Mississippi State at Missouri Game Matchup

Mississippi State Bulldogs at Missouri Tigers

Saturday, November 15th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Faurot Field - Columbia, MO (SEC)

Bulldogs (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jeff Lebby (2 - 10)
Avg Score : 26 - 34 (19 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.7 - 8.3 (#124)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 5) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)

MIZ 2nd straight Home Game
MSST is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Missouri -14 (SP+ MIZ -14)
Projected Score: MSST: 19 - MIZ: 33 (55)
MIZ Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
MSST Travel: 427 miles

Tigers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (37 - 24)
Avg Score : 29 - 20 (32 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 4.6 (#43)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 4) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 3)

Matchup
Schedules
MSST Players
MIZ Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Mississippi State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	Mississippi State at Southern Miss	-14.0	0.0
Sat 9/6	Mississippi State vs Arizona State	+11
Sat 9/13	Mississippi State vs Alcorn State	-25
Sat 9/20	Mississippi State vs Northern Illinois	-14.5
Sat 9/27	Mississippi State vs Tennessee	+13.5
Sat 10/4	Mississippi State at Texas A&M	+23
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18	Mississippi State at Florida	+20.5
Sat 10/25	Mississippi State vs Texas	+24.5
Sat 11/1	Mississippi State at Arkansas	+10.5
Sat 11/8	Mississippi State vs Georgia	+23.5
Sat 11/15	Mississippi State at Missouri	+14
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29	Mississippi State vs Ole Miss	+14

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule

Missouri's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	Missouri vs Central Arkansas	-36.5
Sat 9/6	Missouri vs Kansas	-11.5
Sat 9/13	Missouri vs Louisiana	-22
Sat 9/20	Missouri vs South Carolina	+0.5
Sat 9/27	Missouri vs Massachusetts	-37.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11	Missouri vs Alabama	+14.5
Sat 10/18	Missouri at Auburn	+6.5
Sat 10/25	Missouri at Vanderbilt	-5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8	Missouri vs Texas A&M	+7
Sat 11/15	Missouri vs Mississippi State	-14
Sat 11/22	Missouri at Oklahoma	+8.5
Sat 11/29	Missouri at Arkansas	-1

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Missouri's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MSST	#78 (.17)	39% (109)	25.8	40% (105)	2.9 (93)	139	38% (104)	239	3.75 (86)	#130 (.32)	50% (133)	34.1	47% (108)	55% (134)	4.32 (113)	60.3	1.5	0.9
MIZ	#70 (.19)	44% (54)	28.9	47% (28)	3.04 (67)	159	41% (80)	202	3.91 (68)	#32 (.11)	41% (54)	20.4	42% (57)	39% (56)	3.38 (28)	46	0.7	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MSST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MIZ		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MSST Offense	12	25.8	19	39.2%	3.75	1.5	20	378	139	239	4	50%	50%	40%	38%	21%	.17
MIZ Defense	13	20.4	15.6	40.6%	3.38	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	42%	39%	18%	.11

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MSST Defense	12	34.1	33	50.4%	4.32	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	59%	41%	47%	55%	11%	.32
MIZ Offense	13	28.9	32.1	44%	3.91	0.7	19	361	159	202	4.3	53%	47%	47%	41%	11%	.19

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Mississippi State	12	25:41	20.3	37%	57%	6.8	60.3	1.5	0.9	3.9	0.8	2	28.1
Missouri	13	30:28	19.5	47%	53%	5.2	46	0.7	1.2	5	1.9	2	31

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MSST Offense	12	50% (73)	40% (105)	34.8	138.6	4	19 (73)	.09 (92)	2.9 (93)	73% (71)	13% (122)	1.08 (28)
MIZ Defense	13	53% (91)	42% (57)	-	-	-	-	.01 (18)	2.75 (29)	73% (64)	12% (22)	0.92 (43)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MSST Defense	12	59% (132)	47% (108)	-	-	-	-	.15 (80)	3.3 (113)	71% (57)	7% (133)	0.85 (13)
MIZ Offense	13	53% (48)	47% (28)	37.1	158.7	4.3	25 (41)	.12 (73)	3.04 (67)	79% (26)	8% (31)	0.9 (100)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MSST Offense	12	50% (62)	38% (104)	17.9	30.6	239.3	7.8	13.4	19 (65)	8 (40)	.25 (76)	1.8 (18)	34% (113)	32% (62)	.33 (73)	8% (116)	2.1 (56)
MIZ Defense	13	47% (47)	39% (56)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (109)	.23 (65)	1.6 (70)	32% (61)	27% (20)	.2 (27)	6% (54)	2 (65)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MSST Defense	12	41% (3)	55% (134)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (104)	.58 (134)	1.5 (48)	24% (134)	39% (131)	.55 (130)	4% (123)	1.9 (38)
MIZ Offense	13	47% (85)	41% (80)	17.8	28.5	202.2	7.1	11.4	12 (118)	5 (6)	.26 (66)	1.6 (69)	30% (49)	33% (52)	.39 (44)	4% (10)	2.1 (49)

Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 4.30 #55
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: 19.39 #38
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: 15.09 #71
2025 Talent Rating: 798.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 17% #29
Mississippi State's 2025 Expected Record: 3.7 - 8.3
Mississippi State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.4 #71
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #60
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.9 #72

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 944.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31

Power Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State: 4.30 Missouri: 15.32

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State: -1.4 Missouri: 12.5

Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 15.32 #26
Missouri's Offense Rating: 17.13 #48
Missouri's Defense Rating: 3.99 #15
2025 Talent Rating: 858.00 #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 31 #21
Missouri's 2025 Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6
Missouri's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.5 #21
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #41
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.3 #22

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 944.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31

Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 19
Defense: 34.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 33

Mississippi State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Missouri 33
Mississippi State 19

Projected Total Points: 55

Missouri Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.1
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.6

Missouri's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/23	Mississippi State	20	Missouri	39	Missouri	Missouri -9.5	Missouri	58.0	Over
2020	12/19	Mississippi State	51	Missouri	32	Mississippi State	Missouri -1.5	Mississippi State	49.0	Over
2015	11/05	Missouri	13	Mississippi State	31	Mississippi State	Mississippi State -7.5	Mississippi State	41.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Missouri	1	1	3 Overs
Mississippi State	2	2	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 2	1 - 2	0 - 0	1 - 2
Road Teams	2 - 1	2 - 1	2 - 1	0 - 0

(#55) Mississippi State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.30 #55
Offense Rating: 19.39 #38
Defense Rating: 15.09 #71
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.4 #71
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #60
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.9 #72
Talent Rating: 798.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 17% #29
Expected Record: 3.7 - 8.3

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.75 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.32 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Awful Pass Def Success 55%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Mississippi State Notes
(5/23) Added 5 portal OL post spring. Bad sign?
(5/23) Talent #'s of a mid B12 team, and dropping
(5/7) Def 39 ppg, 7 ypp allowed in SEC play LY
(5/2) TE Seydou Traore a good, reliable target
(4/19) Watch Fr QB KaMario Taylor. Dynamic runner
(4/19) DL improved, SEC caliber bodies unlike LY
(3/18) QB1? Shapen or Kromenhoek (FSU)
(3/18) RBs Booth/Bothwell/Daniels good depth
(3/18) OL 2/5 back. 4 portal adds. Bad unit LY
(3/18) Def torched LY. Return a lot, but is that good?

Mississippi State Ratings Matchup Missouri

Power #55

#26

Off #38

#48

Def #71

#15

Talent #48

#28

SP+ #71

#21

SP+ Off #60

#41

SP+ Def #72

#22

Previous Matchups
Missouri beat Mississippi State last year (39-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Faurot Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MSST | MIZ
Depth Chart: MSST | MIZ
Rosters: MSST | MIZ

(#26) Missouri Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 15.32 #26
Offense Rating: 17.13 #48
Defense Rating: 3.99 #15
Overall SP+ Rating: 12.5 #21
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #41
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.3 #22
Talent Rating: 858.00 #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 31 #21
Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.91 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Good OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Good in Scoring Position 3.38 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Missouri Notes
(5/23) Mizzu was 6-1 in 1 score games LY (4-0 in '23)
(4/4) OG Cayden Green a top G via PFF
(3/18) QB1 B. Pribula (PSU) talented/mobile
(3/18) RB, Hardy (ULM) 1,300 yds as Fr LY
(3/18) WRs rebuild. Coleman (MSU) great pickup
(3/18) OL 2/5 back. Avg LY, 2 portal adds.
(3/18) Def v good LY and loaded TY. DL could be ?
(3/18) Should improve TY w/ better QB, great Def
(3/18) Drinkwitz underrated HC. Team always tough

Mississippi State's OC Jeff Lebby

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Blake Shapen	74	108	69%	974	8	1	9.0
Luke Kromenhoek (Tr)	44	84	52%	502	3	2	6.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Fluff Bothwell (Tr)	112	834	13	7.4	59
Davon Booth	152	759	5	5.0	43
Johnnie Daniels	108	540	4	5.0	36
Xavier Gayten	8	115	1	14.4	72

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Markus Allen (Tr)	42	636	3	15.1	78
Jordan Mosley	23	405	3	17.6	65
Cam Thompson (Tr)	27	388	3	14.4	54
Seydou Traore	34	361	1	10.6	32

View Mississippi State's Full Roster

Mississippi State's DC Coleman Hutzler

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Isaac Smith	127	2	0	0	3
Jahron Manning (Tr)	85	6	1	0	3
Nic Mitchell	80	3	0	1	2
Branden Jennings	56	5	2	4	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nevaeh Sanders (Tr)	8	5	5	2	0
Zakari Tillman	30	4	4	1	2
Will Whitson (Tr)	20	4	2	2	0
Raishein Thomas (Tr)	12	2	2	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jayven Williams (Tr)	29	2	2	1	4
Jahron Manning (Tr)	85	6	1	0	3
Isaac Smith	127	2	0	0	3

Missouri's OC Kirby Moore

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Beau Pribula (Tr)	26	35	74%	275	5	1	7.9
Connor Weselman (Tr)	0	1	0%	0	0	0	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ahmad Hardy (Tr)	237	1352	13	5.7	80
Beau Pribula (Tr)	38	242	4	6.4	49
Jamal Roberts	53	216	3	4.1	14
Tavorus Jones	13	55	0	4.2	14

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kevin Coleman Jr. (Tr)	69	844	5	12.2	80
Marquis Johnson	25	352	1	14.1	49
Vince Brown II (Tr)	24	256	3	10.7	30
Brett Norfleet	26	235	2	9.0	36

View Missouri's Full Roster

Missouri's DC Corey Batoon

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Josiah Trotter (Tr)	93	4	1	5	2
Jalen Catalon (Tr)	77	5	2	1	3
Triston Newson	72	7	2	4	1
Marvin Burks Jr.	66	2	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Damon Wilson Jr.	22	6	3	4	0
Nate Johnson (Tr)	29	3	3	1	1
Zion Young	41	6	3	5	3
Chris McClellan	39	6	3	3	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Daylan Carnell	51	5	0	6
Nicholas Deloach Jr.	23	1	0	4
Santana Banner (Tr)	54	2	1	4