Louisiana Tech at Mississippi State

Louisiana Tech at Mississippi State - 2021 Matchup Preview

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at Mississippi State Bulldogs

Saturday, September 4th 2021 (4:00 PM EDT)
Mississippi State -20.5 (52.5)
Mississippi State 35 - Louisiana Tech: 34

Bulldogs (3 - 9) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach Skip Holtz (62 - 43)
Avg Score : 28 - 34 (26 - 33 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -13.5 (SP+ MSST -22)
Projected Score: LT: 27 - MSST: 32 (59)
MSST Win prob: 94% | Cover: 54%
LT Travel: 233 miles

Bulldogs (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Leach (6 - 8)
Avg Score : 29 - 26 (29 - 26 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
LT Players
MSST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Louisiana Tech's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Louisiana Tech at Mississippi State	+20.5	52.5	L 34 - 35	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Louisiana Tech vs SE Louisiana	-11.5	70.5	W 45 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/18	Louisiana Tech vs SMU	+11.0	65.0	L 37 - 39	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Louisiana Tech vs North Texas	-9.5	65.0	W 24 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/2	Louisiana Tech at NC State	+18.5	56.0	L 27 - 34	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Louisiana Tech at UTEP	-6.5	55.5	L 3 - 19	U	N
Sat 10/23	Louisiana Tech vs UTSA	+5.5	59.5	L 16 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/30	Louisiana Tech at Old Dominion	-4.0	52.0	L 20 - 23	U	N
Sat 11/6	Louisiana Tech at UAB	+14.0	49.5	L 38 - 52	O	Y
Sat 11/13	Louisiana Tech vs Charlotte	-7.0	58.0	W 42 - 32	O	Y
Fri 11/19	Louisiana Tech vs Southern Miss	-15.0	47.5	L 19 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/27	Louisiana Tech at Rice	-3.5	52.5	L 31 - 35	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisiana Tech's Schedule

Mississippi State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Mississippi State vs Louisiana Tech	-20.5	52.5	W 35 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/11	Mississippi State vs NC State	+1.5	55.0	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Mississippi State at Memphis	-3.0	63.0	L 29 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/25	Mississippi State vs LSU	+1.5	54.5	L 25 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/2	Mississippi State at Texas A&M	+7.0	45.5	W 26 - 22	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Mississippi State vs Alabama	+17.5	59.5	L 9 - 49	U	N
Sat 10/23	Mississippi State at Vanderbilt	-21.0	53.0	W 45 - 6	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Mississippi State vs Kentucky	-1.0	47.0	W 31 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/6	Mississippi State at Arkansas	+4.0	54.0	L 28 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/13	Mississippi State at Auburn	+6.0	51.0	W 43 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Mississippi State vs Tennessee State	-44.0	56.5	W 55 - 10	O	Y
Thu 11/25	Mississippi State vs Ole Miss	-2.5	65.0	L 21 - 31	U	N
Tue 12/28	Mississippi State vs Texas Tech	-10.0	58.5	L 7 - 34	U	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LT	.18	41%	28	38%	2.92	122	45%	263	3.7	.26	46%	34	45%	47%	4.33	52.1	1.9	2
MSST	.24	50%	29.1	50%	3.12	63	50%	378	4.06	.18	39%	25.9	40%	39%	3.98	58.5	1.3	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LT	#130 (.02)	37% (119)		37% (122)	2.62 (125)	109	38% (111)	211	3.09 (124)	#26 (.1)	37% (13)		39% (36)	35% (11)	3.72 (61)	46.7	1.5	1.2
MSST	#78 (.17)	39% (109)		40% (105)	2.9 (93)	139	38% (104)	239	3.75 (86)	#130 (.32)	50% (133)		47% (108)	55% (134)	4.32 (113)	60.3	1.5	0.9

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LT Offense	12	28	25.5	41.3%	3.7	1.9	21	385	122	263	3.5	47%	52%	38%	45%	18%	.18
MSST Defense	13	25.9	25.6	39.4%	3.98	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	46%	53%	40%	39%	15%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LT Defense	12	34	33	45.9%	4.33	2	-	-	-	-	-	45%	55%	45%	47%	15%	.26
MSST Offense	13	29.1	28.6	49.9%	4.06	1.3	25	441	63	378	3	24%	76%	50%	50%	14%	.24

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Louisiana Tech	12	28:16	20.8	39%	44%	6.8	52.1	1.9	2	5.4	1.7	2	30.6
Mississippi State	13	33:38	25.4	46%	63%	7.6	58.5	1.3	1.3	5.4	2.2	1	29.7

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LT Offense	12	47%	38%	34.7	122.2	3.5	16	.05	2.92	71%	10%	0.99
MSST Defense	13	46%	40%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.87	73%	10%	0.95

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LT Defense	12	45%	45%	-	-	-	-	.24	3.34	78%	10%	1.11
MSST Offense	13	24%	50%	20.8	63.2	3	10	.08	3.12	79%	8%	0.71

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LT Offense	12	52%	45%	20.7	34.3	262.6	7.7	12.7	22	16	.33	1.6	30%	34%	.36	7%	1.9
MSST Defense	13	53%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.27	1.7	33%	29%	.32	5%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LT Defense	12	55%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.29	1.4	31%	33%	.43	5%	2.2
MSST Offense	13	76%	50%	39.8	54.2	378.3	7	9.5	37	9	.3	1.2	29%	39%	.45	7%	1.9

Louisiana Tech's Power Ratings
Louisiana Tech's Power Rating: NR
Louisiana Tech's Offense Rating: NR
Louisiana Tech's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Louisiana Tech's 2021 Expected Record: -
Louisiana Tech's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.6 #109
Louisiana Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #94
Louisiana Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.4 #113

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisiana Tech: Mississippi State: 7.75

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisiana Tech: -11.6 Mississippi State: 10.5

Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 7.75 NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Mississippi State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.5 #34
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #28
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.0 #33

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Louisiana Tech Scoring
Offense: 28 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.5
Defense: 34 PPG
Defense on Road: 33

Louisiana Tech's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 3
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Mississippi State 32
Louisiana Tech 27

Total Points: 59

Based on Last 4 Games
Mississippi State 33
Louisiana Tech 28

Total Points: 61

Based on Entire Season
Mississippi State 31
Louisiana Tech 26

Total Points: 57

Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 29.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.6
Defense: 25.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.6

Mississippi State's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2021	09/04	Mississippi State	35	Louisiana Tech	34	Mississippi State -20.5	Louisiana Tech	52.5	Over
2018	11/03	Mississippi State	45	Louisiana Tech	3	Mississippi State -23	Mississippi State	49.0	Under
2017	09/09	Louisiana Tech	21	Mississippi State	57	Mississippi State -10.5	Mississippi State	67.5	Over
2015	10/17	Mississippi State	45	Louisiana Tech	20	Mississippi State -15.5	Mississippi State	60.0	Over
2011	09/24	Mississippi State	26	Louisiana Tech	20
2008	08/30	Louisiana Tech	22	Mississippi State	14

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Mississippi State	5	3	3 Overs
Louisiana Tech	1	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 1	2 - 2	2 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 5	2 - 2	1 - 0	1 - 2

(#) LT at (#) MSST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	LT	MSST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#109	#34
Perf GradeGrade	#102	#65
OffenseOff	#102	#65
DefenseDef	#89	#64
Spec TeamsST	#74	#75
TalentTal	#75	#29
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Louisiana Tech Injury Report

Mississippi State Injury Report

Louisiana Tech on Offense


CategoryCat	LT Off	MSST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#102	#64
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#94	#33
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Louisiana Tech Run Game


CategoryCat	LT Off	MSST Def
Run GameRun	#91	#75
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#108	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#53

Louisiana Tech Pass Game


CategoryCat	LT Off	MSST Def
Pass GamePass	#77	#46
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#128	#89
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Mississippi State on Offense


CategoryCat	MSST Off	LT Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#65	#89
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#28	#113
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Mississippi State Run Game


CategoryCat	MSST Off	LT Def
Run GameRun	#119	#82
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#59	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#115

Mississippi State Pass Game


CategoryCat	MSST Off	LT Def
Pass GamePass	#9	#79
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#5	#87
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MSST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'21 Profile: Remains Average P4

LT 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 84°

Rematch from Week 1
Mississippi State -20.5 (52.5)
Mississippi State won vs Louisiana Tech this year (35-34)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

LT's OC Joe Sloan (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Louisiana Tech's Full Roster

LT's DC David Blackwell (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MSST's OC Mike Leach (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Mississippi State's Full Roster

MSST's DC Zach Arnett (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD