East Tennessee State at Mississippi State

East Tennessee State at Mississippi State - 2022 Matchup Preview

East Tennessee State Buccaneers at Mississippi State Bulldogs

Saturday, November 19th 2022 (12:00 PM EST)
Mississippi State -39 (62.5)
Mississippi State 56 - East Tennessee State: 7

Buccaneers (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 17 - 72 (17 - 72 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MSST 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: -10 (SP+ MSST -15)
MSST Win prob: 100% | Cover: 61%

Bulldogs (9 - 4) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Mike Leach (11 - 13)
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (34 - 28 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ETSU Players
MSST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

East Tennessee State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/19	East Tennessee State at Mississippi State	+39.0	62.5	L 7 - 56	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Tennessee State's Schedule

Mississippi State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Mississippi State vs Memphis	-17.0	58.0	W 49 - 23	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Mississippi State at Arizona	-11.5	57.5	W 39 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Mississippi State at LSU	-3.0	53.0	L 16 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/24	Mississippi State vs Bowling Green	-31.0	53.0	W 45 - 14	O	N
Sat 10/1	Mississippi State vs Texas A&M	-4.0	45.0	W 42 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Mississippi State vs Arkansas	-8.0	55.5	W 40 - 17	O	Y
Sat 10/15	Mississippi State at Kentucky	-3.5	50.5	L 17 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/22	Mississippi State at Alabama	+21.5	61.5	L 6 - 30	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Mississippi State vs Auburn	-12.5	50.5	W 39 - 33	O	N
Sat 11/12	Mississippi State vs Georgia	+16.5	53.0	L 19 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/19	Mississippi State vs East Tennessee State	-39.0	62.5	W 56 - 7	O	Y
Thu 11/24	Mississippi State at Ole Miss	+2.5	63.0	W 24 - 22	U	Y
Mon 1/2	Mississippi State vs Illinois	-3.5	46.5	W 19 - 10	U	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ETSU		0%	17	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	72	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MSST	.24	50%	30.4	50%	3.12	63	50%	378	4.06	.18	39%	30.2	40%	39%	3.98	58.5	1.3	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ETSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MSST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ETSU Offense	1	17	17	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
MSST Defense	13	30.2	27.9	39.4%	3.98	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	46%	53%	40%	39%	15%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ETSU Defense	1	72	72	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
MSST Offense	13	30.4	33.9	49.9%	4.06	1.3	25	441	63	378	3	24%	76%	50%	50%	14%	.24

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
East Tennessee State	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Mississippi State	13	33:38	25.4	46%	63%	7.6	58.5	1.3	1.3	5.4	2.2	1	29.7

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ETSU Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
MSST Defense	13	46%	40%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.87	73%	10%	0.95

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ETSU Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
MSST Offense	13	24%	50%	20.8	63.2	3	10	.08	3.12	79%	8%	0.71

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ETSU Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
MSST Defense	13	53%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.27	1.7	33%	29%	.32	5%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ETSU Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
MSST Offense	13	76%	50%	39.8	54.2	378.3	7	9.5	37	9	.3	1.2	29%	39%	.45	7%	1.9

East Tennessee State's Power Ratings
East Tennessee State's Power Rating: NR
East Tennessee State's Offense Rating: NR
East Tennessee State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #172
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
East Tennessee State's 2022 Expected Record: -
East Tennessee State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
East Tennessee State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
East Tennessee State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Southern Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
East Tennessee State: Mississippi State: 10.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Tennessee State: Mississippi State: 15.4

Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 10.2 NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Mississippi State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4 #19
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.1 #32
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #30

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

East Tennessee State Scoring
Offense: 17 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 72 PPG
Defense on Road: 72

East Tennessee State's 2022 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Mississippi State 52
East Tennessee State 23

Projected Total Points: 75

Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.9
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.9

Mississippi State's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	11/19	Mississippi State	56	East Tennessee State	7	Mississippi State -39	Mississippi State	62.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Mississippi State	1	1	1 Overs
East Tennessee State	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#) ETSU at (#) MSST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ETSU	MSST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	#19
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#73
OffenseOff	NR	#78
DefenseDef	NR	#66
Spec TeamsST	NR	#1
TalentTal	#172	#29
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

East Tennessee State Injury Report

Mississippi State Injury Report

East Tennessee State on Offense


CategoryCat	ETSU Off	MSST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	#66
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	#30
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

East Tennessee State Run Game


CategoryCat	ETSU Off	MSST Def
Run GameRun	NR	#80
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#61

East Tennessee State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ETSU Off	MSST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#17
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#127
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Mississippi State on Offense


CategoryCat	MSST Off	ETSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#78	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#32	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Mississippi State Run Game


CategoryCat	MSST Off	ETSU Def
Run GameRun	#48	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#88	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Mississippi State Pass Game


CategoryCat	MSST Off	ETSU Def
Pass GamePass	#56	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#29	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MSST 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'22 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

ETSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'22 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 12
Mississippi State -39.0 (62.5)
Mississippi State won vs East Tennessee State this year (56-7)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

ETSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View East Tennessee State's Full Roster

ETSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MSST's OC Mike Leach (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Mississippi State's Full Roster

MSST's DC Zach Arnett (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD