(#10)Texas A&M Aggies at Mississippi State Bulldogs
Saturday, October 19th 2024 (4:15 PM EDT)
Texas A&M -21 (55.5) (-1200) Open: -15.0
Texas A&M 34 - Mississippi State: 24 (SEC)
Aggies (8 - 5) (3 - 10 - 0)
Coach Mike Elko (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 30 - 22 (32 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Coach Mike Elko (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 30 - 22 (32 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
TA&M coming off BYE
Our Line: Texas A&M -19 (SP+ TA&M -21)
Projected Score: TA&M: 39 - MSST: 20 (58)
TA&M Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
TA&M Travel: 484 miles
Our Line: Texas A&M -19 (SP+ TA&M -21)
Projected Score: TA&M: 39 - MSST: 20 (58)
TA&M Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
TA&M Travel: 484 miles
Bulldogs (2 - 10) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jeff Lebby (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 34 (31 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#128)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Coach Jeff Lebby (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 34 (31 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#128)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
| Texas A&M's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Texas A&M vs Notre Dame | -3.0 | 47.0 | L 13 - 23 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Texas A&M vs McNeese | -48.5 | 56.5 | W 52 - 10 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Texas A&M at Florida | -4.5 | 47.0 | W 33 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Texas A&M vs Bowling Green | -21.0 | 50.5 | W 26 - 20 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | Texas A&M vs Arkansas | -6.5 | 50.5 | W 21 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | Texas A&M vs Missouri | -3.0 | 47.5 | W 41 - 10 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/19 | Texas A&M at Mississippi State | -21.0 | 55.5 | W 34 - 24 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Texas A&M vs LSU | -2.0 | 54.5 | W 38 - 23 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | Texas A&M at South Carolina | -3.0 | 43.5 | L 20 - 44 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/16 | Texas A&M vs New Mexico State | -38.5 | 54.5 | W 38 - 3 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | Texas A&M at Auburn | -2.5 | 47.0 | L 41 - 43 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Texas A&M vs Texas | +4.5 | 49.5 | L 7 - 17 | U | N | |
| Fri 12/27 | Texas A&M vs USC | -3.5 | 56.5 | L 31 - 35 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 6, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Texas A&M's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Mississippi State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Mississippi State vs Eastern Kentucky | -26.5 | 61.5 | W 56 - 7 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Mississippi State at Arizona State | +6.5 | 57.5 | L 23 - 30 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Mississippi State vs Toledo | -10.5 | 56.5 | L 17 - 41 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Mississippi State vs Florida | +6.5 | 58.0 | L 28 - 45 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | Mississippi State at Texas | +37.0 | 58.5 | L 13 - 35 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/12 | Mississippi State at Georgia | +34.0 | 53.5 | L 31 - 41 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Mississippi State vs Texas A&M | +21.0 | 55.5 | L 24 - 34 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Mississippi State vs Arkansas | +7.5 | 55.0 | L 25 - 58 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | Mississippi State vs Massachusetts | -19.5 | 59.5 | W 45 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/9 | Mississippi State at Tennessee | +26.5 | 61.5 | L 14 - 33 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/23 | Mississippi State vs Missouri | +9.5 | 58.0 | L 20 - 39 | O | N | |
| Fri 11/29 | Mississippi State at Ole Miss | +26.5 | 63.5 | L 14 - 26 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: 4, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TA&M | #54 (.21) | 45% (41) | 30.4 | 46% (38) | 3.29 (27) | 185 | 43% (58) | 188 | 3.63 (93) | #67 (.16) | 38% (23) | 22.2 | 40% (38) | 37% (22) | 3.03 (9) | 60.7 | 1 | 1.3 |
| MSST | #78 (.17) | 39% (109) | 25.8 | 40% (105) | 2.9 (93) | 139 | 38% (104) | 239 | 3.75 (86) | #130 (.32) | 50% (133) | 34.1 | 47% (108) | 55% (134) | 4.32 (113) | 60.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TA&M | #54 (.21) | 45% (41) | 46% (38) | 3.29 (27) | 185 | 43% (58) | 188 | 3.63 (93) | #67 (.16) | 38% (23) | 40% (38) | 37% (22) | 3.03 (9) | 60.7 | 1 | 1.3 | ||
| MSST | #78 (.17) | 39% (109) | 40% (105) | 2.9 (93) | 139 | 38% (104) | 239 | 3.75 (86) | #130 (.32) | 50% (133) | 47% (108) | 55% (134) | 4.32 (113) | 60.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TA&M Offense | 13 | 30.4 | 32 | 44.8% | 3.63 | 1 | 20 | 372 | 185 | 188 | 4.9 | 57% | 43% | 46% | 43% | 12% | .21 |
| MSST Defense | 12 | 34.1 | 34.9 | 50.4% | 4.32 | 0.9 | - | - | - | - | - | 59% | 41% | 47% | 55% | 11% | .32 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TA&M Defense | 13 | 22.2 | 32.8 | 38.1% | 3.03 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 47% | 53% | 40% | 37% | 20% | .16 |
| MSST Offense | 12 | 25.8 | 30.7 | 39.2% | 3.75 | 1.5 | 20 | 378 | 139 | 239 | 4 | 50% | 50% | 40% | 38% | 21% | .17 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas A&M | 13 | 29:13 | 19.6 | 45% | 41% | 6.9 | 60.7 | 1 | 1.3 | 6.6 | 1.8 | 2 | 38.6 |
| Mississippi State | 12 | 25:41 | 20.3 | 37% | 57% | 6.8 | 60.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 3.9 | 0.8 | 2 | 28.1 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TA&M Offense | 13 | 57% (21) | 46% (38) | 37.8 | 184.5 | 4.9 | 26 (36) | .19 (37) | 3.29 (27) | 73% (68) | 7% (12) | 0.97 (66) |
| MSST Defense | 12 | 59% (132) | 47% (108) | - | - | - | - | .15 (80) | 3.3 (113) | 71% (57) | 7% (133) | 0.85 (13) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TA&M Defense | 13 | 47% (35) | 40% (38) | - | - | - | - | .1 (60) | 2.55 (10) | 77% (89) | 11% (46) | 1.11 (117) |
| MSST Offense | 12 | 50% (73) | 40% (105) | 34.8 | 138.6 | 4 | 19 (73) | .09 (92) | 2.9 (93) | 73% (71) | 13% (122) | 1.08 (28) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TA&M Offense | 13 | 43% (112) | 43% (58) | 14.6 | 24.5 | 187.8 | 7.7 | 12.9 | 16 (87) | 9 (48) | .25 (70) | 1.6 (72) | 30% (48) | 34% (43) | .35 (61) | 5% (28) | 1.9 (112) |
| MSST Defense | 12 | 41% (3) | 55% (134) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7 (104) | .58 (134) | 1.5 (48) | 24% (134) | 39% (131) | .55 (130) | 4% (123) | 1.9 (38) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TA&M Defense | 13 | 53% (105) | 37% (22) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 13 (31) | .22 (62) | 1.8 (131) | 36% (11) | 30% (69) | .37 (94) | 8% (2) | 2.3 (131) |
| MSST Offense | 12 | 50% (62) | 38% (104) | 17.9 | 30.6 | 239.3 | 7.8 | 13.4 | 19 (65) | 8 (40) | .25 (76) | 1.8 (18) | 34% (113) | 32% (62) | .33 (73) | 8% (116) | 2.1 (56) |
Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: 12.04 #24
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: 18.38 #83
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: 6.01 #35
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 59% #5
Texas A&M's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Texas A&M's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.0 #13
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #21
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.6 #19
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Texas A&M's Power Rating: 12.04 #24
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: 18.38 #83
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: 6.01 #35
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 59% #5
Texas A&M's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Texas A&M's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.0 #13
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #21
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.6 #19
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M: 12.04 Mississippi State: -4.72
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M: 17.0 Mississippi State: -4.1
Texas A&M: 12.04 Mississippi State: -4.72
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M: 17.0 Mississippi State: -4.1
Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: -4.72 #101
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: 16.56 #100
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: 21.21 #130
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #26
Mississippi State's 2024 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Mississippi State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.1 #88
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #98
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Mississippi State's Power Rating: -4.72 #101
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: 16.56 #100
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: 21.21 #130
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #26
Mississippi State's 2024 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Mississippi State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.1 #88
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #98
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 32
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8
Texas A&M's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 3 - 10 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 32
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8
Texas A&M's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 3 - 10 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Texas A&M 39
Mississippi State 20
Total Points: 58
Texas A&M 39
Mississippi State 20
Total Points: 58
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.7
Defense: 34.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.9
Mississippi State's 2024 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.7
Defense: 34.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.9
Mississippi State's 2024 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10/19 | Mississippi State | 24 | Texas A&M | 34 | Texas A&M | Texas A&M -21 | Mississippi State | 55.5 | Over |
| 2023 | 11/11 | Texas A&M | 51 | Mississippi State | 10 | Texas A&M | Texas A&M -16.5 | Texas A&M | 40.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 10/01 | Mississippi State | 42 | Texas A&M | 24 | Mississippi State | Mississippi State -4 | Mississippi State | 45.0 | Over |
| 2021 | 10/02 | Texas A&M | 22 | Mississippi State | 26 | Mississippi State | Texas A&M -7 | Mississippi State | 45.5 | Over |
| 2020 | 10/17 | Mississippi State | 14 | Texas A&M | 28 | Texas A&M | Texas A&M -4.5 | Texas A&M | 56.0 | Under |
| 2019 | 10/26 | Texas A&M | 49 | Mississippi State | 30 | Texas A&M | Texas A&M -10.5 | Texas A&M | 50.0 | Over |
| 2018 | 10/27 | Mississippi State | 28 | Texas A&M | 13 | Mississippi State | Mississippi State -1.5 | Mississippi State | 42.5 | Under |
| 2017 | 10/28 | Texas A&M | 14 | Mississippi State | 35 | Mississippi State | Mississippi State -3.5 | Mississippi State | 55.5 | Under |
| 2016 | 11/05 | Mississippi State | 35 | Texas A&M | 28 | Mississippi State | Texas A&M -13 | Mississippi State | 61.0 | Over |
| 2015 | 10/03 | Texas A&M | 30 | Mississippi State | 17 | Texas A&M | Texas A&M -6 | Texas A&M | 62.5 | Under |
| 2014 | 10/04 | Mississippi State | 48 | Texas A&M | 31 | Mississippi State | Texas A&M -1 | Mississippi State | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/09 | Texas A&M | 51 | Mississippi State | 41 | Texas A&M | Texas A&M -19 | Mississippi State | 0 | |
| 2012 | 11/03 | Mississippi State | 13 | Texas A&M | 38 | Texas A&M | ||||
| 2000 | 12/30 | Mississippi State | 43 | Texas A&M | 41 | Mississippi State |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State | 7 | 8 | 6 Overs |
| Texas A&M | 7 | 4 | 4 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 9 - 5 | 8 - 4 | 5 - 2 | 3 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 5 - 9 | 4 - 8 | 2 - 3 | 2 - 5 |
(#24) Texas A&M Info
Power Rating: 12.04 #24
Offense Rating: 18.38 #83
Defense Rating: 6.01 #35
Overall SP+ Rating: 17.0 #13
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #21
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.6 #19
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 59% #5
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.63 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 3.03 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Great Pass Def Success 37%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Great Field Position
Texas A&M has won 5 straight
Texas A&M has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 2 (1 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
Texas A&M Notes
(11/30) Off pitiful vs Tex, Rgame awful, Run Def mauled
(11/30) Beat LSU and NOTHING else to finish 8-4
(11/24) Def mauled by Aub, comeback fell in 4 OT
(11/5) Lead RB Moss (765 yds) out for season (leg)
(10/27) QB Reed 3 TD rush over LSU, DL was diff in game
(10/19) Off bad vs MSU. Def just OK this week
(10/7) Weigman/Rgame/Def great in rout of Mizzu.
(9/28) Def/Reed just good enough vs Hogs. Run D great
(9/26) Rgame 237 (5.6 ypc) in fight w/ BG. Reed better QB
(9/16) Rgame 310 (5.6 ypc) @ UF. QB Reed adds mobility
Texas A&M Highlights
Texas A&M has Really Good Running Game (#65)
Texas A&M has a top Offensive Line (#41)
Texas A&M does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#70)
Texas A&M has a really good defense (#36)
Texas A&M defense is really good in red zone (#116)
Texas A&M has a good pass defense (#48)
Texas A&M Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#48)
Texas A&M Defensive Line is very good (#28)
Texas A&M Secondary is very good (#107)
Texas A&M has a great TO Margin (#28)
Texas A&M Deficiencies
Texas A&M Commits a Lot of Penalties (#121)
Texas A&M offense is not Explosive (#30)
Texas A&M gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#124)
Power Rating: 12.04 #24
Offense Rating: 18.38 #83
Defense Rating: 6.01 #35
Overall SP+ Rating: 17.0 #13
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #21
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.6 #19
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 59% #5
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.63 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 3.03 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Great Pass Def Success 37%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Great Field Position
Texas A&M has won 5 straight
Texas A&M has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 2 (1 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
Texas A&M Notes
(11/30) Off pitiful vs Tex, Rgame awful, Run Def mauled
(11/30) Beat LSU and NOTHING else to finish 8-4
(11/24) Def mauled by Aub, comeback fell in 4 OT
(11/5) Lead RB Moss (765 yds) out for season (leg)
(10/27) QB Reed 3 TD rush over LSU, DL was diff in game
(10/19) Off bad vs MSU. Def just OK this week
(10/7) Weigman/Rgame/Def great in rout of Mizzu.
(9/28) Def/Reed just good enough vs Hogs. Run D great
(9/26) Rgame 237 (5.6 ypc) in fight w/ BG. Reed better QB
(9/16) Rgame 310 (5.6 ypc) @ UF. QB Reed adds mobility
Texas A&M Highlights
Texas A&M has Really Good Running Game (#65)
Texas A&M has a top Offensive Line (#41)
Texas A&M does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#70)
Texas A&M has a really good defense (#36)
Texas A&M defense is really good in red zone (#116)
Texas A&M has a good pass defense (#48)
Texas A&M Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#48)
Texas A&M Defensive Line is very good (#28)
Texas A&M Secondary is very good (#107)
Texas A&M has a great TO Margin (#28)
Texas A&M Deficiencies
Texas A&M Commits a Lot of Penalties (#121)
Texas A&M offense is not Explosive (#30)
Texas A&M gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#124)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | MSST | TA&M |
| OverallOver | #96 | #41 |
| OffenseOff | #86 | #56 |
| DefenseDef | #114 | #42 |
| Special TeamsST | #47 | #83 |
| PassingPass | #37 | #83 |
| RushingRush | #76 | #39 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #91 | #39 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #92 | #47 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #66 | #49 |
| TacklingTkl | #89 | #100 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #73 | #19 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #115 | #27 |
| Coverage DefCov | #112 | #82 |
Rematch from Week 8
Texas A&M 21.0 (55.5)
Texas A&M won at Mississippi State this year (34-24)
Previous Matchups
Texas A&M beat Mississippi State last year (34-24)
Texas A&M beat Mississippi State in 2023 (51-10)
Mississippi State beat Texas A&M in 2022 (42-24)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: TA&M | MSST
Depth Chart: TA&M | MSST
Rosters: TA&M | MSST
(#101) Mississippi State Info
Power Rating: -4.72 #101
Offense Rating: 16.56 #100
Defense Rating: 21.21 #130
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.1 #88
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #98
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #26
Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.75 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.32 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Awful Pass Def Success 55%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Mississippi State has lost 5 straight
Mississippi State has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 5 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)
Mississippi State Notes
(12/17) Signed QB Kromenhoek (FSU)
(11/29) 3rd down Defense worst in CFB > 48%
(11/29) Fought w/ Rebs, Def better but 3rd/4th bad
(11/13) QB Van Buren awful, Rgame OK, Run Def torched
(10/22) Def stop rate 38% (#131) last in P4 into wk 9
(10/19) Van Buren good (A&M) Def better, still fighting
(10/12) QB Van Buren torched UGA, Rgame & Def awful
(10/4) Def #132 Success rate, giving up 30+ every game
(9/24) QB Shapen out for the season (shoulder)
(9/17) Worst SEC team in 10/15 years not named Vandy
Mississippi State Highlights
Mississippi State offense is explosive (#41)
Mississippi State defense does not give up big plays (#13)
Mississippi State Deficiencies
Mississippi State Fumbles a Lot (#1)
Mississippi State offense is really bad (#33)
Mississippi State run game is really bad (#18)
Mississippi State pass game is really bad (#62)
Mississippi State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Mississippi State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Mississippi State does not Sack the QB (#97)
Mississippi State has a bad defense (#57)
Mississippi State Does Not Stuff Runs (#66)
Mississippi State has a bad defensive line (#93)
Mississippi State has a bad red zone defense (#65)
Power Rating: -4.72 #101
Offense Rating: 16.56 #100
Defense Rating: 21.21 #130
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.1 #88
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #98
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #26
Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.75 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.32 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Awful Pass Def Success 55%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Mississippi State has lost 5 straight
Mississippi State has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 5 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)
Mississippi State Notes
(12/17) Signed QB Kromenhoek (FSU)
(11/29) 3rd down Defense worst in CFB > 48%
(11/29) Fought w/ Rebs, Def better but 3rd/4th bad
(11/13) QB Van Buren awful, Rgame OK, Run Def torched
(10/22) Def stop rate 38% (#131) last in P4 into wk 9
(10/19) Van Buren good (A&M) Def better, still fighting
(10/12) QB Van Buren torched UGA, Rgame & Def awful
(10/4) Def #132 Success rate, giving up 30+ every game
(9/24) QB Shapen out for the season (shoulder)
(9/17) Worst SEC team in 10/15 years not named Vandy
Mississippi State Highlights
Mississippi State offense is explosive (#41)
Mississippi State defense does not give up big plays (#13)
Mississippi State Deficiencies
Mississippi State Fumbles a Lot (#1)
Mississippi State offense is really bad (#33)
Mississippi State run game is really bad (#18)
Mississippi State pass game is really bad (#62)
Mississippi State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Mississippi State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Mississippi State does not Sack the QB (#97)
Mississippi State has a bad defense (#57)
Mississippi State Does Not Stuff Runs (#66)
Mississippi State has a bad defensive line (#93)
Mississippi State has a bad red zone defense (#65)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcel Reed | 147 | 240 | 61% | 1864 | 15 | 6 | 7.8 |
| Conner Weigman | 64 | 114 | 56% | 819 | 3 | 5 | 7.2 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le'Veon Moss | 121 | 765 | 10 | 6.3 | 75 |
| Amari Daniels | 139 | 661 | 8 | 4.8 | 71 |
| Marcel Reed | 116 | 547 | 7 | 4.7 | 31 |
| E.J. Smith (Tr) | 54 | 207 | 0 | 3.8 | 17 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Thomas | 39 | 574 | 8 | 14.7 | 73 |
| Jabre Barber (Tr) | 38 | 381 | 2 | 10.0 | 58 |
| Jahdae Walker | 29 | 345 | 2 | 11.9 | 40 |
| Tre Watson (Tr) | 21 | 280 | 1 | 13.3 | 33 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taurean York | 83 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| Dalton Brooks | 59 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Marcus Ratcliffe (Tr) | 48 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Scooby Williams (Tr) | 43 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nic Caraway | 37 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| Cashius Howell (Tr) | 40 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 7 |
| Taurean York | 83 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| Malick Sylla | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lee III (Tr) | 42 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| Cashius Howell (Tr) | 40 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 7 |
| Albert Regis | 36 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Van Buren Jr. | 140 | 256 | 55% | 1886 | 11 | 7 | 7.4 |
| Blake Shapen (Tr) | 74 | 108 | 69% | 974 | 8 | 1 | 9.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davon Booth (Tr) | 152 | 759 | 5 | 5.0 | 43 |
| Johnnie Daniels | 108 | 540 | 4 | 5.0 | 36 |
| Keyvone Lee | 29 | 140 | 1 | 4.8 | 18 |
| Xavier Gayten | 8 | 115 | 1 | 14.4 | 72 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Coleman Jr. | 69 | 844 | 5 | 12.2 | 80 |
| Jordan Mosley | 23 | 405 | 3 | 17.6 | 65 |
| Kelly Akharaiyi (Tr) | 25 | 391 | 2 | 15.6 | 49 |
| Mario Craver | 17 | 368 | 3 | 21.6 | 72 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Smith | 127 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Stone Blanton (Tr) | 124 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Nic Mitchell | 80 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Branden Jennings | 56 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zakari Tillman | 30 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
| Branden Jennings | 56 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Ty Cooper | 29 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Kalvin Dinkins | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brice Pollock | 48 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Isaac Smith | 127 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Stone Blanton (Tr) | 124 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |