(#14)Alabama Crimson Tide at Mississippi State Bulldogs
Saturday, September 30th 2023 (9:00 PM EDT)
Alabama -16.5 (45.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Alabama 40 - Mississippi State: 17 (SEC)
Crimson Tide (12 - 2) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Nick Saban (191 - 28)
Avg Score : 34 - 19 (32 - 17 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 4.3 (#16)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Nick Saban (191 - 28)
Avg Score : 34 - 19 (32 - 17 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 4.3 (#16)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MSST is playing their 5th straight game
ALA is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Alabama -19.5 (SP+ ALA -24)
Projected Score: ALA: 34 - MSST: 14 (48)
ALA Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
ALA Travel: 74 miles
ALA is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Alabama -19.5 (SP+ ALA -24)
Projected Score: ALA: 34 - MSST: 14 (48)
ALA Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
ALA Travel: 74 miles
Bulldogs (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Greg Knox (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 27 (25 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Greg Knox (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 27 (25 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
| Alabama's 2023 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 9/2 | Alabama vs Middle Tennessee | -39.5 | 52.0 | W 56 - 7 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/9 | Alabama vs Texas | -7.0 | 53.0 | L 24 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/16 | Alabama at South Florida | -34.0 | 61.0 | W 17 - 3 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/23 | Alabama vs Ole Miss | -7.0 | 56.0 | W 24 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/30 | Alabama at Mississippi State | -16.5 | 45.0 | W 40 - 17 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/7 | Alabama at Texas A&M | -2.5 | 45.0 | W 26 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/14 | Alabama vs Arkansas | -19.0 | 45.0 | W 24 - 21 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/21 | Alabama vs Tennessee | -8.5 | 47.5 | W 34 - 20 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/4 | Alabama vs LSU | -3.0 | 61.5 | W 42 - 28 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/11 | Alabama at Kentucky | -10.0 | 45.5 | W 49 - 21 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/18 | Alabama vs Chattanooga | -44.5 | 54.5 | W 66 - 10 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/25 | Alabama at Auburn | -14.0 | 48.0 | W 27 - 24 | O | N | |
| Sat 12/2 | Alabama vs Georgia | +5.0 | 56.0 | W 27 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Mon 1/1 | Alabama vs Michigan | +2.0 | 46.0 | L 20 - 27 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
| Mississippi State's 2023 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 9/2 | Mississippi State vs SE Louisiana | -31.5 | 59.5 | W 48 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/9 | Mississippi State vs Arizona | -9.0 | 60.0 | W 31 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/16 | Mississippi State vs LSU | +9.5 | 54.0 | L 14 - 41 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/23 | Mississippi State at South Carolina | +6.0 | 46.5 | L 30 - 37 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/30 | Mississippi State vs Alabama | +16.5 | 45.0 | L 17 - 40 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/7 | Mississippi State vs Western Michigan | -21.5 | 54.5 | W 41 - 28 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/21 | Mississippi State at Arkansas | +6.5 | 46.5 | W 7 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/28 | Mississippi State at Auburn | +6.5 | 40.0 | L 13 - 27 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/4 | Mississippi State vs Kentucky | +5.5 | 44.5 | L 3 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/11 | Mississippi State at Texas A&M | +16.5 | 40.5 | L 10 - 51 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/18 | Mississippi State vs Southern Miss | -18.5 | 47.5 | W 41 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Thu 11/23 | Mississippi State vs Ole Miss | +11.0 | 56.0 | L 7 - 17 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Important Stats (2023)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALA | #20 (.29) | 45% (39) | 34 | 45% (43) | 3.23 (45) | 160 | 45% (34) | 212 | 4.59 (17) | #26 (.11) | 36% (12) | 19 | 38% (28) | 34% (6) | 3.86 (73) | 45.7 | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| MSST | #116 (.09) | 36% (126) | 21.8 | 38% (123) | 2.91 (105) | 147 | 35% (120) | 182 | 3.47 (96) | #61 (.17) | 42% (71) | 26.6 | 42% (64) | 43% (84) | 4.33 (115) | 56.8 | 1.2 | 1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALA | #44 (.23) | 45% (34) | 45% (52) | 2.75 (112) | 169 | 45% (31) | 222 | 4.71 (8) | #8 (.05) | 37% (12) | 38% (15) | 37% (19) | 2.85 (5) | 66.3 | 1.4 | 2.1 | ||
| MSST | #78 (.17) | 39% (109) | 40% (105) | 2.9 (93) | 139 | 38% (104) | 239 | 3.75 (86) | #130 (.32) | 50% (133) | 47% (108) | 55% (134) | 4.32 (113) | 60.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
Overall Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALA Offense | 14 | 34 | 31.8 | 45% | 4.59 | 0.7 | 19 | 373 | 160 | 212 | 4.3 | 57% | 43% | 45% | 45% | 15% | .29 |
| MSST Defense | 12 | 26.6 | 25.1 | 42.3% | 4.33 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 52% | 47% | 42% | 43% | 16% | .17 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALA Defense | 14 | 19 | 17 | 35.8% | 3.86 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 48% | 52% | 38% | 34% | 19% | .11 |
| MSST Offense | 12 | 21.8 | 25.3 | 35.9% | 3.47 | 1.2 | 17 | 329 | 147 | 182 | 4.4 | 50% | 49% | 38% | 35% | 16% | .09 |
Additional Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama | 14 | 28:25 | 18.6 | 47% | 83% | 5.4 | 45.7 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 5.9 | 2.8 | 2 | 30.6 |
| Mississippi State | 12 | 28:40 | 16.6 | 31% | 42% | 6.3 | 56.8 | 1.2 | 1 | 5.6 | 2.3 | 2 | 29.9 |
Run Game Stats (2023)
Pass Game Stats (2023)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALA Offense | 14 | 57% (18) | 45% (43) | 37 | 160.4 | 4.3 | 30 (21) | .21 (39) | 3.23 (45) | 81% (13) | 11% (91) | 0.98 (79) |
| MSST Defense | 12 | 52% (97) | 42% (64) | - | - | - | - | .1 (41) | 2.97 (45) | 74% (74) | 11% (51) | 0.92 (32) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALA Defense | 14 | 48% (40) | 38% (28) | - | - | - | - | .15 (71) | 3.13 (74) | 67% (36) | 12% (21) | 1.12 (114) |
| MSST Offense | 12 | 50% (64) | 38% (123) | 33.4 | 146.8 | 4.4 | 12 (116) | .07 (113) | 2.91 (105) | 59% (128) | 11% (81) | 1.02 (55) |
Pass Game Stats (2023)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALA Offense | 14 | 43% (115) | 45% (34) | 13.7 | 21.6 | 212.1 | 9.8 | 15.5 | 23 (51) | 6 (14) | .44 (20) | 1.9 (8) | 31% (50) | 34% (39) | .55 (11) | 4% (6) | 2.6 (1) |
| MSST Defense | 12 | 47% (35) | 43% (84) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7 (111) | .29 (84) | 1.6 (55) | 30% (105) | 29% (49) | .36 (90) | 5% (107) | 2 (57) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALA Defense | 14 | 52% (98) | 34% (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 12 (37) | .11 (9) | 1.5 (42) | 35% (29) | 26% (18) | .23 (25) | 7% (37) | 2.1 (71) |
| MSST Offense | 12 | 49% (67) | 35% (120) | 16.8 | 29 | 181.8 | 6.3 | 10.9 | 15 (96) | 10 (56) | .13 (115) | 1.6 (52) | 36% (129) | 26% (104) | .19 (106) | 6% (65) | 2 (98) |
Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 16.78 #9
Alabama's Offense Rating: 22.42 #25
Alabama's Defense Rating: 3.95 #21
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 90% #1
Alabama's 2023 Expected Record: 9.70 - 4.30
Alabama's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7 #7
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1 #11
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #9
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Alabama's Power Rating: 16.78 #9
Alabama's Offense Rating: 22.42 #25
Alabama's Defense Rating: 3.95 #21
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 90% #1
Alabama's 2023 Expected Record: 9.70 - 4.30
Alabama's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7 #7
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1 #11
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #9
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 16.78 Mississippi State: 0.555
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 23.7 Mississippi State: -0.4
Alabama: 16.78 Mississippi State: 0.555
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 23.7 Mississippi State: -0.4
Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 0.555 #84
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: 10.46 #120
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: 10.96 #85
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #32
Mississippi State's 2023 Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90
Mississippi State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.4 #66
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #78
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 0.555 #84
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: 10.46 #120
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: 10.96 #85
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #32
Mississippi State's 2023 Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90
Mississippi State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.4 #66
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #78
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Alabama Scoring
Offense: 34 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.8
Defense: 19 PPG
Defense on Road: 17
Alabama's 2023 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Offense: 34 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.8
Defense: 19 PPG
Defense on Road: 17
Alabama's 2023 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 34
Mississippi State 14
Total Points: 48
Alabama 34
Mississippi State 14
Total Points: 48
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.3
Defense: 26.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.1
Mississippi State's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.3
Defense: 26.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.1
Mississippi State's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 09/30 | Mississippi State | 17 | Alabama | 40 | Alabama | Alabama -16.5 | Alabama | 45.0 | Over |
| 2022 | 10/22 | Alabama | 30 | Mississippi State | 6 | Alabama | Alabama -21.5 | Alabama | 61.5 | Under |
| 2021 | 10/16 | Mississippi State | 9 | Alabama | 49 | Alabama | Alabama -17.5 | Alabama | 59.5 | Under |
| 2020 | 10/31 | Alabama | 41 | Mississippi State | 0 | Alabama | Alabama -32.0 | Alabama | 0 | |
| 2019 | 11/16 | Mississippi State | 7 | Alabama | 38 | Alabama | Alabama -19 | Alabama | 61.0 | Under |
| 2018 | 11/10 | Alabama | 24 | Mississippi State | 0 | Alabama | Alabama -21.5 | Alabama | 50.0 | Under |
| 2017 | 11/11 | Mississippi State | 24 | Alabama | 31 | Alabama | Alabama -14.5 | Mississippi State | 50.0 | Over |
| 2016 | 11/12 | Alabama | 51 | Mississippi State | 3 | Alabama | Alabama -28.5 | Alabama | 52.5 | Over |
| 2015 | 11/14 | Mississippi State | 6 | Alabama | 31 | Alabama | Alabama -7 | Alabama | 51.5 | Under |
| 2014 | 11/15 | Alabama | 25 | Mississippi State | 20 | Alabama | Alabama -6.5 | Mississippi State | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/16 | Mississippi State | 7 | Alabama | 20 | Alabama | Alabama -24.5 | Mississippi State | 0 | |
| 2012 | 10/27 | Alabama | 38 | Mississippi State | 7 | Alabama | ||||
| 2011 | 11/12 | Mississippi State | 7 | Alabama | 24 | Alabama | ||||
| 2010 | 11/13 | Alabama | 30 | Mississippi State | 10 | Alabama | ||||
| 2009 | 11/14 | Mississippi State | 3 | Alabama | 31 | Alabama | ||||
| 2008 | 11/15 | Alabama | 32 | Mississippi State | 7 | Alabama | ||||
| 2007 | 11/10 | Mississippi State | 17 | Alabama | 12 | Mississippi State | ||||
| 2006 | 11/04 | Alabama | 16 | Mississippi State | 24 | Mississippi State | ||||
| 2005 | 11/05 | Mississippi State | 0 | Alabama | 17 | Alabama | ||||
| 2004 | 11/06 | Alabama | 30 | Mississippi State | 14 | Alabama | ||||
| 2003 | 11/08 | Mississippi State | 0 | Alabama | 38 | Alabama | ||||
| 2002 | 11/09 | Alabama | 28 | Mississippi State | 14 | Alabama | ||||
| 2001 | 11/10 | Alabama | 24 | Mississippi State | 17 | Alabama | ||||
| 2000 | 11/10 | Mississippi State | 29 | Alabama | 7 | Mississippi State |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State | 3 | 3 | 3 Overs |
| Alabama | 21 | 8 | 5 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 13 - 11 | 6 - 5 | 4 - 1 | 2 - 4 |
| Road Teams | 11 - 13 | 5 - 6 | 4 - 2 | 1 - 4 |
(#9) Alabama Info
Power Rating: 16.78 #9
Offense Rating: 22.42 #25
Defense Rating: 3.95 #21
Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7 #7
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1 #11
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #9
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 90% #1
Expected Record: 9.70 - 4.30
Alabama has won 2 straight
Alabama has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 5 - 0 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )
Alabama Highlights
Alabama offense is explosive (#21)
Alabama offense is good in red zone (#23)
Alabama offense is good on 3rd downs
Alabama Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Alabama has a really good defense (#44)
Alabama has a good run defense (#43)
Alabama has a good pass defense (#56)
Alabama Front 7 is disruptive (#23)
Alabama has a great TO Margin (#1)
Alabama Deficiencies
Alabama Does Not Stuff Runs (#107)
Power Rating: 16.78 #9
Offense Rating: 22.42 #25
Defense Rating: 3.95 #21
Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7 #7
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1 #11
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #9
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 90% #1
Expected Record: 9.70 - 4.30
Alabama has won 2 straight
Alabama has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 5 - 0 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )
Alabama Highlights
Alabama offense is explosive (#21)
Alabama offense is good in red zone (#23)
Alabama offense is good on 3rd downs
Alabama Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Alabama has a really good defense (#44)
Alabama has a good run defense (#43)
Alabama has a good pass defense (#56)
Alabama Front 7 is disruptive (#23)
Alabama has a great TO Margin (#1)
Alabama Deficiencies
Alabama Does Not Stuff Runs (#107)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | MSST | ALA |
| OverallOver | #62 | #3 |
| OffenseOff | #75 | #10 |
| DefenseDef | #57 | #5 |
| Special TeamsST | #24 | #3 |
| PassingPass | #62 | #25 |
| RushingRush | #44 | #11 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #56 | #3 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #42 | #38 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #84 | #28 |
| TacklingTkl | #31 | #6 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #66 | #8 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #92 | #12 |
| Coverage DefCov | #41 | #2 |
Rematch from Week 5
Alabama 16.5 (45.0)
Alabama won at Mississippi State this year (40-17)
Previous Matchups
Alabama beat Mississippi State in 2023 (40-17)
Alabama beat Mississippi State in 2022 (30-6)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: ALA | MSST
Depth Chart: ALA | MSST
Rosters: ALA | MSST
(#84) Mississippi State Info
Power Rating: 0.555 #84
Offense Rating: 10.46 #120
Defense Rating: 10.96 #85
Overall SP+ Rating: -0.4 #66
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #78
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #32
Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90
Mississippi State has lost 2 straight
Mississippi State has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 4 (3 - 5 - 0 vs Spread)
Mississippi State Highlights
Mississippi State has a great TO Margin (#28)
Mississippi State Deficiencies
Mississippi State offense is really bad (#33)
Mississippi State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#57)
Mississippi State run game is really bad (#18)
Mississippi State pass game is really bad (#62)
Mississippi State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Mississippi State has a bad red zone defense (#65)
Power Rating: 0.555 #84
Offense Rating: 10.46 #120
Defense Rating: 10.96 #85
Overall SP+ Rating: -0.4 #66
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #78
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #32
Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90
Mississippi State has lost 2 straight
Mississippi State has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 4 (3 - 5 - 0 vs Spread)
Mississippi State Highlights
Mississippi State has a great TO Margin (#28)
Mississippi State Deficiencies
Mississippi State offense is really bad (#33)
Mississippi State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#57)
Mississippi State run game is really bad (#18)
Mississippi State pass game is really bad (#62)
Mississippi State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Mississippi State has a bad red zone defense (#65)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Milroe | 187 | 284 | 66% | 2834 | 23 | 6 | 10.0 |
| Ty Simpson | 11 | 20 | 55% | 179 | 0 | 0 | 9.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jase McClellan | 180 | 890 | 8 | 4.9 | 34 |
| Roydell Williams | 111 | 560 | 5 | 5.0 | 48 |
| Jalen Milroe | 161 | 531 | 12 | 3.3 | 53 |
| Jamarion Miller | 41 | 201 | 1 | 4.9 | 45 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jermaine Burton | 39 | 798 | 8 | 20.5 | 68 |
| Isaiah Bond | 48 | 668 | 4 | 13.9 | 52 |
| Amari Niblack | 20 | 327 | 4 | 16.4 | 39 |
| Kobe Prentice | 18 | 314 | 2 | 17.4 | 79 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Downs | 107 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Deontae Lawson | 67 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Jihaad Campbell | 66 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| Terrion Arnold | 63 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 12 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Turner | 53 | 16 | 11 | 13 | 1 |
| Chris Braswell | 42 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 1 |
| Justin Eboigbe | 63 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 |
| Deontae Lawson | 67 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrion Arnold | 63 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 12 |
| Kool-Aid McKinstry | 32 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Trey Amos (Tr) | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rogers | 142 | 237 | 60% | 1626 | 12 | 4 | 6.9 |
| Mike Wright (Tr) | 48 | 85 | 57% | 453 | 3 | 3 | 5.3 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jo'quavious Marks | 121 | 573 | 4 | 4.7 | 52 |
| Seth Davis | 59 | 356 | 1 | 6.0 | 46 |
| Mike Wright (Tr) | 71 | 324 | 3 | 4.6 | 53 |
| Jeffery Pittman | 54 | 268 | 1 | 5.0 | 59 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lideatrick Griffin (Tr) | 50 | 658 | 4 | 13.2 | 65 |
| Zavion Thomas | 40 | 503 | 1 | 12.6 | 35 |
| Justin Robinson | 21 | 257 | 0 | 12.2 | 30 |
| Jo'quavious Marks | 23 | 167 | 2 | 7.3 | 32 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Watson | 137 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 2 |
| Jett Johnson | 130 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 1 |
| Decamerion Richardson | 79 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Corey Ellington | 66 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Watson | 137 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 2 |
| Jett Johnson | 130 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 1 |
| Jaden Crumedy | 35 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Corey Ellington | 66 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Decamerion Richardson | 79 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Deonte Anderson | 38 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| Shawn Preston Jr. | 59 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 |