Tennessee Volunteers at Mississippi State Bulldogs 
Saturday, September 27th 2025 (4:15 PM EDT)
Tennessee -7.5 (63.5) (-290) Open: -10.0
Tennessee 41 - Mississippi State: 34 (SEC)
Volunteers (8 - 5) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (37 - 14)
Avg Score : 40 - 29 (37 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#54)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 3) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Coach Josh Heupel (37 - 14)
Avg Score : 40 - 29 (37 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#54)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 3) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
MSST 4th straight Home Game
MSST is playing their 5th straight game
TENN is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Tennessee -4 (SP+ TENN -11)
Projected Score: TENN: 34 - MSST: 30 (64)
TENN Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
TENN Travel: 326 miles, 1 hrs ahead
MSST is playing their 5th straight game
TENN is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Tennessee -4 (SP+ TENN -11)
Projected Score: TENN: 34 - MSST: 30 (64)
TENN Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
TENN Travel: 326 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Bulldogs (5 - 8) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jeff Lebby (2 - 10)
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (34 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 7.5 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 5) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Coach Jeff Lebby (2 - 10)
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (34 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 7.5 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 5) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
| Tennessee's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Tennessee vs Syracuse | -13.5 | 53.5 | W 45 - 26 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Tennessee vs East Tennessee State | -39.5 | 58.5 | W 72 - 17 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Tennessee vs Georgia | +3.5 | 50.5 | L 41 - 44 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Tennessee vs UAB | -39.5 | 69.5 | W 56 - 24 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/27 | Tennessee at Mississippi State | -7.5 | 63.5 | W 41 - 34 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/11 | Tennessee vs Arkansas | -10.0 | 68.5 | W 34 - 31 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/18 | Tennessee at Alabama | +8.5 | 60.5 | L 20 - 37 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/25 | Tennessee at Kentucky | -7.5 | 55.5 | W 56 - 34 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/1 | Tennessee vs Oklahoma | -3.0 | 55.5 | L 27 - 33 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | Tennessee vs New Mexico State | -41.5 | 59.5 | W 42 - 9 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/22 | Tennessee at Florida | -3.5 | 57.5 | W 31 - 11 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/29 | Tennessee vs Vanderbilt | -2.0 | 66.5 | L 24 - 45 | O | N | |
| Tue 12/30 | Tennessee vs Illinois | -3.0 | 62.5 | L 28 - 30 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Tennessee's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Mississippi State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Mississippi State at Southern Miss | -11.5 | 59.5 | W 34 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Mississippi State vs Arizona State | +6.0 | 58.5 | W 24 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Mississippi State vs Alcorn State | -42.5 | 56.5 | W 63 - 0 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Mississippi State vs Northern Illinois | -23.5 | 48.5 | W 38 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/27 | Mississippi State vs Tennessee | +7.5 | 63.5 | L 34 - 41 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/4 | Mississippi State at Texas A&M | +17.5 | 57.5 | L 9 - 31 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/18 | Mississippi State at Florida | +9.5 | 50.5 | L 21 - 23 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/25 | Mississippi State vs Texas | +8.5 | 48.5 | L 38 - 45 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/1 | Mississippi State at Arkansas | +5.5 | 66.5 | W 38 - 35 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/8 | Mississippi State vs Georgia | +9.5 | 56.5 | L 21 - 41 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/15 | Mississippi State at Missouri | +7.5 | 50.5 | L 27 - 49 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 11/28 | Mississippi State vs Ole Miss | +7.5 | 62.5 | L 19 - 38 | U | N | |
| Fri 1/2 | Mississippi State vs Wake Forest | -3.0 | 52.5 | L 29 - 43 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 6, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
Overall Stats 2024
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TENN | #46 (.23) | 47% (18) | 39.8 | 48% (23) | 3.4 (13) | 227 | 47% (19) | 221 | 4.02 (55) | #13 (.07) | 38% (17) | 28.8 | 36% (9) | 39% (48) | 3.03 (10) | 66.8 | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| MSST | #78 (.17) | 39% (109) | 30.4 | 40% (105) | 2.9 (93) | 139 | 38% (104) | 239 | 3.75 (86) | #130 (.32) | 50% (133) | 30.2 | 47% (108) | 55% (134) | 4.32 (113) | 60.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TENN | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| MSST | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TENN Offense | 13 | 39.8 | 37 | 47.4% | 4.02 | 1.2 | 23 | 448 | 227 | 221 | 5.1 | 57% | 43% | 48% | 47% | 12% | .23 |
| MSST Defense | 12 | 30.2 | 27.9 | 50.4% | 4.32 | 0.9 | - | - | - | - | - | 59% | 41% | 47% | 55% | 11% | .32 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TENN Defense | 13 | 28.8 | 29 | 37.6% | 3.03 | 1.6 | - | - | - | - | - | 48% | 51% | 36% | 39% | 21% | .07 |
| MSST Offense | 12 | 30.4 | 33.9 | 39.2% | 3.75 | 1.5 | 20 | 378 | 139 | 239 | 4 | 50% | 50% | 40% | 38% | 21% | .17 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee | 13 | 29:35 | 23.3 | 47% | 61% | 8.1 | 66.8 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 7.2 | 2.2 | 2 | 31.6 |
| Mississippi State | 12 | 25:41 | 20.3 | 37% | 57% | 6.8 | 60.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 3.9 | 0.8 | 2 | 28.1 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TENN Offense | 13 | 57% (23) | 48% (23) | 44.7 | 226.8 | 5.1 | 34 (10) | .18 (39) | 3.4 (13) | 86% (2) | 8% (33) | 0.87 (115) |
| MSST Defense | 12 | 59% (132) | 47% (108) | - | - | - | - | .15 (80) | 3.3 (113) | 71% (57) | 7% (133) | 0.85 (13) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TENN Defense | 13 | 48% (42) | 36% (9) | - | - | - | - | .01 (17) | 2.61 (17) | 62% (15) | 14% (5) | 0.98 (65) |
| MSST Offense | 12 | 50% (73) | 40% (105) | 34.8 | 138.6 | 4 | 19 (73) | .09 (92) | 2.9 (93) | 73% (71) | 13% (122) | 1.08 (28) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TENN Offense | 13 | 43% (111) | 47% (19) | 18.2 | 28.7 | 221.2 | 7.7 | 12.2 | 21 (51) | 7 (26) | .29 (51) | 1.5 (113) | 29% (25) | 34% (41) | .38 (50) | 4% (13) | 1.9 (114) |
| MSST Defense | 12 | 41% (3) | 55% (134) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7 (104) | .58 (134) | 1.5 (48) | 24% (134) | 39% (131) | .55 (130) | 4% (123) | 1.9 (38) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TENN Defense | 13 | 51% (87) | 39% (48) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 12 (39) | .16 (32) | 1.5 (38) | 33% (46) | 31% (74) | .33 (80) | 7% (39) | 2 (44) |
| MSST Offense | 12 | 50% (62) | 38% (104) | 17.9 | 30.6 | 239.3 | 7.8 | 13.4 | 19 (65) | 8 (40) | .25 (76) | 1.8 (18) | 34% (113) | 32% (62) | .33 (73) | 8% (116) | 2.1 (56) |
Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 13.66 #27
Tennessee's Offense Rating: 24.25 #15
Tennessee's Defense Rating: 10.59 #48
2025 Talent Rating: 910.00 #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 53% #10
Tennessee's 2025 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Tennessee's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.0 #19
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.3 #7
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #63
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Tennessee's Power Rating: 13.66 #27
Tennessee's Offense Rating: 24.25 #15
Tennessee's Defense Rating: 10.59 #48
2025 Talent Rating: 910.00 #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 53% #10
Tennessee's 2025 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Tennessee's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.0 #19
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.3 #7
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #63
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Power Ratings Matchup
Tennessee: 13.66 Mississippi State: 10.25
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tennessee: 15.0 Mississippi State: 4.1
Tennessee: 13.66 Mississippi State: 10.25
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tennessee: 15.0 Mississippi State: 4.1
Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 10.25 #38
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: 20.94 #24
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: 9.54 #44
2025 Talent Rating: 844.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 19 #27
Mississippi State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.5 - 7.5
Mississippi State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.1 #58
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6 #39
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #84
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 10.25 #38
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: 20.94 #24
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: 9.54 #44
2025 Talent Rating: 844.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 19 #27
Mississippi State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.5 - 7.5
Mississippi State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.1 #58
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6 #39
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #84
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 39.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 37
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 29
Tennessee's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 3 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Offense: 39.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 37
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 29
Tennessee's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 3 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Tennessee 34
Mississippi State 30
Projected Total Points: 64
Tennessee 34
Mississippi State 30
Projected Total Points: 64
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.9
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.9
Mississippi State's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 8
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.9
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.9
Mississippi State's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 8
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 09/27 | Mississippi State | 34 | Tennessee | 41 | Tennessee -7.5 | Mississippi State | 63.5 | Over |
| 2024 | 11/09 | Tennessee | 33 | Mississippi State | 14 | Tennessee -26.5 | Mississippi State | 61.5 | Under |
| 2019 | 10/12 | Tennessee | 20 | Mississippi State | 10 | Mississippi State -5 | Tennessee | 52.5 | Under |
| 2012 | 10/13 | Mississippi State | 41 | Tennessee | 31 | ||||
| 2008 | 10/18 | Tennessee | 34 | Mississippi State | 3 | ||||
| 2007 | 10/13 | Mississippi State | 21 | Tennessee | 33 | ||||
| 2003 | 11/15 | Tennessee | 59 | Mississippi State | 21 | ||||
| 2002 | 11/16 | Mississippi State | 17 | Tennessee | 35 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State | 1 | 2 | 1 Overs |
| Tennessee | 7 | 1 | 2 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 5 - 3 | 2 - 1 | 0 - 1 | 2 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 3 - 5 | 1 - 2 | 0 - 2 | 1 - 0 |
| Overall StatsOvr | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | TENN | MSST |
| Net PPPPPP | NR | NR |
| Power RatePwr | #27 | #38 |
| SP+SP+ | #19 | #58 |
| Perf GradeGrade | #19 | #105 |
| OffenseOff | #15 | #84 |
| DefenseDef | #55 | #119 |
| Spec TeamsST | #32 | #77 |
| TalentTal | #20 | #40 |
| Blue ChipsBC% | #10 | #27 |
(12/10) Hiring DC Jim Knowles (PSU/OSU). Good hire?
(12/8) Fired DC Tim Banks after 3 years, Def awful in '25
(11/30) Outrushed by Vandy 314-83. Vols Def fell off a cliff
(11/30) Zero wins vs teams w/ a winning record in '25
(11/16) CB Boo Carter no longer with team. Again.
(10/30) Vols have beaten 3 SEC teams all w/ 0 wins
(10/20) Mistakes killed vs Bama, 10 flags, pick six, safety
(10/20) OG'd Bama, Rush Off good, tackling was nightmare
(9/15) Great perf vs UGA, brutal loss. Off brilliant
(9/15) Aguliar has been good, WR Brazzell a great one
(9/1) Starting CB McCoy out early season (ACL rec)
(11/16) Run Def is awful. 300+ to Mizzu. Rebs will run wild
(10/23) Now 1-12 vs P4 teams since start of '24
(9/29) RT Albert Reese IV inj vs Tenn, ? for A&M
(9/26) Hot start, huge W vs ASU. Shapen looks sharp so far
(9/8) Starting DE Will Whitson out for season, big
(8/30) Shapen good, Run Off better, Def better
(5/23) WR huge ? Top 6 are portals? 4 best LY left
(5/23) Added 5 portal OL post spring. Bad sign?
(5/23) Talent #'s of a mid B12 team, and dropping
(5/7) Def 39 ppg, 7 ypp allowed in SEC play LY
(5/2) TE Seydou Traore a good, reliable target
| Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49% | ||
|---|---|---|
| TENN Off | MSST Def | |
| PPPOffPPP | NR | NR |
| Perf GradePerf | #15 | #119 |
| SuccessSuc | #18 | #133 |
| ExplosiveExp | #128 | #18 |
| PPAPPA | #46 | #130 |
| PowerPwr | #15 | #44 |
| SP+SP+ | #7 | #84 |
| Pts POPPO | #55 | #113 |
| HavocHav | #15 | #134 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49% | ||
|---|---|---|
| TENN Off | MSST Def | |
| Run GameRun | #7 | #113 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #23 | #108 |
| Run ExplRExp | #115 | #13 |
| PPAExp | #39 | #80 | Run BlockR Blk | #66 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #13 | #113 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #4 | #114 |
| TackleTak | - | #96 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49% | ||
|---|---|---|
| TENN Off | MSST Def | |
| Pass GamePass | #3 | #87 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #19 | #134 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #113 | #48 |
| PPAExp | #51 | #134 |
| Pass Rush/BlockP Blk | #59 | #132 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #33 | #133 |
| DB HavocDB | #13 | #123 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | MSST Off | TENN Def |
| PPPDefPPP | NR | NR |
| Perf GradePerf | #84 | #55 |
| SuccessSuc | #109 | #17 |
| ExplosiveExp | #6 | #58 |
| PPAPPA | #78 | #13 |
| PowerPwr | #24 | #48 |
| SP+SP+ | #39 | #63 |
| Pts POPPO | #86 | #10 |
| HavocHav | #127 | #5 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53% | ||
|---|---|---|
| MSST Off | TENN Def | |
| Run GameRun | #68 | #94 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #105 | #9 |
| Run ExplRExp | #28 | #65 |
| PPAExp | #92 | #17 | Run BlockR Blk | #98 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #93 | #17 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #44 | #15 |
| TackleTak | - | #58 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | MSST Off | TENN Def |
| Pass GamePass | #43 | #41 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #104 | #48 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #18 | #38 |
| PPAExp | #76 | #32 |
| Pass Block/RushP Blk | #78 | #23 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #122 | #5 |
| DB HavocDB | #116 | #39 |
Program Comparison
MSST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4
TENN 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders
MSST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4
TENN 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders
Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Tennessee 7.5 (63.5)
Tennessee won at Mississippi State this year (41-34)
Previous Matchups
Tennessee beat Mississippi State last year (41-34)
Tennessee beat Mississippi State in 2024 (33-14)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Aguilar (Tr) | 272 | 404 | 67% | 3565 | 24 | 10 | 8.8 |
| Jake Merklinger | 13 | 24 | 54% | 173 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeSean Bishop | 182 | 1076 | 16 | 5.9 | 50 |
| Star Thomas (Tr) | 104 | 596 | 7 | 5.7 | 52 |
| Peyton Lewis | 70 | 290 | 7 | 4.1 | 32 |
| Daune Morris | 35 | 133 | 1 | 3.8 | 19 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Brazzell II | 62 | 1017 | 9 | 16.4 | 72 |
| Braylon Staley | 68 | 837 | 6 | 12.3 | 73 |
| Mike Matthews | 53 | 813 | 4 | 15.3 | 62 |
| Ethan Davis | 21 | 257 | 2 | 12.2 | 40 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edwin Spillman | 81 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Jeremiah Telander | 80 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Edrees Farooq | 76 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Arion Carter | 75 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominic Bailey | 27 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| Caleb Herring | 15 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| Tyre West | 23 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| Daevin Hobbs | 30 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Redmond | 43 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
| Colton Hood (Tr) | 50 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| Jalen Mcmurray | 56 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Shapen | 195 | 304 | 64% | 2436 | 15 | 8 | 8.0 |
| Kamario Taylor | 43 | 77 | 56% | 629 | 5 | 1 | 8.2 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluff Bothwell (Tr) | 142 | 677 | 6 | 4.8 | 43 |
| Davon Booth | 136 | 552 | 7 | 4.1 | 22 |
| Kamario Taylor | 82 | 458 | 8 | 5.6 | 39 |
| Xavier Gayten | 29 | 157 | 2 | 5.4 | 25 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brenen Thompson (Tr) | 57 | 1054 | 6 | 18.5 | 58 |
| Anthony Evans III (Tr) | 67 | 831 | 4 | 12.4 | 57 |
| Seydou Traore | 35 | 372 | 5 | 10.6 | 55 |
| Ayden Williams (Tr) | 21 | 252 | 0 | 12.0 | 49 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahron Manning (Tr) | 91 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Nic Mitchell | 78 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Brylan Lanier | 67 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Isaac Smith | 64 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nic Mitchell | 78 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Will Whitson (Tr) | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Darron Reed Jr. (Tr) | 21 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Malick Sylla (Tr) | 33 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelley Jones | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
| Jahron Manning (Tr) | 91 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| DeAgo Brumfeld | 36 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |