Mississippi State Bulldogs at Ole Miss Rebels(#13)
Friday, November 29th 2024 (3:30 PM EST)
Ole Miss -26.5 (63.5) (-4000) Open: -27.0 | 62.5
Ole Miss 26 - Mississippi State: 14 (SEC)
Bulldogs (2 - 10) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jeff Lebby (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 34 (19 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#128)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 6) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Coach Jeff Lebby (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 34 (19 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#128)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 6) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Ole Miss -36 (SP+ MISS -32)
Projected Score: MSST: 11 - MISS: 47 (58)
MISS Win prob: 97% | Cover: 51%
MSST Travel: 76 miles
Projected Score: MSST: 11 - MISS: 47 (58)
MISS Win prob: 97% | Cover: 51%
MSST Travel: 76 miles
Rebels (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Lane Kiffin (34 - 15)
Avg Score : 39 - 14 (40 - 11 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Coach Lane Kiffin (34 - 15)
Avg Score : 39 - 14 (40 - 11 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
| Mississippi State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Mississippi State vs Eastern Kentucky | -26.5 | 61.5 | W 56 - 7 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Mississippi State at Arizona State | +6.5 | 57.5 | L 23 - 30 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Mississippi State vs Toledo | -10.5 | 56.5 | L 17 - 41 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Mississippi State vs Florida | +6.5 | 58.0 | L 28 - 45 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | Mississippi State at Texas | +37.0 | 58.5 | L 13 - 35 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/12 | Mississippi State at Georgia | +34.0 | 53.5 | L 31 - 41 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Mississippi State vs Texas A&M | +21.0 | 55.5 | L 24 - 34 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Mississippi State vs Arkansas | +7.5 | 55.0 | L 25 - 58 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | Mississippi State vs Massachusetts | -19.5 | 59.5 | W 45 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/9 | Mississippi State at Tennessee | +26.5 | 61.5 | L 14 - 33 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/23 | Mississippi State vs Missouri | +9.5 | 58.0 | L 20 - 39 | O | N | |
| Fri 11/29 | Mississippi State at Ole Miss | +26.5 | 63.5 | L 14 - 26 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: 6, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 6, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 6, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 6, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 6, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
| Ole Miss's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Ole Miss vs Furman | -45.5 | 58.5 | W 76 - 0 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Ole Miss vs Middle Tennessee | -42.5 | 60.5 | W 52 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Ole Miss at Wake Forest | -20.5 | 65.5 | W 40 - 6 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Ole Miss vs Georgia Southern | -35.0 | 68.5 | W 52 - 13 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Ole Miss vs Kentucky | -15.0 | 51.5 | L 17 - 20 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | Ole Miss at South Carolina | -10.0 | 53.0 | W 27 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Ole Miss at LSU | -3.5 | 64.5 | L 26 - 29 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/26 | Ole Miss vs Oklahoma | -19.0 | 50.0 | W 26 - 14 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | Ole Miss at Arkansas | -8.0 | 54.0 | W 63 - 31 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/9 | Ole Miss vs Georgia | +1.5 | 54.5 | W 28 - 10 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/23 | Ole Miss at Florida | -13.0 | 57.5 | L 17 - 24 | U | N | |
| Fri 11/29 | Ole Miss vs Mississippi State | -26.5 | 63.5 | W 26 - 14 | U | N | |
| Thu 1/2 | Ole Miss vs Duke | -17.5 | 50.5 | W 52 - 20 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSST | #78 (.17) | 39% (109) | 25.8 | 40% (105) | 2.9 (93) | 139 | 38% (104) | 239 | 3.75 (86) | #130 (.32) | 50% (133) | 34.1 | 47% (108) | 55% (134) | 4.32 (113) | 60.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| MISS | #4 (.34) | 47% (19) | 38.6 | 44% (76) | 3.02 (72) | 164 | 51% (3) | 317 | 4 (58) | #6 (.04) | 35% (3) | 14.4 | 35% (6) | 36% (13) | 2.98 (8) | 68.5 | 0.9 | 1.6 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSST | #78 (.17) | 39% (109) | 40% (105) | 2.9 (93) | 139 | 38% (104) | 239 | 3.75 (86) | #130 (.32) | 50% (133) | 47% (108) | 55% (134) | 4.32 (113) | 60.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 | ||
| MISS | #4 (.34) | 47% (19) | 44% (76) | 3.02 (72) | 164 | 51% (3) | 317 | 4 (58) | #6 (.04) | 35% (3) | 35% (6) | 36% (13) | 2.98 (8) | 68.5 | 0.9 | 1.6 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSST Offense | 12 | 25.8 | 19 | 39.2% | 3.75 | 1.5 | 20 | 378 | 139 | 239 | 4 | 50% | 50% | 40% | 38% | 21% | .17 |
| MISS Defense | 13 | 14.4 | 10.6 | 35.3% | 2.98 | 1.6 | - | - | - | - | - | 47% | 53% | 35% | 36% | 25% | .04 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSST Defense | 12 | 34.1 | 33 | 50.4% | 4.32 | 0.9 | - | - | - | - | - | 59% | 41% | 47% | 55% | 11% | .32 |
| MISS Offense | 13 | 38.6 | 39.6 | 47.4% | 4 | 0.9 | 23 | 481 | 164 | 317 | 4.6 | 50% | 50% | 44% | 51% | 15% | .34 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State | 12 | 25:41 | 20.3 | 37% | 57% | 6.8 | 60.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 3.9 | 0.8 | 2 | 28.1 |
| Ole Miss | 13 | 26:04 | 22.7 | 41% | 59% | 6.8 | 68.5 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 8.9 | 4.1 | 0 | 29.7 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSST Offense | 12 | 50% (73) | 40% (105) | 34.8 | 138.6 | 4 | 19 (73) | .09 (92) | 2.9 (93) | 73% (71) | 13% (122) | 1.08 (28) |
| MISS Defense | 13 | 47% (25) | 35% (6) | - | - | - | - | -.04 (4) | 2.49 (7) | 74% (71) | 16% (1) | 0.88 (23) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSST Defense | 12 | 59% (132) | 47% (108) | - | - | - | - | .15 (80) | 3.3 (113) | 71% (57) | 7% (133) | 0.85 (13) |
| MISS Offense | 13 | 50% (75) | 44% (76) | 35.8 | 164.2 | 4.6 | 27 (30) | .15 (58) | 3.02 (72) | 71% (85) | 10% (68) | 1.09 (26) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSST Offense | 12 | 50% (62) | 38% (104) | 17.9 | 30.6 | 239.3 | 7.8 | 13.4 | 19 (65) | 8 (40) | .25 (76) | 1.8 (18) | 34% (113) | 32% (62) | .33 (73) | 8% (116) | 2.1 (56) |
| MISS Defense | 13 | 53% (115) | 36% (13) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 11 (52) | .12 (20) | 1.6 (85) | 37% (5) | 23% (1) | .1 (3) | 8% (3) | 2.1 (68) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSST Defense | 12 | 41% (3) | 55% (134) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7 (104) | .58 (134) | 1.5 (48) | 24% (134) | 39% (131) | .55 (130) | 4% (123) | 1.9 (38) |
| MISS Offense | 13 | 50% (59) | 51% (3) | 20.5 | 30.5 | 317.2 | 10.4 | 15.4 | 27 (20) | 6 (10) | .53 (3) | 1.6 (46) | 29% (28) | 38% (7) | .63 (2) | 5% (54) | 2.3 (12) |
Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: -10.34 #101
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: 16.56 #100
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: 21.21 #130
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 21% #26
Mississippi State's 2024 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Mississippi State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.1 #88
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #98
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Mississippi State's Power Rating: -10.34 #101
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: 16.56 #100
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: 21.21 #130
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 21% #26
Mississippi State's 2024 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Mississippi State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.1 #88
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #98
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State: -10.34 Ole Miss: 28.83
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State: -4.1 Ole Miss: 27.9
Mississippi State: -10.34 Ole Miss: 28.83
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State: -4.1 Ole Miss: 27.9
Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 28.83 #4
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: 27.20 #8
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: 0.53 #4
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 33 #19
Ole Miss's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Ole Miss's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 27.9 #2
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.7 #7
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 11.9 #3
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 28.83 #4
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: 27.20 #8
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: 0.53 #4
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 33 #19
Ole Miss's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Ole Miss's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 27.9 #2
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.7 #7
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 11.9 #3
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 19
Defense: 34.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 33
Mississippi State's 2024 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 19
Defense: 34.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 33
Mississippi State's 2024 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Ole Miss 47
Mississippi State 11
Total Points: 58
Ole Miss 47
Mississippi State 11
Total Points: 58
Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 38.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.6
Defense: 14.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 10.6
Ole Miss's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Offense: 38.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.6
Defense: 14.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 10.6
Ole Miss's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/29 | Ole Miss | 26 | Mississippi State | 14 | Ole Miss | Ole Miss -26.5 | Mississippi State | 63.5 | Under |
| 2023 | 11/23 | Mississippi State | 7 | Ole Miss | 17 | Ole Miss | Ole Miss -11 | Mississippi State | 56.0 | Under |
| 2022 | 11/24 | Ole Miss | 22 | Mississippi State | 24 | Mississippi State | Ole Miss -2.5 | Mississippi State | 63.0 | Under |
| 2021 | 11/25 | Mississippi State | 21 | Ole Miss | 31 | Ole Miss | Mississippi State -2.5 | Ole Miss | 65.0 | Under |
| 2020 | 11/28 | Ole Miss | 31 | Mississippi State | 24 | Ole Miss | Ole Miss -10 | Mississippi State | 70.0 | Under |
| 2019 | 11/28 | Mississippi State | 21 | Ole Miss | 20 | Mississippi State | Mississippi State -1 | Push | 59.0 | Under |
| 2018 | 11/22 | Ole Miss | 3 | Mississippi State | 35 | Mississippi State | Mississippi State -12.5 | Mississippi State | 61.0 | Under |
| 2017 | 11/23 | Mississippi State | 28 | Ole Miss | 31 | Ole Miss | Mississippi State -14 | Ole Miss | 64.5 | Under |
| 2016 | 11/26 | Ole Miss | 20 | Mississippi State | 55 | Mississippi State | Ole Miss -8 | Mississippi State | 67.5 | Over |
| 2015 | 11/28 | Mississippi State | 27 | Ole Miss | 38 | Ole Miss | Ole Miss -2 | Ole Miss | 65.5 | Under |
| 2014 | 11/29 | Ole Miss | 31 | Mississippi State | 17 | Ole Miss | Mississippi State -2.5 | Ole Miss | 51.5 | Under |
| 2013 | 11/28 | Mississippi State | 17 | Ole Miss | 10 | Mississippi State | Ole Miss -3 | Mississippi State | 0 | |
| 2012 | 11/24 | Ole Miss | 41 | Mississippi State | 24 | Ole Miss | ||||
| 2011 | 11/26 | Mississippi State | 31 | Ole Miss | 3 | Mississippi State | ||||
| 2010 | 11/27 | Ole Miss | 23 | Mississippi State | 31 | Mississippi State | ||||
| 2009 | 11/28 | Mississippi State | 41 | Ole Miss | 27 | Mississippi State | ||||
| 2008 | 11/28 | Ole Miss | 45 | Mississippi State | 0 | Ole Miss | ||||
| 2007 | 11/23 | Mississippi State | 17 | Ole Miss | 14 | Mississippi State | ||||
| 2006 | 11/25 | Ole Miss | 20 | Mississippi State | 17 | Ole Miss | ||||
| 2005 | 11/26 | Mississippi State | 35 | Ole Miss | 14 | Mississippi State | ||||
| 2004 | 11/27 | Ole Miss | 20 | Mississippi State | 3 | Ole Miss | ||||
| 2003 | 11/27 | Mississippi State | 0 | Ole Miss | 31 | Ole Miss | ||||
| 2001 | 11/22 | Mississippi State | 36 | Ole Miss | 28 | Mississippi State | ||||
| 2000 | 11/22 | Ole Miss | 45 | Mississippi State | 30 | Ole Miss |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ole Miss | 13 | 4 | 1 Overs |
| Mississippi State | 11 | 7 | 10 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 15 - 9 | 3 - 8 | 0 - 6 | 3 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 9 - 15 | 8 - 3 | 2 - 3 | 6 - 0 |
(#101) Mississippi State Info
Power Rating: -10.34 #101
Offense Rating: 16.56 #100
Defense Rating: 21.21 #130
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.1 #88
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #98
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 21% #26
Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.75 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.32 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Awful Pass Def Success 55%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Mississippi State has lost 2 straight
Mississippi State has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 5 (4 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Mississippi State Notes
(12/17) Signed QB Kromenhoek (FSU)
(11/29) 3rd down Defense worst in CFB > 48%
(11/29) Fought w/ Rebs, Def better but 3rd/4th bad
(11/13) QB Van Buren awful, Rgame OK, Run Def torched
(10/22) Def stop rate 38% (#131) last in P4 into wk 9
(10/19) Van Buren good (A&M) Def better, still fighting
(10/12) QB Van Buren torched UGA, Rgame & Def awful
(10/4) Def #132 Success rate, giving up 30+ every game
(9/24) QB Shapen out for the season (shoulder)
(9/17) Worst SEC team in 10/15 years not named Vandy
Mississippi State Highlights
Mississippi State offense is explosive (#41)
Mississippi State defense does not give up big plays (#13)
Mississippi State Deficiencies
Mississippi State Fumbles a Lot (#1)
Mississippi State offense is really bad (#33)
Mississippi State run game is really bad (#18)
Mississippi State pass game is really bad (#62)
Mississippi State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Mississippi State does not Sack the QB (#97)
Mississippi State has a bad defense (#57)
Mississippi State Does Not Stuff Runs (#66)
Mississippi State has a bad defensive line (#93)
Mississippi State has a bad red zone defense (#65)
Power Rating: -10.34 #101
Offense Rating: 16.56 #100
Defense Rating: 21.21 #130
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.1 #88
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #98
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 21% #26
Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.75 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.32 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Awful Pass Def Success 55%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Mississippi State has lost 2 straight
Mississippi State has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 5 (4 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Mississippi State Notes
(12/17) Signed QB Kromenhoek (FSU)
(11/29) 3rd down Defense worst in CFB > 48%
(11/29) Fought w/ Rebs, Def better but 3rd/4th bad
(11/13) QB Van Buren awful, Rgame OK, Run Def torched
(10/22) Def stop rate 38% (#131) last in P4 into wk 9
(10/19) Van Buren good (A&M) Def better, still fighting
(10/12) QB Van Buren torched UGA, Rgame & Def awful
(10/4) Def #132 Success rate, giving up 30+ every game
(9/24) QB Shapen out for the season (shoulder)
(9/17) Worst SEC team in 10/15 years not named Vandy
Mississippi State Highlights
Mississippi State offense is explosive (#41)
Mississippi State defense does not give up big plays (#13)
Mississippi State Deficiencies
Mississippi State Fumbles a Lot (#1)
Mississippi State offense is really bad (#33)
Mississippi State run game is really bad (#18)
Mississippi State pass game is really bad (#62)
Mississippi State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Mississippi State does not Sack the QB (#97)
Mississippi State has a bad defense (#57)
Mississippi State Does Not Stuff Runs (#66)
Mississippi State has a bad defensive line (#93)
Mississippi State has a bad red zone defense (#65)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | MISS | MSST |
| OverallOver | #6 | #96 |
| OffenseOff | #15 | #86 |
| DefenseDef | #3 | #114 |
| Special TeamsST | #68 | #47 |
| PassingPass | #1 | #37 |
| RushingRush | #38 | #76 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #70 | #91 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #72 | #92 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #6 | #66 |
| TacklingTkl | #1 | #89 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #3 | #73 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #4 | #115 |
| Coverage DefCov | #16 | #112 |
Rematch from Week 14
Ole Miss -26.5 (63.5)
Ole Miss won vs Mississippi State this year (26-14)
Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat Mississippi State last year (26-14)
Ole Miss beat Mississippi State in 2023 (17-7)
Mississippi State beat Ole Miss in 2022 (24-22)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: MSST | MISS
Depth Chart: MSST | MISS
Rosters: MSST | MISS
(#4) Ole Miss Info
Power Rating: 28.83 #4
Offense Rating: 27.20 #8
Defense Rating: 0.53 #4
Overall SP+ Rating: 27.9 #2
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.7 #7
Defense SP+ Rating: 11.9 #3
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 33 #19
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Great Offense Success Rate of 47%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Great Pass Success 51%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 35%
Great in Scoring Position 2.98 PPO
Great Run Def Success 35%
Great Pass Def Success 36%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Ole Miss has lost 1 straight
Ole Miss has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 1 (4 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
Ole Miss Notes
(11/23) Gagged season @ UF, 3 TO's, short yd disasters
(11/13) Killed UGA, Def great, Dart tough, Off good
(11/7) WR Harris likely play vs UGA but limited
(11/7) RB1 Parrish out for the Georgia game
(10/21) LSU only Off faced > 60, Ark,UGA,UF to go
(10/21) Even w/ LSU, 12 flags, 2 TOs, Dart meh cost em
(10/13) Season meltdown @ LSU. Dart avg, Def gagged
(10/10) OL injuries really hurting this Off. Dart pressure
(9/28) Shut down by UK. Run 92 yds (3.2 ypc). Shocking L
(7/30) No Tx/Bama/Tenn. Play SEC bottoms outside Vandy
Ole Miss Highlights
Ole Miss offense is efficent (#17)
Ole Miss offense is explosive (#79)
Ole Miss Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Ole Miss has a really good defense (#75)
Ole Miss defense is really good in red zone (#50)
Ole Miss has a good run defense (#104)
Ole Miss has a good pass defense (#33)
Ole Miss Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#131)
Ole Miss Defensive Line is very good (#132)
Ole Miss Front 7 is disruptive (#125)
Ole Miss Secondary is very good (#20)
Ole Miss has a great TO Margin (#82)
Ole Miss Deficiencies
Ole Miss Commits a Lot of Penalties (#103)
Power Rating: 28.83 #4
Offense Rating: 27.20 #8
Defense Rating: 0.53 #4
Overall SP+ Rating: 27.9 #2
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.7 #7
Defense SP+ Rating: 11.9 #3
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 33 #19
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Great Offense Success Rate of 47%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Great Pass Success 51%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 35%
Great in Scoring Position 2.98 PPO
Great Run Def Success 35%
Great Pass Def Success 36%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Ole Miss has lost 1 straight
Ole Miss has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 1 (4 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
Ole Miss Notes
(11/23) Gagged season @ UF, 3 TO's, short yd disasters
(11/13) Killed UGA, Def great, Dart tough, Off good
(11/7) WR Harris likely play vs UGA but limited
(11/7) RB1 Parrish out for the Georgia game
(10/21) LSU only Off faced > 60, Ark,UGA,UF to go
(10/21) Even w/ LSU, 12 flags, 2 TOs, Dart meh cost em
(10/13) Season meltdown @ LSU. Dart avg, Def gagged
(10/10) OL injuries really hurting this Off. Dart pressure
(9/28) Shut down by UK. Run 92 yds (3.2 ypc). Shocking L
(7/30) No Tx/Bama/Tenn. Play SEC bottoms outside Vandy
Ole Miss Highlights
Ole Miss offense is efficent (#17)
Ole Miss offense is explosive (#79)
Ole Miss Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Ole Miss has a really good defense (#75)
Ole Miss defense is really good in red zone (#50)
Ole Miss has a good run defense (#104)
Ole Miss has a good pass defense (#33)
Ole Miss Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#131)
Ole Miss Defensive Line is very good (#132)
Ole Miss Front 7 is disruptive (#125)
Ole Miss Secondary is very good (#20)
Ole Miss has a great TO Margin (#82)
Ole Miss Deficiencies
Ole Miss Commits a Lot of Penalties (#103)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Van Buren Jr. | 140 | 256 | 55% | 1886 | 11 | 7 | 7.4 |
| Blake Shapen (Tr) | 74 | 108 | 69% | 974 | 8 | 1 | 9.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davon Booth (Tr) | 152 | 759 | 5 | 5.0 | 43 |
| Johnnie Daniels | 108 | 540 | 4 | 5.0 | 36 |
| Keyvone Lee | 29 | 140 | 1 | 4.8 | 18 |
| Xavier Gayten | 8 | 115 | 1 | 14.4 | 72 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Coleman Jr. | 69 | 844 | 5 | 12.2 | 80 |
| Jordan Mosley | 23 | 405 | 3 | 17.6 | 65 |
| Kelly Akharaiyi (Tr) | 25 | 391 | 2 | 15.6 | 49 |
| Mario Craver | 17 | 368 | 3 | 21.6 | 72 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Smith | 127 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Stone Blanton (Tr) | 124 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Nic Mitchell | 80 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Branden Jennings | 56 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zakari Tillman | 30 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
| Branden Jennings | 56 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Ty Cooper | 29 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Kalvin Dinkins | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brice Pollock | 48 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Isaac Smith | 127 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Stone Blanton (Tr) | 124 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxson Dart | 276 | 398 | 69% | 4279 | 29 | 6 | 10.8 |
| Austin Simmons | 19 | 32 | 59% | 282 | 2 | 0 | 8.8 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Parrish Jr. | 131 | 693 | 10 | 5.3 | 42 |
| Jaxson Dart | 124 | 495 | 3 | 4.0 | 35 |
| Ulysses Bentley IV | 84 | 419 | 5 | 5.0 | 89 |
| Matt Jones | 43 | 211 | 3 | 4.9 | 46 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Harris | 61 | 1063 | 7 | 17.4 | 70 |
| Jordan Watkins | 49 | 906 | 9 | 18.5 | 75 |
| Cayden Lee | 57 | 874 | 2 | 15.3 | 58 |
| Antwane Wells Jr. (Tr) | 28 | 553 | 6 | 19.8 | 66 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Paul Jr. (Tr) | 87 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 4 |
| TJ Dottery | 77 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| Trey Washington | 64 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| Suntarine Perkins | 60 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suntarine Perkins | 60 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| Princely Umanmielen (Tr) | 37 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 0 |
| Jared Ivey | 41 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 3 |
| Walter Nolen (Tr) | 47 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Amos (Tr) | 50 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
| Jadon Canady | 38 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
| Trey Washington | 64 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 |