Tennessee Tech at Mississippi State - 2026 Matchup Preview
Tennessee Tech logo Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles at Mississippi State BulldogsMississippi State logo
Saturday, November 21st 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Davis Wade Stadium - Starkville, MS

 
Golden Eagles (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 10 - 42 (10 - 42 on Road)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MSST 3rd straight Home Game
MSST is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Mississippi State -9  (SP+ MSST -4)
MSST Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
Bulldogs (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jeff Lebby (7 - 18)
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (34 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 7.5 (#81)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Tennessee Tech's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21 Tennessee Tech at Mississippi State+9

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tennessee Tech's Schedule
Mississippi State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Mississippi State vs UL Monroe-27
Sat 9/12 Mississippi State at Minnesota+0
Sat 9/19 Mississippi State at South Carolina+5.5
Sat 9/26 Mississippi State vs Missouri+8.5
Sat 10/3 Mississippi State vs Alabama+9
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17 Mississippi State at LSU+13
Sat 10/24 Mississippi State vs Oklahoma+11
Sat 10/31 Mississippi State at Texas+17.5
Sat 11/7 Mississippi State vs Vanderbilt+7.5
Sat 11/14 Mississippi State vs Auburn+4
Sat 11/21 Mississippi State vs Tennessee Tech-30
Fri 11/27 Mississippi State at Ole Miss+16.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TNTC0%100%000%000%420%0%0000
MSST#90 (.14)42% (86)30.444% (62)2.81 (95)15839% (102)2414.41 (22)#110 (.22)44% (102)30.248% (124)40% (56)3.68 (69)61.61.21.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TNTC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MSST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TNTC Offense110100%00000000%0%0%0%0%
MSST Defense1330.227.944.2%3.681.4 - - - - - 53%46%48%40%14%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TNTC Defense142420%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
MSST Offense1330.433.941.5%4.411.2223991582413.753%46%44%39%18%.14

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tennessee Tech10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Mississippi State1328:4121.643%45%7.261.61.21.44.31.6029
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TNTC Offense10%0%000000%0%0
MSST Defense1353% (103)48% (124) - - - - .16 (97)3.41 (135)77% (108)8% (121)0.89 (31)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TNTC Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
MSST Offense1353% (42)44% (62)42.3157.83.729 (16).11 (71)2.81 (95)72% (72)12% (125)0.96 (68)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TNTC Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
MSST Defense1346% (36)40% (56) - - - - - - 13 (6).3 (91)1.7 (124)30% (100)31% (83).38 (110)6% (69)2.3 (130)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TNTC Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
MSST Offense1346% (92)39% (102)18.730241.48.112.920 (75)9 (60).21 (93)1.7 (18)34% (117)28% (85).3 (71)6% (81)2.3 (7)

Tennessee Tech's Power Ratings
Tennessee Tech's Power Rating: NR
Tennessee Tech's Offense Rating: NR
Tennessee Tech's Defense Rating: NR
2026 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Tennessee Tech's 2026 Expected Record: -
Tennessee Tech's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Tennessee Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Tennessee Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average OVC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Tennessee Tech:    Mississippi State: 8.965

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tennessee Tech:    Mississippi State: 4.1




Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 8.965  #29
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: 18.12  #22
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: 14.29  #48
2026 Talent Rating: 978.00  #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 19  #27
Mississippi State's 2026 Expected Record: 5.5 - 7.5
Mississippi State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.1  #58
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6  #39
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0  #84

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 985.38
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75


Tennessee Tech Scoring
Offense: 10 PPG
Offense on Road: 10
Defense: 42 PPG
Defense on Road: 42

Tennessee Tech's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Mississippi State 33
Tennessee Tech 24

Projected Total Points: 57
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.9
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.9

Mississippi State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Mississippi State000 Overs
Tennessee Tech000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#NR) TNTC at (#29) MSST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTNTCMSST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #29
SP+SP+NR #58
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNR #16
Blue ChipsBC%NR #27
Tennessee Tech on Offense
CategoryCat
TNTC OffMSST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNR #102
ExplosiveExpNR #71
PPAPPANR #110
PowerPwrNR #48
SP+SP+NR #84
Pts POPPONR #69
HavocHavNR #110
Tennessee Tech Run Game
CategoryCat
TNTC OffMSST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNR #124
Run ExplRExpNR #31
PPAExpNR #97
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #135
Stuff RateStuffNR #126
TackleTak - NR
Tennessee Tech Pass Game
CategoryCat
TNTC OffMSST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNR #56
Pass ExplPExlNR #124
PPAExpNR #91
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NR #121
DB HavocDBNR #69
Mississippi State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatMSST OffTNTC Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #86NR
ExplosiveExp #45NR
PPAPPA #90NR
PowerPwr #22NR
SP+SP+ #39NR
Pts POPPO #22NR
HavocHav #117NR
Mississippi State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
MSST OffTNTC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #62NR
Run ExplRExp #68NR
PPAExp #71NR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #95NR
Stuff RateStuff #84NR
TackleTak - NR
Mississippi State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatMSST OffTNTC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #102NR
Pass ExplPExl #18NR
PPAExp #93NR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #125NR
DB HavocDB #81NR
Program Comparison
MSST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'26 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

TNTC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'26 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
TNTC's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
MJ Flowers (Tr)167514.723
Brian Courtney73515.015
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Brian Courtney28376513.445
MJ Flowers (Tr)1202.02

View Tennessee Tech's Full Roster

TNTC's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Greg Turner60000
Kaleb Brown51000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Greg Turner60000
Kaleb Brown51000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Greg Turner60000
Kaleb Brown51000

MSST's OC Jeff Lebby (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
AJ Swann (Tr)13022259%14941086.7
Kamario Taylor437756%629518.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Fluff Bothwell14267764.843
Kamario Taylor8245885.639
Xavier Gayten2915725.425
Brinston Williams2613715.321
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Evans III67831412.457
Marquis Johnson (Tr)28345212.349
Ayden Williams21252012.049
Fluff Bothwell1410507.539

View Mississippi State's Full Roster

MSST's DC Zach Arnett (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaac Smith641103
Marcus Williams (Tr)614015
Jalen Smith572021
Zakari Tillman473121
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Darron Reed Jr.212231
Will Whitson85200
Kalvin Dinkins273200
Amaree Williams (Tr)102210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kelley Jones3400011
Quentin Taylor Jr. (Tr)272005
Marcus Williams (Tr)614015