Mississippi State at Arizona - 2022 Matchup Preview
Mississippi State logo   Mississippi State Bulldogs at Arizona Wildcats  Arizona logo
Saturday, September 10th 2022 (11:00 PM EDT)
Mississippi State -11.5 (57.5)
Mississippi State 39 - Arizona: 17

 
Bulldogs (9 - 4) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Mike Leach (11 - 13)
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (26 - 31 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -7  (SP+ MSST -18.5)
Projected Score: MSST: 23 - ARIZ: 32 (55)
MSST Win prob: 77% | Cover: 45%
MSST Travel: 1287 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Wildcats (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jedd Fisch (1 - 11)
Avg Score : 32 - 19 (35 - 16 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Mississippi State's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Mississippi State vs Memphis-17.058.0W 49 - 23OY
Sat 9/10 Mississippi State at Arizona-11.557.5W 39 - 17UY
Sat 9/17 Mississippi State at LSU-3.053.0L 16 - 31UN
Sat 9/24 Mississippi State vs Bowling Green-31.053.0W 45 - 14ON
Sat 10/1 Mississippi State vs Texas A&M-4.045.0W 42 - 24OY
Sat 10/8 Mississippi State vs Arkansas-8.055.5W 40 - 17OY
Sat 10/15 Mississippi State at Kentucky-3.550.5L 17 - 27UN
Sat 10/22 Mississippi State at Alabama+21.561.5L 6 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 Mississippi State vs Auburn-12.550.5W 39 - 33ON
Sat 11/12 Mississippi State vs Georgia+16.553.0L 19 - 45ON
Sat 11/19 Mississippi State vs East Tennessee State-39.062.5W 56 - 7OY
Thu 11/24 Mississippi State at Ole Miss+2.563.0W 24 - 22UY
Mon 1/2 Mississippi State vs Illinois-3.546.5W 19 - 10UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Arizona's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Arizona at San Diego State+6.046.5W 38 - 20OY
Sat 9/10 Arizona vs Mississippi State+11.557.5L 17 - 39UN
Sat 9/17 Arizona vs North Dakota State+3.049.0W 31 - 28OY
Sat 9/24 Arizona at California+3.550.0L 31 - 49ON
Sat 10/1 Arizona vs Colorado-17.557.5W 43 - 20OY
Sat 10/8 Arizona vs Oregon+13.570.5L 22 - 49ON
Sat 10/15 Arizona at Washington+14.571.5L 39 - 49OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 Arizona vs USC+14.074.0L 37 - 45OY
Sat 11/5 Arizona at Utah+17.567.5L 20 - 45UN
Sat 11/12 Arizona at UCLA+19.576.5W 34 - 28UY
Sat 11/19 Arizona vs Washington State+4.063.0L 20 - 31UN
Fri 11/25 Arizona vs Arizona State-4.066.5W 38 - 35ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSST.2450%30.450%3.126350%3784.06.1839%30.240%39%3.9858.51.31.3
ARIZ.0439%31.542%2.8413037%2262.56.2442%19.344%39%4.670.41.90.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ARIZ0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSST Offense1330.425.849.9%4.061.32544163378324%76%50%50%14%.24
ARIZ Defense1219.315.642.1%4.60.6 - - - - - 57%43%44%39%17%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSST Defense1330.23139.4%3.981.3 - - - - - 46%53%40%39%15%.18
ARIZ Offense1231.534.938.9%2.561.9213561302263.746%53%42%37%17%.04

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Mississippi State1333:3825.446%63%7.658.51.31.35.42.2129.7
Arizona1230:1320.732%64%8.870.41.90.65.81.8225.3
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSST Offense1324%50%20.863.2310.083.1279%8%0.71
ARIZ Defense1257%44% - - - - .173.1176%11%1.01
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSST Defense1346%40% - - - - .092.8773%10%0.95
ARIZ Offense1246%42%35.5129.73.76.082.8472%12%0.89

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSST Offense1376%50%39.854.2378.379.5379.31.229%39%.457%1.9
ARIZ Defense1243%39% - - - - - - 4.361.932%32%.396%2.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSST Defense1353%39% - - - - - - 11.271.733%29%.325%2
ARIZ Offense1253%37%22.337226.36.110.11218.051.434%26%.225%2.1

Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Mississippi State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4  #19
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.1  #32
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.9  #30

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State:    Arizona: 0.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State: 15.4   Arizona: -3.2




Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: 0.9 NR
Arizona's Offense Rating: NR
Arizona's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arizona's 2022 Expected Record: -
Arizona's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.2  #78
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.6  #22
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.1  #128

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.8
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 31

Mississippi State's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Arizona 32
Mississippi State 23

Projected Total Points: 55
Arizona Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.9
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.6

Arizona's 2022 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/09Mississippi State31Arizona24Mississippi State -9Arizona60.0Under
202209/10Arizona17Mississippi State39Mississippi State -11.5Mississippi State57.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arizona010 Overs
Mississippi State212 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 10 - 20 - 10 - 1
Road Teams1 - 12 - 01 - 01 - 0

(#) MSST at (#) ARIZ
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMSSTARIZ
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #19 #78
Perf GradeGrade #73 #100
OffenseOff #78 #36
DefenseDef #66 #135
Spec TeamsST #1 #57
TalentTal #29 #48
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Mississippi State on Offense
CategoryCat
MSST OffARIZ Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #78 #135
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #32 #128
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Mississippi State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSST OffARIZ Def
Run GameRun #48 #134
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #88 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #101
Mississippi State Pass Game
CategoryCat
MSST OffARIZ Def
Pass GamePass #56 #112
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #29 #114
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Arizona on Offense
CategoryCatARIZ OffMSST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #36 #66
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #22 #30
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arizona Run Game
CategoryCat
ARIZ OffMSST Def
Run GameRun #9 #80
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #90 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #61
Arizona Pass Game
CategoryCatARIZ OffMSST Def
Pass GamePass #41 #17
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #74 #127
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ARIZ 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'22 Profile: Up to Top G5

MSST 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'22 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Arizona Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 2
Mississippi State 11.5 (57.5)
Mississippi State won at Arizona this year (39-17)

Previous Matchups
Mississippi State beat Arizona in 2023 (31-24)

  
MSST's OC Mike Leach (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Mississippi State's Full Roster

MSST's DC Zach Arnett (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ARIZ's OC Brennan Carroll (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Arizona's Full Roster

ARIZ's DC Johnny Nansen (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD