Mississippi State at Texas A&M Game Matchup
Mississippi State logo Mississippi State Bulldogs at Texas A&M AggiesTexas A&M logo
Saturday, November 11th 2023 (7:30 PM EST)
Texas A&M -16.5 (40.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Texas A&M 51 - Mississippi State: 10  (SEC)

 
Bulldogs (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Greg Knox (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 34 (19 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MSST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Texas A&M -19.5   (SP+ TA&M -16)
Projected Score: MSST: 14 - TA&M: 33 (56)
TA&M Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
MSST Travel: 484 miles
Aggies (7 - 6) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Elijah Robinson (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 30 - 22 (31 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.6 - 3.4 (#18)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Mississippi State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Mississippi State vs SE Louisiana-31.559.5W 48 - 7UY
Sat 9/9 Mississippi State vs Arizona-9.060.0W 31 - 24UN
Sat 9/16 Mississippi State vs LSU+9.554.0L 14 - 41ON
Sat 9/23 Mississippi State at South Carolina+6.046.5L 30 - 37ON
Sat 9/30 Mississippi State vs Alabama+16.545.0L 17 - 40ON
Sat 10/7 Mississippi State vs Western Michigan-21.554.5W 41 - 28ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Mississippi State at Arkansas+6.546.5W 7 - 3UY
Sat 10/28 Mississippi State at Auburn+6.540.0L 13 - 27UN
Sat 11/4 Mississippi State vs Kentucky+5.544.5L 3 - 24UN
Sat 11/11 Mississippi State at Texas A&M+16.540.5L 10 - 51ON
Sat 11/18 Mississippi State vs Southern Miss-18.547.5W 41 - 20OY
Thu 11/23 Mississippi State vs Ole Miss+11.056.0L 7 - 17UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Texas A&M's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Texas A&M vs New Mexico-37.548.5W 52 - 10OY
Sat 9/9 Texas A&M at Miami-3.050.5L 33 - 48ON
Sat 9/16 Texas A&M vs UL Monroe-36.553.5W 47 - 3UY
Sat 9/23 Texas A&M vs Auburn-9.551.0W 27 - 10UY
Sat 9/30 Texas A&M vs Arkansas-6.553.5W 34 - 22OY
Sat 10/7 Texas A&M vs Alabama+2.545.0L 20 - 26ON
Sat 10/14 Texas A&M at Tennessee+3.054.5L 13 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Texas A&M vs South Carolina-17.051.5W 30 - 17UN
Sat 11/4 Texas A&M at Ole Miss+3.052.5L 35 - 38OY
Sat 11/11 Texas A&M vs Mississippi State-16.540.5W 51 - 10OY
Sat 11/18 Texas A&M vs Abilene Christian-40.554.5W 38 - 10UN
Sat 11/25 Texas A&M at LSU+10.567.5L 30 - 42ON
Wed 12/27 Texas A&M vs Oklahoma State+4.056.0L 23 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas A&M's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSST.1946%25.845%2.968247%3104.23.0939%34.141%38%3.5360.81.51.9
TA&M.1440%30.445%3.0314236%2193.78.1240%22.243%35%3.0449.11.51.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TA&M0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSST Offense1325.81946.2%4.231.523393823103.630%70%45%47%16%.19
TA&M Defense1222.215.140%3.041.9 - - - - - 60%40%43%35%16%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSST Defense1334.13339.2%3.531.9 - - - - - 46%53%41%38%18%.09
TA&M Offense1230.430.740.1%3.781.5193621422194.746%54%45%36%19%.14

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Mississippi State1329:5822.839%52%6.360.81.51.96.42.4531.7
Texas A&M1227:5019.436%36%6.349.11.51.95.51.6127.6
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSST Offense1330%45%22.882.43.612.122.9660%8%0.89
TA&M Defense1260%43% - - - - .113.0876%10%0.97
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSST Defense1346%41% - - - - .142.7959%11%1.04
TA&M Offense1246%45%30.6142.34.712.143.0369%11%0.94

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSST Offense1370%47%32.848.8310.46.49.5369.221.227%30%.318%2
TA&M Defense1240%35% - - - - - - 4.141.635%27%.275%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSST Defense1353%38% - - - - - - 14.11.634%28%.096%1.9
TA&M Offense1254%36%18.332.6219.46.712186.181.634%28%.267%2.2

Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: -3.49 #84
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: 10.46 #120
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: 10.96 #85
2023 Talent Rating: 784.00 #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 21% #32
Mississippi State's 2023 Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90
Mississippi State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.4 #66
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #78
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State: -3.49   Texas A&M: 17.675

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State: -0.4   Texas A&M: 15.4




Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: 17.675 #13
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: 16.69 #63
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: 0.57 #9
2023 Talent Rating: 1314.00 #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 75 #4
Texas A&M's 2023 Expected Record: 9.60 - 3.40
Texas A&M's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4 #15
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #20
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7 #15

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 19
Defense: 34.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 33

Mississippi State's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Texas A&M 33
Mississippi State 14

Projected Total Points: 56
Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.7
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.1

Texas A&M's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19Mississippi State24Texas A&M34Texas A&MTexas A&M -21Mississippi State55.5Over
202311/11Texas A&M51Mississippi State10Texas A&MTexas A&M -16.5Texas A&M40.5Over
202210/01Mississippi State42Texas A&M24Mississippi StateMississippi State -4Mississippi State45.0Over
202110/02Texas A&M22Mississippi State26Mississippi StateTexas A&M -7Mississippi State45.5Over
202010/17Mississippi State14Texas A&M28Texas A&MTexas A&M -4.5Texas A&M56.0Under
201910/26Texas A&M49Mississippi State30Texas A&MTexas A&M -10.5Texas A&M50.0Over
201810/27Mississippi State28Texas A&M13Mississippi StateMississippi State -1.5Mississippi State42.5Under
201710/28Texas A&M14Mississippi State35Mississippi StateMississippi State -3.5Mississippi State55.5Under
201611/05Mississippi State35Texas A&M28Mississippi StateTexas A&M -13Mississippi State61.0Over
201510/03Texas A&M30Mississippi State17Texas A&MTexas A&M -6Texas A&M62.5Under
201410/04Mississippi State48Texas A&M31Mississippi StateTexas A&M -1Mississippi State0
201311/09Texas A&M51Mississippi State41Texas A&MTexas A&M -19Mississippi State0
201211/03Mississippi State13Texas A&M38Texas A&M
200012/30Mississippi State43Texas A&M41Mississippi State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas A&M746 Overs
Mississippi State784 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 58 - 45 - 23 - 2
Road Teams5 - 94 - 82 - 32 - 5

(#84) Mississippi State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -3.49 #84
Offense Rating: 10.46 #120
Defense Rating: 10.96 #85
Overall SP+ Rating: -0.4 #66
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #78
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55
Talent Rating: 784.00 #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 21% #32
Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90

Team Profile






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Mississippi State     Ratings Matchup     Texas A&M
Power #84
#13
Off #120
#63
Def #85
#9
Talent #31
#3
SP+ #66
#15
SP+ Off #78
#20
SP+ Def #55
#15

Rematch from Week 11
Texas A&M -16.5 (40.5)
Texas A&M won vs Mississippi State this year (51-10)

Previous Matchups
Texas A&M beat Mississippi State last year (34-24)
Texas A&M beat Mississippi State in 2023 (51-10)
Mississippi State beat Texas A&M in 2022 (42-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kyle Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 60° - Wind: 7 mph


Team Information
Injuries: MSST | TA&M
Depth Chart: MSST | TA&M
Rosters: MSST | TA&M
(#13) Texas A&M Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 17.675 #13
Offense Rating: 16.69 #63
Defense Rating: 0.57 #9
Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4 #15
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #20
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7 #15
Talent Rating: 1314.00 #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 75 #4
Expected Record: 9.60 - 3.40

Team Profile






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Mississippi State's OC Kevin Barbay
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Will Rogers22031171%24581477.9
Mike Wright (Tr)396758%356015.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jo'quavious Marks198113395.765
Simeon Price4413603.118
Mike Wright (Tr)178214.820
Zavion Thomas97608.426
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jo'quavious Marks4732106.833
Justin Robinson16244315.350
Zavion Thomas2321829.521
Ryland Goede (Tr)670111.725

View Mississippi State's Full Roster
Mississippi State's DC Matt Brock
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Corey Ellington531003
Will James352007
J.P. Purvis350000
Luke Evans311003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Corey Ellington531003
Caleb Bryant40000
Ryland Goede (Tr)10000
Keelan Crimmins10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Will James352007
Corey Ellington531003
Luke Evans311003

Texas A&M's OC Bobby Petrino
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Max Johnson121963%71013.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jahdae Walker (Tr)31204.06
Max Johnson61011.716
Jordan Anthony (Tr)2703.54
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Evan Stewart48613512.869
Jahdae Walker (Tr)29345211.940
Jordan Anthony (Tr)8111113.927
Moose Muhammad III65529.220

View Texas A&M's Full Roster
Texas A&M's DC D. J. Durkin
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jardin Gilbert522102
Walter Nolen4713642
Lebbeus Overton423291
Fadil Diggs4213731
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Fadil Diggs4213731
Walter Nolen4713642
Lebbeus Overton423291
Shemar Turner366211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deuce Harmon282006
Tony Grimes (Tr)200015
Kent Robinson334204