Massachusetts Minutemen at Mississippi State Bulldogs
Saturday, November 2nd 2024 (4:15 PM EDT)
Mississippi State -19.5 (59.5) (-1200) Open: -22.5
Mississippi State 45 - Massachusetts: 20
Minutemen (2 - 10) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Shane Montgomery (Int) (4 - 20)
Avg Score : 23 - 36 (18 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#128)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Coach Shane Montgomery (Int) (4 - 20)
Avg Score : 23 - 36 (18 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#128)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
MSST 3rd straight Home Game
MSST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Mississippi State -14.5 (SP+ MSST -18)
Projected Score: UMASS: 23 - MSST: 37 (60)
MSST Win prob: 88% | Cover: 46%
UMASS Travel: 1077 miles, 1 hrs ahead
MSST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Mississippi State -14.5 (SP+ MSST -18)
Projected Score: UMASS: 23 - MSST: 37 (60)
MSST Win prob: 88% | Cover: 46%
UMASS Travel: 1077 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Bulldogs (2 - 10) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jeff Lebby (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 34 (31 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#128)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 3) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Coach Jeff Lebby (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 34 (31 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#128)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 3) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
| Massachusetts's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Massachusetts vs Eastern Michigan | -2.5 | 49.0 | L 14 - 28 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Massachusetts at Toledo | +17.5 | 50.5 | L 23 - 38 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Massachusetts at Buffalo | +3.5 | 45.5 | L 3 - 34 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Massachusetts vs Central Connecticut | -19.5 | 52.0 | W 35 - 31 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | Massachusetts at Miami (OH) | +15.5 | 44.5 | L 20 - 23 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/5 | Massachusetts at Northern Illinois | +14.0 | 41.0 | L 20 - 34 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Massachusetts vs Missouri | +27.0 | 54.0 | L 3 - 45 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/26 | Massachusetts vs Wagner | -23.0 | 48.0 | W 35 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | Massachusetts at Mississippi State | +19.5 | 59.5 | L 20 - 45 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/16 | Massachusetts vs Liberty | +17.0 | 53.0 | L 34 - 35 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Massachusetts at Georgia | +42.5 | 55.5 | L 21 - 59 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Massachusetts vs UConn | +9.5 | 49.5 | L 42 - 47 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Predictions for Massachusetts's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
| Mississippi State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Mississippi State vs Eastern Kentucky | -26.5 | 61.5 | W 56 - 7 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Mississippi State at Arizona State | +6.5 | 57.5 | L 23 - 30 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Mississippi State vs Toledo | -10.5 | 56.5 | L 17 - 41 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Mississippi State vs Florida | +6.5 | 58.0 | L 28 - 45 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | Mississippi State at Texas | +37.0 | 58.5 | L 13 - 35 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/12 | Mississippi State at Georgia | +34.0 | 53.5 | L 31 - 41 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Mississippi State vs Texas A&M | +21.0 | 55.5 | L 24 - 34 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Mississippi State vs Arkansas | +7.5 | 55.0 | L 25 - 58 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | Mississippi State vs Massachusetts | -19.5 | 59.5 | W 45 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/9 | Mississippi State at Tennessee | +26.5 | 61.5 | L 14 - 33 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/23 | Mississippi State vs Missouri | +9.5 | 58.0 | L 20 - 39 | O | N | |
| Fri 11/29 | Mississippi State at Ole Miss | +26.5 | 63.5 | L 14 - 26 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: 5, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMASS | #69 (.19) | 41% (94) | 22.5 | 43% (78) | 3.1 (50) | 164 | 38% (110) | 182 | 3.73 (89) | #114 (.26) | 46% (116) | 35.5 | 51% (128) | 40% (71) | 4.66 (129) | 63.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| MSST | #78 (.17) | 39% (109) | 25.8 | 40% (105) | 2.9 (93) | 139 | 38% (104) | 239 | 3.75 (86) | #130 (.32) | 50% (133) | 34.1 | 47% (108) | 55% (134) | 4.32 (113) | 60.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMASS | #69 (.19) | 41% (94) | 43% (78) | 3.1 (50) | 164 | 38% (110) | 182 | 3.73 (89) | #114 (.26) | 46% (116) | 51% (128) | 40% (71) | 4.66 (129) | 63.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 | ||
| MSST | #78 (.17) | 39% (109) | 40% (105) | 2.9 (93) | 139 | 38% (104) | 239 | 3.75 (86) | #130 (.32) | 50% (133) | 47% (108) | 55% (134) | 4.32 (113) | 60.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMASS Offense | 12 | 22.5 | 17.8 | 40.8% | 3.73 | 0.8 | 20 | 346 | 164 | 182 | 4.1 | 56% | 44% | 43% | 38% | 17% | .19 |
| MSST Defense | 12 | 34.1 | 34.9 | 50.4% | 4.32 | 0.9 | - | - | - | - | - | 59% | 41% | 47% | 55% | 11% | .32 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMASS Defense | 12 | 35.5 | 38.8 | 46.3% | 4.66 | 0.8 | - | - | - | - | - | 60% | 39% | 51% | 40% | 14% | .26 |
| MSST Offense | 12 | 25.8 | 30.7 | 39.2% | 3.75 | 1.5 | 20 | 378 | 139 | 239 | 4 | 50% | 50% | 40% | 38% | 21% | .17 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Massachusetts | 12 | 32:19 | 19.7 | 38% | 58% | 7.3 | 63.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 4.1 | 1.3 | 1 | 25.4 |
| Mississippi State | 12 | 25:41 | 20.3 | 37% | 57% | 6.8 | 60.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 3.9 | 0.8 | 2 | 28.1 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMASS Offense | 12 | 56% (27) | 43% (78) | 40.2 | 164 | 4.1 | 18 (78) | .16 (53) | 3.1 (50) | 74% (62) | 11% (95) | 0.96 (68) |
| MSST Defense | 12 | 59% (132) | 47% (108) | - | - | - | - | .15 (80) | 3.3 (113) | 71% (57) | 7% (133) | 0.85 (13) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMASS Defense | 12 | 60% (133) | 51% (128) | - | - | - | - | .25 (125) | 3.51 (131) | 87% (131) | 8% (113) | 0.95 (52) |
| MSST Offense | 12 | 50% (73) | 40% (105) | 34.8 | 138.6 | 4 | 19 (73) | .09 (92) | 2.9 (93) | 73% (71) | 13% (122) | 1.08 (28) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMASS Offense | 12 | 44% (109) | 38% (110) | 15.6 | 27.3 | 181.8 | 6.7 | 11.7 | 14 (108) | 6 (10) | .23 (81) | 1.7 (22) | 33% (87) | 32% (57) | .34 (69) | 6% (80) | 2 (98) |
| MSST Defense | 12 | 41% (3) | 55% (134) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7 (104) | .58 (134) | 1.5 (48) | 24% (134) | 39% (131) | .55 (130) | 4% (123) | 1.9 (38) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMASS Defense | 12 | 39% (2) | 40% (71) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 6 (109) | .29 (100) | 1.7 (112) | 28% (118) | 28% (29) | .27 (51) | 6% (72) | 2.1 (89) |
| MSST Offense | 12 | 50% (62) | 38% (104) | 17.9 | 30.6 | 239.3 | 7.8 | 13.4 | 19 (65) | 8 (40) | .25 (76) | 1.8 (18) | 34% (113) | 32% (62) | .33 (73) | 8% (116) | 2.1 (56) |
Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -16.22 #115
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: 19.80 #69
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: 17.13 #122
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Massachusetts's 2024 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Massachusetts's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.9 #129
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -16.22 #115
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: 19.80 #69
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: 17.13 #122
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Massachusetts's 2024 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Massachusetts's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.9 #129
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -16.22 Mississippi State: -4.72
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -21.9 Mississippi State: -4.1
Massachusetts: -16.22 Mississippi State: -4.72
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -21.9 Mississippi State: -4.1
Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: -4.72 #101
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: 16.56 #100
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: 21.21 #130
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #26
Mississippi State's 2024 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Mississippi State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.1 #88
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #98
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Mississippi State's Power Rating: -4.72 #101
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: 16.56 #100
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: 21.21 #130
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #26
Mississippi State's 2024 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Mississippi State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.1 #88
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #98
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.8
Defense: 35.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.8
Massachusetts's 2024 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.8
Defense: 35.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.8
Massachusetts's 2024 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Mississippi State 37
Massachusetts 23
Total Points: 60
Mississippi State 37
Massachusetts 23
Total Points: 60
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.7
Defense: 34.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.9
Mississippi State's 2024 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.7
Defense: 34.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.9
Mississippi State's 2024 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/02 | Mississippi State | 45 | Massachusetts | 20 | Mississippi State | Mississippi State -19.5 | Mississippi State | 59.5 | Over |
| 2017 | 11/04 | Mississippi State | 34 | Massachusetts | 23 | Mississippi State | Mississippi State -34 | Massachusetts | 57.0 | Push |
| 2016 | 09/24 | Massachusetts | 35 | Mississippi State | 47 | Mississippi State | Mississippi State -25 | Massachusetts | 49.5 | Over |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State | 3 | 1 | 2 Overs |
| Massachusetts | 0 | 2 | 0 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 2 - 1 | 2 - 1 | 1 - 1 | 1 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 1 - 2 | 1 - 2 | 0 - 1 | 1 - 1 |
(#115) Massachusetts Info
Power Rating: -16.22 #115
Offense Rating: 19.80 #69
Defense Rating: 17.13 #122
Overall SP+ Rating: -21.9 #129
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.73 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.66 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Massachusetts has won 1 straight
Massachusetts has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 6 (3 - 2 - 1 vs Spread )
Massachusetts Notes
(12/18) Hired HC Joe Harasymiak (Rutgers DC)
(11/18) HC Brown fired, OC Montgomery interim
(11/18) 1-5 stretch, fight w/ Liberty, Rgame good
(9/14) Very competitive 0-2. Outgained Toledo by 100 yds
(8/11) Play Clanga/Mizzu/Liberty/UGA weeks 7-13
(7/30) Lost a ton via portal, did add some. Depth issues.
(7/30) HC Brown improving each year, could they bowl?
(7/30) OL portal rebuild, top 2 RB's portaled out
(7/30) QB Phommachanh bad, WR mostly portal adds
(7/30) Run D nearly last in CFB LY, doesn't look much better
Massachusetts Highlights
Massachusetts has a great TO Margin (#54)
Massachusetts Deficiencies
Massachusetts Commits a Lot of Penalties (#49)
Massachusetts pass game is really bad (#50)
Massachusetts Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Massachusetts does not Sack the QB (#97)
Massachusetts has a bad defense (#87)
Massachusetts Does Not Stuff Runs (#133)
Massachusetts has a bad defensive line (#126)
Massachusetts has a bad red zone defense (#98)
Power Rating: -16.22 #115
Offense Rating: 19.80 #69
Defense Rating: 17.13 #122
Overall SP+ Rating: -21.9 #129
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.73 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.66 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Massachusetts has won 1 straight
Massachusetts has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 6 (3 - 2 - 1 vs Spread )
Massachusetts Notes
(12/18) Hired HC Joe Harasymiak (Rutgers DC)
(11/18) HC Brown fired, OC Montgomery interim
(11/18) 1-5 stretch, fight w/ Liberty, Rgame good
(9/14) Very competitive 0-2. Outgained Toledo by 100 yds
(8/11) Play Clanga/Mizzu/Liberty/UGA weeks 7-13
(7/30) Lost a ton via portal, did add some. Depth issues.
(7/30) HC Brown improving each year, could they bowl?
(7/30) OL portal rebuild, top 2 RB's portaled out
(7/30) QB Phommachanh bad, WR mostly portal adds
(7/30) Run D nearly last in CFB LY, doesn't look much better
Massachusetts Highlights
Massachusetts has a great TO Margin (#54)
Massachusetts Deficiencies
Massachusetts Commits a Lot of Penalties (#49)
Massachusetts pass game is really bad (#50)
Massachusetts Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Massachusetts does not Sack the QB (#97)
Massachusetts has a bad defense (#87)
Massachusetts Does Not Stuff Runs (#133)
Massachusetts has a bad defensive line (#126)
Massachusetts has a bad red zone defense (#98)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | MSST | UMASS |
| OverallOver | #96 | #93 |
| OffenseOff | #86 | #91 |
| DefenseDef | #114 | #96 |
| Special TeamsST | #47 | #103 |
| PassingPass | #37 | #92 |
| RushingRush | #76 | #87 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #91 | #72 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #92 | #52 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #66 | #95 |
| TacklingTkl | #89 | #13 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #73 | #94 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #115 | #73 |
| Coverage DefCov | #112 | #84 |
Rematch from Week 10
Mississippi State -19.5 (59.5)
Mississippi State won vs Massachusetts this year (45-20)
Previous Matchups
Mississippi State beat Massachusetts last year (45-20)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: UMASS | MSST
Depth Chart: UMASS | MSST
Rosters: UMASS | MSST
(#101) Mississippi State Info
Power Rating: -4.72 #101
Offense Rating: 16.56 #100
Defense Rating: 21.21 #130
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.1 #88
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #98
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #26
Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.75 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.32 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Awful Pass Def Success 55%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Mississippi State has lost 7 straight
Mississippi State has lost 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 5 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)
Mississippi State Notes
(12/17) Signed QB Kromenhoek (FSU)
(11/29) 3rd down Defense worst in CFB > 48%
(11/29) Fought w/ Rebs, Def better but 3rd/4th bad
(11/13) QB Van Buren awful, Rgame OK, Run Def torched
(10/22) Def stop rate 38% (#131) last in P4 into wk 9
(10/19) Van Buren good (A&M) Def better, still fighting
(10/12) QB Van Buren torched UGA, Rgame & Def awful
(10/4) Def #132 Success rate, giving up 30+ every game
(9/24) QB Shapen out for the season (shoulder)
(9/17) Worst SEC team in 10/15 years not named Vandy
Mississippi State Highlights
Mississippi State offense is explosive (#41)
Mississippi State defense does not give up big plays (#13)
Mississippi State Deficiencies
Mississippi State Fumbles a Lot (#1)
Mississippi State offense is really bad (#33)
Mississippi State run game is really bad (#18)
Mississippi State pass game is really bad (#62)
Mississippi State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Mississippi State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Mississippi State does not Sack the QB (#97)
Mississippi State has a bad defense (#57)
Mississippi State Does Not Stuff Runs (#66)
Mississippi State has a bad defensive line (#93)
Mississippi State has a bad red zone defense (#65)
Power Rating: -4.72 #101
Offense Rating: 16.56 #100
Defense Rating: 21.21 #130
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.1 #88
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #98
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #26
Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.75 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.32 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Awful Pass Def Success 55%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Mississippi State has lost 7 straight
Mississippi State has lost 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 5 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)
Mississippi State Notes
(12/17) Signed QB Kromenhoek (FSU)
(11/29) 3rd down Defense worst in CFB > 48%
(11/29) Fought w/ Rebs, Def better but 3rd/4th bad
(11/13) QB Van Buren awful, Rgame OK, Run Def torched
(10/22) Def stop rate 38% (#131) last in P4 into wk 9
(10/19) Van Buren good (A&M) Def better, still fighting
(10/12) QB Van Buren torched UGA, Rgame & Def awful
(10/4) Def #132 Success rate, giving up 30+ every game
(9/24) QB Shapen out for the season (shoulder)
(9/17) Worst SEC team in 10/15 years not named Vandy
Mississippi State Highlights
Mississippi State offense is explosive (#41)
Mississippi State defense does not give up big plays (#13)
Mississippi State Deficiencies
Mississippi State Fumbles a Lot (#1)
Mississippi State offense is really bad (#33)
Mississippi State run game is really bad (#18)
Mississippi State pass game is really bad (#62)
Mississippi State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Mississippi State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Mississippi State does not Sack the QB (#97)
Mississippi State has a bad defense (#57)
Mississippi State Does Not Stuff Runs (#66)
Mississippi State has a bad defensive line (#93)
Mississippi State has a bad red zone defense (#65)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taisun Phommachanh | 132 | 234 | 56% | 1590 | 8 | 6 | 6.8 |
| AJ Hairston | 40 | 73 | 55% | 480 | 5 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen John | 111 | 583 | 5 | 5.3 | 68 |
| C.J. Hester (Tr) | 119 | 529 | 4 | 4.4 | 24 |
| Taisun Phommachanh | 107 | 317 | 3 | 3.0 | 33 |
| Brandon Campbell (Tr) | 61 | 233 | 3 | 3.8 | 21 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakobie Keeney-James (Tr) | 51 | 870 | 6 | 17.1 | 75 |
| Ty Harding | 18 | 303 | 5 | 16.8 | 58 |
| Jacquon Gibson | 23 | 270 | 1 | 11.7 | 39 |
| Sterling Galban (Tr) | 25 | 210 | 0 | 8.4 | 21 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Stewart | 77 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Gerrell Johnson | 74 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Tyler Rudolph | 61 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Te'Rai Powell | 52 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louce Julien | 43 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| Kofi Asare | 30 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Jalen Stewart | 77 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Christian Lebrun | 22 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Ellis (Tr) | 29 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Isaiah Rutherford | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Tim Grant-Randall (Tr) | 27 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Van Buren Jr. | 140 | 256 | 55% | 1886 | 11 | 7 | 7.4 |
| Blake Shapen (Tr) | 74 | 108 | 69% | 974 | 8 | 1 | 9.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davon Booth (Tr) | 152 | 759 | 5 | 5.0 | 43 |
| Johnnie Daniels | 108 | 540 | 4 | 5.0 | 36 |
| Keyvone Lee | 29 | 140 | 1 | 4.8 | 18 |
| Xavier Gayten | 8 | 115 | 1 | 14.4 | 72 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Coleman Jr. | 69 | 844 | 5 | 12.2 | 80 |
| Jordan Mosley | 23 | 405 | 3 | 17.6 | 65 |
| Kelly Akharaiyi (Tr) | 25 | 391 | 2 | 15.6 | 49 |
| Mario Craver | 17 | 368 | 3 | 21.6 | 72 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Smith | 127 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Stone Blanton (Tr) | 124 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Nic Mitchell | 80 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Branden Jennings | 56 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zakari Tillman | 30 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
| Branden Jennings | 56 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Ty Cooper | 29 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Kalvin Dinkins | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brice Pollock | 48 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Isaac Smith | 127 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Stone Blanton (Tr) | 124 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |