(#3)LSU Tigers at Mississippi State Bulldogs
Saturday, September 16th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
LSU -9.5 (54.0) (0) Open: 0.0
LSU 41 - Mississippi State: 14 (SEC)
Tigers (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brian Kelly (12 - 5)
Avg Score : 46 - 28 (42 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 3.3 (#16)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Brian Kelly (12 - 5)
Avg Score : 46 - 28 (42 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 3.3 (#16)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MSST 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: LSU -17.5 (SP+ LSU -19)
Projected Score: LSU: 38 - MSST: 21 (59)
LSU Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
LSU Travel: 253 miles
Our Line: LSU -17.5 (SP+ LSU -19)
Projected Score: LSU: 38 - MSST: 21 (59)
LSU Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
LSU Travel: 253 miles
Bulldogs (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Greg Knox (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 27 (25 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Greg Knox (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 27 (25 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
| LSU's 2023 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sun 9/3 | LSU vs Florida State | -2.0 | 56.5 | L 24 - 45 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/9 | LSU vs Grambling | -56.5 | 61.5 | W 72 - 10 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/16 | LSU at Mississippi State | -9.5 | 54.0 | W 41 - 14 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/23 | LSU vs Arkansas | -17.5 | 55.0 | W 34 - 31 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/30 | LSU at Ole Miss | -3.0 | 67.0 | L 49 - 55 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/7 | LSU at Missouri | -6.0 | 63.5 | W 49 - 39 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/14 | LSU vs Auburn | -11.0 | 60.0 | W 48 - 18 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/21 | LSU vs Army | -33.0 | 60.0 | W 62 - 0 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/4 | LSU at Alabama | +3.0 | 61.5 | L 28 - 42 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/11 | LSU vs Florida | -14.0 | 68.5 | W 52 - 35 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/18 | LSU vs Georgia State | -32.5 | 73.5 | W 56 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/25 | LSU vs Texas A&M | -10.5 | 67.5 | W 42 - 30 | O | Y | |
| Mon 1/1 | LSU vs Wisconsin | -9.5 | 59.5 | W 35 - 31 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for LSU's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
| Mississippi State's 2023 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 9/2 | Mississippi State vs SE Louisiana | -31.5 | 59.5 | W 48 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/9 | Mississippi State vs Arizona | -9.0 | 60.0 | W 31 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/16 | Mississippi State vs LSU | +9.5 | 54.0 | L 14 - 41 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/23 | Mississippi State at South Carolina | +6.0 | 46.5 | L 30 - 37 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/30 | Mississippi State vs Alabama | +16.5 | 45.0 | L 17 - 40 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/7 | Mississippi State vs Western Michigan | -21.5 | 54.5 | W 41 - 28 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/21 | Mississippi State at Arkansas | +6.5 | 46.5 | W 7 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/28 | Mississippi State at Auburn | +6.5 | 40.0 | L 13 - 27 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/4 | Mississippi State vs Kentucky | +5.5 | 44.5 | L 3 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/11 | Mississippi State at Texas A&M | +16.5 | 40.5 | L 10 - 51 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/18 | Mississippi State vs Southern Miss | -18.5 | 47.5 | W 41 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Thu 11/23 | Mississippi State vs Ole Miss | +11.0 | 56.0 | L 7 - 17 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Important Stats (2023)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LSU | #1 (.52) | 56% (2) | 45.5 | 58% (1) | 3.9 (1) | 197 | 54% (3) | 309 | 4.86 (8) | #126 (.32) | 45% (105) | 28 | 45% (92) | 45% (113) | 4.55 (126) | 48.2 | 0.5 | 1 |
| MSST | #116 (.09) | 36% (126) | 21.8 | 38% (123) | 2.91 (105) | 147 | 35% (120) | 182 | 3.47 (96) | #61 (.17) | 42% (71) | 26.6 | 42% (64) | 43% (84) | 4.33 (115) | 56.8 | 1.2 | 1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LSU | #30 (.25) | 45% (38) | 42% (89) | 2.92 (90) | 108 | 47% (24) | 291 | 3.99 (60) | #92 (.21) | 41% (60) | 41% (54) | 41% (73) | 3.44 (30) | 45.7 | 1.2 | 1 | ||
| MSST | #78 (.17) | 39% (109) | 40% (105) | 2.9 (93) | 139 | 38% (104) | 239 | 3.75 (86) | #130 (.32) | 50% (133) | 47% (108) | 55% (134) | 4.32 (113) | 60.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
Overall Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LSU Offense | 13 | 45.5 | 41.8 | 56.1% | 4.86 | 0.5 | 24 | 506 | 197 | 309 | 6.3 | 47% | 53% | 58% | 54% | 11% | .52 |
| MSST Defense | 12 | 26.6 | 25.1 | 42.3% | 4.33 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 52% | 47% | 42% | 43% | 16% | .17 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LSU Defense | 13 | 28 | 37.5 | 44.8% | 4.55 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 49% | 51% | 45% | 45% | 16% | .32 |
| MSST Offense | 12 | 21.8 | 25.3 | 35.9% | 3.47 | 1.2 | 17 | 329 | 147 | 182 | 4.4 | 50% | 49% | 38% | 35% | 16% | .09 |
Additional Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LSU | 13 | 26:37 | 23.7 | 56% | 43% | 5.7 | 48.2 | 0.5 | 1 | 5.1 | 2 | 1 | 29.2 |
| Mississippi State | 12 | 28:40 | 16.6 | 31% | 42% | 6.3 | 56.8 | 1.2 | 1 | 5.6 | 2.3 | 2 | 29.9 |
Run Game Stats (2023)
Pass Game Stats (2023)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LSU Offense | 13 | 47% (95) | 58% (1) | 31.2 | 197 | 6.3 | 32 (10) | .45 (1) | 3.9 (1) | 69% (103) | 6% (2) | 1.08 (27) |
| MSST Defense | 12 | 52% (97) | 42% (64) | - | - | - | - | .1 (41) | 2.97 (45) | 74% (74) | 11% (51) | 0.92 (32) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LSU Defense | 13 | 49% (51) | 45% (92) | - | - | - | - | .24 (113) | 3.22 (97) | 91% (132) | 10% (79) | 1.07 (99) |
| MSST Offense | 12 | 50% (64) | 38% (123) | 33.4 | 146.8 | 4.4 | 12 (116) | .07 (113) | 2.91 (105) | 59% (128) | 11% (81) | 1.02 (55) |
Pass Game Stats (2023)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LSU Offense | 13 | 53% (38) | 54% (3) | 19.6 | 28.2 | 308.6 | 11 | 15.7 | 41 (2) | 4 (2) | .59 (4) | 1.7 (33) | 24% (4) | 45% (1) | .74 (1) | 5% (29) | 2.1 (40) |
| MSST Defense | 12 | 47% (35) | 43% (84) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7 (111) | .29 (84) | 1.6 (55) | 30% (105) | 29% (49) | .36 (90) | 5% (107) | 2 (57) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LSU Defense | 13 | 51% (86) | 45% (113) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10 (67) | .41 (123) | 1.7 (112) | 32% (64) | 34% (118) | .56 (132) | 6% (54) | 2.5 (132) |
| MSST Offense | 12 | 49% (67) | 35% (120) | 16.8 | 29 | 181.8 | 6.3 | 10.9 | 15 (96) | 10 (56) | .13 (115) | 1.6 (52) | 36% (129) | 26% (104) | .19 (106) | 6% (65) | 2 (98) |
LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 17.07 #8
LSU's Offense Rating: 35.07 #1
LSU's Defense Rating: 15.64 #122
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 70% #7
LSU's 2023 Expected Record: 9.70 - 3.30
LSU's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.7 #10
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 44.1 #2
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
LSU's Power Rating: 17.07 #8
LSU's Offense Rating: 35.07 #1
LSU's Defense Rating: 15.64 #122
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 70% #7
LSU's 2023 Expected Record: 9.70 - 3.30
LSU's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.7 #10
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 44.1 #2
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
LSU: 17.07 Mississippi State: 0.555
SP+ Ratings Matchup
LSU: 18.7 Mississippi State: -0.4
LSU: 17.07 Mississippi State: 0.555
SP+ Ratings Matchup
LSU: 18.7 Mississippi State: -0.4
Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 0.555 #84
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: 10.46 #120
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: 10.96 #85
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #32
Mississippi State's 2023 Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90
Mississippi State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.4 #66
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #78
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 0.555 #84
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: 10.46 #120
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: 10.96 #85
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #32
Mississippi State's 2023 Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90
Mississippi State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.4 #66
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #78
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
LSU Scoring
Offense: 45.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 41.8
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.5
LSU's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Offense: 45.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 41.8
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.5
LSU's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
LSU 38
Mississippi State 21
Total Points: 59
LSU 38
Mississippi State 21
Total Points: 59
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.3
Defense: 26.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.1
Mississippi State's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.3
Defense: 26.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.1
Mississippi State's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 09/16 | Mississippi State | 14 | LSU | 41 | LSU | LSU -9.5 | LSU | 54.0 | Over |
| 2022 | 09/17 | LSU | 31 | Mississippi State | 16 | LSU | Mississippi State -3 | LSU | 53.0 | Under |
| 2021 | 09/25 | Mississippi State | 25 | LSU | 28 | LSU | LSU -1.5 | LSU | 54.5 | Under |
| 2020 | 09/26 | LSU | 34 | Mississippi State | 44 | Mississippi State | LSU -14.5 | Mississippi State | 57.0 | Over |
| 2019 | 10/19 | Mississippi State | 13 | LSU | 36 | LSU | LSU -17.5 | LSU | 62.0 | Under |
| 2018 | 10/20 | LSU | 19 | Mississippi State | 3 | LSU | LSU -6 | LSU | 45.5 | Under |
| 2017 | 09/16 | Mississippi State | 37 | LSU | 7 | Mississippi State | LSU -7.5 | Mississippi State | 53.5 | Under |
| 2016 | 09/17 | LSU | 23 | Mississippi State | 20 | LSU | LSU -13 | Mississippi State | 47.0 | Under |
| 2015 | 09/12 | Mississippi State | 19 | LSU | 21 | LSU | LSU -3 | Mississippi State | 52.5 | Under |
| 2014 | 09/20 | LSU | 29 | Mississippi State | 34 | Mississippi State | LSU -7 | Mississippi State | 0 | |
| 2013 | 10/05 | Mississippi State | 26 | LSU | 59 | LSU | LSU -9.5 | LSU | 0 | |
| 2012 | 11/10 | LSU | 37 | Mississippi State | 17 | LSU | ||||
| 2011 | 09/15 | Mississippi State | 6 | LSU | 19 | LSU | ||||
| 2010 | 09/18 | LSU | 29 | Mississippi State | 7 | LSU | ||||
| 2009 | 09/26 | Mississippi State | 26 | LSU | 30 | LSU | ||||
| 2008 | 09/27 | LSU | 34 | Mississippi State | 24 | LSU | ||||
| 2007 | 08/30 | Mississippi State | 0 | LSU | 45 | LSU | ||||
| 2006 | 09/30 | LSU | 48 | Mississippi State | 17 | LSU | ||||
| 2005 | 10/01 | Mississippi State | 7 | LSU | 37 | LSU | ||||
| 2004 | 09/25 | LSU | 51 | Mississippi State | 0 | LSU | ||||
| 2003 | 09/27 | Mississippi State | 6 | LSU | 41 | LSU | ||||
| 2002 | 09/28 | LSU | 31 | Mississippi State | 13 | LSU | ||||
| 2001 | 10/20 | Mississippi State | 0 | LSU | 42 | LSU | ||||
| 2000 | 10/20 | LSU | 45 | Mississippi State | 38 | LSU |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State | 3 | 5 | 2 Overs |
| LSU | 21 | 6 | 7 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 11 - 13 | 4 - 7 | 1 - 3 | 3 - 4 |
| Road Teams | 13 - 11 | 7 - 4 | 4 - 3 | 3 - 1 |
(#8) LSU Info
Power Rating: 17.07 #8
Offense Rating: 35.07 #1
Defense Rating: 15.64 #122
Overall SP+ Rating: 18.7 #10
Offense SP+ Rating: 44.1 #2
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 70% #7
Expected Record: 9.70 - 3.30
LSU has won 1 straight
LSU has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 2 (2 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )
LSU Highlights
LSU has Really Good Running Game (#116)
LSU offense is efficent (#103)
LSU offense is explosive (#75)
LSU has a top Offensive Line (#129)
LSU offense is good in red zone (#123)
LSU offense is good on 3rd downs
LSU does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#122)
LSU has a great TO Margin (#82)
LSU Deficiencies
LSU has a bad defense (#60)
LSU gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#19)
LSU Does Not Stuff Runs (#93)
LSU has a bad red zone defense (#40)
Power Rating: 17.07 #8
Offense Rating: 35.07 #1
Defense Rating: 15.64 #122
Overall SP+ Rating: 18.7 #10
Offense SP+ Rating: 44.1 #2
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 70% #7
Expected Record: 9.70 - 3.30
LSU has won 1 straight
LSU has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 2 (2 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )
LSU Highlights
LSU has Really Good Running Game (#116)
LSU offense is efficent (#103)
LSU offense is explosive (#75)
LSU has a top Offensive Line (#129)
LSU offense is good in red zone (#123)
LSU offense is good on 3rd downs
LSU does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#122)
LSU has a great TO Margin (#82)
LSU Deficiencies
LSU has a bad defense (#60)
LSU gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#19)
LSU Does Not Stuff Runs (#93)
LSU has a bad red zone defense (#40)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | MSST | LSU |
| OverallOver | #62 | #9 |
| OffenseOff | #75 | #2 |
| DefenseDef | #57 | #45 |
| Special TeamsST | #24 | #80 |
| PassingPass | #62 | #2 |
| RushingRush | #44 | #1 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #56 | #7 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #42 | #9 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #84 | #11 |
| TacklingTkl | #31 | #15 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #66 | #43 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #92 | #26 |
| Coverage DefCov | #41 | #77 |
Rematch from Week 3
LSU 9.5 (54.0)
LSU won at Mississippi State this year (41-14)
Previous Matchups
LSU beat Mississippi State in 2023 (41-14)
LSU beat Mississippi State in 2022 (31-16)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: LSU | MSST
Depth Chart: LSU | MSST
Rosters: LSU | MSST
(#84) Mississippi State Info
Power Rating: 0.555 #84
Offense Rating: 10.46 #120
Defense Rating: 10.96 #85
Overall SP+ Rating: -0.4 #66
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #78
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #32
Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90
Mississippi State has won 2 straight
Mississippi State has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 4 (3 - 5 - 0 vs Spread)
Mississippi State Highlights
Mississippi State has a great TO Margin (#28)
Mississippi State Deficiencies
Mississippi State offense is really bad (#33)
Mississippi State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#57)
Mississippi State run game is really bad (#18)
Mississippi State pass game is really bad (#62)
Mississippi State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Mississippi State has a bad red zone defense (#65)
Power Rating: 0.555 #84
Offense Rating: 10.46 #120
Defense Rating: 10.96 #85
Overall SP+ Rating: -0.4 #66
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #78
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #32
Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90
Mississippi State has won 2 straight
Mississippi State has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 4 (3 - 5 - 0 vs Spread)
Mississippi State Highlights
Mississippi State has a great TO Margin (#28)
Mississippi State Deficiencies
Mississippi State offense is really bad (#33)
Mississippi State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#57)
Mississippi State run game is really bad (#18)
Mississippi State pass game is really bad (#62)
Mississippi State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Mississippi State has a bad red zone defense (#65)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Daniels | 236 | 327 | 72% | 3812 | 40 | 4 | 11.7 |
| Garrett Nussmeier | 48 | 78 | 62% | 592 | 4 | 1 | 7.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Daniels | 135 | 1134 | 10 | 8.4 | 85 |
| Logan Diggs (Tr) | 119 | 653 | 7 | 5.5 | 35 |
| Josh Williams | 55 | 284 | 5 | 5.2 | 41 |
| Noah Cain | 37 | 181 | 3 | 4.9 | 20 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Nabers | 89 | 1569 | 14 | 17.6 | 51 |
| Brian Thomas Jr. | 68 | 1177 | 17 | 17.3 | 86 |
| Kyren Lacy | 30 | 558 | 7 | 18.6 | 57 |
| Mason Taylor | 36 | 348 | 1 | 9.7 | 25 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Major Burns | 90 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Greg Penn III | 89 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| Andre Sam (Tr) | 82 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Harold Perkins | 74 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harold Perkins | 74 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| Mehki Wingo | 25 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Greg Penn III | 89 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| Ovie Oghoufo (Tr) | 33 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zy Alexander (Tr) | 44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Sage Ryan | 41 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Harold Perkins | 74 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rogers | 142 | 237 | 60% | 1626 | 12 | 4 | 6.9 |
| Mike Wright (Tr) | 48 | 85 | 57% | 453 | 3 | 3 | 5.3 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jo'quavious Marks | 121 | 573 | 4 | 4.7 | 52 |
| Seth Davis | 59 | 356 | 1 | 6.0 | 46 |
| Mike Wright (Tr) | 71 | 324 | 3 | 4.6 | 53 |
| Jeffery Pittman | 54 | 268 | 1 | 5.0 | 59 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lideatrick Griffin (Tr) | 50 | 658 | 4 | 13.2 | 65 |
| Zavion Thomas | 40 | 503 | 1 | 12.6 | 35 |
| Justin Robinson | 21 | 257 | 0 | 12.2 | 30 |
| Jo'quavious Marks | 23 | 167 | 2 | 7.3 | 32 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Watson | 137 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 2 |
| Jett Johnson | 130 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 1 |
| Decamerion Richardson | 79 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Corey Ellington | 66 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Watson | 137 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 2 |
| Jett Johnson | 130 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 1 |
| Jaden Crumedy | 35 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Corey Ellington | 66 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Decamerion Richardson | 79 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Deonte Anderson | 38 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| Shawn Preston Jr. | 59 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 |