Mississippi State at Iowa - 2018 Matchup Preview
Mississippi State logo   Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Iowa Hawkeyes  Iowa logo
Tuesday, January 1st 2019 (12:00 PM EST)
Mississippi State -7 (40.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Iowa 27 - Mississippi State: 22  (OUTBACK BOWL)

 
Bulldogs (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (26 - 31 on Road)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -5  (SP+ MSST -10)
Projected Score: MSST: 21 - IOWA: 30 (51)
MSST Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
MSST Travel: 532 miles, 1 hrs behind
Hawkeyes (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 16 (28 - 14 @ Home)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Mississippi State's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Mississippi State vs Stephen F. Austin-47.553.0W 63 - 6OY
Sat 9/8 Mississippi State at Kansas State-6.551.5W 31 - 10UY
Sat 9/15 Mississippi State vs Louisiana-34.062.5W 56 - 10OY
Sat 9/22 Mississippi State at Kentucky-9.556.0L 7 - 28UN
Sat 9/29 Mississippi State vs Florida-6.549.5L 6 - 13UN
Sat 10/6 Mississippi State vs Auburn+3.045.0W 23 - 9UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/20 Mississippi State at LSU+6.045.5L 3 - 19UN
Sat 10/27 Mississippi State vs Texas A&M-1.542.5W 28 - 13UY
Sat 11/3 Mississippi State vs Louisiana Tech-23.049.0W 45 - 3UY
Sat 11/10 Mississippi State at Alabama+21.550.0L 0 - 24UN
Sat 11/17 Mississippi State vs Arkansas-22.549.0W 52 - 6OY
Thu 11/22 Mississippi State at Ole Miss-12.561.0W 35 - 3UY
Tue 1/1 Mississippi State vs Iowa-7.040.0L 22 - 27ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Iowa's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Iowa vs Northern Illinois-9.546.0W 33 - 7UY
Sat 9/8 Iowa vs Iowa State-3.547.0W 13 - 3UY
Sat 9/15 Iowa vs Northern Iowa-21.043.5W 38 - 14OY
Sat 9/22 Iowa vs Wisconsin+3.043.5L 17 - 28ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/6 Iowa at Minnesota-7.041.5W 48 - 31OY
Sat 10/13 Iowa at Indiana-3.552.0W 42 - 16OY
Sat 10/20 Iowa vs Maryland-9.544.5W 23 - 0UY
Sat 10/27 Iowa at Penn State+5.552.0L 24 - 30ON
Sat 11/3 Iowa at Purdue+1.551.5L 36 - 38ON
Sat 11/10 Iowa vs Northwestern-10.046.5L 10 - 14UN
Sat 11/17 Iowa at Illinois-15.560.0W 63 - 0OY
Fri 11/23 Iowa vs Nebraska-7.552.0W 31 - 28ON
Tue 1/1 Iowa vs Mississippi State+7.040.0W 27 - 22OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Iowa's Schedule
Important Stats (2017)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSST.1646%30.448%3.325242%1673.65.0336%30.238%32%2.5354.61.71.6
IOWA.1139%29.338%2.7213940%1903.69.0442%16.142%39%2.2341.11.52
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
IOWA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSST Offense1330.425.846.2%3.651.7234192521675.261%37%48%42%14%.16
IOWA Defense1316.113.741.8%2.232 - - - - - 46%52%42%39%18%.04
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSST Defense1330.23136%2.531.6 - - - - - 52%46%38%32%21%.03
IOWA Offense1329.328.339.4%3.691.5173291391903.854%45%38%40%18%.11

Additional Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Mississippi State1333:232346%52%6.254.61.71.66.52.8532.4
Iowa1330:0917.434%64%5.141.11.524.82.2430.6
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSST Offense1361%48%48.8251.75.230.183.387%7%0.91
IOWA Defense1346%42% - - - - .022.8764%8%0.81
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSST Defense1352%38% - - - - .012.668%14%0.95
IOWA Offense1354%38%37139.23.817-.042.7270%13%0.75

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSST Offense1337%42%14.727.2166.96.211.41714.141.428%33%.277%1.7
IOWA Defense1352%39% - - - - - - 21.081.531%33%.1610%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSST Defense1346%32% - - - - - - 13.091.934%29%.188%1.6
IOWA Offense1345%40%15.327.3190.2712.4276.311.733%30%.245%1.8

Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Mississippi State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.2  #8
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6  #32
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 10.5  #1

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State:    Iowa: 6.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State: 23.2   Iowa: 13.3




Iowa's Power Ratings
Iowa's Power Rating: 6.65 NR
Iowa's Offense Rating: NR
Iowa's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #42
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Iowa's 2018 Expected Record: -
Iowa's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.3  #23
Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.3  #54
Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.7  #18

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.8
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 31

Mississippi State's 2018 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Iowa 30
Mississippi State 21

Projected Total Points: 51
Iowa Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.3
Defense: 16.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.7

Iowa's 2018 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201801/01Iowa27Mississippi State22Mississippi State -7Iowa40.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Iowa111 Overs
Mississippi State000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0

Mississippi State Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2018Outback Bowl Mississippi State vs Iowa-7.040.0L 22 - 27
2017N/A Mississippi State vs Louisville+6.562.0W 31 - 27
2016Petersburg Bowl Mississippi State vs Miami (OH)-11.558.0W 17 - 16
2015N/A Mississippi State vs NC State-7.0W 51 - 28
2014N/A Mississippi State vs Georgia Tech-5.559.5L 34 - 49
2013Liberty Bowl Mississippi State vs Rice-7.050.5W 44 - 7
2012Gator Bowl Mississippi State vs Northwestern  L 20 - 34
Iowa Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2018Outback Bowl Iowa vs Mississippi State+7.040.0W 27 - 22
2017Pinstripe Bowl Iowa vs Boston College-2.045.5W 27 - 20
2016Outback Bowl Iowa vs Florida+2.041.0L 3 - 30
2015Rose Bowl Iowa vs Stanford+6.5L 16 - 45
2014Taxslayer Bowl Iowa vs Tennessee+3.052.0L 28 - 45
2013Outback Bowl Iowa vs LSU+7.548.0L 14 - 21
  
(#) MSST at (#) IOWA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMSSTIOWA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #8 #23
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #23 #42
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Mississippi State on Offense
CategoryCat
MSST OffIOWA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #32 #18
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Mississippi State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSST OffIOWA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Mississippi State Pass Game
CategoryCat
MSST OffIOWA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Iowa on Offense
CategoryCatIOWA OffMSST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #54 #1
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Iowa Run Game
CategoryCat
IOWA OffMSST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Iowa Pass Game
CategoryCatIOWA OffMSST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
IOWA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

MSST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Raymond James Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
Mississippi State 7.0 (40.0)
Iowa won vs Mississippi State this year (27-22)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
MSST's OC ()
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MSST's DC ()
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IOWA's OC ()
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Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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IOWA's DC ()
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