Mississippi State Bulldogs at Southern Miss Golden Eagles
Saturday, August 30th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
Mississippi State -11.5 (59.5) (-440) Open: -11.5 | 59.5
Mississippi State 34 - Southern Miss: 17
Bulldogs (3 - 0) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jeff Lebby (2 - 10)
Avg Score : 40 - 12 (34 - 17 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.4 - 5.6 (#76)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 7) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Coach Jeff Lebby (2 - 10)
Avg Score : 40 - 12 (34 - 17 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.4 - 5.6 (#76)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 7) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Our Line: Mississippi State -17 (SP+ MSST -20)
Projected Score: MSST: 37 - USM: 20 (57)
MSST Win prob: 77% | Cover: 45%
MSST Travel: 150 miles
Projected Score: MSST: 37 - USM: 20 (57)
MSST Win prob: 77% | Cover: 45%
MSST Travel: 150 miles
Golden Eagles (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Charles Huff (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (31 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 4 (#41)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 11)
Coach Charles Huff (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (31 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 4 (#41)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 11)
| Mississippi State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Mississippi State at Southern Miss | -11.5 | 59.5 | W 34 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Mississippi State vs Arizona State | +6.0 | 58.5 | W 24 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Mississippi State vs Alcorn State | -42.5 | 56.5 | W 63 - 0 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Mississippi State vs Northern Illinois | -21.5 | 49.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Mississippi State vs Tennessee | +5.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Mississippi State at Texas A&M | +11 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/18 | Mississippi State at Florida | +5.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Mississippi State vs Texas | +7 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Mississippi State at Arkansas | +4 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Mississippi State vs Georgia | +9.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Mississippi State at Missouri | +12 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/29 | Mississippi State vs Ole Miss | +6 | |||||
Total: Elite: 7, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 7, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 7, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Southern Miss's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Southern Miss vs Mississippi State | +11.5 | 59.5 | L 17 - 34 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Southern Miss vs Jackson State | -13.5 | 53.0 | W 38 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Southern Miss vs App State | +3.0 | 55.5 | W 38 - 22 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech | +3.0 | 51.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Southern Miss vs Jacksonville State | -11 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 10/9 | Southern Miss at Georgia Southern | -10.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Southern Miss at Louisiana | -3 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Southern Miss vs UL Monroe | -18 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/8 | Southern Miss at Arkansas State | -8 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Southern Miss vs Texas State | +1 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Southern Miss at South Alabama | +2 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Southern Miss vs Troy | -5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 6, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 6, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 6, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSST | #26 (.36) | 50% (33) | 40.3 | 56% (18) | 3.14 (53) | 179 | 44% (62) | 263 | 4.94 (33) | #32 (.02) | 38% (57) | 12.3 | 43% (87) | 32% (29) | 3.4 (65) | 84.7 | 0.7 | 2 |
| USM | #67 (.2) | 42% (78) | 31 | 40% (99) | 2.91 (76) | 117 | 45% (56) | 234 | 3.76 (81) | #51 (.07) | 40% (76) | 25.3 | 47% (106) | 34% (41) | 3.39 (64) | 59 | 0.7 | 2 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSST | #78 (.17) | 39% (109) | 40% (105) | 2.9 (93) | 139 | 38% (104) | 239 | 3.75 (86) | #130 (.32) | 50% (133) | 47% (108) | 55% (134) | 4.32 (113) | 60.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 | ||
| USM | #132 () | 35% (130) | 40% (108) | 2.59 (126) | 109 | 30% (133) | 175 | 2.75 (133) | #125 (.3) | 44% (97) | 45% (89) | 43% (93) | 4.17 (104) | 48.3 | 2.4 | 0.8 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSST Offense | 3 | 40.3 | 34 | 49.7% | 4.94 | 0.7 | 21 | 441 | 179 | 263 | 5 | 50% | 50% | 56% | 44% | 15% | .36 |
| USM Defense | 3 | 25.3 | 25.3 | 40.4% | 3.39 | 2 | - | - | - | - | - | 49% | 50% | 47% | 34% | 21% | .07 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSST Defense | 3 | 12.3 | 17 | 37.7% | 3.4 | 2 | - | - | - | - | - | 58% | 42% | 43% | 32% | 18% | .02 |
| USM Offense | 3 | 31 | 31 | 42.4% | 3.76 | 0.7 | 20 | 351 | 117 | 234 | 3.7 | 46% | 54% | 40% | 45% | 15% | .2 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State | 3 | 23:05 | 21 | 55% | 50% | 10 | 84.7 | 0.7 | 2 | 5 | 1.3 | 0 | 34.5 |
| Southern Miss | 3 | 27:16 | 20.3 | 46% | 33% | 7 | 59 | 0.7 | 2 | 5.7 | 3 | 2 | 33.3 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSST Offense | 3 | 50% (74) | 56% (18) | 36 | 178.7 | 5 | 9 (17) | .26 (36) | 3.14 (53) | 57% (114) | 7% (32) | 0.95 (72) |
| USM Defense | 3 | 49% (64) | 47% (106) | - | - | - | - | .29 (126) | 2.99 (90) | 69% (63) | 8% (101) | 1.16 (107) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSST Defense | 3 | 58% (119) | 43% (87) | - | - | - | - | -.02 (41) | 3.03 (93) | 58% (32) | 9% (79) | 0.75 (25) |
| USM Offense | 3 | 46% (94) | 40% (99) | 32 | 117 | 3.7 | 3 (95) | .04 (99) | 2.91 (76) | 71% (67) | 8% (53) | 0.91 (81) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSST Offense | 3 | 50% (64) | 44% (62) | 19.7 | 29.3 | 262.7 | 9 | 13.4 | 7 (23) | 2 (60) | .46 (33) | 1.8 (13) | 29% (59) | 38% (33) | .72 (16) | 8% (120) | 2.7 (4) |
| USM Defense | 3 | 50% (71) | 34% (41) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 6 (2) | -.13 (11) | 1.4 (37) | 34% (54) | 35% (108) | .37 (96) | 13% (1) | 2.1 (96) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSST Defense | 3 | 42% (18) | 32% (29) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 (12) | .09 (34) | 1.5 (63) | 32% (84) | 21% (30) | .07 (27) | 9% (16) | 2 (66) |
| USM Offense | 3 | 54% (43) | 45% (56) | 23.3 | 34 | 234 | 6.9 | 10 | 7 (23) | 2 (60) | .36 (55) | 1.6 (55) | 34% (102) | 35% (48) | .33 (70) | 7% (115) | 2 (70) |
Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 20.59 #28
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: 23.00 #26
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: 2.41 #40
2025 Talent Rating: 844.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 19% #27
Mississippi State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.4 - 5.6
Mississippi State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.7 #45
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #37
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.4 #48
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 20.59 #28
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: 23.00 #26
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: 2.41 #40
2025 Talent Rating: 844.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 19% #27
Mississippi State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.4 - 5.6
Mississippi State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.7 #45
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #37
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.4 #48
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State: 20.59 Southern Miss: -2.33
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State: 8.7 Southern Miss: -11.4
Mississippi State: 20.59 Southern Miss: -2.33
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State: 8.7 Southern Miss: -11.4
Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: -2.33 #76
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: 8.86 #85
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: 7.12 #69
2025 Talent Rating: 804.00 #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Southern Miss's 2025 Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Southern Miss's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.4 #110
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #99
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.4 #113
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Southern Miss's Power Rating: -2.33 #76
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: 8.86 #85
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: 7.12 #69
2025 Talent Rating: 804.00 #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Southern Miss's 2025 Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Southern Miss's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.4 #110
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #99
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.4 #113
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 40.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 34
Defense: 12.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 17
Mississippi State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Offense: 40.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 34
Defense: 12.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 17
Mississippi State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Mississippi State 37
Southern Miss 20
Total Points: 57
Mississippi State 37
Southern Miss 20
Total Points: 57
Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense at Home: 31
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.3
Southern Miss's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense at Home: 31
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.3
Southern Miss's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 08/30 | Southern Miss | 17 | Mississippi State | 34 | Mississippi State | Mississippi State -11.5 | Mississippi State | 59.5 | Under |
| 2023 | 11/18 | Mississippi State | 41 | Southern Miss | 20 | Mississippi State | Mississippi State -18.5 | Mississippi State | 47.5 | Over |
| 2019 | 09/07 | Mississippi State | 38 | Southern Miss | 15 | Mississippi State | Mississippi State -16.5 | Mississippi State | 51.0 | Over |
| 2015 | 09/05 | Southern Miss | 16 | Mississippi State | 34 | Mississippi State | Mississippi State -13 | Mississippi State | 62.0 | Under |
| 2014 | 08/30 | Mississippi State | 49 | Southern Miss | 0 | Mississippi State | Mississippi State -26 | Mississippi State | 0 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Miss | 0 | 0 | 2 Overs |
| Mississippi State | 5 | 5 | 2 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 3 - 2 | 3 - 2 | 3 - 0 | 0 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 2 - 3 | 2 - 3 | 2 - 0 | 0 - 3 |
(#28) Mississippi State Info
Power Rating: 20.59 #28
Offense Rating: 23.00 #26
Defense Rating: 2.41 #40
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.7 #45
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #37
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.4 #48
Talent Rating: 844.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 19% #27
Expected Record: 6.4 - 5.6
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Good Offense Success Rate of 50%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.94 PPO
Great Run Success 56%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.4 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Good Pass Def Success 32%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
Mississippi State Notes
(8/30) Shapen good, Run Off better, Def better
(5/23) WR huge ? Top 6 are portals? 4 best LY left
(5/23) Added 5 portal OL post spring. Bad sign?
(5/23) Talent #'s of a mid B12 team, and dropping
(5/7) Def 39 ppg, 7 ypp allowed in SEC play LY
(5/2) TE Seydou Traore a good, reliable target
(4/19) Watch Fr QB KaMario Taylor. Dynamic runner
(4/19) DL improved, SEC caliber bodies unlike LY
(3/18) QB1? Shapen or Kromenhoek (FSU)
(3/18) RBs Booth/Bothwell/Daniels good depth
Mississippi State Highlights
Mississippi State is Undefeated vs Spread
Mississippi State in Undefeated
Mississippi State offense is good on 3rd downs
Mississippi State defense does not give up big plays (#13)
Mississippi State has a good pass defense (#29)
Mississippi State Secondary is very good (#16)
Mississippi State has a great TO Margin (#28)
Mississippi State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
Mississippi State Deficiencies
Mississippi State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#133)
Power Rating: 20.59 #28
Offense Rating: 23.00 #26
Defense Rating: 2.41 #40
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.7 #45
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #37
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.4 #48
Talent Rating: 844.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 19% #27
Expected Record: 6.4 - 5.6
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Good Offense Success Rate of 50%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.94 PPO
Great Run Success 56%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.4 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Good Pass Def Success 32%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
Mississippi State Notes
(8/30) Shapen good, Run Off better, Def better
(5/23) WR huge ? Top 6 are portals? 4 best LY left
(5/23) Added 5 portal OL post spring. Bad sign?
(5/23) Talent #'s of a mid B12 team, and dropping
(5/7) Def 39 ppg, 7 ypp allowed in SEC play LY
(5/2) TE Seydou Traore a good, reliable target
(4/19) Watch Fr QB KaMario Taylor. Dynamic runner
(4/19) DL improved, SEC caliber bodies unlike LY
(3/18) QB1? Shapen or Kromenhoek (FSU)
(3/18) RBs Booth/Bothwell/Daniels good depth
Mississippi State Highlights
Mississippi State is Undefeated vs Spread
Mississippi State in Undefeated
Mississippi State offense is good on 3rd downs
Mississippi State defense does not give up big plays (#13)
Mississippi State has a good pass defense (#29)
Mississippi State Secondary is very good (#16)
Mississippi State has a great TO Margin (#28)
Mississippi State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
Mississippi State Deficiencies
Mississippi State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#133)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | USM | MSST |
| OverallOver | #36 | #38 |
| OffenseOff | #66 | #46 |
| DefenseDef | #19 | #38 |
| Special TeamsST | #23 | #84 |
| PassingPass | #53 | #28 |
| RushingRush | #64 | #13 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #89 | #79 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #52 | #46 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #41 | #65 |
| TacklingTkl | #21 | #39 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #53 | #36 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #25 | #75 |
| Coverage DefCov | #11 | #20 |
Rematch from Week 1
Mississippi State 11.5 (59.5)
Mississippi State won at Southern Miss this year (34-17)
Previous Matchups
Mississippi State beat Southern Miss in 2023 (41-20)
Weather Forecast
Playing in M. M. Roberts Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: MSST | USM
Depth Chart: MSST | USM
Rosters: MSST | USM
(#76) Southern Miss Info
Power Rating: -2.33 #76
Offense Rating: 8.86 #85
Defense Rating: 7.12 #69
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.4 #110
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #99
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.4 #113
Talent Rating: 804.00 #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.76 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Avg Pass Success 45%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 40%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.39 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Good Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Record at home: 2 - 1 (2 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
Southern Miss Notes
(8/1) So Miss could really contend for SBC w/ adds
(8/1) Off added 10 OL, 8 WR, 3 TE, 5 RB & 3 QBs
(8/1) RB has 5 portal adds. Jones/Gray exp'd
(8/1) OL should really improve w/ 10 portal adds
(8/1) Def all new. 25 portals, 11 DL & 12 DBs
(8/1) Most of roster is new. Could be big turnaround
(8/1) New OC Anderson is a great OC, (Ut St HC)
(7/27) More return prod from Marshall than Marshall
(3/24) QB Braxton (Marsh) v good, mobile. Fun QB
(3/24) WR top 2 back, meh LY. 7 portal adds
Southern Miss Highlights
Southern Miss offense is good on 3rd downs
Southern Miss Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Southern Miss Secondary is very good (#1)
Southern Miss has a great TO Margin (#28)
Southern Miss defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#2)
Southern Miss Deficiencies
Southern Miss Can Not Run the Ball (#109)
Southern Miss Does Not Stuff Runs (#105)
Power Rating: -2.33 #76
Offense Rating: 8.86 #85
Defense Rating: 7.12 #69
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.4 #110
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #99
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.4 #113
Talent Rating: 804.00 #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.76 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Avg Pass Success 45%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 40%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.39 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Good Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Record at home: 2 - 1 (2 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
Southern Miss Notes
(8/1) So Miss could really contend for SBC w/ adds
(8/1) Off added 10 OL, 8 WR, 3 TE, 5 RB & 3 QBs
(8/1) RB has 5 portal adds. Jones/Gray exp'd
(8/1) OL should really improve w/ 10 portal adds
(8/1) Def all new. 25 portals, 11 DL & 12 DBs
(8/1) Most of roster is new. Could be big turnaround
(8/1) New OC Anderson is a great OC, (Ut St HC)
(7/27) More return prod from Marshall than Marshall
(3/24) QB Braxton (Marsh) v good, mobile. Fun QB
(3/24) WR top 2 back, meh LY. 7 portal adds
Southern Miss Highlights
Southern Miss offense is good on 3rd downs
Southern Miss Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Southern Miss Secondary is very good (#1)
Southern Miss has a great TO Margin (#28)
Southern Miss defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#2)
Southern Miss Deficiencies
Southern Miss Can Not Run the Ball (#109)
Southern Miss Does Not Stuff Runs (#105)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Shapen | 55 | 81 | 68% | 722 | 6 | 2 | 8.9 |
| Luke Kromenhoek (Tr) | 2 | 4 | 50% | 20 | 0 | 0 | 5.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluff Bothwell (Tr) | 30 | 170 | 4 | 5.7 | 25 |
| Davon Booth | 27 | 126 | 1 | 4.7 | 16 |
| Xavier Gayten | 4 | 50 | 1 | 12.5 | 25 |
| Johnnie Daniels | 9 | 44 | 0 | 4.9 | 13 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brenen Thompson (Tr) | 15 | 278 | 3 | 18.5 | 58 |
| Anthony Evans III (Tr) | 17 | 210 | 2 | 12.4 | 48 |
| Jordan Mosley | 3 | 94 | 1 | 31.3 | 75 |
| Seydou Traore | 5 | 77 | 1 | 15.4 | 55 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Smith | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Nic Mitchell | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Derion Gullette (Tr) | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jahron Manning (Tr) | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Whitson (Tr) | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Deonte Anderson | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Darron Reed Jr. (Tr) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Joseph Head Jr. | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelley Jones | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| DeAgo Brumfeld | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Isaac Smith | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braylon Braxton (Tr) | 68 | 99 | 69% | 692 | 7 | 2 | 7.0 |
| Landy Lyddy | 1 | 2 | 50% | 11 | 0 | 0 | 5.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffery Pittman (Tr) | 25 | 126 | 2 | 5.0 | 23 |
| Braylon Braxton (Tr) | 29 | 105 | 0 | 3.6 | 17 |
| Robert Briggs (Tr) | 18 | 69 | 1 | 3.8 | 15 |
| Matt Jones (Tr) | 15 | 40 | 0 | 2.7 | 8 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Metcalf (Tr) | 10 | 124 | 0 | 12.4 | 48 |
| Tychaun Chapman (Tr) | 5 | 116 | 0 | 23.2 | 41 |
| Carl Chester (Tr) | 8 | 92 | 0 | 11.5 | 23 |
| Micah Davis (Tr) | 8 | 74 | 3 | 9.3 | 21 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Jones | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Michael Montgomery (Tr) | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Josh Moten (Tr) | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Ian Foster (Tr) | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J'Mond Tapp (Tr) | 15 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Jameer Lewis | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Josh Battle (Tr) | 20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Garrick Ponder | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Moten (Tr) | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Ian Foster (Tr) | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Anthony Richard | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |