(#8)Texas Longhorns at Mississippi State Bulldogs
Saturday, October 25th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Davis Wade Stadium - Starkville, MS (SEC)
Longhorns (2 - 1) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (36 - 16)
Avg Score : 24 - 10 (7 - 14 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.2 - 3.8 (#38)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (36 - 16)
Avg Score : 24 - 10 (7 - 14 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.2 - 3.8 (#38)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
TEX 2nd straight Road Game
TEX is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Texas -7 (SP+ TEX -10)
Projected Score: TEX: 24 - MSST: 17 (40)
TEX Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
TEX Travel: 568 miles
TEX is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Texas -7 (SP+ TEX -10)
Projected Score: TEX: 24 - MSST: 17 (40)
TEX Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
TEX Travel: 568 miles
Bulldogs (3 - 0) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jeff Lebby (2 - 10)
Avg Score : 40 - 12 (44 - 10 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.4 - 5.6 (#76)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 7) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Coach Jeff Lebby (2 - 10)
Avg Score : 40 - 12 (44 - 10 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.4 - 5.6 (#76)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 7) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
| Texas's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Texas at Ohio State | +1.5 | 46.5 | L 7 - 14 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Texas vs San José State | -37.0 | 52.5 | W 38 - 7 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Texas vs UTEP | -39.5 | 52.5 | W 27 - 10 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Texas vs Sam Houston | -40.5 | 51.5 | ||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/4 | Texas at Florida | -4 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Texas vs Oklahoma | +0 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Texas at Kentucky | -12.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Texas at Mississippi State | -7 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Texas vs Vanderbilt | -8.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | Texas at Georgia | +5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Texas vs Arkansas | -11 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Texas vs Texas A&M | -3.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 6, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Texas's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Mississippi State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Mississippi State at Southern Miss | -11.5 | 59.5 | W 34 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Mississippi State vs Arizona State | +6.0 | 58.5 | W 24 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Mississippi State vs Alcorn State | -42.5 | 56.5 | W 63 - 0 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Mississippi State vs Northern Illinois | -21.5 | 49.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Mississippi State vs Tennessee | +5.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Mississippi State at Texas A&M | +11 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/18 | Mississippi State at Florida | +5.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Mississippi State vs Texas | +7 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Mississippi State at Arkansas | +4 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Mississippi State vs Georgia | +9.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Mississippi State at Missouri | +12 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/29 | Mississippi State vs Ole Miss | +6 | |||||
Total: Elite: 7, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 7, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 7, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEX | #130 (-.01) | 42% (86) | 24 | 49% (44) | 3.25 (40) | 182 | 32% (122) | 200 | 3.25 (107) | #11 (-.09) | 33% (25) | 10.3 | 35% (38) | 31% (24) | 2.58 (38) | 81 | 1.3 | 2 |
| MSST | #26 (.36) | 50% (33) | 40.3 | 56% (18) | 3.14 (53) | 179 | 44% (62) | 263 | 4.94 (33) | #32 (.02) | 38% (57) | 12.3 | 43% (87) | 32% (29) | 3.4 (65) | 84.7 | 0.7 | 2 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEX | #39 (.24) | 46% (27) | 49% (16) | 2.95 (84) | 152 | 44% (43) | 241 | 4.03 (54) | #3 (-.01) | 38% (22) | 42% (61) | 34% (7) | 2.57 (3) | 44.3 | 1.4 | 1.8 | ||
| MSST | #78 (.17) | 39% (109) | 40% (105) | 2.9 (93) | 139 | 38% (104) | 239 | 3.75 (86) | #130 (.32) | 50% (133) | 47% (108) | 55% (134) | 4.32 (113) | 60.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEX Offense | 3 | 24 | 7 | 41.6% | 3.25 | 1.3 | 19 | 383 | 182 | 200 | 4.4 | 58% | 41% | 49% | 32% | 10% | -.01 |
| MSST Defense | 3 | 12.3 | 10 | 37.7% | 3.4 | 2 | - | - | - | - | - | 58% | 42% | 43% | 32% | 18% | .02 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEX Defense | 3 | 10.3 | 14 | 33.1% | 2.58 | 2 | - | - | - | - | - | 47% | 53% | 35% | 31% | 15% | -.09 |
| MSST Offense | 3 | 40.3 | 43.5 | 49.7% | 4.94 | 0.7 | 21 | 441 | 179 | 263 | 5 | 50% | 50% | 56% | 44% | 15% | .36 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas | 3 | 31:39 | 19 | 29% | 42% | 8.3 | 81 | 1.3 | 2 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0 | 35.9 |
| Mississippi State | 3 | 23:05 | 21 | 55% | 50% | 10 | 84.7 | 0.7 | 2 | 5 | 1.3 | 0 | 34.5 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEX Offense | 3 | 58% (23) | 49% (44) | 41.7 | 182.3 | 4.4 | 3 (95) | .1 (86) | 3.25 (40) | 68% (84) | 6% (16) | 0.72 (125) |
| MSST Defense | 3 | 58% (119) | 43% (87) | - | - | - | - | -.02 (41) | 3.03 (93) | 58% (32) | 9% (79) | 0.75 (25) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEX Defense | 3 | 47% (49) | 35% (38) | - | - | - | - | -.19 (8) | 2.11 (16) | 45% (17) | 7% (110) | 0.44 (2) |
| MSST Offense | 3 | 50% (74) | 56% (18) | 36 | 178.7 | 5 | 9 (17) | .26 (36) | 3.14 (53) | 57% (114) | 7% (32) | 0.95 (72) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEX Offense | 3 | 41% (114) | 32% (122) | 16.3 | 29.3 | 200.3 | 6.8 | 12.3 | 6 (34) | 3 (92) | -.11 (132) | 1.5 (78) | 27% (38) | 21% (121) | .13 (111) | 5% (57) | 1.8 (100) |
| MSST Defense | 3 | 42% (18) | 32% (29) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 (12) | .09 (34) | 1.5 (63) | 32% (84) | 21% (30) | .07 (27) | 9% (16) | 2 (66) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEX Defense | 3 | 53% (90) | 31% (24) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (28) | - (21) | 1.2 (14) | 31% (88) | 13% (7) | -.13 (7) | 8% (26) | 1.2 (1) |
| MSST Offense | 3 | 50% (64) | 44% (62) | 19.7 | 29.3 | 262.7 | 9 | 13.4 | 7 (23) | 2 (60) | .46 (33) | 1.8 (13) | 29% (59) | 38% (33) | .72 (16) | 8% (120) | 2.7 (4) |
Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 29.65 #11
Texas's Offense Rating: 15.74 #50
Texas's Defense Rating: -13.92 #1
2025 Talent Rating: 1074.00 #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 65% #6
Texas's 2025 Expected Record: 8.2 - 3.8
Texas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.8 #14
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #48
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 10.9 #1
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Texas's Power Rating: 29.65 #11
Texas's Offense Rating: 15.74 #50
Texas's Defense Rating: -13.92 #1
2025 Talent Rating: 1074.00 #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 65% #6
Texas's 2025 Expected Record: 8.2 - 3.8
Texas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.8 #14
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #48
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 10.9 #1
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Texas: 29.65 Mississippi State: 17.145
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas: 18.8 Mississippi State: 8.7
Texas: 29.65 Mississippi State: 17.145
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas: 18.8 Mississippi State: 8.7
Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 17.145 #28
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: 23.00 #26
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: 2.41 #40
2025 Talent Rating: 844.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 19 #27
Mississippi State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.4 - 5.6
Mississippi State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.7 #45
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #37
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.4 #48
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 17.145 #28
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: 23.00 #26
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: 2.41 #40
2025 Talent Rating: 844.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 19 #27
Mississippi State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.4 - 5.6
Mississippi State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.7 #45
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #37
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.4 #48
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Texas Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense on Road: 7
Defense: 10.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 14
Texas's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense on Road: 7
Defense: 10.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 14
Texas's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Texas 24
Mississippi State 17
Total Points: 40
Texas 24
Mississippi State 17
Total Points: 40
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 40.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.5
Defense: 12.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 10
Mississippi State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0
Offense: 40.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.5
Defense: 12.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 10
Mississippi State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 09/28 | Texas | 35 | Mississippi State | 13 | Texas | Texas -37 | Mississippi State | 58.5 | Under |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State | 0 | 1 | 0 Overs |
| Texas | 1 | 0 | 1 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 1 - 0 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 0 - 1 | 1 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 1 - 0 |
(#11) Texas Info
Power Rating: 29.65 #11
Offense Rating: 15.74 #50
Defense Rating: -13.92 #1
Overall SP+ Rating: 18.8 #14
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #48
Defense SP+ Rating: 10.9 #1
Talent Rating: 1074.00 #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 65% #6
Expected Record: 8.2 - 3.8
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.25 PPO
Good Run Success 49%
Awful Pass Success 32%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 33%
Good in Scoring Position 2.58 PPO
Good Run Def Success 35%
Good Pass Def Success 31%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Texas has lost 4 straight
Texas has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Texas Notes
(9/13) Arch awful vs UTEP. Very concerning now
(8/30) Fr CB Graceson Littleton the real deal
(8/30) Arch bad vs OSU, inconsistent. OL dominated
(6/14) Only P4 w/ same HC, OC, DC, S&C for 5+ year
(6/6) WRs lost top 2, lots of talent. Top 10 via PFF?
(5/23) Secondary top 3 in CFB w/ a great CB duo
(5/19) Added QB Caldwell (Troy) post spring
(5/19) DL added 5 via portal, TE Endries (Cal) big add
(5/11) Least exp'd OL in SEC, only 1/5 starters back
(5/2) CB Muhammad, S Taaffe both top 10 via PFF
Texas Highlights
Texas has a really good defense (#25)
Texas defense does not give up big plays (#2)
Texas has a good pass defense (#24)
Texas Defensive Line is very good (#16)
Texas Secondary is very good (#26)
Texas defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Texas Deficiencies
Texas Commits a Lot of Penalties (#121)
Texas offense is not Explosive (#132)
Texas offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#107)
Texas pass game is really bad (#122)
Texas offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Power Rating: 29.65 #11
Offense Rating: 15.74 #50
Defense Rating: -13.92 #1
Overall SP+ Rating: 18.8 #14
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #48
Defense SP+ Rating: 10.9 #1
Talent Rating: 1074.00 #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 65% #6
Expected Record: 8.2 - 3.8
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.25 PPO
Good Run Success 49%
Awful Pass Success 32%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 33%
Good in Scoring Position 2.58 PPO
Good Run Def Success 35%
Good Pass Def Success 31%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Texas has lost 4 straight
Texas has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Texas Notes
(9/13) Arch awful vs UTEP. Very concerning now
(8/30) Fr CB Graceson Littleton the real deal
(8/30) Arch bad vs OSU, inconsistent. OL dominated
(6/14) Only P4 w/ same HC, OC, DC, S&C for 5+ year
(6/6) WRs lost top 2, lots of talent. Top 10 via PFF?
(5/23) Secondary top 3 in CFB w/ a great CB duo
(5/19) Added QB Caldwell (Troy) post spring
(5/19) DL added 5 via portal, TE Endries (Cal) big add
(5/11) Least exp'd OL in SEC, only 1/5 starters back
(5/2) CB Muhammad, S Taaffe both top 10 via PFF
Texas Highlights
Texas has a really good defense (#25)
Texas defense does not give up big plays (#2)
Texas has a good pass defense (#24)
Texas Defensive Line is very good (#16)
Texas Secondary is very good (#26)
Texas defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Texas Deficiencies
Texas Commits a Lot of Penalties (#121)
Texas offense is not Explosive (#132)
Texas offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#107)
Texas pass game is really bad (#122)
Texas offense is bad on 3rd Downs
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | MSST | TEX |
| OverallOver | #38 | #29 |
| OffenseOff | #46 | #66 |
| DefenseDef | #38 | #6 |
| Special TeamsST | #84 | #58 |
| PassingPass | #28 | #56 |
| RushingRush | #13 | #45 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #79 | #59 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #46 | #54 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #65 | #74 |
| TacklingTkl | #39 | #24 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #36 | #8 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #75 | #5 |
| Coverage DefCov | #20 | #18 |
(#28) Mississippi State Info
Power Rating: 17.145 #28
Offense Rating: 23.00 #26
Defense Rating: 2.41 #40
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.7 #45
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #37
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.4 #48
Talent Rating: 844.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 19 #27
Expected Record: 6.4 - 5.6
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Good Offense Success Rate of 50%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.94 PPO
Great Run Success 56%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.4 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Good Pass Def Success 32%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Mississippi State has lost 4 straight
Mississippi State has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
Mississippi State Notes
(8/30) Shapen good, Run Off better, Def better
(5/23) WR huge ? Top 6 are portals? 4 best LY left
(5/23) Added 5 portal OL post spring. Bad sign?
(5/23) Talent #'s of a mid B12 team, and dropping
(5/7) Def 39 ppg, 7 ypp allowed in SEC play LY
(5/2) TE Seydou Traore a good, reliable target
(4/19) Watch Fr QB KaMario Taylor. Dynamic runner
(4/19) DL improved, SEC caliber bodies unlike LY
(3/18) QB1? Shapen or Kromenhoek (FSU)
(3/18) RBs Booth/Bothwell/Daniels good depth
Mississippi State Highlights
Mississippi State is Undefeated vs Spread
Mississippi State in Undefeated
Mississippi State is Undefeated at Home
Mississippi State is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Mississippi State is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
Mississippi State offense is good on 3rd downs
Mississippi State defense does not give up big plays (#13)
Mississippi State has a good pass defense (#29)
Mississippi State Secondary is very good (#16)
Mississippi State has a great TO Margin (#28)
Mississippi State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
Mississippi State Deficiencies
Mississippi State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#133)
Power Rating: 17.145 #28
Offense Rating: 23.00 #26
Defense Rating: 2.41 #40
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.7 #45
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #37
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.4 #48
Talent Rating: 844.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 19 #27
Expected Record: 6.4 - 5.6
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Good Offense Success Rate of 50%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.94 PPO
Great Run Success 56%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.4 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Good Pass Def Success 32%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Mississippi State has lost 4 straight
Mississippi State has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
Mississippi State Notes
(8/30) Shapen good, Run Off better, Def better
(5/23) WR huge ? Top 6 are portals? 4 best LY left
(5/23) Added 5 portal OL post spring. Bad sign?
(5/23) Talent #'s of a mid B12 team, and dropping
(5/7) Def 39 ppg, 7 ypp allowed in SEC play LY
(5/2) TE Seydou Traore a good, reliable target
(4/19) Watch Fr QB KaMario Taylor. Dynamic runner
(4/19) DL improved, SEC caliber bodies unlike LY
(3/18) QB1? Shapen or Kromenhoek (FSU)
(3/18) RBs Booth/Bothwell/Daniels good depth
Mississippi State Highlights
Mississippi State is Undefeated vs Spread
Mississippi State in Undefeated
Mississippi State is Undefeated at Home
Mississippi State is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Mississippi State is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
Mississippi State offense is good on 3rd downs
Mississippi State defense does not give up big plays (#13)
Mississippi State has a good pass defense (#29)
Mississippi State Secondary is very good (#16)
Mississippi State has a great TO Margin (#28)
Mississippi State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
Mississippi State Deficiencies
Mississippi State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#133)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arch Manning | 47 | 85 | 55% | 579 | 6 | 3 | 6.8 |
| Matthew Caldwell (Tr) | 2 | 3 | 67% | 22 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arch Manning | 23 | 112 | 3 | 4.9 | 20 |
| CJ Baxter Jr. | 24 | 110 | 0 | 4.6 | 18 |
| Jerrick Gibson | 25 | 102 | 0 | 4.1 | 14 |
| Tre Wisner | 16 | 80 | 0 | 5.0 | 13 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Livingstone | 8 | 198 | 3 | 24.8 | 83 |
| Jack Endries (Tr) | 7 | 106 | 2 | 15.1 | 36 |
| Ryan Wingo | 9 | 97 | 1 | 10.8 | 28 |
| DeAndre Moore Jr. | 6 | 36 | 0 | 6.0 | 17 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Taaffe | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Liona Lefau | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Anthony Hill Jr. | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ty'Anthony Smith | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maraad Watson (Tr) | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Zina Umeozulu | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Hero Kanu (Tr) | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Colin Simmons | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Muhammad | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Xavier Filsaime | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Liona Lefau | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Shapen | 55 | 81 | 68% | 722 | 6 | 2 | 8.9 |
| Luke Kromenhoek (Tr) | 2 | 4 | 50% | 20 | 0 | 0 | 5.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluff Bothwell (Tr) | 30 | 170 | 4 | 5.7 | 25 |
| Davon Booth | 27 | 126 | 1 | 4.7 | 16 |
| Xavier Gayten | 4 | 50 | 1 | 12.5 | 25 |
| Johnnie Daniels | 9 | 44 | 0 | 4.9 | 13 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brenen Thompson (Tr) | 15 | 278 | 3 | 18.5 | 58 |
| Anthony Evans III (Tr) | 17 | 210 | 2 | 12.4 | 48 |
| Jordan Mosley | 3 | 94 | 1 | 31.3 | 75 |
| Seydou Traore | 5 | 77 | 1 | 15.4 | 55 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Smith | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Nic Mitchell | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Derion Gullette (Tr) | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jahron Manning (Tr) | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Whitson (Tr) | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Deonte Anderson | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Darron Reed Jr. (Tr) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Joseph Head Jr. | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelley Jones | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| DeAgo Brumfeld | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Isaac Smith | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |