(#13)Ole Miss Rebels at Mississippi State Bulldogs
Thursday, November 23rd 2023 (7:30 PM EST)
Ole Miss -11 (56.0) (-380) Open: -1.5
Ole Miss 17 - Mississippi State: 7 (SEC)
Rebels (11 - 2) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Lane Kiffin (26 - 13)
Avg Score : 35 - 23 (22 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 4.9 (#43)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Lane Kiffin (26 - 13)
Avg Score : 35 - 23 (22 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 4.9 (#43)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MSST 2nd straight Home Game
MSST is playing their 6th straight game
MISS is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Ole Miss -13 (SP+ MISS -16.5)
Projected Score: MISS: 33 - MSST: 20 (54)
MISS Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
MISS Travel: 76 miles
MSST is playing their 6th straight game
MISS is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Ole Miss -13 (SP+ MISS -16.5)
Projected Score: MISS: 33 - MSST: 20 (54)
MISS Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
MISS Travel: 76 miles
Bulldogs (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Greg Knox (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 27 (25 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Greg Knox (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 27 (25 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
| Ole Miss's 2023 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 9/2 | Ole Miss vs Mercer | -35.0 | 59.5 | W 73 - 7 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/9 | Ole Miss at Tulane | -8.0 | 64.0 | W 37 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/16 | Ole Miss vs Georgia Tech | -17.0 | 61.5 | W 48 - 23 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/23 | Ole Miss at Alabama | +7.0 | 56.0 | L 10 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/30 | Ole Miss vs LSU | +3.0 | 67.0 | W 55 - 49 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/7 | Ole Miss vs Arkansas | -13.0 | 61.5 | W 27 - 20 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/21 | Ole Miss at Auburn | -6.5 | 55.5 | W 28 - 21 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/28 | Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt | -24.0 | 62.0 | W 33 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/4 | Ole Miss vs Texas A&M | -3.0 | 52.5 | W 38 - 35 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/11 | Ole Miss at Georgia | +11.0 | 59.0 | L 17 - 52 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/18 | Ole Miss vs UL Monroe | -35.5 | 59.5 | W 35 - 3 | U | N | |
| Thu 11/23 | Ole Miss at Mississippi State | -11.0 | 56.0 | W 17 - 7 | U | N | |
| Sat 12/30 | Ole Miss vs Penn State | +5.5 | 53.0 | W 38 - 25 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
| Mississippi State's 2023 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 9/2 | Mississippi State vs SE Louisiana | -31.5 | 59.5 | W 48 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/9 | Mississippi State vs Arizona | -9.0 | 60.0 | W 31 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/16 | Mississippi State vs LSU | +9.5 | 54.0 | L 14 - 41 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/23 | Mississippi State at South Carolina | +6.0 | 46.5 | L 30 - 37 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/30 | Mississippi State vs Alabama | +16.5 | 45.0 | L 17 - 40 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/7 | Mississippi State vs Western Michigan | -21.5 | 54.5 | W 41 - 28 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/21 | Mississippi State at Arkansas | +6.5 | 46.5 | W 7 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/28 | Mississippi State at Auburn | +6.5 | 40.0 | L 13 - 27 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/4 | Mississippi State vs Kentucky | +5.5 | 44.5 | L 3 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/11 | Mississippi State at Texas A&M | +16.5 | 40.5 | L 10 - 51 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/18 | Mississippi State vs Southern Miss | -18.5 | 47.5 | W 41 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Thu 11/23 | Mississippi State vs Ole Miss | +11.0 | 56.0 | L 7 - 17 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Important Stats (2023)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MISS | #30 (.28) | 44% (44) | 35.1 | 44% (54) | 2.94 (100) | 176 | 45% (31) | 286 | 4.72 (13) | #68 (.18) | 42% (62) | 22.5 | 43% (74) | 41% (54) | 3.64 (55) | 59.1 | 0.5 | 1.4 |
| MSST | #116 (.09) | 36% (126) | 21.8 | 38% (123) | 2.91 (105) | 147 | 35% (120) | 182 | 3.47 (96) | #61 (.17) | 42% (71) | 26.6 | 42% (64) | 43% (84) | 4.33 (115) | 56.8 | 1.2 | 1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MISS | #4 (.34) | 47% (19) | 44% (76) | 3.02 (72) | 164 | 51% (3) | 317 | 4 (58) | #6 (.04) | 35% (3) | 35% (6) | 36% (13) | 2.98 (8) | 68.5 | 0.9 | 1.6 | ||
| MSST | #78 (.17) | 39% (109) | 40% (105) | 2.9 (93) | 139 | 38% (104) | 239 | 3.75 (86) | #130 (.32) | 50% (133) | 47% (108) | 55% (134) | 4.32 (113) | 60.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
Overall Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MISS Offense | 13 | 35.1 | 21.8 | 44.4% | 4.72 | 0.5 | 23 | 462 | 176 | 286 | 4.3 | 54% | 45% | 44% | 45% | 15% | .28 |
| MSST Defense | 12 | 26.6 | 25.1 | 42.3% | 4.33 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 52% | 47% | 42% | 43% | 16% | .17 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MISS Defense | 13 | 22.5 | 24.8 | 41.6% | 3.64 | 1.4 | - | - | - | - | - | 50% | 49% | 43% | 41% | 18% | .18 |
| MSST Offense | 12 | 21.8 | 25.3 | 35.9% | 3.47 | 1.2 | 17 | 329 | 147 | 182 | 4.4 | 50% | 49% | 38% | 35% | 16% | .09 |
Additional Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ole Miss | 13 | 27:43 | 23.5 | 37% | 69% | 7.2 | 59.1 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 5.9 | 2.6 | 1 | 29 |
| Mississippi State | 12 | 28:40 | 16.6 | 31% | 42% | 6.3 | 56.8 | 1.2 | 1 | 5.6 | 2.3 | 2 | 29.9 |
Run Game Stats (2023)
Pass Game Stats (2023)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MISS Offense | 13 | 54% (37) | 44% (54) | 41.1 | 176.5 | 4.3 | 29 (22) | .17 (60) | 2.94 (100) | 70% (95) | 11% (80) | 1.05 (44) |
| MSST Defense | 12 | 52% (97) | 42% (64) | - | - | - | - | .1 (41) | 2.97 (45) | 74% (74) | 11% (51) | 0.92 (32) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MISS Defense | 13 | 50% (62) | 43% (74) | - | - | - | - | .14 (70) | 3.21 (96) | 86% (127) | 11% (30) | 0.98 (58) |
| MSST Offense | 12 | 50% (64) | 38% (123) | 33.4 | 146.8 | 4.4 | 12 (116) | .07 (113) | 2.91 (105) | 59% (128) | 11% (81) | 1.02 (55) |
Pass Game Stats (2023)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MISS Offense | 13 | 45% (97) | 45% (31) | 19.7 | 30.4 | 285.6 | 9.4 | 14.5 | 26 (31) | 6 (14) | .45 (17) | 1.7 (21) | 32% (72) | 33% (55) | .43 (39) | 5% (22) | 2.2 (28) |
| MSST Defense | 12 | 47% (35) | 43% (84) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7 (111) | .29 (84) | 1.6 (55) | 30% (105) | 29% (49) | .36 (90) | 5% (107) | 2 (57) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MISS Defense | 13 | 49% (70) | 41% (54) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 13 (26) | .26 (59) | 1.6 (79) | 32% (65) | 27% (26) | .23 (31) | 7% (43) | 2 (35) |
| MSST Offense | 12 | 49% (67) | 35% (120) | 16.8 | 29 | 181.8 | 6.3 | 10.9 | 15 (96) | 10 (56) | .13 (115) | 1.6 (52) | 36% (129) | 26% (104) | .19 (106) | 6% (65) | 2 (98) |
Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 11.28 #18
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: 22.85 #22
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: 8.12 #47
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 36% #21
Ole Miss's 2023 Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90
Ole Miss's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0 #14
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #21
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #21
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 11.28 #18
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: 22.85 #22
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: 8.12 #47
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 36% #21
Ole Miss's 2023 Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90
Ole Miss's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0 #14
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #21
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #21
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 11.28 Mississippi State: 0.555
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 16.0 Mississippi State: -0.4
Ole Miss: 11.28 Mississippi State: 0.555
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 16.0 Mississippi State: -0.4
Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 0.555 #84
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: 10.46 #120
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: 10.96 #85
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #32
Mississippi State's 2023 Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90
Mississippi State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.4 #66
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #78
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 0.555 #84
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: 10.46 #120
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: 10.96 #85
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #32
Mississippi State's 2023 Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90
Mississippi State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.4 #66
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #78
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 35.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 22.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.8
Ole Miss's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Offense: 35.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 22.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.8
Ole Miss's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Ole Miss 33
Mississippi State 20
Total Points: 54
Ole Miss 33
Mississippi State 20
Total Points: 54
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.3
Defense: 26.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.1
Mississippi State's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.3
Defense: 26.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.1
Mississippi State's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/29 | Ole Miss | 26 | Mississippi State | 14 | Ole Miss | Ole Miss -26.5 | Mississippi State | 63.5 | Under |
| 2023 | 11/23 | Mississippi State | 7 | Ole Miss | 17 | Ole Miss | Ole Miss -11 | Mississippi State | 56.0 | Under |
| 2022 | 11/24 | Ole Miss | 22 | Mississippi State | 24 | Mississippi State | Ole Miss -2.5 | Mississippi State | 63.0 | Under |
| 2021 | 11/25 | Mississippi State | 21 | Ole Miss | 31 | Ole Miss | Mississippi State -2.5 | Ole Miss | 65.0 | Under |
| 2020 | 11/28 | Ole Miss | 31 | Mississippi State | 24 | Ole Miss | Ole Miss -10 | Mississippi State | 70.0 | Under |
| 2019 | 11/28 | Mississippi State | 21 | Ole Miss | 20 | Mississippi State | Mississippi State -1 | Push | 59.0 | Under |
| 2018 | 11/22 | Ole Miss | 3 | Mississippi State | 35 | Mississippi State | Mississippi State -12.5 | Mississippi State | 61.0 | Under |
| 2017 | 11/23 | Mississippi State | 28 | Ole Miss | 31 | Ole Miss | Mississippi State -14 | Ole Miss | 64.5 | Under |
| 2016 | 11/26 | Ole Miss | 20 | Mississippi State | 55 | Mississippi State | Ole Miss -8 | Mississippi State | 67.5 | Over |
| 2015 | 11/28 | Mississippi State | 27 | Ole Miss | 38 | Ole Miss | Ole Miss -2 | Ole Miss | 65.5 | Under |
| 2014 | 11/29 | Ole Miss | 31 | Mississippi State | 17 | Ole Miss | Mississippi State -2.5 | Ole Miss | 51.5 | Under |
| 2013 | 11/28 | Mississippi State | 17 | Ole Miss | 10 | Mississippi State | Ole Miss -3 | Mississippi State | 0 | |
| 2012 | 11/24 | Ole Miss | 41 | Mississippi State | 24 | Ole Miss | ||||
| 2011 | 11/26 | Mississippi State | 31 | Ole Miss | 3 | Mississippi State | ||||
| 2010 | 11/27 | Ole Miss | 23 | Mississippi State | 31 | Mississippi State | ||||
| 2009 | 11/28 | Mississippi State | 41 | Ole Miss | 27 | Mississippi State | ||||
| 2008 | 11/28 | Ole Miss | 45 | Mississippi State | 0 | Ole Miss | ||||
| 2007 | 11/23 | Mississippi State | 17 | Ole Miss | 14 | Mississippi State | ||||
| 2006 | 11/25 | Ole Miss | 20 | Mississippi State | 17 | Ole Miss | ||||
| 2005 | 11/26 | Mississippi State | 35 | Ole Miss | 14 | Mississippi State | ||||
| 2004 | 11/27 | Ole Miss | 20 | Mississippi State | 3 | Ole Miss | ||||
| 2003 | 11/27 | Mississippi State | 0 | Ole Miss | 31 | Ole Miss | ||||
| 2001 | 11/22 | Mississippi State | 36 | Ole Miss | 28 | Mississippi State | ||||
| 2000 | 11/22 | Ole Miss | 45 | Mississippi State | 30 | Ole Miss |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State | 11 | 7 | 1 Overs |
| Ole Miss | 13 | 4 | 10 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 15 - 9 | 3 - 8 | 0 - 6 | 3 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 9 - 15 | 8 - 3 | 2 - 3 | 6 - 0 |
(#18) Ole Miss Info
Power Rating: 11.28 #18
Offense Rating: 22.85 #22
Defense Rating: 8.12 #47
Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0 #14
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #21
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #21
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 36% #21
Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90
Ole Miss has won 1 straight
Ole Miss has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 2 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
Ole Miss Highlights
Ole Miss offense is explosive (#79)
Ole Miss offense is good in red zone (#24)
Ole Miss Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Ole Miss Front 7 is disruptive (#125)
Ole Miss has a great TO Margin (#82)
Ole Miss defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#87)
Ole Miss Deficiencies
Ole Miss Commits a Lot of Penalties (#103)
Ole Miss Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#67)
Ole Miss Does Not Stuff Runs (#131)
Power Rating: 11.28 #18
Offense Rating: 22.85 #22
Defense Rating: 8.12 #47
Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0 #14
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #21
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #21
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 36% #21
Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90
Ole Miss has won 1 straight
Ole Miss has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 2 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
Ole Miss Highlights
Ole Miss offense is explosive (#79)
Ole Miss offense is good in red zone (#24)
Ole Miss Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Ole Miss Front 7 is disruptive (#125)
Ole Miss has a great TO Margin (#82)
Ole Miss defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#87)
Ole Miss Deficiencies
Ole Miss Commits a Lot of Penalties (#103)
Ole Miss Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#67)
Ole Miss Does Not Stuff Runs (#131)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | MSST | MISS |
| OverallOver | #62 | #19 |
| OffenseOff | #75 | #16 |
| DefenseDef | #57 | #51 |
| Special TeamsST | #24 | #11 |
| PassingPass | #62 | #5 |
| RushingRush | #44 | #7 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #56 | #64 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #42 | #75 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #84 | #14 |
| TacklingTkl | #31 | #34 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #66 | #70 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #92 | #34 |
| Coverage DefCov | #41 | #59 |
Rematch from Week 13
Ole Miss 11.0 (56.0)
Ole Miss won at Mississippi State this year (17-7)
Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat Mississippi State last year (26-14)
Ole Miss beat Mississippi State in 2023 (17-7)
Mississippi State beat Ole Miss in 2022 (24-22)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: MISS | MSST
Depth Chart: MISS | MSST
Rosters: MISS | MSST
(#84) Mississippi State Info
Power Rating: 0.555 #84
Offense Rating: 10.46 #120
Defense Rating: 10.96 #85
Overall SP+ Rating: -0.4 #66
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #78
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #32
Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90
Mississippi State has won 1 straight
Mississippi State has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 4 (3 - 5 - 0 vs Spread)
Mississippi State Highlights
Mississippi State has a great TO Margin (#28)
Mississippi State Deficiencies
Mississippi State offense is really bad (#33)
Mississippi State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#57)
Mississippi State run game is really bad (#18)
Mississippi State pass game is really bad (#62)
Mississippi State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Mississippi State has a bad red zone defense (#65)
Power Rating: 0.555 #84
Offense Rating: 10.46 #120
Defense Rating: 10.96 #85
Overall SP+ Rating: -0.4 #66
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #78
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #32
Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90
Mississippi State has won 1 straight
Mississippi State has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 4 (3 - 5 - 0 vs Spread)
Mississippi State Highlights
Mississippi State has a great TO Margin (#28)
Mississippi State Deficiencies
Mississippi State offense is really bad (#33)
Mississippi State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#57)
Mississippi State run game is really bad (#18)
Mississippi State pass game is really bad (#62)
Mississippi State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Mississippi State has a bad red zone defense (#65)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxson Dart | 233 | 359 | 65% | 3364 | 23 | 5 | 9.4 |
| Spencer Sanders (Tr) | 19 | 29 | 66% | 278 | 3 | 0 | 9.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinshon Judkins | 271 | 1158 | 15 | 4.3 | 40 |
| Ulysses Bentley IV | 95 | 540 | 4 | 5.7 | 43 |
| Jaxson Dart | 119 | 391 | 8 | 3.3 | 68 |
| Matt Jones | 12 | 79 | 2 | 6.6 | 36 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Harris (Tr) | 54 | 985 | 8 | 18.2 | 56 |
| Dayton Wade | 55 | 830 | 4 | 15.1 | 58 |
| Jordan Watkins | 53 | 741 | 3 | 14.0 | 68 |
| Caden Prieskorn (Tr) | 30 | 449 | 4 | 15.0 | 37 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Washington | 83 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Ashanti Cistrunk (Tr) | 71 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| John Saunders Jr. | 65 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Daijahn Anthony | 61 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Ivey | 46 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 |
| Cedric Johnson | 40 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 3 |
| Suntarine Perkins | 38 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| Isaac Ukwu (Tr) | 30 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daijahn Anthony | 61 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| Zamari Walton (Tr) | 38 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Deantre Prince | 36 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rogers | 142 | 237 | 60% | 1626 | 12 | 4 | 6.9 |
| Mike Wright (Tr) | 48 | 85 | 57% | 453 | 3 | 3 | 5.3 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jo'quavious Marks | 121 | 573 | 4 | 4.7 | 52 |
| Seth Davis | 59 | 356 | 1 | 6.0 | 46 |
| Mike Wright (Tr) | 71 | 324 | 3 | 4.6 | 53 |
| Jeffery Pittman | 54 | 268 | 1 | 5.0 | 59 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lideatrick Griffin (Tr) | 50 | 658 | 4 | 13.2 | 65 |
| Zavion Thomas | 40 | 503 | 1 | 12.6 | 35 |
| Justin Robinson | 21 | 257 | 0 | 12.2 | 30 |
| Jo'quavious Marks | 23 | 167 | 2 | 7.3 | 32 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Watson | 137 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 2 |
| Jett Johnson | 130 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 1 |
| Decamerion Richardson | 79 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Corey Ellington | 66 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Watson | 137 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 2 |
| Jett Johnson | 130 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 1 |
| Jaden Crumedy | 35 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Corey Ellington | 66 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Decamerion Richardson | 79 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Deonte Anderson | 38 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| Shawn Preston Jr. | 59 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 |