Memphis at Mississippi State - 2022 Matchup Preview

Memphis Tigers at Mississippi State Bulldogs

Saturday, September 3rd 2022 (7:30 PM EDT)
Mississippi State -17 (58.0)
Mississippi State 49 - Memphis: 23

Tigers (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Ryan Silverfield (14 - 10)
Avg Score : 33 - 23 (35 - 21 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -7 (SP+ MSST -9)
Projected Score: MEM: 31 - MSST: 27 (58)
MSST Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
MEM Travel: 133 miles

Bulldogs (9 - 4) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Mike Leach (11 - 13)
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (34 - 28 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MEM Players
MSST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Memphis's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Memphis at Mississippi State	+17.0	58.0	L 23 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/10	Memphis at Navy	-4.5	47.5	W 37 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Memphis vs Arkansas State	-14.5	64.0	W 44 - 32	O	N
Sat 9/24	Memphis vs North Texas	-13.0	68.5	W 44 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/1	Memphis vs Temple	-18.5	50.0	W 24 - 3	U	Y
Fri 10/7	Memphis vs Houston	-1.5	57.5	L 32 - 33	O	N
Sat 10/15	Memphis at East Carolina	+5.5	62.5	L 45 - 47	O	Y
Sat 10/22	Memphis at Tulane	+7.0	55.5	L 28 - 38	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Memphis vs UCF	+3.0	60.5	L 28 - 35	O	N
Thu 11/10	Memphis vs Tulsa	-7.0	62.0	W 26 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Memphis vs North Alabama	-36.0	67.5	W 59 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Memphis at SMU	+4.5	69.0	L 31 - 34	U	Y
Tue 12/27	Memphis vs Utah State	-8.0	57.0	W 38 - 10	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Memphis's Schedule

Mississippi State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Mississippi State vs Memphis	-17.0	58.0	W 49 - 23	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Mississippi State at Arizona	-11.5	57.5	W 39 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Mississippi State at LSU	-3.0	53.0	L 16 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/24	Mississippi State vs Bowling Green	-31.0	53.0	W 45 - 14	O	N
Sat 10/1	Mississippi State vs Texas A&M	-4.0	45.0	W 42 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Mississippi State vs Arkansas	-8.0	55.5	W 40 - 17	O	Y
Sat 10/15	Mississippi State at Kentucky	-3.5	50.5	L 17 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/22	Mississippi State at Alabama	+21.5	61.5	L 6 - 30	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Mississippi State vs Auburn	-12.5	50.5	W 39 - 33	O	N
Sat 11/12	Mississippi State vs Georgia	+16.5	53.0	L 19 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/19	Mississippi State vs East Tennessee State	-39.0	62.5	W 56 - 7	O	Y
Thu 11/24	Mississippi State at Ole Miss	+2.5	63.0	W 24 - 22	U	Y
Mon 1/2	Mississippi State vs Illinois	-3.5	46.5	W 19 - 10	U	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MEM	.25	42%	32.5	42%	2.94	137	42%	299	3.65	.22	43%	23.2	44%	43%	3.82	39.6	1.6	1.7
MSST	.24	50%	30.4	50%	3.12	63	50%	378	4.06	.18	39%	30.2	40%	39%	3.98	58.5	1.3	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MEM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MSST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MEM Offense	12	32.5	35	42.2%	3.65	1.6	23	436	137	299	4	44%	56%	42%	42%	17%	.25
MSST Defense	13	30.2	27.9	39.4%	3.98	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	46%	53%	40%	39%	15%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MEM Defense	12	23.2	20.8	43.4%	3.82	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	44%	43%	16%	.22
MSST Offense	13	30.4	33.9	49.9%	4.06	1.3	25	441	63	378	3	24%	76%	50%	50%	14%	.24

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Memphis	12	26:42	22.5	41%	58%	4.8	39.6	1.6	1.7	5.7	2.3	1	28.6
Mississippi State	13	33:38	25.4	46%	63%	7.6	58.5	1.3	1.3	5.4	2.2	1	29.7

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MEM Offense	12	44%	42%	34.7	137.1	4	18	.14	2.94	77%	10%	1.04
MSST Defense	13	46%	40%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.87	73%	10%	0.95

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MEM Defense	12	50%	44%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.26	73%	9%	1.01
MSST Offense	13	24%	50%	20.8	63.2	3	10	.08	3.12	79%	8%	0.71

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MEM Offense	12	56%	42%	22.3	37.1	298.8	8.1	13.4	26	11	.33	1.7	35%	33%	.46	8%	2.3
MSST Defense	13	53%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.27	1.7	33%	29%	.32	5%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MEM Defense	12	50%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.27	1.5	28%	35%	.46	7%	2.1
MSST Offense	13	76%	50%	39.8	54.2	378.3	7	9.5	37	9	.3	1.2	29%	39%	.45	7%	1.9

Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: NR
Memphis's Offense Rating: NR
Memphis's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Memphis's 2022 Expected Record: -
Memphis's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8 #49
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.0 #27
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #90

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Memphis: Mississippi State: 10.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Memphis: 6.8 Mississippi State: 15.4

Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 10.2 NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Mississippi State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4 #19
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.1 #32
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #30

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Memphis Scoring
Offense: 32.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 35
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

Memphis's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Memphis 31
Mississippi State 27

Projected Total Points: 58

Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.9
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.9

Mississippi State's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	09/03	Mississippi State	49	Memphis	23	Mississippi State -17	Mississippi State	58.0	Over
2021	09/18	Memphis	31	Mississippi State	29	Mississippi State -3	Memphis	63.0	Under
2011	09/01	Memphis	14	Mississippi State	59
2010	09/04	Mississippi State	49	Memphis	7
2003	10/11	Mississippi State	35	Memphis	27
2002	10/19	Memphis	17	Mississippi State	29
2001	09/03	Mississippi State	30	Memphis	10
2000	09/01	Memphis	3	Mississippi State	17

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Mississippi State	7	1	1 Overs
Memphis	1	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 3	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	3 - 5	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1

(#) MEM at (#) MSST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MEM	MSST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#49	#19
Perf GradeGrade	#38	#73
OffenseOff	#63	#78
DefenseDef	#31	#66
Spec TeamsST	#63	#1
TalentTal	#74	#29
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Memphis Injury Report

Mississippi State Injury Report

Memphis on Offense


CategoryCat	MEM Off	MSST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#63	#66
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#27	#30
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Memphis Run Game


CategoryCat	MEM Off	MSST Def
Run GameRun	#66	#80
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#96	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#61

Memphis Pass Game


CategoryCat	MEM Off	MSST Def
Pass GamePass	#17	#17
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#55	#127
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Mississippi State on Offense


CategoryCat	MSST Off	MEM Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#78	#31
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#32	#90
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Mississippi State Run Game


CategoryCat	MSST Off	MEM Def
Run GameRun	#48	#29
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#88	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#65

Mississippi State Pass Game


CategoryCat	MSST Off	MEM Def
Pass GamePass	#56	#30
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#29	#106
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MSST 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'22 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

MEM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Mississippi State -17.0 (58.0)
Mississippi State won vs Memphis this year (49-23)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

MEM's OC Tim Cramsey (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Memphis's Full Roster

MEM's DC Matt Barnes (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MSST's OC Mike Leach (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Mississippi State's Full Roster

MSST's DC Zach Arnett (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD