SE Louisiana at Mississippi State - 2023 Matchup Preview
SE Louisiana logo   SE Louisiana Lions at Mississippi State Bulldogs  Mississippi State logo
Saturday, September 2nd 2023 (4:00 PM EDT)
Mississippi State -31.5 (59.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Mississippi State 48 - SE Louisiana: 7

 
Lions (0 - 2) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 5 - 40 (5 - 40 on Road)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Mississippi State -0.5  (SP+ MSST -0)
MSST Win prob: 97% | Cover: 39%
Bulldogs (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Zach Arnett (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (34 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#114)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
SE Louisiana's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 SE Louisiana at Mississippi State+31.559.5L 7 - 48UN
Sat 9/9 SE Louisiana at South Alabama+24.059.5L 17 - 35UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SE Louisiana's Schedule
Mississippi State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Mississippi State vs SE Louisiana-31.559.5W 48 - 7UY
Sat 9/9 Mississippi State vs Arizona-9.060.0W 31 - 24UN
Sat 9/16 Mississippi State vs LSU+9.554.0L 14 - 41ON
Sat 9/23 Mississippi State at South Carolina+6.046.5L 30 - 37ON
Sat 9/30 Mississippi State vs Alabama+16.545.0L 17 - 40ON
Sat 10/7 Mississippi State vs Western Michigan-21.554.5W 41 - 28ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Mississippi State at Arkansas+6.546.5W 7 - 3UY
Sat 10/28 Mississippi State at Auburn+6.540.0L 13 - 27UN
Sat 11/4 Mississippi State vs Kentucky+5.544.5L 3 - 24UN
Sat 11/11 Mississippi State at Texas A&M+16.540.5L 10 - 51ON
Sat 11/18 Mississippi State vs Southern Miss-18.547.5W 41 - 20OY
Thu 11/23 Mississippi State vs Ole Miss+11.056.0L 7 - 17UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SELA0%50%000%000%400%0%0000
MSST.1946%30.445%2.968247%3104.23.0939%30.241%38%3.5360.81.51.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SELA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MSST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SELA Offense2550%00000000%0%0%0%0%
MSST Defense1330.227.939.2%3.531.9 - - - - - 46%53%41%38%18%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SELA Defense240400%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
MSST Offense1330.433.946.2%4.231.523393823103.630%70%45%47%16%.19

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
SE Louisiana20:000NAN%0%0000000100
Mississippi State1329:5822.839%52%6.360.81.51.96.42.4531.7
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SELA Offense20%0%000000%0%0
MSST Defense1346%41% - - - - .142.7959%11%1.04
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SELA Defense20%0% - - - - 00%0%0
MSST Offense1330%45%22.882.43.612.122.9660%8%0.89

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SELA Offense20%0%000000000%0%0%0
MSST Defense1353%38% - - - - - - 14.11.634%28%.096%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SELA Defense20%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
MSST Offense1370%47%32.848.8310.46.49.5369.221.227%30%.318%2

SE Louisiana's Power Ratings
SE Louisiana's Power Rating: NR
SE Louisiana's Offense Rating: NR
SE Louisiana's Defense Rating: NR
2023 Talent Rating: 107.19  #162
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
SE Louisiana's 2023 Expected Record: -
SE Louisiana's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
SE Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
SE Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Southland Talent Rating is 93.74
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
SE Louisiana:    Mississippi State: 0.555

SP+ Ratings Matchup
SE Louisiana:    Mississippi State: -0.4




Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 0.555  #84
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: 10.46  #120
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: 10.96  #85
2023 Talent Rating: 746.29  #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 21  #32
Mississippi State's 2023 Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90
Mississippi State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.4  #66
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3  #78
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4  #55

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 824.13
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


SE Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 5 PPG
Offense on Road: 5
Defense: 40 PPG
Defense on Road: 40

SE Louisiana's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 2
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Mississippi State 28
SE Louisiana 28

Projected Total Points: 56
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.9
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.9

Mississippi State's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/02Mississippi State48SE Louisiana7Mississippi State -31.5Mississippi State59.5Under
200809/06Mississippi State34SE Louisiana10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Mississippi State210 Overs
SE Louisiana001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#) SELA at (#84) MSST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSELAMSST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #84
SP+SP+NR #66
Perf GradeGradeNR #76
OffenseOffNR #86
DefenseDefNR #71
Spec TeamsSTNR #24
TalentTal #162 #28
Blue ChipsBC%NR #32
SE Louisiana on Offense
CategoryCat
SELA OffMSST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #71
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNR #85
SP+SP+NR #55
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
SE Louisiana Run Game
CategoryCat
SELA OffMSST Def
Run GameRunNR #76
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #34
SE Louisiana Pass Game
CategoryCat
SELA OffMSST Def
Pass GamePassNR #51
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #125
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Mississippi State on Offense
CategoryCatMSST OffSELA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #86NR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #120NR
SP+SP+ #78NR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Mississippi State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSST OffSELA Def
Run GameRun #62NR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #71 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Mississippi State Pass Game
CategoryCatMSST OffSELA Def
Pass GamePass #76NR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #49NR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MSST 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Down to Top G5

SELA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
Mississippi State -31.5 (59.5)
Mississippi State won vs SE Louisiana this year (48-7)

Previous Matchups
Mississippi State beat SE Louisiana in 2023 (48-7)

  
SELA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Deantre Jackson9058676.566
Harlan Dixon5321734.117
Derrick Graham Jr.205913.012
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaylon Domingeaux528571116.582
Deantre Jackson2925738.937
Bauer Sharp24252210.565
Tristan Goodly8115114.465

View SE Louisiana's Full Roster

SELA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
KK Reno241000
Kaleb Proctor63200
Jirrea Johnson Jr.60000
Justin Dumas50000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kaleb Proctor63200
Rowan Briggs42200
Joshua Randall22100
KK Reno241000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Blayne Delahoussaye51003
KK Reno241000
Kaleb Proctor63200

MSST's OC Kevin Barbay (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Will Rogers14223760%16261246.9
Mike Wright (Tr)488557%453335.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jo'quavious Marks12157344.752
Seth Davis5935616.046
Mike Wright (Tr)7132434.653
Jeffery Pittman5426815.059
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Lideatrick Griffin (Tr)50658413.265
Zavion Thomas40503112.635
Justin Robinson21257012.230
Jo'quavious Marks2316727.332

View Mississippi State's Full Roster

MSST's DC Matt Brock (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nathaniel Watson137131072
Jett Johnson13014641
Decamerion Richardson791107
Corey Ellington664202
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nathaniel Watson137131072
Jett Johnson13014641
Jaden Crumedy354322
Corey Ellington664202
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Decamerion Richardson791107
Deonte Anderson383114
Shawn Preston Jr.595013