Miami (OH) at Mississippi State - 2016 Matchup Preview

Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

Monday, December 26th 2016 (11:00 AM EST)
Mississippi State -11.5 (58.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Mississippi State 17 - Miami (OH): 16 (ST. PETERSBURG BOWL)

RedHawks (6 - 7) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (20 - 21 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -6 (SP+ MSST -12)
Projected Score: M-OH: 25 - MSST: 27 (52)
MSST Win prob: 77% | Cover: 45%
M-OH Travel: 821 miles

Bulldogs (6 - 7) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (34 - 28 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
M-OH Players
MSST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Miami (OH)'s 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Miami (OH) at Iowa	+32.0	52.5	L 21 - 45	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Miami (OH) vs Eastern Illinois	-10.0
Sat 9/17	Miami (OH) vs Western Kentucky	+15.0	64.5	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Miami (OH) at Cincinnati	+19.5	55.5	L 20 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Miami (OH) vs Ohio	+3.5	50.0	L 7 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/8	Miami (OH) at Akron	+7.5	54.0	L 13 - 35	U	N
Sat 10/15	Miami (OH) vs Kent State	+2.0	43.0	W 18 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Miami (OH) at Bowling Green	+3.5	52.0	W 40 - 26	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Miami (OH) at Eastern Michigan	+7.0	50.0	W 28 - 15	U	Y
Fri 11/4	Miami (OH) vs Central Michigan	+6.0	46.5	W 37 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Miami (OH) at Buffalo	-12.0	50.5	W 35 - 24	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/22	Miami (OH) vs Ball State	-6.0	55.0	W 21 - 20	U	N
Mon 12/26	Miami (OH) vs Mississippi State	+11.5	58.0	L 16 - 17	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule

Mississippi State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Mississippi State vs South Alabama	-34.0	52.0	L 20 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/10	Mississippi State vs South Carolina	-9.5	50.5	W 27 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Mississippi State at LSU	+13.0	47.0	L 20 - 23	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Mississippi State at Massachusetts	-25.0	49.5	W 47 - 35	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/8	Mississippi State vs Auburn	-1.5	55.0	L 14 - 38	U	N
Fri 10/14	Mississippi State at BYU	+4.0	55.5	L 21 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/22	Mississippi State at Kentucky	-1.5	54.5	L 38 - 40	O	N
Sat 10/29	Mississippi State vs Samford	-21.5
Sat 11/5	Mississippi State vs Texas A&M	+13.0	61.0	W 35 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Mississippi State at Alabama	+28.5	52.5	L 3 - 51	O	N
Sat 11/19	Mississippi State vs Arkansas	-1.0	57.5	L 42 - 58	O	N
Sat 11/26	Mississippi State at Ole Miss	+8.0	67.5	W 55 - 20	O	Y
Mon 12/26	Mississippi State vs Miami (OH)	-11.5	58.0	W 17 - 16	U	N

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
M-OH	.04	35%	23.5	35%	2.63	130	34%	209	2.7	.13	41%	21.7	36%	45%	3.69	60	2.6	1.4
MSST	.24	48%	30.4	47%	3.08	144	47%	316	4.11	.12	44%	30.2	44%	42%	2.92	38.9	1.4	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
M-OH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MSST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
M-OH Offense	12	23.5	19.8	35.3%	2.7	2.6	17	338	130	209	3.6	48%	51%	35%	34%	3%	.04
MSST Defense	13	30.2	27.9	44.3%	2.92	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	44%	42%	3%	.12

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
M-OH Defense	12	21.7	21.2	41.5%	3.69	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	52%	46%	36%	45%	2%	.13
MSST Offense	13	30.4	33.9	47.8%	4.11	1.4	23	460	144	316	4.4	41%	58%	47%	47%	1%	.24

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Miami (OH)	12	28:42	16.6	31%	44%	7.4	60	2.6	1.4	0	0	2	25.7
Mississippi State	13	26:16	23.2	43%	50%	4.1	38.9	1.4	1.1	0	0	3	29.3

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
M-OH Offense	12	48%	35%	35.7	129.7	3.6	7	-.03	2.63	60%	0%	0.91
MSST Defense	13	51%	44%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.72	70%	0%	0.92

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
M-OH Defense	12	52%	36%	-	-	-	-	.03	2.5	76%	0%	1.05
MSST Offense	13	41%	47%	32.8	144.1	4.4	21	.13	3.08	83%	0%	0.94

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
M-OH Offense	12	51%	34%	14.8	31.2	208.5	6.7	14.1	18	19	.12	1.8	39%	27%	.17	3%	1.7
MSST Defense	13	47%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.18	1.5	33%	32%	.25	3%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
M-OH Defense	12	46%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.22	1.5	33%	35%	.2	2%	1.6
MSST Offense	13	58%	47%	25.5	38.5	316.4	8.2	12.4	33	5	.34	1.5	31%	36%	.37	1%	1.9

Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: NR
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: NR
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Miami (OH)'s 2016 Expected Record: -
Miami (OH)'s 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.1 #91
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #100
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #72

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): Mississippi State: 2.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): -6.1 Mississippi State: 5.4

Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 2.7 NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Mississippi State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4 #56
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5 #37
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #60

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.8
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.2

Miami (OH)'s 2016 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Mississippi State 27
Miami (OH) 25

Projected Total Points: 52

Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.9
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.9

Mississippi State's 2016 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2016	12/26	Mississippi State	17	Miami (OH)	16	Mississippi State -11.5	Miami (OH)	58.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Mississippi State	1	0	0 Overs
Miami (OH)	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

Miami (OH) Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2016	Petersburg Bowl	Miami (OH) vs Mississippi State	+11.5	58.0	L 16 - 17
2010	Com Bowl	Miami (OH) vs Middle Tennessee			W 35 - 21

Mississippi State Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2016	Petersburg Bowl	Mississippi State vs Miami (OH)	-11.5	58.0	W 17 - 16
2015	N/A	Mississippi State vs NC State	-7.0		W 51 - 28
2014	N/A	Mississippi State vs Georgia Tech	-5.5	59.5	L 34 - 49
2013	Liberty Bowl	Mississippi State vs Rice	-7.0	50.5	W 44 - 7
2012	Gator Bowl	Mississippi State vs Northwestern			L 20 - 34
2011	City Bowl	Mississippi State vs Wake Forest			W 23 - 17
2010	Gator Bowl	Mississippi State vs Michigan			W 52 - 14

(#) M-OH at (#) MSST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	M-OH	MSST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#91	#56
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#89	#28
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Miami (OH) Injury Report

Mississippi State Injury Report

Miami (OH) on Offense


CategoryCat	M-OH Off	MSST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#100	#60
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Miami (OH) Run Game


CategoryCat	M-OH Off	MSST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Miami (OH) Pass Game


CategoryCat	M-OH Off	MSST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Mississippi State on Offense


CategoryCat	MSST Off	M-OH Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#37	#72
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Mississippi State Run Game


CategoryCat	MSST Off	M-OH Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Mississippi State Pass Game


CategoryCat	MSST Off	M-OH Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MSST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

M-OH 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Tropicana Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Mississippi State -11.5 (58.0)
Mississippi State won vs Miami (OH) this year (17-16)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

M-OH's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster

M-OH's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MSST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Mississippi State's Full Roster

MSST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD