: 46 - 53
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 50 - 47 - 2
Eight Year Conference Record: 24 - 46
2021 Record: 7 - 6
2021 Conf Record: 4 - 4
Spread: 7 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 7
2020 Record: 4 - 7
2020 Conf Record: 3 - 7
Spread: 5 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 4 - 7
2019 Record: 6 - 7
2019 Conf Record: 3 - 5
Spread: 4 - 8 - 1 | Totals: 7 - 6
2018 Record: 8 - 5
2018 Conf Record: 4 - 4
Spread: 8 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 4 - 9
Eight Year Record: 46 - 53
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 50 - 47 - 2
Eight Year Conference Record: 24 - 46
| Mississippi State Recent Bowl History | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Bowl | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result |
| 2022 | Reliaquest Bowl | Mississippi State vs Illinois | -3.5 | 46.5 | W 19 - 10 |
| 2021 | Liberty Bowl | Mississippi State vs Texas Tech | -10.0 | 58.5 | L 7 - 34 |
| 2020 | Forces Bowl | Mississippi State vs Tulsa | +2.5 | 48.0 | W 28 - 26 |
| 2019 | City Bowl | Mississippi State vs Louisville | -5.0 | 64.5 | L 28 - 38 |
| 2018 | Outback Bowl | Mississippi State vs Iowa | -7.0 | 40.0 | L 22 - 27 |
| 2017 | N/A | Mississippi State vs Louisville | +6.5 | 62.0 | W 31 - 27 |
| 2016 | Petersburg Bowl | Mississippi State vs Miami (OH) | -11.5 | 58.0 | W 17 - 16 |
| 2015 | N/A | Mississippi State vs NC State | -7.0 | W 51 - 28 | |
Power Ranking Stats (2025)
More Stats (2025)
Overall Stats (2025)
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Offense PPA | Offense Expl | Offense Success | Offense Pts Per Opp | Avg Start FP | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Defense PPA | Defense Expl | Defense Success | Defense Pts Per Opp | Opponent FP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | .15 (85) | 1.3 (40) | 42% (74) | 4.49 (23) | 28.8 (74) | 44% | 48% | .21 (104) | 1.24 (62) | 44% (105) | 3.64 (68) | 27.6 (47) |
| Teams | Offense PPA | Offense Expl | Offense Success | Offense Pts Per Opp | Avg Start FP | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Defense PPA | Defense Expl | Defense Success | Defense Pts Per Opp | Opponent FP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | .17 (78) | 1.42 (6) | 39% (109) | 3.75 (86) | 28.1 (90) | 37% | 57% | .32 (130) | 1.16 (18) | 50% (133) | 4.32 (113) | 29.7 (89) |
More Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12 | 28:42 | 21.8 | 44% | 48% | 7.3 | 61.8 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 0 |
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12 | 25:41 | 20.3 | 37% | 57% | 6.8 | 60.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 3.9 | 0.8 | 2 |
Overall Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PPG | Home | Road | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Offense | 12 | 30.5 | 33.9 | 25.8 | 41.9% (74) | 4.49 (23) | 1.3 | 22 | 398 | 161 | 237 | 3.8 | 53% (43) | 46% (89) | 45% (56) | 39% (100) | 18% (122) | .15 (85) |
| 2025 Defense | 12 | 29.2 | 27.9 | 31 | 44.2% (105) | 3.64 (68) | 1.4 | - | - | - | - | - | 53% (103) | 45% (29) | 48% (125) | 41% (57) | 14% (109) | .21 (104) |
| Teams | Games | PPG | Home | Road | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Offense | 12 | 25.8 | 30.7 | 19 | 39.2% (109) | 3.75 (86) | 1.5 | 20 | 378 | 139 | 239 | 4 | 50% (73) | 50% (62) | 40% (105) | 38% (104) | 21% (127) | .17 (78) |
| 2024 Defense | 12 | 34.1 | 34.9 | 33 | 50.4% (133) | 4.32 (113) | 0.9 | - | - | - | - | - | 59% (132) | 41% (3) | 47% (108) | 55% (134) | 11% (134) | .32 (130) |
Run Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Offense | 12 | 53% (43) | 45% (56) | 42.3 | 161.4 | 3.8 | 28 (16) | .12 (67) | 2.82 (92) | 71% (74) | 12% (125) | 0.97 (66) |
| 2025 Defense | 12 | 53% (103) | 48% (125) | - | - | - | - | .16 (99) | 3.42 (135) | 74% (96) | 8% (120) | 0.89 (33) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Offense | 12 | 50% (73) | 40% (105) | 34.8 | 138.6 | 4 | 19 (73) | .09 (92) | 2.9 (93) | 73% (71) | 13% (122) | 1.08 (28) |
| 2024 Defense | 12 | 59% (132) | 47% (108) | - | - | - | - | .15 (80) | 3.3 (113) | 71% (57) | 7% (133) | 0.85 (13) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Offense | 12 | 46% (89) | 39% (100) | 18.9 | 30.3 | 237 | 7.8 | 12.5 | 19 (75) | 9 (60) | .2 (94) | 1.7 (18) | 34% (114) | 30% (71) | .35 (51) | 7% (94) | 2.3 (7) |
| 2025 Defense | 12 | 45% (29) | 41% (57) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 12 (6) | .28 (83) | 1.7 (112) | 29% (102) | 30% (74) | .33 (83) | 6% (64) | 2.2 (124) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Offense | 12 | 50% (62) | 38% (104) | 17.9 | 30.6 | 239.3 | 7.8 | 13.4 | 19 (65) | 8 (40) | .25 (76) | 1.8 (18) | 34% (113) | 32% (62) | .33 (73) | 8% (116) | 2.1 (56) |
| 2024 Defense | 12 | 41% (3) | 55% (134) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7 (104) | .58 (134) | 1.5 (48) | 24% (134) | 39% (131) | .55 (130) | 4% (123) | 1.9 (38) |
Team Notes
(11/16) Run Def is awful. 300+ to Mizzu. Rebs will run wild ❌
(9/26) Hot start, huge W vs ASU. Shapen looks sharp so far ❌
(8/30) Shapen good, Run Off better, Def better ❌
(5/23) WR huge ? Top 6 are portals? 4 best LY left ❌
(5/23) Added 5 portal OL post spring. Bad sign? ❌
(5/7) Def 39 ppg, 7 ypp allowed in SEC play LY ❌
(5/2) TE Seydou Traore a good, reliable target ❌
(4/19) Watch Fr QB KaMario Taylor. Dynamic runner ❌
(4/19) DL improved, SEC caliber bodies unlike LY ❌
(3/18) QB1? Shapen or Kromenhoek (FSU) ❌
(3/18) RBs Booth/Bothwell/Daniels good depth ❌
(3/18) OL 2/5 back. 4 portal adds. Bad unit LY ❌
(3/18) Def torched LY. Return a lot, but is that good? ❌
(11/16) Run Def is awful. 300+ to Mizzu. Rebs will run wild ❌
(9/26) Hot start, huge W vs ASU. Shapen looks sharp so far ❌
(8/30) Shapen good, Run Off better, Def better ❌
(5/23) WR huge ? Top 6 are portals? 4 best LY left ❌
(5/23) Added 5 portal OL post spring. Bad sign? ❌
(5/7) Def 39 ppg, 7 ypp allowed in SEC play LY ❌
(5/2) TE Seydou Traore a good, reliable target ❌
(4/19) Watch Fr QB KaMario Taylor. Dynamic runner ❌
(4/19) DL improved, SEC caliber bodies unlike LY ❌
(3/18) QB1? Shapen or Kromenhoek (FSU) ❌
(3/18) RBs Booth/Bothwell/Daniels good depth ❌
(3/18) OL 2/5 back. 4 portal adds. Bad unit LY ❌
(3/18) Def torched LY. Return a lot, but is that good? ❌
Overall
Power Rating #48 | SP+ Rating #58
Performance Grade #102
Special Teams Grade #84
Record Prediction 5.0 - 7.0 #83
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4
Power Rating #48 | SP+ Rating #58
Performance Grade #102
Special Teams Grade #84
Record Prediction 5.0 - 7.0 #83
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4
Offense
Power #36 | SP+ #42 | Grade #94
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
Off Success #74 | Explosivness #40
Rush Grade #74 | Pass Grade #54
Rush Success #56 | Explosiveness #66
Pass Success #100 | Explosiveness #18
Run Block #107 | Pass Block #80
OL YDS #92 | Stuff Rate #82
Scoring Zone Off: #23
Power #36 | SP+ #42 | Grade #94
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
Off Success #74 | Explosivness #40
Rush Grade #74 | Pass Grade #54
Rush Success #56 | Explosiveness #66
Pass Success #100 | Explosiveness #18
Run Block #107 | Pass Block #80
OL YDS #92 | Stuff Rate #82
Scoring Zone Off: #23
Defense
Power #65 | SP+ #76 | Grade #105
Def Success #105 | Explosivness #62
Rush Success #125 | Explosiveness #33
Tackling #95 | Run Def #85
Pass Success #57 | Explosiveness #112
Pass Rush #127 | Coverage #79
F7 Havoc #120 | DB Havoc #64
DL YDS #135 | Def Stuff Rate #124
Scoring Zone Def #68
Power #65 | SP+ #76 | Grade #105
Def Success #105 | Explosivness #62
Rush Success #125 | Explosiveness #33
Tackling #95 | Run Def #85
Pass Success #57 | Explosiveness #112
Pass Rush #127 | Coverage #79
F7 Havoc #120 | DB Havoc #64
DL YDS #135 | Def Stuff Rate #124
Scoring Zone Def #68
Roster
Team Talent #40 Blue Chips: 19% #27
Offense Talent #31 Defense Talent #37
Crootin: '25 Class #26 - 4 YR Class: #27
Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
Portal Class #16 - 32 players, 87 Avg
41% of Roster from Portal, 38% TY
65 New Players, 71% of '25 Roster #85
Team Talent #40 Blue Chips: 19% #27
Offense Talent #31 Defense Talent #37
Crootin: '25 Class #26 - 4 YR Class: #27
Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
Portal Class #16 - 32 players, 87 Avg
41% of Roster from Portal, 38% TY
65 New Players, 71% of '25 Roster #85
Scoring & Records
Scoring: 30.5 - 29.2 (26 - 34) in '25
Scoring at Home: 34 - 28 | Road: 26 - 31
OC: Jeff Lebby - in his second season
DC: Coleman Hutzler - in his second season
2025 Record: 5 - 7 (8 - 4 - 0) (SEC: 1 - 7)
2024 Record: 2 - 10 (7 - 5 - 0) (SEC: 0 - 8)
2023 Record: 5 - 7 (4 - 8 - 0) (SEC: 1 - 7)
4 Yr Record: (21 - 28) | 8 Yr Record: (46 - 53)
Scoring: 30.5 - 29.2 (26 - 34) in '25
Scoring at Home: 34 - 28 | Road: 26 - 31
OC: Jeff Lebby - in his second season
DC: Coleman Hutzler - in his second season
2025 Record: 5 - 7 (8 - 4 - 0) (SEC: 1 - 7)
2024 Record: 2 - 10 (7 - 5 - 0) (SEC: 0 - 8)
2023 Record: 5 - 7 (4 - 8 - 0) (SEC: 1 - 7)
4 Yr Record: (21 - 28) | 8 Yr Record: (46 - 53)
Notes
Run Def is awful. 300+ to Mizzu. Rebs will run wild
Now 1-12 vs P4 teams since start of '24
RT Albert Reese IV inj vs Tenn, ? for A&M
Hot start, huge W vs ASU. Shapen looks sharp so far
Starting DE Will Whitson out for season, big
Shapen good, Run Off better, Def better
WR huge ? Top 6 are portals? 4 best LY left
Added 5 portal OL post spring. Bad sign?
Talent #'s of a mid B12 team, and dropping
Def 39 ppg, 7 ypp allowed in SEC play LY
Run Def is awful. 300+ to Mizzu. Rebs will run wild
Now 1-12 vs P4 teams since start of '24
RT Albert Reese IV inj vs Tenn, ? for A&M
Hot start, huge W vs ASU. Shapen looks sharp so far
Starting DE Will Whitson out for season, big
Shapen good, Run Off better, Def better
WR huge ? Top 6 are portals? 4 best LY left
Added 5 portal OL post spring. Bad sign?
Talent #'s of a mid B12 team, and dropping
Def 39 ppg, 7 ypp allowed in SEC play LY
'25 Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.49 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Avg Offensive Turnovers
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Awful 1st/2nd Down Success 66%
Bad when off Schedule 30%
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.49 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Avg Offensive Turnovers
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Awful 1st/2nd Down Success 66%
Bad when off Schedule 30%
'25 Defense
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.64 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Avg Pass Def Success 41%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good at Forcing Turnovers
Awful Penalty Team, Bad Field Position
Poor 1st/2nd Down Success 71%
Bad when Opp is off Schedule 30%
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.64 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Avg Pass Def Success 41%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good at Forcing Turnovers
Awful Penalty Team, Bad Field Position
Poor 1st/2nd Down Success 71%
Bad when Opp is off Schedule 30%
Returning Prod
HC Lebby, OC Lebby & QB all back
'24 QB Blake Shapen returns
Returning Production: 62% #36
Offense: 57% #68 | Defense: 67% #20
OL Prod: 60% #55, 2 clear starters
OL Snaps: 3595 #37 | From Portal: 1600 #19
Rush Prod: 100% #1 | Rec Prod: 76% #22
Def Front Seven: 72% - Secondary: 69%
Vegas Preseason Win Total: 3.5 - 8.5
HC Lebby, OC Lebby & QB all back
'24 QB Blake Shapen returns
Returning Production: 62% #36
Offense: 57% #68 | Defense: 67% #20
OL Prod: 60% #55, 2 clear starters
OL Snaps: 3595 #37 | From Portal: 1600 #19
Rush Prod: 100% #1 | Rec Prod: 76% #22
Def Front Seven: 72% - Secondary: 69%
Vegas Preseason Win Total: 3.5 - 8.5
4 Year Overall
2025 SP+ Overall: #58 - Power Rating: #48
2024 SP+ Overall: #88 - Power Rating: #101
2023 SP+ Overall: #66 - Power Rating: #84
2022 SP+ Overall: #19
2025 SP+ Overall: #58 - Power Rating: #48
2024 SP+ Overall: #88 - Power Rating: #101
2023 SP+ Overall: #66 - Power Rating: #84
2022 SP+ Overall: #19
4 Year Offense
2025 SP+ Offense: #42 - Power Rating: #36
2024 SP+ Offense: #82 - Power Rating: #100
2023 SP+ Offense: #78 - Power Rating: #120
2022 SP+ Offense: #32
2025 SP+ Offense: #42 - Power Rating: #36
2024 SP+ Offense: #82 - Power Rating: #100
2023 SP+ Offense: #78 - Power Rating: #120
2022 SP+ Offense: #32
4 Year Defense
2025 SP+ Defense: #76 - Power Rating: #65
2024 SP+ Defense: #98 - Power Rating: #130
2023 SP+ Defense: #55 - Power Rating: #85
2022 SP+ Defense: #30
2025 SP+ Defense: #76 - Power Rating: #65
2024 SP+ Defense: #98 - Power Rating: #130
2023 SP+ Defense: #55 - Power Rating: #85
2022 SP+ Defense: #30