Alcorn State at Mississippi State Game Matchup
Alcorn State logo Alcorn State Braves at Mississippi State BulldogsMississippi State logo
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Davis Wade Stadium - Starkville, MS

 
Braves (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 2 - 48 (2 - 48 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MSST 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Mississippi State -4   (SP+ MSST -1)
MSST Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
Bulldogs (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jeff Lebby (2 - 10)
Avg Score : 26 - 34 (31 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.7 - 8.3 (#124)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 5) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
 
Alcorn State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 Alcorn State at Mississippi State+4

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alcorn State's Schedule
Mississippi State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Mississippi State at Southern Miss-14.00.0
Sat 9/6 Mississippi State vs Arizona State+11
Sat 9/13 Mississippi State vs Alcorn State-25
Sat 9/20 Mississippi State vs Northern Illinois-14.5
Sat 9/27 Mississippi State vs Tennessee+13.5
Sat 10/4 Mississippi State at Texas A&M+23
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Mississippi State at Florida+20.5
Sat 10/25 Mississippi State vs Texas+24.5
Sat 11/1 Mississippi State at Arkansas+10.5
Sat 11/8 Mississippi State vs Georgia+23.5
Sat 11/15 Mississippi State at Missouri+14
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Mississippi State vs Ole Miss+14

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALCN0%1.50%000%000%480%0%0000
MSST#78 (.17)39% (109)25.840% (105)2.9 (93)13938% (104)2393.75 (86)#130 (.32)50% (133)34.147% (108)55% (134)4.32 (113)60.31.50.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALCN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MSST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALCN Offense21.51.50%00000000%0%0%0%0%
MSST Defense1234.134.950.4%4.320.9 - - - - - 59%41%47%55%11%.32
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALCN Defense248480%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
MSST Offense1225.830.739.2%3.751.520378139239450%50%40%38%21%.17

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Alcorn State20:000NAN%0%0000000100
Mississippi State1225:4120.337%57%6.860.31.50.93.90.8228.1
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALCN Offense20%0%000000%0%0
MSST Defense1259% (132)47% (108) - - - - .15 (80)3.3 (113)71% (57)7% (133)0.85 (13)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALCN Defense20%0% - - - - 00%0%0
MSST Offense1250% (73)40% (105)34.8138.6419 (73).09 (92)2.9 (93)73% (71)13% (122)1.08 (28)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALCN Offense20%0%000000000%0%0%0
MSST Defense1241% (3)55% (134) - - - - - - 7 (104).58 (134)1.5 (48)24% (134)39% (131).55 (130)4% (123)1.9 (38)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALCN Defense20%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
MSST Offense1250% (62)38% (104)17.930.6239.37.813.419 (65)8 (40).25 (76)1.8 (18)34% (113)32% (62).33 (73)8% (116)2.1 (56)

Alcorn State's Power Ratings
Alcorn State's Power Rating: #NR
Alcorn State's Offense Rating: #NR
Alcorn State's Defense Rating: #NR
2025 Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Alcorn State's 2025 Expected Record: -
Alcorn State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Alcorn State's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Alcorn State's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average SWAC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31

Power Ratings Matchup
Alcorn State:    Mississippi State: 3.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alcorn State:    Mississippi State: -1.4




Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 3.95 #55
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: 19.39 #38
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: 15.09 #71
2025 Talent Rating: 798.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 17 #29
Mississippi State's 2025 Expected Record: 3.7 - 8.3
Mississippi State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.4 #71
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #60
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.9 #72

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 944.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31


Alcorn State Scoring
Offense: 1.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 1.5
Defense: 48 PPG
Defense on Road: 48

Alcorn State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Mississippi State 30
Alcorn State 26

Projected Total Points: 55
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.7
Defense: 34.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.9

Mississippi State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201309/07Mississippi State51Alcorn State7Mississippi StateMississippi State -42.5Mississippi State0
201010/02Mississippi State49Alcorn State16Mississippi State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Mississippi State210 Overs
Alcorn State000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#NR) Alcorn State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

Team Profile






,
,







Alcorn State     Ratings Matchup     Mississippi State
Power #NR
#55
Off #NR
#38
Def #NR
#71
Talent #
#48
SP+ #N/A
#71
SP+ Off #N/A
#60
SP+ Def #N/A
#72

Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ALCN | MSST
Depth Chart: ALCN | MSST
Rosters: ALCN | MSST
(#55) Mississippi State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 3.95 #55
Offense Rating: 19.39 #38
Defense Rating: 15.09 #71
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.4 #71
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #60
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.9 #72
Talent Rating: 798.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 17 #29
Expected Record: 3.7 - 8.3

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.75 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.32 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Awful Pass Def Success 55%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Mississippi State Notes
(5/23) Added 5 portal OL post spring. Bad sign?
(5/23) Talent #'s of a mid B12 team, and dropping
(5/7) Def 39 ppg, 7 ypp allowed in SEC play LY
(5/2) TE Seydou Traore a good, reliable target
(4/19) Watch Fr QB KaMario Taylor. Dynamic runner
(4/19) DL improved, SEC caliber bodies unlike LY
(3/18) QB1? Shapen or Kromenhoek (FSU)
(3/18) RBs Booth/Bothwell/Daniels good depth
(3/18) OL 2/5 back. 4 portal adds. Bad unit LY
(3/18) Def torched LY. Return a lot, but is that good?


  
Alcorn State's OC
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jarvis Rush (Tr)9101111.236

View Alcorn State's Full Roster
Alcorn State's DC
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jarvis Rush (Tr)10000
Ja'Coby Matthews (Tr)10000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jarvis Rush (Tr)10000
Ja'Coby Matthews (Tr)10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jarvis Rush (Tr)10000
Ja'Coby Matthews (Tr)10000

Mississippi State's OC Jeff Lebby
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Blake Shapen7410869%974819.0
Luke Kromenhoek (Tr)448452%502326.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Fluff Bothwell (Tr)112834137.459
Davon Booth15275955.043
Johnnie Daniels10854045.036
Xavier Gayten8115114.472
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Markus Allen (Tr)42636315.178
Jordan Mosley23405317.665
Cam Thompson (Tr)27388314.454
Seydou Traore34361110.632

View Mississippi State's Full Roster
Mississippi State's DC Coleman Hutzler
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaac Smith1272003
Jahron Manning (Tr)856103
Nic Mitchell803012
Branden Jennings565242
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nevaeh Sanders (Tr)85520
Zakari Tillman304412
Will Whitson (Tr)204220
Raishein Thomas (Tr)122201
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jayven Williams (Tr)292214
Jahron Manning (Tr)856103
Isaac Smith1272003