(#23)Missouri Tigers at Mississippi State Bulldogs
Saturday, November 23rd 2024 (4:15 PM EST)
Missouri -9.5 (58.0) (-355) Open: -6.5
Missouri 39 - Mississippi State: 20 (SEC)
Tigers (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (28 - 21)
Avg Score : 29 - 20 (25 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 3) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (28 - 21)
Avg Score : 29 - 20 (25 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 3) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
MIZ 2nd straight Road Game
MSST coming off BYE
Our Line: Missouri -17.5 (SP+ MIZ -18)
Projected Score: MIZ: 38 - MSST: 20 (58)
MIZ Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
MIZ Travel: 427 miles
MSST coming off BYE
Our Line: Missouri -17.5 (SP+ MIZ -18)
Projected Score: MIZ: 38 - MSST: 20 (58)
MIZ Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
MIZ Travel: 427 miles
Bulldogs (2 - 10) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jeff Lebby (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 34 (31 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#128)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 5) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Coach Jeff Lebby (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 34 (31 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#128)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 5) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
| Missouri's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/29 | Missouri vs Murray State | -50.5 | 62.5 | W 51 - 0 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Missouri vs Buffalo | -34.5 | 53.5 | W 38 - 0 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Missouri vs Boston College | -14.5 | 51.5 | W 27 - 21 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Missouri vs Vanderbilt | -17.5 | 52.0 | W 30 - 27 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | Missouri at Texas A&M | +3.0 | 47.5 | L 10 - 41 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/12 | Missouri at Massachusetts | -27.0 | 54.0 | W 45 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Missouri vs Auburn | -3.5 | 49.5 | W 21 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Missouri at Alabama | +16.0 | 51.5 | L 0 - 34 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/9 | Missouri vs Oklahoma | +3.5 | 41.5 | W 30 - 23 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/16 | Missouri at South Carolina | +10.5 | 42.5 | L 30 - 34 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Missouri at Mississippi State | -9.5 | 58.0 | W 39 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Missouri vs Arkansas | -3.5 | 51.5 | W 28 - 21 | U | Y | |
| Mon 12/30 | Missouri vs Iowa | -1.0 | 41.0 | W 27 - 24 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Missouri's Schedule
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Mississippi State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Mississippi State vs Eastern Kentucky | -26.5 | 61.5 | W 56 - 7 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Mississippi State at Arizona State | +6.5 | 57.5 | L 23 - 30 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Mississippi State vs Toledo | -10.5 | 56.5 | L 17 - 41 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Mississippi State vs Florida | +6.5 | 58.0 | L 28 - 45 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | Mississippi State at Texas | +37.0 | 58.5 | L 13 - 35 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/12 | Mississippi State at Georgia | +34.0 | 53.5 | L 31 - 41 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Mississippi State vs Texas A&M | +21.0 | 55.5 | L 24 - 34 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Mississippi State vs Arkansas | +7.5 | 55.0 | L 25 - 58 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | Mississippi State vs Massachusetts | -19.5 | 59.5 | W 45 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/9 | Mississippi State at Tennessee | +26.5 | 61.5 | L 14 - 33 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/23 | Mississippi State vs Missouri | +9.5 | 58.0 | L 20 - 39 | O | N | |
| Fri 11/29 | Mississippi State at Ole Miss | +26.5 | 63.5 | L 14 - 26 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: 6, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 5, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 5, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 5, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 5, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIZ | #70 (.19) | 44% (54) | 28.9 | 47% (28) | 3.04 (67) | 159 | 41% (80) | 202 | 3.91 (68) | #32 (.11) | 41% (54) | 20.4 | 42% (57) | 39% (56) | 3.38 (28) | 46 | 0.7 | 1.2 |
| MSST | #78 (.17) | 39% (109) | 25.8 | 40% (105) | 2.9 (93) | 139 | 38% (104) | 239 | 3.75 (86) | #130 (.32) | 50% (133) | 34.1 | 47% (108) | 55% (134) | 4.32 (113) | 60.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIZ | #70 (.19) | 44% (54) | 47% (28) | 3.04 (67) | 159 | 41% (80) | 202 | 3.91 (68) | #32 (.11) | 41% (54) | 42% (57) | 39% (56) | 3.38 (28) | 46 | 0.7 | 1.2 | ||
| MSST | #78 (.17) | 39% (109) | 40% (105) | 2.9 (93) | 139 | 38% (104) | 239 | 3.75 (86) | #130 (.32) | 50% (133) | 47% (108) | 55% (134) | 4.32 (113) | 60.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIZ Offense | 13 | 28.9 | 24.8 | 44% | 3.91 | 0.7 | 19 | 361 | 159 | 202 | 4.3 | 53% | 47% | 47% | 41% | 11% | .19 |
| MSST Defense | 12 | 34.1 | 34.9 | 50.4% | 4.32 | 0.9 | - | - | - | - | - | 59% | 41% | 47% | 55% | 11% | .32 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIZ Defense | 13 | 20.4 | 26.4 | 40.6% | 3.38 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | - | 53% | 47% | 42% | 39% | 18% | .11 |
| MSST Offense | 12 | 25.8 | 30.7 | 39.2% | 3.75 | 1.5 | 20 | 378 | 139 | 239 | 4 | 50% | 50% | 40% | 38% | 21% | .17 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri | 13 | 30:28 | 19.5 | 47% | 53% | 5.2 | 46 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 1.9 | 2 | 31 |
| Mississippi State | 12 | 25:41 | 20.3 | 37% | 57% | 6.8 | 60.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 3.9 | 0.8 | 2 | 28.1 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIZ Offense | 13 | 53% (48) | 47% (28) | 37.1 | 158.7 | 4.3 | 25 (41) | .12 (73) | 3.04 (67) | 79% (26) | 8% (31) | 0.9 (100) |
| MSST Defense | 12 | 59% (132) | 47% (108) | - | - | - | - | .15 (80) | 3.3 (113) | 71% (57) | 7% (133) | 0.85 (13) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIZ Defense | 13 | 53% (91) | 42% (57) | - | - | - | - | .01 (18) | 2.75 (29) | 73% (64) | 12% (22) | 0.92 (43) |
| MSST Offense | 12 | 50% (73) | 40% (105) | 34.8 | 138.6 | 4 | 19 (73) | .09 (92) | 2.9 (93) | 73% (71) | 13% (122) | 1.08 (28) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIZ Offense | 13 | 47% (85) | 41% (80) | 17.8 | 28.5 | 202.2 | 7.1 | 11.4 | 12 (118) | 5 (6) | .26 (66) | 1.6 (69) | 30% (49) | 33% (52) | .39 (44) | 4% (10) | 2.1 (49) |
| MSST Defense | 12 | 41% (3) | 55% (134) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7 (104) | .58 (134) | 1.5 (48) | 24% (134) | 39% (131) | .55 (130) | 4% (123) | 1.9 (38) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIZ Defense | 13 | 47% (47) | 39% (56) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 6 (109) | .23 (65) | 1.6 (70) | 32% (61) | 27% (20) | .2 (27) | 6% (54) | 2 (65) |
| MSST Offense | 12 | 50% (62) | 38% (104) | 17.9 | 30.6 | 239.3 | 7.8 | 13.4 | 19 (65) | 8 (40) | .25 (76) | 1.8 (18) | 34% (113) | 32% (62) | .33 (73) | 8% (116) | 2.1 (56) |
Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 11.81 #26
Missouri's Offense Rating: 21.28 #55
Missouri's Defense Rating: 6.00 #33
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 25% #23
Missouri's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Missouri's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.0 #19
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #23
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7 #20
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Missouri's Power Rating: 11.81 #26
Missouri's Offense Rating: 21.28 #55
Missouri's Defense Rating: 6.00 #33
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 25% #23
Missouri's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Missouri's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.0 #19
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #23
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7 #20
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Missouri: 11.81 Mississippi State: -4.72
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Missouri: 14.0 Mississippi State: -4.1
Missouri: 11.81 Mississippi State: -4.72
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Missouri: 14.0 Mississippi State: -4.1
Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: -4.72 #101
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: 16.56 #100
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: 21.21 #130
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #26
Mississippi State's 2024 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Mississippi State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.1 #88
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #98
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Mississippi State's Power Rating: -4.72 #101
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: 16.56 #100
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: 21.21 #130
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #26
Mississippi State's 2024 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Mississippi State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.1 #88
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #98
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Missouri Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.8
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.4
Missouri's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.8
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.4
Missouri's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Missouri 38
Mississippi State 20
Total Points: 58
Missouri 38
Mississippi State 20
Total Points: 58
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.7
Defense: 34.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.9
Mississippi State's 2024 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.7
Defense: 34.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.9
Mississippi State's 2024 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/23 | Mississippi State | 20 | Missouri | 39 | Missouri | Missouri -9.5 | Missouri | 58.0 | Over |
| 2020 | 12/19 | Mississippi State | 51 | Missouri | 32 | Mississippi State | Missouri -1.5 | Mississippi State | 49.0 | Over |
| 2015 | 11/05 | Missouri | 13 | Mississippi State | 31 | Mississippi State | Mississippi State -7.5 | Mississippi State | 41.0 | Over |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State | 2 | 2 | 3 Overs |
| Missouri | 1 | 1 | 0 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 1 - 2 | 1 - 2 | 0 - 0 | 1 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 2 - 1 | 2 - 1 | 2 - 1 | 0 - 0 |
(#26) Missouri Info
Power Rating: 11.81 #26
Offense Rating: 21.28 #55
Defense Rating: 6.00 #33
Overall SP+ Rating: 14.0 #19
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #23
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7 #20
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 25% #23
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.91 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Good OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Good in Scoring Position 3.38 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Missouri has lost 1 straight
Missouri has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 3 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )
Missouri Notes
(11/24) Off OK vs Miss St, Def held 2-10 on 3rd downs
(11/18) Cook nearly beat SC, Run Def great, Pass D WTF?
(11/13) Off bad, Def good, great Pyne drive beat OU
(11/12) C Tollison (top in CFB) out for season
(10/27) Off is broken, all stats < '23. Cook/Rgame bad
(10/23) QB Brady Cook doubtful for Bama game (ankle)
(10/23) RB Noel doubtful for Bama game
(10/22) Def stop rate is 72% (#20) into Bama game
(10/19) Rallied (Aub), Off was bad but clutch. Def held
(10/18) 2ndary getting cooked, repeatedly & big plays
Missouri Highlights
Missouri offense is good on 3rd downs
Missouri does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#27)
Missouri defense is really good in red zone (#84)
Missouri Defensive Line is very good (#34)
Missouri Front 7 is disruptive (#4)
Missouri has a great TO Margin (#28)
Missouri Deficiencies
Missouri offense is not Explosive (#63)
Power Rating: 11.81 #26
Offense Rating: 21.28 #55
Defense Rating: 6.00 #33
Overall SP+ Rating: 14.0 #19
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #23
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7 #20
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 25% #23
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.91 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Good OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Good in Scoring Position 3.38 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Missouri has lost 1 straight
Missouri has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 3 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )
Missouri Notes
(11/24) Off OK vs Miss St, Def held 2-10 on 3rd downs
(11/18) Cook nearly beat SC, Run Def great, Pass D WTF?
(11/13) Off bad, Def good, great Pyne drive beat OU
(11/12) C Tollison (top in CFB) out for season
(10/27) Off is broken, all stats < '23. Cook/Rgame bad
(10/23) QB Brady Cook doubtful for Bama game (ankle)
(10/23) RB Noel doubtful for Bama game
(10/22) Def stop rate is 72% (#20) into Bama game
(10/19) Rallied (Aub), Off was bad but clutch. Def held
(10/18) 2ndary getting cooked, repeatedly & big plays
Missouri Highlights
Missouri offense is good on 3rd downs
Missouri does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#27)
Missouri defense is really good in red zone (#84)
Missouri Defensive Line is very good (#34)
Missouri Front 7 is disruptive (#4)
Missouri has a great TO Margin (#28)
Missouri Deficiencies
Missouri offense is not Explosive (#63)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | MSST | MIZ |
| OverallOver | #96 | #18 |
| OffenseOff | #86 | #24 |
| DefenseDef | #114 | #27 |
| Special TeamsST | #47 | #11 |
| PassingPass | #37 | #61 |
| RushingRush | #76 | #37 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #91 | #5 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #92 | #29 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #66 | #54 |
| TacklingTkl | #89 | #47 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #73 | #31 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #115 | #31 |
| Coverage DefCov | #112 | #65 |
Rematch from Week 13
Missouri 9.5 (58.0)
Missouri won at Mississippi State this year (39-20)
Previous Matchups
Missouri beat Mississippi State last year (39-20)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: MIZ | MSST
Depth Chart: MIZ | MSST
Rosters: MIZ | MSST
(#101) Mississippi State Info
Power Rating: -4.72 #101
Offense Rating: 16.56 #100
Defense Rating: 21.21 #130
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.1 #88
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #98
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #26
Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.75 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.32 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Awful Pass Def Success 55%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Mississippi State has lost 1 straight
Mississippi State has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 5 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)
Mississippi State Notes
(12/17) Signed QB Kromenhoek (FSU)
(11/29) 3rd down Defense worst in CFB > 48%
(11/29) Fought w/ Rebs, Def better but 3rd/4th bad
(11/13) QB Van Buren awful, Rgame OK, Run Def torched
(10/22) Def stop rate 38% (#131) last in P4 into wk 9
(10/19) Van Buren good (A&M) Def better, still fighting
(10/12) QB Van Buren torched UGA, Rgame & Def awful
(10/4) Def #132 Success rate, giving up 30+ every game
(9/24) QB Shapen out for the season (shoulder)
(9/17) Worst SEC team in 10/15 years not named Vandy
Mississippi State Highlights
Mississippi State offense is explosive (#41)
Mississippi State defense does not give up big plays (#13)
Mississippi State Deficiencies
Mississippi State Fumbles a Lot (#1)
Mississippi State offense is really bad (#33)
Mississippi State run game is really bad (#18)
Mississippi State pass game is really bad (#62)
Mississippi State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Mississippi State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Mississippi State does not Sack the QB (#97)
Mississippi State has a bad defense (#57)
Mississippi State Does Not Stuff Runs (#66)
Mississippi State has a bad defensive line (#93)
Mississippi State has a bad red zone defense (#65)
Power Rating: -4.72 #101
Offense Rating: 16.56 #100
Defense Rating: 21.21 #130
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.1 #88
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #98
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #26
Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.75 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.32 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Awful Pass Def Success 55%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Mississippi State has lost 1 straight
Mississippi State has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 5 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)
Mississippi State Notes
(12/17) Signed QB Kromenhoek (FSU)
(11/29) 3rd down Defense worst in CFB > 48%
(11/29) Fought w/ Rebs, Def better but 3rd/4th bad
(11/13) QB Van Buren awful, Rgame OK, Run Def torched
(10/22) Def stop rate 38% (#131) last in P4 into wk 9
(10/19) Van Buren good (A&M) Def better, still fighting
(10/12) QB Van Buren torched UGA, Rgame & Def awful
(10/4) Def #132 Success rate, giving up 30+ every game
(9/24) QB Shapen out for the season (shoulder)
(9/17) Worst SEC team in 10/15 years not named Vandy
Mississippi State Highlights
Mississippi State offense is explosive (#41)
Mississippi State defense does not give up big plays (#13)
Mississippi State Deficiencies
Mississippi State Fumbles a Lot (#1)
Mississippi State offense is really bad (#33)
Mississippi State run game is really bad (#18)
Mississippi State pass game is really bad (#62)
Mississippi State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Mississippi State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Mississippi State does not Sack the QB (#97)
Mississippi State has a bad defense (#57)
Mississippi State Does Not Stuff Runs (#66)
Mississippi State has a bad defensive line (#93)
Mississippi State has a bad red zone defense (#65)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Cook | 200 | 320 | 63% | 2525 | 11 | 2 | 7.9 |
| Drew Pyne (Tr) | 49 | 82 | 60% | 391 | 3 | 3 | 4.8 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Noel (Tr) | 163 | 818 | 3 | 5.0 | 64 |
| Marcus Carroll (Tr) | 140 | 595 | 12 | 4.3 | 35 |
| Brady Cook | 87 | 223 | 5 | 2.6 | 31 |
| Jamal Roberts | 53 | 216 | 3 | 4.1 | 14 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Theo Wease | 60 | 884 | 4 | 14.7 | 70 |
| Luther Burden III | 60 | 666 | 6 | 11.1 | 44 |
| Marquis Johnson | 25 | 352 | 1 | 14.1 | 49 |
| Brett Norfleet | 26 | 235 | 2 | 9.0 | 36 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Flagg Jr. | 81 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Triston Newson | 72 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| Marvin Burks Jr. | 66 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Daylan Carnell | 51 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Walker | 43 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 1 |
| Zion Young (Tr) | 41 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Chris McClellan (Tr) | 39 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Khalil Jacobs (Tr) | 12 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daylan Carnell | 51 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Joseph Charleston | 44 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Nicholas Deloach Jr. | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Van Buren Jr. | 140 | 256 | 55% | 1886 | 11 | 7 | 7.4 |
| Blake Shapen (Tr) | 74 | 108 | 69% | 974 | 8 | 1 | 9.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davon Booth (Tr) | 152 | 759 | 5 | 5.0 | 43 |
| Johnnie Daniels | 108 | 540 | 4 | 5.0 | 36 |
| Keyvone Lee | 29 | 140 | 1 | 4.8 | 18 |
| Xavier Gayten | 8 | 115 | 1 | 14.4 | 72 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Coleman Jr. | 69 | 844 | 5 | 12.2 | 80 |
| Jordan Mosley | 23 | 405 | 3 | 17.6 | 65 |
| Kelly Akharaiyi (Tr) | 25 | 391 | 2 | 15.6 | 49 |
| Mario Craver | 17 | 368 | 3 | 21.6 | 72 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Smith | 127 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Stone Blanton (Tr) | 124 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Nic Mitchell | 80 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Branden Jennings | 56 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zakari Tillman | 30 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
| Branden Jennings | 56 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Ty Cooper | 29 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Kalvin Dinkins | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brice Pollock | 48 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Isaac Smith | 127 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Stone Blanton (Tr) | 124 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |