(#15)Tennessee Volunteers at Mississippi State Bulldogs
Saturday, September 27th 2025 (4:15 PM EDT)
Tennessee -7.5 (63.5) (-290) Open: -10.0
Tennessee 41 - Mississippi State: 34 (SEC)
Volunteers (8 - 5) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (37 - 14)
Avg Score : 40 - 29 (37 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#54)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Coach Josh Heupel (37 - 14)
Avg Score : 40 - 29 (37 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#54)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
MSST 4th straight Home Game
MSST is playing their 5th straight game
TENN is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Tennessee -9.5 (SP+ TENN -11.5)
Projected Score: TENN: 34 - MSST: 25 (59)
TENN Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
TENN Travel: 326 miles, 1 hrs ahead
MSST is playing their 5th straight game
TENN is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Tennessee -9.5 (SP+ TENN -11.5)
Projected Score: TENN: 34 - MSST: 25 (59)
TENN Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
TENN Travel: 326 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Bulldogs (5 - 7) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach Jeff Lebby (2 - 10)
Avg Score : 31 - 29 (34 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 7.5 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Coach Jeff Lebby (2 - 10)
Avg Score : 31 - 29 (34 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 7.5 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
| Tennessee's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Tennessee vs Syracuse | -13.5 | 53.5 | W 45 - 26 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Tennessee vs East Tennessee State | -39.5 | 58.5 | W 72 - 17 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Tennessee vs Georgia | +3.5 | 50.5 | L 41 - 44 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Tennessee vs UAB | -39.5 | 69.5 | W 56 - 24 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/27 | Tennessee at Mississippi State | -7.5 | 63.5 | W 41 - 34 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/11 | Tennessee vs Arkansas | -10.0 | 68.5 | W 34 - 31 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/18 | Tennessee at Alabama | +8.5 | 60.5 | L 20 - 37 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/25 | Tennessee at Kentucky | -7.5 | 55.5 | W 56 - 34 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/1 | Tennessee vs Oklahoma | -3.0 | 55.5 | L 27 - 33 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | Tennessee vs New Mexico State | -41.5 | 59.5 | W 42 - 9 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/22 | Tennessee at Florida | -3.5 | 57.5 | W 31 - 11 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/29 | Tennessee vs Vanderbilt | -2.0 | 66.5 | L 24 - 45 | O | N | |
| Tue 12/30 | Tennessee vs Illinois | -3.0 | 62.5 | L 28 - 30 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Tennessee's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Mississippi State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Mississippi State at Southern Miss | -11.5 | 59.5 | W 34 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Mississippi State vs Arizona State | +6.0 | 58.5 | W 24 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Mississippi State vs Alcorn State | -42.5 | 56.5 | W 63 - 0 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Mississippi State vs Northern Illinois | -23.5 | 48.5 | W 38 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/27 | Mississippi State vs Tennessee | +7.5 | 63.5 | L 34 - 41 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/4 | Mississippi State at Texas A&M | +17.5 | 57.5 | L 9 - 31 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/18 | Mississippi State at Florida | +9.5 | 50.5 | L 21 - 23 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/25 | Mississippi State vs Texas | +8.5 | 48.5 | L 38 - 45 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/1 | Mississippi State at Arkansas | +5.5 | 66.5 | W 38 - 35 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/8 | Mississippi State vs Georgia | +9.5 | 56.5 | L 21 - 41 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/15 | Mississippi State at Missouri | +7.5 | 50.5 | L 27 - 49 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 11/28 | Mississippi State vs Ole Miss | +7.5 | 62.5 | L 19 - 38 | U | N | |
| Fri 1/2 | Mississippi State vs Wake Forest | -3.0 | 53.5 | ||||
Total: Elite: 6, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
Overall Stats 2025
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TENN | #7 (.34) | 51% (6) | 39.8 | 52% (4) | 3.04 (52) | 164 | 50% (9) | 284 | 4.66 (11) | #68 (.16) | 44% (97) | 28.8 | 46% (111) | 41% (67) | 4.16 (115) | 51.3 | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| MSST | #86 (.15) | 42% (73) | 30.5 | 45% (54) | 2.82 (92) | 161 | 39% (99) | 237 | 4.49 (19) | #104 (.21) | 44% (103) | 29.2 | 48% (124) | 41% (60) | 3.64 (66) | 61.8 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TENN | #46 (.23) | 47% (18) | 48% (23) | 3.4 (13) | 227 | 47% (19) | 221 | 4.02 (55) | #13 (.07) | 38% (17) | 36% (9) | 39% (48) | 3.03 (10) | 66.8 | 1.2 | 1.6 | ||
| MSST | #78 (.17) | 39% (109) | 40% (105) | 2.9 (93) | 139 | 38% (104) | 239 | 3.75 (86) | #130 (.32) | 50% (133) | 47% (108) | 55% (134) | 4.32 (113) | 60.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TENN Offense | 13 | 39.8 | 37 | 51% | 4.66 | 1.1 | 24 | 448 | 164 | 284 | 4.7 | 49% | 49% | 52% | 50% | 12% | .34 |
| MSST Defense | 12 | 29.2 | 27.9 | 44.2% | 3.64 | 1.4 | - | - | - | - | - | 53% | 45% | 48% | 41% | 14% | .21 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TENN Defense | 13 | 28.8 | 29 | 43.7% | 4.16 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | - | 50% | 49% | 46% | 41% | 19% | .16 |
| MSST Offense | 12 | 30.5 | 33.9 | 41.9% | 4.49 | 1.3 | 22 | 398 | 161 | 237 | 3.8 | 53% | 46% | 45% | 39% | 18% | .15 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee | 13 | 25:30 | 23.8 | 50% | 73% | 5.8 | 51.3 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 6.2 | 2.6 | 3 | 28.4 |
| Mississippi State | 12 | 28:42 | 21.8 | 44% | 48% | 7.3 | 61.8 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 0 | 28.8 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TENN Offense | 13 | 49% (71) | 52% (4) | 34.9 | 164.1 | 4.7 | 32 (16) | .26 (10) | 3.04 (52) | 84% (3) | 7% (18) | 0.95 (74) |
| MSST Defense | 12 | 53% (105) | 48% (124) | - | - | - | - | .16 (99) | 3.42 (135) | 74% (94) | 8% (120) | 0.89 (32) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TENN Defense | 13 | 50% (71) | 46% (111) | - | - | - | - | .09 (65) | 2.81 (56) | 81% (123) | 12% (12) | 0.85 (16) |
| MSST Offense | 12 | 53% (40) | 45% (54) | 42.3 | 161.4 | 3.8 | 28 (16) | .12 (64) | 2.82 (92) | 71% (72) | 12% (125) | 0.97 (65) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TENN Offense | 13 | 49% (67) | 50% (9) | 21.4 | 32.2 | 283.5 | 8.8 | 13.3 | 26 (14) | 10 (88) | .43 (18) | 1.6 (57) | 26% (15) | 35% (22) | .48 (15) | 5% (33) | 2.2 (11) |
| MSST Defense | 12 | 45% (31) | 41% (60) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 12 (6) | .28 (83) | 1.7 (114) | 29% (104) | 30% (74) | .33 (88) | 6% (64) | 2.2 (126) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TENN Defense | 13 | 49% (80) | 41% (67) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10 (75) | .23 (59) | 1.6 (67) | 31% (70) | 27% (29) | .26 (58) | 7% (46) | 2.2 (124) |
| MSST Offense | 12 | 46% (91) | 39% (99) | 18.9 | 30.3 | 237 | 7.8 | 12.5 | 19 (75) | 9 (60) | .2 (95) | 1.7 (16) | 34% (115) | 30% (70) | .35 (51) | 7% (94) | 2.3 (7) |
Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 21.08 #15
Tennessee's Offense Rating: 27.97 #5
Tennessee's Defense Rating: 6.89 #59
2025 Talent Rating: 910.00 #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 53% #10
Tennessee's 2025 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Tennessee's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.2 #21
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #5
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #61
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Tennessee's Power Rating: 21.08 #15
Tennessee's Offense Rating: 27.97 #5
Tennessee's Defense Rating: 6.89 #59
2025 Talent Rating: 910.00 #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 53% #10
Tennessee's 2025 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Tennessee's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.2 #21
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #5
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #61
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Power Ratings Matchup
Tennessee: 21.08 Mississippi State: 8.505
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tennessee: 15.2 Mississippi State: 3.8
Tennessee: 21.08 Mississippi State: 8.505
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tennessee: 15.2 Mississippi State: 3.8
Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 8.505 #48
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: 15.96 #34
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: 7.75 #67
2025 Talent Rating: 844.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 19 #27
Mississippi State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.5 - 7.5
Mississippi State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.8 #58
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #42
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #76
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 8.505 #48
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: 15.96 #34
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: 7.75 #67
2025 Talent Rating: 844.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 19 #27
Mississippi State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.5 - 7.5
Mississippi State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.8 #58
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #42
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #76
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 39.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 37
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 29
Tennessee's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 3 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Offense: 39.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 37
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 29
Tennessee's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 3 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Tennessee 34
Mississippi State 25
Total Points: 59
Based on Last 4 Games
Mississippi State 28
Tennessee 18
Total Points: 45
Based on Entire Season
Tennessee 34
Mississippi State 31
Total Points: 65
Tennessee 34
Mississippi State 25
Total Points: 59
Based on Last 4 Games
Mississippi State 28
Tennessee 18
Total Points: 45
Based on Entire Season
Tennessee 34
Mississippi State 31
Total Points: 65
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.9
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.9
Mississippi State's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.9
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.9
Mississippi State's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 09/27 | Mississippi State | 34 | Tennessee | 41 | Tennessee -7.5 | Mississippi State | 63.5 | Over |
| 2024 | 11/09 | Tennessee | 33 | Mississippi State | 14 | Tennessee -26.5 | Mississippi State | 61.5 | Under |
| 2019 | 10/12 | Tennessee | 20 | Mississippi State | 10 | Mississippi State -5 | Tennessee | 52.5 | Under |
| 2012 | 10/13 | Mississippi State | 41 | Tennessee | 31 | ||||
| 2008 | 10/18 | Tennessee | 34 | Mississippi State | 3 | ||||
| 2007 | 10/13 | Mississippi State | 21 | Tennessee | 33 | ||||
| 2003 | 11/15 | Tennessee | 59 | Mississippi State | 21 | ||||
| 2002 | 11/16 | Mississippi State | 17 | Tennessee | 35 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State | 1 | 2 | 1 Overs |
| Tennessee | 7 | 1 | 2 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 5 - 3 | 2 - 1 | 0 - 1 | 2 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 3 - 5 | 1 - 2 | 0 - 2 | 1 - 0 |
| Overall StatsOvr | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | TENN | MSST |
| Power RatePwr | #15 | #48 |
| SP+SP+ | #21 | #58 |
| Perf GradeGrade | #17 | #102 |
| OffenseOff | #17 | #94 |
| DefenseDef | #35 | #105 |
| Spec TeamsST | #53 | #84 |
| TalentTal | #20 | #40 |
| Blue ChipsBC% | #10 | #27 |
(12/10) Hiring DC Jim Knowles (PSU/OSU). Good hire?
(12/8) Fired DC Tim Banks after 3 years, Def awful in '25
(11/30) Outrushed by Vandy 314-83. Vols Def fell off a cliff
(11/30) Zero wins vs teams w/ a winning record in '25
(11/16) CB Boo Carter no longer with team. Again.
(10/30) Vols have beaten 3 SEC teams all w/ 0 wins
(10/20) Mistakes killed vs Bama, 10 flags, pick six, safety
(10/20) OG'd Bama, Rush Off good, tackling was nightmare
(9/15) Great perf vs UGA, brutal loss. Off brilliant
(9/15) Aguliar has been good, WR Brazzell a great one
(9/1) Starting CB McCoy out early season (ACL rec)
(11/16) Run Def is awful. 300+ to Mizzu. Rebs will run wild
(10/23) Now 1-12 vs P4 teams since start of '24
(9/29) RT Albert Reese IV inj vs Tenn, ? for A&M
(9/26) Hot start, huge W vs ASU. Shapen looks sharp so far
(9/8) Starting DE Will Whitson out for season, big
(8/30) Shapen good, Run Off better, Def better
(5/23) WR huge ? Top 6 are portals? 4 best LY left
(5/23) Added 5 portal OL post spring. Bad sign?
(5/23) Talent #'s of a mid B12 team, and dropping
(5/7) Def 39 ppg, 7 ypp allowed in SEC play LY
(5/2) TE Seydou Traore a good, reliable target
| Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49% | ||
|---|---|---|
| TENN Off | MSST Def | |
| Perf GradePerf | #17 | #105 |
| SuccessSuc | #6 | #103 |
| ExplosiveExp | #52 | #60 |
| PPAPPA | #7 | #104 |
| PowerPwr | #5 | #67 |
| SP+SP+ | #5 | #76 |
| Pts POPPO | #11 | #66 |
| HavocHav | #17 | #107 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49% | ||
|---|---|---|
| TENN Off | MSST Def | |
| Run GameRun | #12 | #85 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #4 | #124 |
| Run ExplRExp | #74 | #32 |
| PPAExp | #10 | #99 | Run BlockR Blk | #83 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #52 | #135 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #15 | #124 |
| TackleTak | - | #95 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49% | ||
|---|---|---|
| TENN Off | MSST Def | |
| Pass GamePass | #3 | #79 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #9 | #60 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #57 | #114 |
| PPAExp | #18 | #83 |
| Pass Rush/BlockP Blk | #34 | #127 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #18 | #120 |
| DB HavocDB | #33 | #64 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | MSST Off | TENN Def |
| Perf GradePerf | #94 | #35 |
| SuccessSuc | #73 | #97 |
| ExplosiveExp | #43 | #25 |
| PPAPPA | #86 | #68 |
| PowerPwr | #34 | #59 |
| SP+SP+ | #42 | #61 |
| Pts POPPO | #19 | #115 |
| HavocHav | #120 | #18 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53% | ||
|---|---|---|
| MSST Off | TENN Def | |
| Run GameRun | #74 | #47 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #54 | #111 |
| Run ExplRExp | #65 | #16 |
| PPAExp | #64 | #65 | Run BlockR Blk | #107 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #92 | #56 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #79 | #39 |
| TackleTak | - | #63 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | MSST Off | TENN Def |
| Pass GamePass | #54 | #46 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #99 | #67 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #16 | #67 |
| PPAExp | #95 | #59 |
| Pass Block/RushP Blk | #80 | #24 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #125 | #12 |
| DB HavocDB | #94 | #46 |
Program Comparison
MSST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4
TENN 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders
MSST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4
TENN 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders
Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 84°
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 84°
Tennessee 7.5 (63.5)
Tennessee won at Mississippi State this year (41-34)
Previous Matchups
Tennessee beat Mississippi State last year (33-14)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Aguilar (Tr) | 258 | 386 | 67% | 3444 | 24 | 10 | 8.9 |
| Jake Merklinger | 13 | 24 | 54% | 173 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeSean Bishop | 163 | 983 | 14 | 6.0 | 50 |
| Star Thomas (Tr) | 95 | 529 | 7 | 5.6 | 52 |
| Peyton Lewis | 70 | 290 | 7 | 4.1 | 32 |
| Daune Morris | 35 | 133 | 1 | 3.8 | 19 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Brazzell II | 62 | 1017 | 9 | 16.4 | 72 |
| Braylon Staley | 64 | 806 | 6 | 12.6 | 73 |
| Mike Matthews | 50 | 770 | 4 | 15.4 | 62 |
| Ethan Davis | 21 | 257 | 2 | 12.2 | 40 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arion Carter | 75 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Edwin Spillman | 74 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Jeremiah Telander | 71 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Edrees Farooq | 71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominic Bailey | 25 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| Tyre West | 22 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| Caleb Herring | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| Daevin Hobbs | 28 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Redmond | 39 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| Colton Hood (Tr) | 50 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| Jalen Mcmurray | 54 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Shapen | 195 | 304 | 64% | 2436 | 15 | 8 | 8.0 |
| Kamario Taylor | 30 | 55 | 55% | 388 | 4 | 1 | 7.1 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluff Bothwell (Tr) | 128 | 639 | 6 | 5.0 | 43 |
| Davon Booth | 136 | 552 | 7 | 4.1 | 22 |
| Kamario Taylor | 64 | 395 | 7 | 6.2 | 39 |
| Xavier Gayten | 24 | 149 | 2 | 6.2 | 25 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brenen Thompson (Tr) | 53 | 948 | 6 | 17.9 | 58 |
| Anthony Evans III (Tr) | 63 | 751 | 4 | 11.9 | 57 |
| Seydou Traore | 34 | 361 | 5 | 10.6 | 55 |
| Ayden Williams (Tr) | 19 | 222 | 0 | 11.7 | 49 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahron Manning (Tr) | 85 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Nic Mitchell | 72 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Brylan Lanier | 65 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Isaac Smith | 64 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nic Mitchell | 72 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Darron Reed Jr. (Tr) | 21 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Will Whitson (Tr) | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Kalvin Dinkins | 25 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelley Jones | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
| Jahron Manning (Tr) | 85 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| DeAgo Brumfeld | 33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |