(#12)Arizona State Sun Devils at Mississippi State Bulldogs
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
Arizona State -6.0 (58.5) (-275) Open: -7.0 | 59.0
Mississippi State 24 - Arizona State: 20
Sun Devils (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Kenny Dillingham (14 - 11)
Avg Score : 31 - 19 (20 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 4.7 (#55)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 5) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 1)
Coach Kenny Dillingham (14 - 11)
Avg Score : 31 - 19 (20 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 4.7 (#55)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 5) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 1)
Our Line: Mississippi State -1.5 (SP+ ASU -0.5)
Projected Score: ASU: 27 - MSST: 28 (55)
ASU Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
ASU Travel: 1331 miles, 2 hrs behind
Projected Score: ASU: 27 - MSST: 28 (55)
ASU Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
ASU Travel: 1331 miles, 2 hrs behind
Bulldogs (3 - 0) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jeff Lebby (2 - 10)
Avg Score : 40 - 12 (44 - 10 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.4 - 5.6 (#76)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 7) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Coach Jeff Lebby (2 - 10)
Avg Score : 40 - 12 (44 - 10 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.4 - 5.6 (#76)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 7) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
| Arizona State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Arizona State vs Northern Arizona | -29.5 | 52.5 | W 38 - 19 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Arizona State at Mississippi State | -6.0 | 58.5 | L 20 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Arizona State vs Texas State | -18.5 | 61.5 | W 34 - 15 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Arizona State at Baylor | +1.5 | 60.5 | ||||
| Fri 9/26 | Arizona State vs TCU | +0.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/11 | Arizona State at Utah | +8 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Arizona State vs Texas Tech | +6 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Arizona State vs Houston | -12.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Arizona State at Iowa State | +2 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | Arizona State vs West Virginia | -10.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Arizona State at Colorado | -9 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Arizona State vs Arizona | -8.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Arizona State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Mississippi State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Mississippi State at Southern Miss | -11.5 | 59.5 | W 34 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Mississippi State vs Arizona State | +6.0 | 58.5 | W 24 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Mississippi State vs Alcorn State | -42.5 | 56.5 | W 63 - 0 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Mississippi State vs Northern Illinois | -21.5 | 49.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Mississippi State vs Tennessee | +5.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Mississippi State at Texas A&M | +11 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/18 | Mississippi State at Florida | +5.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Mississippi State vs Texas | +7 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Mississippi State at Arkansas | +4 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Mississippi State vs Georgia | +9.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Mississippi State at Missouri | +12 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/29 | Mississippi State vs Ole Miss | +6 | |||||
Total: Elite: 7, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 7, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 7, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASU | #43 (.3) | 46% (54) | 30.7 | 52% (29) | 3.62 (19) | 233 | 38% (99) | 176 | 4.17 (61) | #52 (.08) | 43% (90) | 19.3 | 44% (96) | 42% (81) | 2.86 (46) | 60.7 | 1 | 1 |
| MSST | #26 (.36) | 50% (33) | 40.3 | 56% (18) | 3.14 (53) | 179 | 44% (62) | 263 | 4.94 (33) | #32 (.02) | 38% (57) | 12.3 | 43% (87) | 32% (29) | 3.4 (65) | 84.7 | 0.7 | 2 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASU | #13 (.31) | 50% (8) | 52% (6) | 3.35 (19) | 187 | 47% (21) | 208 | 4.14 (48) | #36 (.12) | 42% (79) | 41% (49) | 44% (106) | 3.64 (51) | 50.1 | 0.6 | 1.4 | ||
| MSST | #78 (.17) | 39% (109) | 40% (105) | 2.9 (93) | 139 | 38% (104) | 239 | 3.75 (86) | #130 (.32) | 50% (133) | 47% (108) | 55% (134) | 4.32 (113) | 60.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASU Offense | 3 | 30.7 | 20 | 45.7% | 4.17 | 1 | 22 | 409 | 233 | 176 | 6.1 | 54% | 46% | 52% | 38% | 15% | .3 |
| MSST Defense | 3 | 12.3 | 10 | 37.7% | 3.4 | 2 | - | - | - | - | - | 58% | 42% | 43% | 32% | 18% | .02 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASU Defense | 3 | 19.3 | 24 | 42.7% | 2.86 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 43% | 57% | 44% | 42% | 21% | .08 |
| MSST Offense | 3 | 40.3 | 43.5 | 49.7% | 4.94 | 0.7 | 21 | 441 | 179 | 263 | 5 | 50% | 50% | 56% | 44% | 15% | .36 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona State | 3 | 32:22 | 21.7 | 24% | 67% | 8.3 | 60.7 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3.7 | 0 | 28.6 |
| Mississippi State | 3 | 23:05 | 21 | 55% | 50% | 10 | 84.7 | 0.7 | 2 | 5 | 1.3 | 0 | 34.5 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASU Offense | 3 | 54% (49) | 52% (29) | 38 | 233 | 6.1 | 6 (49) | .37 (17) | 3.62 (19) | 71% (67) | 8% (66) | 1.21 (27) |
| MSST Defense | 3 | 58% (119) | 43% (87) | - | - | - | - | -.02 (41) | 3.03 (93) | 58% (32) | 9% (79) | 0.75 (25) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASU Defense | 3 | 43% (22) | 44% (96) | - | - | - | - | .02 (55) | 2.32 (29) | 69% (63) | 12% (38) | 0.88 (55) |
| MSST Offense | 3 | 50% (74) | 56% (18) | 36 | 178.7 | 5 | 9 (17) | .26 (36) | 3.14 (53) | 57% (114) | 7% (32) | 0.95 (72) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASU Offense | 3 | 46% (87) | 38% (99) | 16.7 | 29 | 175.7 | 6.1 | 10.5 | 5 (54) | 3 (92) | .23 (80) | 1.6 (62) | 33% (98) | 30% (77) | .33 (73) | 6% (100) | 2 (71) |
| MSST Defense | 3 | 42% (18) | 32% (29) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 (12) | .09 (34) | 1.5 (63) | 32% (84) | 21% (30) | .07 (27) | 9% (16) | 2 (66) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASU Defense | 3 | 57% (116) | 42% (81) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 (87) | .15 (52) | 1.4 (36) | 32% (75) | 28% (68) | .3 (76) | 9% (20) | 2.1 (91) |
| MSST Offense | 3 | 50% (64) | 44% (62) | 19.7 | 29.3 | 262.7 | 9 | 13.4 | 7 (23) | 2 (60) | .46 (33) | 1.8 (13) | 29% (59) | 38% (33) | .72 (16) | 8% (120) | 2.7 (4) |
Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: 21.82 #27
Arizona State's Offense Rating: 22.18 #27
Arizona State's Defense Rating: 0.36 #29
2025 Talent Rating: 892.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #49
Arizona State's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7
Arizona State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.0 #42
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #41
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #37
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Arizona State's Power Rating: 21.82 #27
Arizona State's Offense Rating: 22.18 #27
Arizona State's Defense Rating: 0.36 #29
2025 Talent Rating: 892.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #49
Arizona State's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7
Arizona State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.0 #42
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #41
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #37
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Arizona State: 21.82 Mississippi State: 17.145
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona State: 9.0 Mississippi State: 8.7
Arizona State: 21.82 Mississippi State: 17.145
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona State: 9.0 Mississippi State: 8.7
Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 17.145 #28
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: 23.00 #26
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: 2.41 #40
2025 Talent Rating: 844.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 19 #27
Mississippi State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.4 - 5.6
Mississippi State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.7 #45
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #37
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.4 #48
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 17.145 #28
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: 23.00 #26
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: 2.41 #40
2025 Talent Rating: 844.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 19 #27
Mississippi State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.4 - 5.6
Mississippi State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.7 #45
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #37
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.4 #48
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 24
Arizona State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 24
Arizona State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Mississippi State 28
Arizona State 27
Total Points: 55
Mississippi State 28
Arizona State 27
Total Points: 55
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 40.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.5
Defense: 12.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 10
Mississippi State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Offense: 40.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.5
Defense: 12.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 10
Mississippi State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 09/06 | Mississippi State | 24 | Arizona State | 20 | Mississippi State | Arizona State -6.0 | Mississippi State | 58.5 | Under |
| 2024 | 09/07 | Arizona State | 30 | Mississippi State | 23 | Arizona State | Arizona State -6.5 | Arizona State | 57.5 | Under |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State | 1 | 1 | 0 Overs |
| Arizona State | 1 | 1 | 2 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 2 - 0 | 2 - 0 | 1 - 0 | 1 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 0 - 2 | 0 - 2 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 1 |
(#27) Arizona State Info
Power Rating: 21.82 #27
Offense Rating: 22.18 #27
Defense Rating: 0.36 #29
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.0 #42
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #41
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #37
Talent Rating: 892.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #49
Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 46%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.17 PPO
Good Run Success 52%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Avg in Scoring Position 2.86 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 44%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Arizona State has won 1 straight
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Arizona State Notes
(6/15) Expecting improved pass rush, 2nd year DLC
(5/23) ASU was 6-2 in 1 score games LY
(5/11) Least exp'd B12 OL, almost no exp from portals
(5/2) TE Metayer a good reliable target, underrated
(3/20) RBs Udoh (Army) or K. Brown fill in for Skat?
(3/18) QB Leavitt a top QB in CFB, mobile. Depth?
(3/18) WRs Tyson a weapon, who's #2/depth?
(3/18) OL rebuilding with only 2/5 back
(3/18) Def returns a ton, improved a ton LY
(1/1) HC Dillingham new 5 yr deal, top tier B12 #'s
Arizona State Highlights
Arizona State has Really Good Running Game (#15)
Arizona State has a top Offensive Line (#19)
Arizona State Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Arizona State Defensive Line is very good (#29)
Arizona State Secondary is very good (#20)
Arizona State Deficiencies
Arizona State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#121)
Arizona State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Power Rating: 21.82 #27
Offense Rating: 22.18 #27
Defense Rating: 0.36 #29
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.0 #42
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #41
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #37
Talent Rating: 892.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #49
Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 46%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.17 PPO
Good Run Success 52%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Avg in Scoring Position 2.86 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 44%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Arizona State has won 1 straight
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Arizona State Notes
(6/15) Expecting improved pass rush, 2nd year DLC
(5/23) ASU was 6-2 in 1 score games LY
(5/11) Least exp'd B12 OL, almost no exp from portals
(5/2) TE Metayer a good reliable target, underrated
(3/20) RBs Udoh (Army) or K. Brown fill in for Skat?
(3/18) QB Leavitt a top QB in CFB, mobile. Depth?
(3/18) WRs Tyson a weapon, who's #2/depth?
(3/18) OL rebuilding with only 2/5 back
(3/18) Def returns a ton, improved a ton LY
(1/1) HC Dillingham new 5 yr deal, top tier B12 #'s
Arizona State Highlights
Arizona State has Really Good Running Game (#15)
Arizona State has a top Offensive Line (#19)
Arizona State Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Arizona State Defensive Line is very good (#29)
Arizona State Secondary is very good (#20)
Arizona State Deficiencies
Arizona State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#121)
Arizona State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | MSST | ASU |
| OverallOver | #38 | #52 |
| OffenseOff | #46 | #54 |
| DefenseDef | #38 | #66 |
| Special TeamsST | #84 | #13 |
| PassingPass | #28 | #80 |
| RushingRush | #13 | #14 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #79 | #51 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #46 | #17 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #65 | #81 |
| TacklingTkl | #39 | #36 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #36 | #57 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #75 | #56 |
| Coverage DefCov | #20 | #68 |
Rematch from Week 2
Arizona State 6.0 (58.5)
Mississippi State won vs Arizona State this year (24-20)
Previous Matchups
Arizona State beat Mississippi State last year (30-23)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: ASU | MSST
Depth Chart: ASU | MSST
Rosters: ASU | MSST
(#28) Mississippi State Info
Power Rating: 17.145 #28
Offense Rating: 23.00 #26
Defense Rating: 2.41 #40
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.7 #45
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #37
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.4 #48
Talent Rating: 844.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 19 #27
Expected Record: 6.4 - 5.6
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Good Offense Success Rate of 50%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.94 PPO
Great Run Success 56%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.4 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Good Pass Def Success 32%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Mississippi State has won 1 straight
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
Mississippi State Notes
(8/30) Shapen good, Run Off better, Def better
(5/23) WR huge ? Top 6 are portals? 4 best LY left
(5/23) Added 5 portal OL post spring. Bad sign?
(5/23) Talent #'s of a mid B12 team, and dropping
(5/7) Def 39 ppg, 7 ypp allowed in SEC play LY
(5/2) TE Seydou Traore a good, reliable target
(4/19) Watch Fr QB KaMario Taylor. Dynamic runner
(4/19) DL improved, SEC caliber bodies unlike LY
(3/18) QB1? Shapen or Kromenhoek (FSU)
(3/18) RBs Booth/Bothwell/Daniels good depth
Mississippi State Highlights
Mississippi State is Undefeated vs Spread
Mississippi State in Undefeated
Mississippi State is Undefeated at Home
Mississippi State is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Mississippi State is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
Mississippi State offense is good on 3rd downs
Mississippi State defense does not give up big plays (#13)
Mississippi State has a good pass defense (#29)
Mississippi State Secondary is very good (#16)
Mississippi State has a great TO Margin (#28)
Mississippi State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
Mississippi State Deficiencies
Mississippi State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#133)
Power Rating: 17.145 #28
Offense Rating: 23.00 #26
Defense Rating: 2.41 #40
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.7 #45
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #37
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.4 #48
Talent Rating: 844.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 19 #27
Expected Record: 6.4 - 5.6
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Good Offense Success Rate of 50%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.94 PPO
Great Run Success 56%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.4 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Good Pass Def Success 32%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Mississippi State has won 1 straight
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
Mississippi State Notes
(8/30) Shapen good, Run Off better, Def better
(5/23) WR huge ? Top 6 are portals? 4 best LY left
(5/23) Added 5 portal OL post spring. Bad sign?
(5/23) Talent #'s of a mid B12 team, and dropping
(5/7) Def 39 ppg, 7 ypp allowed in SEC play LY
(5/2) TE Seydou Traore a good, reliable target
(4/19) Watch Fr QB KaMario Taylor. Dynamic runner
(4/19) DL improved, SEC caliber bodies unlike LY
(3/18) QB1? Shapen or Kromenhoek (FSU)
(3/18) RBs Booth/Bothwell/Daniels good depth
Mississippi State Highlights
Mississippi State is Undefeated vs Spread
Mississippi State in Undefeated
Mississippi State is Undefeated at Home
Mississippi State is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Mississippi State is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
Mississippi State offense is good on 3rd downs
Mississippi State defense does not give up big plays (#13)
Mississippi State has a good pass defense (#29)
Mississippi State Secondary is very good (#16)
Mississippi State has a great TO Margin (#28)
Mississippi State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
Mississippi State Deficiencies
Mississippi State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#133)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Leavitt | 50 | 86 | 58% | 527 | 5 | 3 | 6.1 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raleek Brown | 35 | 292 | 2 | 8.3 | 75 |
| Sam Leavitt | 27 | 157 | 3 | 5.8 | 52 |
| Kanye Udoh (Tr) | 32 | 138 | 1 | 4.3 | 21 |
| Kyson Brown | 9 | 84 | 0 | 9.3 | 34 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordyn Tyson | 24 | 314 | 4 | 13.1 | 36 |
| Chamon Metayer | 7 | 80 | 1 | 11.4 | 27 |
| Kyson Brown | 6 | 72 | 0 | 12.0 | 22 |
| Raleek Brown | 7 | 34 | 0 | 4.9 | 11 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Crook | 24 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Keyshaun Elliott | 20 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Myles Rowser | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Martell Hughes | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clayton Smith | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Jordan Crook | 24 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Keyshaun Elliott | 20 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Albert Smith III | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Abney | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Montana Warren | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Kyndrich Breedlove (Tr) | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Shapen | 55 | 81 | 68% | 722 | 6 | 2 | 8.9 |
| Luke Kromenhoek (Tr) | 2 | 4 | 50% | 20 | 0 | 0 | 5.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluff Bothwell (Tr) | 30 | 170 | 4 | 5.7 | 25 |
| Davon Booth | 27 | 126 | 1 | 4.7 | 16 |
| Xavier Gayten | 4 | 50 | 1 | 12.5 | 25 |
| Johnnie Daniels | 9 | 44 | 0 | 4.9 | 13 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brenen Thompson (Tr) | 15 | 278 | 3 | 18.5 | 58 |
| Anthony Evans III (Tr) | 17 | 210 | 2 | 12.4 | 48 |
| Jordan Mosley | 3 | 94 | 1 | 31.3 | 75 |
| Seydou Traore | 5 | 77 | 1 | 15.4 | 55 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Smith | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Nic Mitchell | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Derion Gullette (Tr) | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jahron Manning (Tr) | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Whitson (Tr) | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Deonte Anderson | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Darron Reed Jr. (Tr) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Joseph Head Jr. | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelley Jones | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| DeAgo Brumfeld | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Isaac Smith | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |