Mississippi State Team Profile

Mississippi State Bulldogs (@HailStateFB)
Jeff Lebby (3rd year) (7-18) #115
Record: 0 - 0 (0 - 0) | Proj: 5 - 7 (#75) | SOS: (#7)
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Preview
Overview
Schedule
Stats
Roster
Notes
Records
Recruiting
Bowls

Mississippi State's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Mississippi State vs UL Monroe	-25
Sat 9/12	Mississippi State at Minnesota	+4.5
Sat 9/19	Mississippi State at South Carolina	+7.5
Sat 9/26	Mississippi State vs Missouri	+11.5
Sat 10/3	Mississippi State vs Alabama	+13
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17	Mississippi State at LSU	+17.5
Sat 10/24	Mississippi State vs Oklahoma	+15.5
Sat 10/31	Mississippi State at Texas	+20.5
Sat 11/7	Mississippi State vs Vanderbilt	+9
Sat 11/14	Mississippi State vs Auburn	+9
Sat 11/21	Mississippi State vs Tennessee Tech	-27.5
Fri 11/27	Mississippi State at Ole Miss	+20.5

Record Prediction: 5 - 7 #75
Schedule Rating: #7
Future 2027 Schedule

Mississippi State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Mississippi State at Southern Miss	-11.5	59.5	W 34 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Mississippi State vs Arizona State	+6.0	58.5	W 24 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/13	Mississippi State vs Alcorn State	-42.5	56.5	W 63 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/20	Mississippi State vs Northern Illinois	-23.5	48.5	W 38 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/27	Mississippi State vs Tennessee	+7.5	63.5	L 34 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/4	Mississippi State at Texas A&M	+17.5	57.5	L 9 - 31	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18	Mississippi State at Florida	+9.5	50.5	L 21 - 23	U	Y
Sat 10/25	Mississippi State vs Texas	+8.5	48.5	L 38 - 45	O	Y
Sat 11/1	Mississippi State at Arkansas	+5.5	66.5	W 38 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/8	Mississippi State vs Georgia	+9.5	56.5	L 21 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/15	Mississippi State at Missouri	+7.5	50.5	L 27 - 49	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/28	Mississippi State vs Ole Miss	+7.5	62.5	L 19 - 38	U	N
Fri 1/2	Mississippi State vs Wake Forest	-3.0	52.5	L 29 - 43	O	N

2025 Schedule Rating: #10
2025 Record: 5 - 8 (SEC: 1 - 7)
Spread Record 8 - 5 - 0 | O/U 7 - 6

Opponents: 6 Elite, 3 Good, 1 Avg, 0 Bad, 1 Poor

Reg Season Opponents: 5 Elite, 3 Good, 1 Avg, 1 Bad, 1 Poor

Show Past Schedules

Mississippi State's 2024 Schedule
Sat 8/31	Mississippi State vs Eastern Kentucky	-26.5	61.5	W 56 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Mississippi State at Arizona State	+6.5	57.5	L 23 - 30	U	N
Sat 9/14	Mississippi State vs Toledo	-10.5	56.5	L 17 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/21	Mississippi State vs Florida	+6.5	58.0	L 28 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/28	Mississippi State at Texas	+37.0	58.5	L 13 - 35	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Mississippi State at Georgia	+34.0	53.5	L 31 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Mississippi State vs Texas A&M	+21.0	55.5	L 24 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Mississippi State vs Arkansas	+7.5	55.0	L 25 - 58	O	N
Sat 11/2	Mississippi State vs Massachusetts	-19.5	59.5	W 45 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/9	Mississippi State at Tennessee	+26.5	61.5	L 14 - 33	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Mississippi State vs Missouri	+9.5	58.0	L 20 - 39	O	N
Fri 11/29	Mississippi State at Ole Miss	+26.5	63.5	L 14 - 26	U	Y

Mississippi State's 2023 Schedule
Sat 9/2	Mississippi State vs SE Louisiana	-31.5	59.5	W 48 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Mississippi State vs Arizona	-9.0	60.0	W 31 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/16	Mississippi State vs LSU	+9.5	54.0	L 14 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/23	Mississippi State at South Carolina	+6.0	46.5	L 30 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/30	Mississippi State vs Alabama	+16.5	45.0	L 17 - 40	O	N
Sat 10/7	Mississippi State vs Western Michigan	-21.5	54.5	W 41 - 28	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Mississippi State at Arkansas	+6.5	46.5	W 7 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Mississippi State at Auburn	+6.5	40.0	L 13 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/4	Mississippi State vs Kentucky	+5.5	44.5	L 3 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/11	Mississippi State at Texas A&M	+16.5	40.5	L 10 - 51	O	N
Sat 11/18	Mississippi State vs Southern Miss	-18.5	47.5	W 41 - 20	O	Y
Thu 11/23	Mississippi State vs Ole Miss	+11.0	56.0	L 7 - 17	U	Y

Mississippi State's 2022 Schedule
Sat 9/3	Mississippi State vs Memphis	-17.0	58.0	W 49 - 23	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Mississippi State at Arizona	-11.5	57.5	W 39 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Mississippi State at LSU	-3.0	53.0	L 16 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/24	Mississippi State vs Bowling Green	-31.0	53.0	W 45 - 14	O	N
Sat 10/1	Mississippi State vs Texas A&M	-4.0	45.0	W 42 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Mississippi State vs Arkansas	-8.0	55.5	W 40 - 17	O	Y
Sat 10/15	Mississippi State at Kentucky	-3.5	50.5	L 17 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/22	Mississippi State at Alabama	+21.5	61.5	L 6 - 30	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Mississippi State vs Auburn	-12.5	50.5	W 39 - 33	O	N
Sat 11/12	Mississippi State vs Georgia	+16.5	53.0	L 19 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/19	Mississippi State vs East Tennessee State	-39.0	62.5	W 56 - 7	O	Y
Thu 11/24	Mississippi State at Ole Miss	+2.5	63.0	W 24 - 22	U	Y
Mon 1/2	Mississippi State vs Illinois	-3.5	46.5	W 19 - 10	U	Y

Mississippi State's 2021 Schedule
Sat 9/4	Mississippi State vs Louisiana Tech	-20.5	52.5	W 35 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/11	Mississippi State vs NC State	+1.5	55.0	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Mississippi State at Memphis	-3.0	63.0	L 29 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/25	Mississippi State vs LSU	+1.5	54.5	L 25 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/2	Mississippi State at Texas A&M	+7.0	45.5	W 26 - 22	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Mississippi State vs Alabama	+17.5	59.5	L 9 - 49	U	N
Sat 10/23	Mississippi State at Vanderbilt	-21.0	53.0	W 45 - 6	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Mississippi State vs Kentucky	-1.0	47.0	W 31 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/6	Mississippi State at Arkansas	+4.0	54.0	L 28 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/13	Mississippi State at Auburn	+6.0	51.0	W 43 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Mississippi State vs Tennessee State	-44.0	56.5	W 55 - 10	O	Y
Thu 11/25	Mississippi State vs Ole Miss	-2.5	65.0	L 21 - 31	U	N
Tue 12/28	Mississippi State vs Texas Tech	-10.0	58.5	L 7 - 34	U	N

2026 class: 230 points   #24
2025 class: 226 points   #22
2024 class: 225 points   #32
2023 class: 223 points   #26
2022 class: 219 points   #26

Average Class Ranking:   #26
Average Recruiting Points: 225

Four Year Crootin Profile
Consistent CFP Hopefuls
4 Year Class: #25 - Best: #22 Worst: #32

CFB Crootin Averages
SEC Class: 252  #22
Power 4 Class: 229  #22
FBS Class: 198  #70

2021 class: 214 points   #29
2020 class: 224 points   #26
2019 class: 239 points   #23
2018 class: 218 points   #27
2017 class: 220 points   #20

Average Class Ranking:   #25
Average Recruiting Points: 223

Transfer Portal Classes
2026 Portal Class #35 - 24 players, 86 Avg
2025 Portal Class #18 - 34 players, 87 Avg
2024 Portal Class #45 - 20 players, 87 Avg
2023 Portal Class #38 - 12 players, 87 Avg

Transfer Portal Classes

Transfer Portal Classes
2022 Portal Class #36 - 9 players, 88 Avg
2021 Portal Class #29 - 23 players, 86 Avg
2020 Portal Class NR - players, 0 Avg
2019 Portal Class NR - players, 0 Avg

Offensive Coordinator Jeff Lebby (been OC for 3 years) #41

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
AJ Swann (Tr)	130	222	59%	1494	10	8	6.7
Kamario Taylor	43	77	56%	629	5	1	8.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Fluff Bothwell	142	677	6	4.8	43
Kamario Taylor	82	458	8	5.6	39
Xavier Gayten	29	157	2	5.4	25
Brinston Williams	26	137	1	5.3	21

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Anthony Evans III	67	831	4	12.4	57
Marquis Johnson (Tr)	28	345	2	12.3	49
Ayden Williams	21	252	0	12.0	49
Fluff Bothwell	14	105	0	7.5	39

(Tr) - new transfer in 2026

Defensive Coordinator Zach Arnett (in his first season) #53

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Isaac Smith	64	1	1	0	3
Marcus Williams (Tr)	61	4	0	1	5
Jalen Smith	57	2	0	2	1
Zakari Tillman	47	3	1	2	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Darron Reed Jr.	21	2	2	3	1
Will Whitson	8	5	2	0	0
Kalvin Dinkins	27	3	2	0	0
Derion Gullette	38	2	2	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Kelley Jones	34	0	0	11
Quentin Taylor Jr. (Tr)	27	2	0	5
Marcus Williams (Tr)	61	4	1	5

Returning Production
Overall Returning Production: 56% #99
Offense Returning Production: 53% #112
Defense Returning Production: 58% #74
Mississippi State's Official Roster

Transfer Portal
2026 Portal Class #35
24 Commits, 86.3 Avg Rating
34% of 2026 Roster from Portal, 24% TY

Team Talent
2026 Talent Rating: 904.00 #34
Offense Talent #31 | Defense Talent #36
2025 #40 | 2024 #37 | 2023 #28 | 2022 #29

2026 - 2023 Records
2026 Record: 0 - 0
2026 Conf Record: 0 - 0
Spread: 0 - 0 - 0 | Totals: 0 - 0

2025 Record: 5 - 8
2025 Conf Record: 1 - 7
Spread: 8 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 7 - 6

2024 Record: 2 - 10
2024 Conf Record: 0 - 8
Spread: 7 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 8 - 4

2023 Record: 5 - 7
2023 Conf Record: 1 - 7
Spread: 4 - 8 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 6

Four Year Record: 12 - 25
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 19 - 18 - 0
Four Year Conference Record: 2 - 22

2022 - 2019 Records
2022 Record: 9 - 4
2022 Conf Record: 4 - 4
Spread: 7 - 5 - 1 | Totals: 7 - 6

2021 Record: 7 - 6
2021 Conf Record: 4 - 4
Spread: 7 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 7

2020 Record: 4 - 7
2020 Conf Record: 3 - 7
Spread: 5 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 4 - 7

2019 Record: 6 - 7
2019 Conf Record: 3 - 5
Spread: 4 - 8 - 1 | Totals: 7 - 6

Eight Year Record: 38 - 49
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 42 - 43 - 2
Eight Year Conference Record: 17 - 42

Mississippi State Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2025	Mayo Bowl	Mississippi State vs Wake Forest	-3.0	52.5	L 29 - 43
2022	Reliaquest Bowl	Mississippi State vs Illinois	-3.5	46.5	W 19 - 10
2021	Liberty Bowl	Mississippi State vs Texas Tech	-10.0	58.5	L 7 - 34
2020	Forces Bowl	Mississippi State vs Tulsa	+2.5	48.0	W 28 - 26
2019	City Bowl	Mississippi State vs Louisville	-5.0	64.5	L 28 - 38
2018	Outback Bowl	Mississippi State vs Iowa	-7.0	40.0	L 22 - 27
2017	N/A	Mississippi State vs Louisville	+6.5	62.0	W 31 - 27
2016	Petersburg Bowl	Mississippi State vs Miami (OH)	-11.5	58.0	W 17 - 16

Power Ranking Stats (2025)

Teams	Offense PPA	Offense Expl	Offense Success	Offense Pts Per Opp	Avg Start FP	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Defense PPA	Defense Expl	Defense Success	Defense Pts Per Opp	Opponent FP
2025	.14 (90)	1.29 (45)	42% (86)	4.41 (22)	29 (68)	43%	45%	.22 (110)	1.27 (71)	44% (102)	3.68 (69)	27.6 (39)

Teams	Offense PPA	Offense Expl	Offense Success	Offense Pts Per Opp	Avg Start FP	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Defense PPA	Defense Expl	Defense Success	Defense Pts Per Opp	Opponent FP
2024	.17 (78)	1.42 (6)	39% (109)	3.75 (86)	28.1 (90)	37%	57%	.32 (130)	1.16 (18)	50% (133)	4.32 (113)	29.7 (89)

More Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs
2025	13	28:41	21.6	43%	45%	7.2	61.6	1.2	1.4	4.3	1.6	0

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs
2024	12	25:41	20.3	37%	57%	6.8	60.3	1.5	0.9	3.9	0.8	2

Overall Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PPG	Home	Road	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
2025 Offense	13	30.4	33.9	25.8	41.5% (86)	4.41 (22)	1.2	22	399	158	241	3.7	53% (42)	46% (92)	44% (62)	39% (102)	18% (117)	.14 (90)
2025 Defense	13	30.2	27.9	31	44.2% (102)	3.68 (69)	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	53% (103)	46% (36)	48% (124)	40% (56)	14% (110)	.22 (110)

Teams	Games	PPG	Home	Road	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
2024 Offense	12	25.8	30.7	19	39.2% (109)	3.75 (86)	1.5	20	378	139	239	4	50% (73)	50% (62)	40% (105)	38% (104)	21% (127)	.17 (78)
2024 Defense	12	34.1	34.9	33	50.4% (133)	4.32 (113)	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	59% (132)	41% (3)	47% (108)	55% (134)	11% (134)	.32 (130)

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
2025 Offense	13	53% (42)	44% (62)	42.3	157.8	3.7	29 (16)	.11 (71)	2.81 (95)	72% (72)	12% (125)	0.96 (68)
2025 Defense	13	53% (103)	48% (124)	-	-	-	-	.16 (97)	3.41 (135)	77% (108)	8% (121)	0.89 (31)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
2024 Offense	12	50% (73)	40% (105)	34.8	138.6	4	19 (73)	.09 (92)	2.9 (93)	73% (71)	13% (122)	1.08 (28)
2024 Defense	12	59% (132)	47% (108)	-	-	-	-	.15 (80)	3.3 (113)	71% (57)	7% (133)	0.85 (13)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
2025 Offense	13	46% (92)	39% (102)	18.7	30	241.4	8.1	12.9	20 (75)	9 (60)	.21 (93)	1.7 (18)	34% (117)	28% (85)	.3 (71)	6% (81)	2.3 (7)
2025 Defense	13	46% (36)	40% (56)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (6)	.3 (91)	1.7 (124)	30% (100)	31% (83)	.38 (110)	6% (69)	2.3 (130)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
2024 Offense	12	50% (62)	38% (104)	17.9	30.6	239.3	7.8	13.4	19 (65)	8 (40)	.25 (76)	1.8 (18)	34% (113)	32% (62)	.33 (73)	8% (116)	2.1 (56)
2024 Defense	12	41% (3)	55% (134)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (104)	.58 (134)	1.5 (48)	24% (134)	39% (131)	.55 (130)	4% (123)	1.9 (38)

Overall

Team Info

Power #57SP+ #58

Record Prediction: 5 - 7 #75

Coaching staff Rank #82

Record

0 - 0
SEC 0 - 0

Vs Spread0 - 0 - 0Totals0 - 0

One Score Games '25: (2-3)(2-4 under J.L.)

5 Year Profile

Consistent Top G5

'26 Profile

Up to Below Avg P4

Performance #105

Special Teams #77

Returning Production

From 2025

54% #115

25 QB Kamario Taylor returns (OC back)

Offense 53% #112

Defense 58% #74

Returning Starters: 9 (Off: 4) - (Def: 5)

Proj Portal Starters: 1 (Off: 1) - (Def: 0)

Exp'd Depth: 7 (Off: 1) - (Def: 6)

OL Prod: 42% #961 starters, 0 exp'd depth

OL Snaps: 2,275 #97From Portal: 1261 #54

Rush Prod: 66% #62

Rec Prod: 51% #90

Front Seven: 61% #48

Secondary: 54% #86

Roster

Talent Info

Talent #34

Blue Chips (13%) #31

Offense Talent #31

Defense Talent #36

Portal Class #3524 players (86 Avg)

Crootin '26 Class #244 YR Class Rating #25

Talent Profile

Consistent CFP Hopefuls

34% of Roster from Portal, 24% TY

74% of '26 Roster are New (Fr + Portals)

(OC) Jeff Lebby 3

#41

(DC) Zach Arnett 1

#53

2026 Schedule

Information

SOS #7

Mississippi State plays 2 opps off a byeVAN & TNTC

OppsElite: 6, Good: 3, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

2025 Record: 5 - 8 (8 - 5 - 0) (SEC: 1 - 7)

2024 Record: 2 - 10 (7 - 5 - 0) (SEC: 0 - 8)

Win History

Past 5 years 5.4

Avg under Jeff L 3.5

4 Yr Record (12 - 25)

8 Yr Record (38 - 49)

Notes

Live Team Notes

Vibes: Uneven, hopeful on Off but 1-15 in SEC

Lebby improved, but proj dogs in 9-10 games TY

DC Arnett back (HC in '23). Good DC hire

QB Taylor is electric, pot star. Swann has exp

RB looks avg. Fluff decent, not sure what else

WR has Evans and some good parts. Decent unit

OL lost 8, added 8 via portal (2 starters). Huge ?

DL was awful LY, added some but not enough

LBs have exp but none played well. Don't see it

DBs return 2 good starters, added 2. Best Def unit

Roster Experience

Snaps & Starter Info

Snaps Returning

11,963 (54%) #88

88%of Snaps by Upperclass

Offense: 5,792 #94

Defense: 6,171 #83

Players with Starting Exp (23) 8 on Off, 15 on Def

Upperclass

Starters 9 of 22 (40.9%)2-Deep 15 of 44 (34.1%)

Senior/Gr starters: 5 (22.7%) (Off: 3, Def: 2)

Upperclass Two-Deep: 15 of 44 (34.1%)

Upperclass on Roster: 40.7%(44 of 108)

Portals

Top '26 Incoming Portals

Marquis Johnson (WR)4★ (.92)

Dealyn Evans (DL)3★ (.89)

Amaree Williams (EDGE)3★ (.88)

Jardin Gilbert (S)3★ (.87)

Tyler Miller (OT)3★ (.87)

Jayson Jenkins (EDGE)3★ (.87)

Gav Holman (LB)3★ (.86)

Mario Nash Jr. (OT)3★ (.86)

Top Players

Top Performers on Roster

Canon Boone (C)(C+ Block Grade)

Anthony Evans III (WR)(831 Yds, 4 TD)

Brandon Sneh (T)(C+ Block Grade)

Kelley Jones (CB)(2 Int, 11 Pd)

Marcus Williams (S)(0 Int, 5 Pd)

Isaac Smith (S)(1 Int, 3 Pd)

Marquis Johnson (WR)(345 Yds, 2 TD)

Fluff Bothwell (RB)(677 Yds, 6 TD)

Recruits

Top '26 Incoming Recruits

Bralan Womack (S)5★ (.99)

Zayion Cotton (TE)4★ (.91)

Micah Nickerson (EDGE)4★ (.91)

Tico Crittendon (DL)3★ (.89)

Chris Addison (EDGE)3★ (.89)

Jayden Cration (WR)3★ (.89)

Keymian Henderson Jr. (WR)3★ (.88)

Zion Crumpton (WR)3★ (.88)

Overall

Four Year Ratings Profile

Offense

Four Year Ratings Profile

Defense

Four Year Ratings Profile