Georgia at Mississippi State - 2022 Matchup Preview

(#5)Georgia Bulldogs at Mississippi State Bulldogs

Saturday, November 12th 2022 (7:00 PM EST)
Georgia -16.5 (53.0)
Georgia 45 - Mississippi State: 19 (SEC)

Bulldogs (15 - 0) (8 - 7 - 0)
Coach Kirby Smart (66 - 15)
Avg Score : 41 - 14 (34 - 14 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MSST 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -7.5 (SP+ UGA -20)
Projected Score: UGA: 27 - MSST: 22 (49)
UGA Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
UGA Travel: 313 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Bulldogs (9 - 4) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Mike Leach (11 - 13)
Avg Score : 32 - 23 (41 - 23 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UGA Players
MSST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Georgia's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Georgia vs Oregon	-16.0	54.5	W 49 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Georgia vs Samford	-53.0	62.5	W 33 - 0	U	N
Sat 9/17	Georgia at South Carolina	-25.5	56.0	W 48 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Georgia vs Kent State	-45.0	61.5	W 39 - 22	U	N
Sat 10/1	Georgia at Missouri	-30.5	54.0	W 26 - 22	U	N
Sat 10/8	Georgia vs Auburn	-27.5	49.5	W 42 - 10	O	Y
Sat 10/15	Georgia vs Vanderbilt	-37.5	56.5	W 55 - 0	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Georgia vs Florida	-23.0	56.5	W 42 - 20	O	N
Sat 11/5	Georgia vs Tennessee	-9.5	65.5	W 27 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Georgia at Mississippi State	-16.5	53.0	W 45 - 19	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Georgia at Kentucky	-22.5	47.5	W 16 - 6	U	N
Sat 11/26	Georgia vs Georgia Tech	-36.5	49.0	W 37 - 14	O	N
Sat 12/3	Georgia vs LSU	-17.0	52.0	W 50 - 30	O	Y
Sat 12/31	Georgia vs Ohio State	-5.5	62.0	W 42 - 41	O	N
Mon 1/9	Georgia vs TCU	-13.5	62.0	W 65 - 7	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia's Schedule

Mississippi State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Mississippi State vs Memphis	-17.0	58.0	W 49 - 23	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Mississippi State at Arizona	-11.5	57.5	W 39 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Mississippi State at LSU	-3.0	53.0	L 16 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/24	Mississippi State vs Bowling Green	-31.0	53.0	W 45 - 14	O	N
Sat 10/1	Mississippi State vs Texas A&M	-4.0	45.0	W 42 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Mississippi State vs Arkansas	-8.0	55.5	W 40 - 17	O	Y
Sat 10/15	Mississippi State at Kentucky	-3.5	50.5	L 17 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/22	Mississippi State at Alabama	+21.5	61.5	L 6 - 30	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Mississippi State vs Auburn	-12.5	50.5	W 39 - 33	O	N
Sat 11/12	Mississippi State vs Georgia	+16.5	53.0	L 19 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/19	Mississippi State vs East Tennessee State	-39.0	62.5	W 56 - 7	O	Y
Thu 11/24	Mississippi State at Ole Miss	+2.5	63.0	W 24 - 22	U	Y
Mon 1/2	Mississippi State vs Illinois	-3.5	46.5	W 19 - 10	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UGA	.37	53%	41.1	51%	3.22	205	55%	296	4.72	.06	36%	14.3	35%	37%	3.12	44.9	1.1	1.5
MSST	.19	46%	31.6	45%	2.96	82	47%	310	4.23	.09	39%	23.1	41%	38%	3.53	60.8	1.5	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UGA	#37 (.24)	47% (25)		46% (46)	2.91 (91)	121	47% (16)	264	4.68 (12)	#49 (.14)	39% (32)		39% (34)	38% (37)	3.22 (19)	51.1	1.3	1.4
MSST	#78 (.17)	39% (109)		40% (105)	2.9 (93)	139	38% (104)	239	3.75 (86)	#130 (.32)	50% (133)		47% (108)	55% (134)	4.32 (113)	60.3	1.5	0.9

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UGA Offense	15	41.1	33.8	52.7%	4.72	1.1	25	501	205	296	5.5	51%	49%	51%	55%	10%	.37
MSST Defense	13	23.1	23.3	39.2%	3.53	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	46%	53%	41%	38%	18%	.09

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UGA Defense	15	14.3	13.5	35.9%	3.12	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	39%	61%	35%	37%	16%	.06
MSST Offense	13	31.6	41.4	46.2%	4.23	1.5	23	393	82	310	3.6	30%	70%	45%	47%	16%	.19

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Georgia	15	33:34	24.7	51%	87%	4.4	44.9	1.1	1.5	5.4	2.3	0	31.7
Mississippi State	13	29:58	22.8	39%	52%	6.3	60.8	1.5	1.9	6.4	2.4	5	31.7

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UGA Offense	15	51%	51%	37.1	205.3	5.5	44	.26	3.22	69%	6%	1.01
MSST Defense	13	46%	41%	-	-	-	-	.14	2.79	59%	11%	1.04

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UGA Defense	15	39%	35%	-	-	-	-	-.01	2.54	68%	11%	0.83
MSST Offense	13	30%	45%	22.8	82.4	3.6	12	.12	2.96	60%	8%	0.89

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UGA Offense	15	49%	55%	22.4	32.8	295.8	9	13.2	31	7	.49	1.4	24%	45%	.66	4%	2
MSST Defense	13	53%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.1	1.6	34%	28%	.09	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UGA Defense	15	61%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.11	1.5	34%	24%	.11	6%	2
MSST Offense	13	70%	47%	32.8	48.8	310.4	6.4	9.5	36	9	.22	1.2	27%	30%	.31	8%	2

Georgia's Power Ratings
Georgia's Power Rating: NR
Georgia's Offense Rating: NR
Georgia's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Georgia's 2022 Expected Record: -
Georgia's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 35.3 #1
Georgia's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.2 #26
Georgia's Defense SP+ Rating: 3.7 #1

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia: Mississippi State: 10.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia: 35.3 Mississippi State: 15.4

Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 10.2 NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Mississippi State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4 #19
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.1 #32
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #30

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Georgia Scoring
Offense: 41.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.8
Defense: 14.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 13.5

Georgia's 2022 Record
Record: 15 - 0
Record vs Spread: 8 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia 27
Mississippi State 22

Total Points: 49

Based on Last 4 Games
Georgia 23
Mississippi State 19

Total Points: 42

Based on Entire Season
Georgia 30
Mississippi State 25

Total Points: 55

Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 31.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.4
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.3

Mississippi State's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/08	Mississippi State	21	Georgia	41	Georgia -9.5	Georgia	56.5	Over
2024	10/12	Georgia	41	Mississippi State	31	Georgia -34	Mississippi State	53.5	Over
2022	11/12	Mississippi State	19	Georgia	45	Georgia -16.5	Georgia	53.0	Over
2020	11/21	Georgia	31	Mississippi State	24	Georgia -25.5	Mississippi State	44.5	Over
2017	09/23	Georgia	31	Mississippi State	3	Georgia -2.5	Georgia	50.0	Under
2011	10/01	Georgia	24	Mississippi State	10
2010	09/25	Mississippi State	24	Georgia	12
2006	10/21	Georgia	27	Mississippi State	24
2005	09/24	Mississippi State	10	Georgia	23

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Mississippi State	1	2	4 Overs
Georgia	8	3	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 3	1 - 4	1 - 2	0 - 2
Road Teams	3 - 6	4 - 1	2 - 0	2 - 1

(#) UGA at (#) MSST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UGA	MSST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#1	#19
Perf GradeGrade	#3	#73
OffenseOff	#2	#78
DefenseDef	#22	#66
Spec TeamsST	#21	#1
TalentTal	#2	#29
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Georgia Injury Report

Mississippi State Injury Report

Georgia on Offense


CategoryCat	UGA Off	MSST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#2	#66
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#26	#30
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Georgia Run Game


CategoryCat	UGA Off	MSST Def
Run GameRun	#13	#80
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#8	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#61

Georgia Pass Game


CategoryCat	UGA Off	MSST Def
Pass GamePass	#3	#17
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#6	#127
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Mississippi State on Offense


CategoryCat	MSST Off	UGA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#78	#22
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#32	#1
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Mississippi State Run Game


CategoryCat	MSST Off	UGA Def
Run GameRun	#48	#13
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#88	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#10

Mississippi State Pass Game


CategoryCat	MSST Off	UGA Def
Pass GamePass	#56	#43
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#29	#56
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MSST 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'22 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

UGA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'22 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 39° - Wind: 11 mph

Rematch from Week 11
Georgia 16.5 (53.0)
Georgia won at Mississippi State this year (45-19)

Previous Matchups
Georgia beat Mississippi State last year (41-31)
Georgia beat Mississippi State in 2022 (45-19)

UGA's OC Todd Monken (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Georgia's Full Roster

UGA's DC Will Muschamp (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MSST's OC Mike Leach (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Mississippi State's Full Roster

MSST's DC Zach Arnett (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD