Mississippi State Bulldogs at Arizona State Sun Devils(#12)
Saturday, September 7th 2024 (10:30 PM EDT)
Arizona State -6.5 (57.5) (-225) Open: -6.5 | 59.5
Arizona State 30 - Mississippi State: 23
Bulldogs (2 - 10) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jeff Lebby (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 34 (19 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#128)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Jeff Lebby (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 34 (19 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#128)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ASU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Arizona State -22.5 (SP+ ASU -14)
Projected Score: MSST: 17 - ASU: 40 (57)
ASU Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
MSST Travel: 1331 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Our Line: Arizona State -22.5 (SP+ ASU -14)
Projected Score: MSST: 17 - ASU: 40 (57)
ASU Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
MSST Travel: 1331 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Sun Devils (11 - 3) (12 - 2 - 0)
Coach Kenny Dillingham (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 33 - 23 (34 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Kenny Dillingham (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 33 - 23 (34 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
| Mississippi State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Mississippi State vs Eastern Kentucky | -26.5 | 61.5 | W 56 - 7 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Mississippi State at Arizona State | +6.5 | 57.5 | L 23 - 30 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Mississippi State vs Toledo | -10.5 | 56.5 | L 17 - 41 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Mississippi State vs Florida | +6.5 | 58.0 | L 28 - 45 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | Mississippi State at Texas | +37.0 | 58.5 | L 13 - 35 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/12 | Mississippi State at Georgia | +34.0 | 53.5 | L 31 - 41 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Mississippi State vs Texas A&M | +21.0 | 55.5 | L 24 - 34 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Mississippi State vs Arkansas | +7.5 | 55.0 | L 25 - 58 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | Mississippi State vs Massachusetts | -19.5 | 59.5 | W 45 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/9 | Mississippi State at Tennessee | +26.5 | 61.5 | L 14 - 33 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/23 | Mississippi State vs Missouri | +9.5 | 58.0 | L 20 - 39 | O | N | |
| Fri 11/29 | Mississippi State at Ole Miss | +26.5 | 63.5 | L 14 - 26 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
| Arizona State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Arizona State vs Wyoming | -6.5 | 47.0 | W 48 - 7 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Arizona State vs Mississippi State | -6.5 | 57.5 | W 30 - 23 | U | Y | |
| Thu 9/12 | Arizona State at Texas State | +2.5 | 58.5 | W 31 - 28 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Arizona State at Texas Tech | +4.5 | 58.5 | L 22 - 30 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | Arizona State vs Kansas | -2.5 | 50.0 | W 35 - 31 | O | Y | |
| Fri 10/11 | Arizona State vs Utah | +6.0 | 46.5 | W 27 - 19 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Arizona State at Cincinnati | +5.5 | 51.0 | L 14 - 24 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/2 | Arizona State at Oklahoma State | -5.0 | 57.0 | W 42 - 21 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/9 | Arizona State vs UCF | -2.5 | 55.5 | W 35 - 31 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/16 | Arizona State at Kansas State | +7.5 | 51.5 | W 24 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Arizona State vs BYU | -3.5 | 49.0 | W 28 - 23 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Arizona State at Arizona | -7.5 | 52.5 | W 49 - 7 | O | Y | |
| Sat 12/7 | Arizona State vs Iowa State | +1.5 | 51.5 | W 45 - 19 | O | Y | |
| Wed 1/1 | Arizona State vs Texas | +13.5 | 52.5 | L 31 - 39 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for Arizona State's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSST | #78 (.17) | 39% (109) | 25.8 | 40% (105) | 2.9 (93) | 139 | 38% (104) | 239 | 3.75 (86) | #130 (.32) | 50% (133) | 34.1 | 47% (108) | 55% (134) | 4.32 (113) | 60.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| ASU | #13 (.31) | 50% (8) | 32.9 | 52% (6) | 3.35 (19) | 187 | 47% (21) | 208 | 4.14 (48) | #36 (.12) | 42% (79) | 22.6 | 41% (49) | 44% (106) | 3.64 (51) | 50.1 | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSST | #78 (.17) | 39% (109) | 40% (105) | 2.9 (93) | 139 | 38% (104) | 239 | 3.75 (86) | #130 (.32) | 50% (133) | 47% (108) | 55% (134) | 4.32 (113) | 60.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 | ||
| ASU | #13 (.31) | 50% (8) | 52% (6) | 3.35 (19) | 187 | 47% (21) | 208 | 4.14 (48) | #36 (.12) | 42% (79) | 41% (49) | 44% (106) | 3.64 (51) | 50.1 | 0.6 | 1.4 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSST Offense | 12 | 25.8 | 19 | 39.2% | 3.75 | 1.5 | 20 | 378 | 139 | 239 | 4 | 50% | 50% | 40% | 38% | 21% | .17 |
| ASU Defense | 14 | 22.6 | 22.3 | 42.4% | 3.64 | 1.4 | - | - | - | - | - | 45% | 54% | 41% | 44% | 16% | .12 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSST Defense | 12 | 34.1 | 33 | 50.4% | 4.32 | 0.9 | - | - | - | - | - | 59% | 41% | 47% | 55% | 11% | .32 |
| ASU Offense | 14 | 32.9 | 33.8 | 49.8% | 4.14 | 0.6 | 20 | 395 | 187 | 208 | 4.9 | 59% | 41% | 52% | 47% | 12% | .31 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State | 12 | 25:41 | 20.3 | 37% | 57% | 6.8 | 60.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 3.9 | 0.8 | 2 | 28.1 |
| Arizona State | 14 | 29:54 | 20.4 | 47% | 53% | 6 | 50.1 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 4 | 1.3 | 3 | 28.6 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSST Offense | 12 | 50% (73) | 40% (105) | 34.8 | 138.6 | 4 | 19 (73) | .09 (92) | 2.9 (93) | 73% (71) | 13% (122) | 1.08 (28) |
| ASU Defense | 14 | 45% (14) | 41% (49) | - | - | - | - | .04 (27) | 2.97 (61) | 63% (19) | 8% (116) | 1 (76) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSST Defense | 12 | 59% (132) | 47% (108) | - | - | - | - | .15 (80) | 3.3 (113) | 71% (57) | 7% (133) | 0.85 (13) |
| ASU Offense | 14 | 59% (14) | 52% (6) | 38.1 | 187 | 4.9 | 28 (25) | .27 (12) | 3.35 (19) | 73% (76) | 7% (18) | 0.96 (71) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSST Offense | 12 | 50% (62) | 38% (104) | 17.9 | 30.6 | 239.3 | 7.8 | 13.4 | 19 (65) | 8 (40) | .25 (76) | 1.8 (18) | 34% (113) | 32% (62) | .33 (73) | 8% (116) | 2.1 (56) |
| ASU Defense | 14 | 54% (119) | 44% (106) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 15 (18) | .21 (57) | 1.4 (18) | 32% (65) | 30% (68) | .14 (5) | 8% (21) | 1.9 (27) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSST Defense | 12 | 41% (3) | 55% (134) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7 (104) | .58 (134) | 1.5 (48) | 24% (134) | 39% (131) | .55 (130) | 4% (123) | 1.9 (38) |
| ASU Offense | 14 | 41% (120) | 47% (21) | 14.9 | 23.9 | 208.4 | 8.7 | 14 | 25 (31) | 5 (6) | .39 (14) | 1.6 (43) | 27% (11) | 38% (5) | .45 (21) | 4% (16) | 1.9 (115) |
Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: -10.34 #101
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: 16.56 #100
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: 21.21 #130
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 21% #26
Mississippi State's 2024 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Mississippi State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.1 #88
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #98
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Mississippi State's Power Rating: -10.34 #101
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: 16.56 #100
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: 21.21 #130
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 21% #26
Mississippi State's 2024 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Mississippi State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.1 #88
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #98
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State: -10.34 Arizona State: 15.205
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State: -4.1 Arizona State: 9.4
Mississippi State: -10.34 Arizona State: 15.205
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State: -4.1 Arizona State: 9.4
Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: 15.205 #12
Arizona State's Offense Rating: 28.03 #7
Arizona State's Defense Rating: 7.01 #43
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Arizona State's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Arizona State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 #35
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #32
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Arizona State's Power Rating: 15.205 #12
Arizona State's Offense Rating: 28.03 #7
Arizona State's Defense Rating: 7.01 #43
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Arizona State's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Arizona State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 #35
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #32
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 19
Defense: 34.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 33
Mississippi State's 2024 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 19
Defense: 34.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 33
Mississippi State's 2024 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Arizona State 40
Mississippi State 17
Total Points: 57
Arizona State 40
Mississippi State 17
Total Points: 57
Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.8
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3
Arizona State's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 12 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 0
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.8
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3
Arizona State's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 12 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 09/06 | Mississippi State | 24 | Arizona State | 20 | Mississippi State | Arizona State -6.0 | Mississippi State | 58.5 | Under |
| 2024 | 09/07 | Arizona State | 30 | Mississippi State | 23 | Arizona State | Arizona State -6.5 | Arizona State | 57.5 | Under |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona State | 1 | 1 | 0 Overs |
| Mississippi State | 1 | 1 | 2 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 2 - 0 | 2 - 0 | 1 - 0 | 1 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 0 - 2 | 0 - 2 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 1 |
(#101) Mississippi State Info
Power Rating: -10.34 #101
Offense Rating: 16.56 #100
Defense Rating: 21.21 #130
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.1 #88
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #98
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 21% #26
Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.75 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.32 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Awful Pass Def Success 55%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Mississippi State has won 1 straight
Record on Road: 0 - 5 (4 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Mississippi State Notes
(12/17) Signed QB Kromenhoek (FSU)
(11/29) 3rd down Defense worst in CFB > 48%
(11/29) Fought w/ Rebs, Def better but 3rd/4th bad
(11/13) QB Van Buren awful, Rgame OK, Run Def torched
(10/22) Def stop rate 38% (#131) last in P4 into wk 9
(10/19) Van Buren good (A&M) Def better, still fighting
(10/12) QB Van Buren torched UGA, Rgame & Def awful
(10/4) Def #132 Success rate, giving up 30+ every game
(9/24) QB Shapen out for the season (shoulder)
(9/17) Worst SEC team in 10/15 years not named Vandy
Mississippi State Highlights
Mississippi State offense is explosive (#41)
Mississippi State defense does not give up big plays (#13)
Mississippi State Deficiencies
Mississippi State Fumbles a Lot (#1)
Mississippi State offense is really bad (#33)
Mississippi State run game is really bad (#18)
Mississippi State pass game is really bad (#62)
Mississippi State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Mississippi State does not Sack the QB (#97)
Mississippi State has a bad defense (#57)
Mississippi State Does Not Stuff Runs (#66)
Mississippi State has a bad defensive line (#93)
Mississippi State has a bad red zone defense (#65)
Power Rating: -10.34 #101
Offense Rating: 16.56 #100
Defense Rating: 21.21 #130
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.1 #88
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #98
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 21% #26
Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.75 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.32 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Awful Pass Def Success 55%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Mississippi State has won 1 straight
Record on Road: 0 - 5 (4 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Mississippi State Notes
(12/17) Signed QB Kromenhoek (FSU)
(11/29) 3rd down Defense worst in CFB > 48%
(11/29) Fought w/ Rebs, Def better but 3rd/4th bad
(11/13) QB Van Buren awful, Rgame OK, Run Def torched
(10/22) Def stop rate 38% (#131) last in P4 into wk 9
(10/19) Van Buren good (A&M) Def better, still fighting
(10/12) QB Van Buren torched UGA, Rgame & Def awful
(10/4) Def #132 Success rate, giving up 30+ every game
(9/24) QB Shapen out for the season (shoulder)
(9/17) Worst SEC team in 10/15 years not named Vandy
Mississippi State Highlights
Mississippi State offense is explosive (#41)
Mississippi State defense does not give up big plays (#13)
Mississippi State Deficiencies
Mississippi State Fumbles a Lot (#1)
Mississippi State offense is really bad (#33)
Mississippi State run game is really bad (#18)
Mississippi State pass game is really bad (#62)
Mississippi State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Mississippi State does not Sack the QB (#97)
Mississippi State has a bad defense (#57)
Mississippi State Does Not Stuff Runs (#66)
Mississippi State has a bad defensive line (#93)
Mississippi State has a bad red zone defense (#65)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | ASU | MSST |
| OverallOver | #53 | #96 |
| OffenseOff | #36 | #86 |
| DefenseDef | #78 | #114 |
| Special TeamsST | #72 | #47 |
| PassingPass | #17 | #37 |
| RushingRush | #7 | #76 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #74 | #91 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #20 | #92 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #67 | #66 |
| TacklingTkl | #68 | #89 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #64 | #73 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #113 | #115 |
| Coverage DefCov | #56 | #112 |
Rematch from Week 2
Arizona State -6.5 (57.5)
Arizona State won vs Mississippi State this year (30-23)
Previous Matchups
Arizona State beat Mississippi State last year (30-23)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Devil Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: MSST | ASU
Depth Chart: MSST | ASU
Rosters: MSST | ASU
(#12) Arizona State Info
Power Rating: 15.205 #12
Offense Rating: 28.03 #7
Defense Rating: 7.01 #43
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 #35
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #32
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
Great Offense Success Rate of 50%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.14 PPO
Great Run Success 52%
Great Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.64 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Arizona State has won 1 straight
Arizona State has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 0 (6 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
Arizona State Highlights
Arizona State is Undefeated at Home
Arizona State is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Arizona State has Really Good Running Game (#15)
Arizona State offense is efficent (#54)
Arizona State has a top Offensive Line (#19)
Arizona State offense is good on 3rd downs
Arizona State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#71)
Arizona State Secondary is very good (#20)
Arizona State has a great TO Margin (#54)
Arizona State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#87)
Arizona State Deficiencies
Arizona State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#121)
Arizona State offense is not Explosive (#40)
Arizona State does not Sack the QB (#4)
Power Rating: 15.205 #12
Offense Rating: 28.03 #7
Defense Rating: 7.01 #43
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 #35
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #32
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
Great Offense Success Rate of 50%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.14 PPO
Great Run Success 52%
Great Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.64 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Arizona State has won 1 straight
Arizona State has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 0 (6 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
Arizona State Highlights
Arizona State is Undefeated at Home
Arizona State is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Arizona State has Really Good Running Game (#15)
Arizona State offense is efficent (#54)
Arizona State has a top Offensive Line (#19)
Arizona State offense is good on 3rd downs
Arizona State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#71)
Arizona State Secondary is very good (#20)
Arizona State has a great TO Margin (#54)
Arizona State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#87)
Arizona State Deficiencies
Arizona State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#121)
Arizona State offense is not Explosive (#40)
Arizona State does not Sack the QB (#4)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Van Buren Jr. | 140 | 256 | 55% | 1886 | 11 | 7 | 7.4 |
| Blake Shapen (Tr) | 74 | 108 | 69% | 974 | 8 | 1 | 9.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davon Booth (Tr) | 152 | 759 | 5 | 5.0 | 43 |
| Johnnie Daniels | 108 | 540 | 4 | 5.0 | 36 |
| Keyvone Lee | 29 | 140 | 1 | 4.8 | 18 |
| Xavier Gayten | 8 | 115 | 1 | 14.4 | 72 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Coleman Jr. | 69 | 844 | 5 | 12.2 | 80 |
| Jordan Mosley | 23 | 405 | 3 | 17.6 | 65 |
| Kelly Akharaiyi (Tr) | 25 | 391 | 2 | 15.6 | 49 |
| Mario Craver | 17 | 368 | 3 | 21.6 | 72 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Smith | 127 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Stone Blanton (Tr) | 124 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Nic Mitchell | 80 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Branden Jennings | 56 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zakari Tillman | 30 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
| Branden Jennings | 56 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Ty Cooper | 29 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Kalvin Dinkins | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brice Pollock | 48 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Isaac Smith | 127 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Stone Blanton (Tr) | 124 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Leavitt (Tr) | 216 | 350 | 62% | 2885 | 24 | 6 | 8.2 |
| Jeff Sims (Tr) | 13 | 25 | 52% | 168 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Skattebo | 293 | 1715 | 21 | 5.9 | 53 |
| Sam Leavitt (Tr) | 110 | 443 | 5 | 4.0 | 40 |
| Kyson Brown | 73 | 351 | 2 | 4.8 | 38 |
| DeCarlos Brooks | 37 | 148 | 1 | 4.0 | 15 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordyn Tyson | 75 | 1101 | 10 | 14.7 | 59 |
| Cameron Skattebo | 45 | 605 | 3 | 13.4 | 66 |
| Xavier Guillory | 22 | 339 | 5 | 15.4 | 61 |
| Chamon Metayer (Tr) | 32 | 306 | 5 | 9.6 | 29 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Rowser (Tr) | 98 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| Xavion Alford | 85 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| Caleb McCullough | 76 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Shamari Simmons | 72 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah O'Neal | 28 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| Jacob Kongaika (Tr) | 10 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Prince Dorbah | 12 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| Clayton Smith | 33 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 4 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Abney | 52 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 |
| Laterrance Welch (Tr) | 19 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 |
| Xavion Alford | 85 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 |