Ole Miss Rebels at Mississippi State Bulldogs
Friday, November 28th 2025 (12:00 PM EST)
Ole Miss -7.5 (62.5) (-279) Open: -13.5 | 59.5
Ole Miss 38 - Mississippi State: 19 (SEC)
Rebels (13 - 2) (9 - 6 - 0)
Coach Lane Kiffin (43 - 18)
Avg Score : 37 - 21 (34 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 12 - 1 (#3)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Coach Lane Kiffin (43 - 18)
Avg Score : 37 - 21 (34 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 12 - 1 (#3)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
MISS coming off BYE
MSST coming off BYE
Our Line: Ole Miss -13 (SP+ MISS -20)
Projected Score: MISS: 37 - MSST: 24 (62)
MISS Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
MISS Travel: 76 miles
MSST coming off BYE
Our Line: Ole Miss -13 (SP+ MISS -20)
Projected Score: MISS: 37 - MSST: 24 (62)
MISS Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
MISS Travel: 76 miles
Bulldogs (5 - 8) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jeff Lebby (2 - 10)
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (34 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 7.5 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Coach Jeff Lebby (2 - 10)
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (34 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 7.5 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
| Ole Miss's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Ole Miss vs Georgia State | -38.5 | 62.5 | W 63 - 7 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Ole Miss at Kentucky | -8.0 | 51.5 | W 30 - 23 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Ole Miss vs Arkansas | -3.5 | 60.5 | W 41 - 35 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Ole Miss vs Tulane | -12.5 | 61.5 | W 45 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/27 | Ole Miss vs LSU | -2.5 | 57.5 | W 24 - 19 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/11 | Ole Miss vs Washington State | -33.5 | 58.5 | W 24 - 21 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/18 | Ole Miss at Georgia | +7.5 | 56.5 | L 35 - 43 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/25 | Ole Miss at Oklahoma | +5.5 | 52.5 | W 34 - 26 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/1 | Ole Miss vs South Carolina | -12.5 | 55.5 | W 30 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/8 | Ole Miss vs The Citadel | -51.5 | 63.5 | W 49 - 0 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/15 | Ole Miss vs Florida | -10.5 | 53.5 | W 34 - 24 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 11/28 | Ole Miss at Mississippi State | -7.5 | 62.5 | W 38 - 19 | U | Y | |
| Sat 12/20 | Ole Miss vs Tulane | -17.5 | 57.5 | W 41 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Thu 1/1 | Ole Miss vs Georgia | +6.0 | 53.5 | W 39 - 34 | O | Y | |
| Thu 1/8 | Ole Miss vs Miami | +3.0 | 52.5 | L 27 - 31 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Mississippi State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Mississippi State at Southern Miss | -11.5 | 59.5 | W 34 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Mississippi State vs Arizona State | +6.0 | 58.5 | W 24 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Mississippi State vs Alcorn State | -42.5 | 56.5 | W 63 - 0 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Mississippi State vs Northern Illinois | -23.5 | 48.5 | W 38 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/27 | Mississippi State vs Tennessee | +7.5 | 63.5 | L 34 - 41 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/4 | Mississippi State at Texas A&M | +17.5 | 57.5 | L 9 - 31 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/18 | Mississippi State at Florida | +9.5 | 50.5 | L 21 - 23 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/25 | Mississippi State vs Texas | +8.5 | 48.5 | L 38 - 45 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/1 | Mississippi State at Arkansas | +5.5 | 66.5 | W 38 - 35 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/8 | Mississippi State vs Georgia | +9.5 | 56.5 | L 21 - 41 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/15 | Mississippi State at Missouri | +7.5 | 50.5 | L 27 - 49 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 11/28 | Mississippi State vs Ole Miss | +7.5 | 62.5 | L 19 - 38 | U | N | |
| Fri 1/2 | Mississippi State vs Wake Forest | -3.0 | 52.5 | L 29 - 43 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 5, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 4, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 4, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
Overall Stats 2024
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MISS | #4 (.34) | 47% (19) | 36.9 | 44% (76) | 3.02 (72) | 164 | 51% (3) | 317 | 4 (58) | #6 (.04) | 35% (3) | 21.1 | 35% (6) | 36% (13) | 2.98 (8) | 68.5 | 0.9 | 1.6 |
| MSST | #78 (.17) | 39% (109) | 30.4 | 40% (105) | 2.9 (93) | 139 | 38% (104) | 239 | 3.75 (86) | #130 (.32) | 50% (133) | 30.2 | 47% (108) | 55% (134) | 4.32 (113) | 60.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MISS | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| MSST | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MISS Offense | 13 | 36.9 | 34.3 | 47.4% | 4 | 0.9 | 23 | 481 | 164 | 317 | 4.6 | 50% | 50% | 44% | 51% | 15% | .34 |
| MSST Defense | 12 | 30.2 | 27.9 | 50.4% | 4.32 | 0.9 | - | - | - | - | - | 59% | 41% | 47% | 55% | 11% | .32 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MISS Defense | 13 | 21.1 | 27.8 | 35.3% | 2.98 | 1.6 | - | - | - | - | - | 47% | 53% | 35% | 36% | 25% | .04 |
| MSST Offense | 12 | 30.4 | 33.9 | 39.2% | 3.75 | 1.5 | 20 | 378 | 139 | 239 | 4 | 50% | 50% | 40% | 38% | 21% | .17 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ole Miss | 13 | 26:04 | 22.7 | 41% | 59% | 6.8 | 68.5 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 8.9 | 4.1 | 0 | 29.7 |
| Mississippi State | 12 | 25:41 | 20.3 | 37% | 57% | 6.8 | 60.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 3.9 | 0.8 | 2 | 28.1 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MISS Offense | 13 | 50% (75) | 44% (76) | 35.8 | 164.2 | 4.6 | 27 (30) | .15 (58) | 3.02 (72) | 71% (85) | 10% (68) | 1.09 (26) |
| MSST Defense | 12 | 59% (132) | 47% (108) | - | - | - | - | .15 (80) | 3.3 (113) | 71% (57) | 7% (133) | 0.85 (13) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MISS Defense | 13 | 47% (25) | 35% (6) | - | - | - | - | -.04 (4) | 2.49 (7) | 74% (71) | 16% (1) | 0.88 (23) |
| MSST Offense | 12 | 50% (73) | 40% (105) | 34.8 | 138.6 | 4 | 19 (73) | .09 (92) | 2.9 (93) | 73% (71) | 13% (122) | 1.08 (28) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MISS Offense | 13 | 50% (59) | 51% (3) | 20.5 | 30.5 | 317.2 | 10.4 | 15.4 | 27 (20) | 6 (10) | .53 (3) | 1.6 (46) | 29% (28) | 38% (7) | .63 (2) | 5% (54) | 2.3 (12) |
| MSST Defense | 12 | 41% (3) | 55% (134) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7 (104) | .58 (134) | 1.5 (48) | 24% (134) | 39% (131) | .55 (130) | 4% (123) | 1.9 (38) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MISS Defense | 13 | 53% (115) | 36% (13) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 11 (52) | .12 (20) | 1.6 (85) | 37% (5) | 23% (1) | .1 (3) | 8% (3) | 2.1 (68) |
| MSST Offense | 12 | 50% (62) | 38% (104) | 17.9 | 30.6 | 239.3 | 7.8 | 13.4 | 19 (65) | 8 (40) | .25 (76) | 1.8 (18) | 34% (113) | 32% (62) | .33 (73) | 8% (116) | 2.1 (56) |
Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 22.16 #9
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: 26.65 #7
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: 4.49 #21
2025 Talent Rating: 870.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 40% #18
Ole Miss's 2025 Expected Record: 12.0 - 1.0
Ole Miss's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.0 #7
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.4 #3
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.3 #20
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 22.16 #9
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: 26.65 #7
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: 4.49 #21
2025 Talent Rating: 870.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 40% #18
Ole Miss's 2025 Expected Record: 12.0 - 1.0
Ole Miss's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.0 #7
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.4 #3
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.3 #20
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Power Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 22.16 Mississippi State: 10.25
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 24.0 Mississippi State: 4.1
Ole Miss: 22.16 Mississippi State: 10.25
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 24.0 Mississippi State: 4.1
Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 10.25 #38
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: 20.94 #24
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: 9.54 #43
2025 Talent Rating: 844.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 19 #27
Mississippi State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.5 - 7.5
Mississippi State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.1 #58
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6 #39
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #84
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 10.25 #38
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: 20.94 #24
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: 9.54 #43
2025 Talent Rating: 844.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 19 #27
Mississippi State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.5 - 7.5
Mississippi State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.1 #58
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6 #39
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #84
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.3
Defense: 21.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.8
Ole Miss's 2025 Record
Record: 13 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.3
Defense: 21.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.8
Ole Miss's 2025 Record
Record: 13 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Ole Miss 37
Mississippi State 24
Projected Total Points: 62
Ole Miss 37
Mississippi State 24
Projected Total Points: 62
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.9
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.9
Mississippi State's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 8
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.9
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.9
Mississippi State's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 8
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11/28 | Mississippi State | 19 | Ole Miss | 38 | Ole Miss -7.5 | Ole Miss | 62.5 | Under |
| 2024 | 11/29 | Ole Miss | 26 | Mississippi State | 14 | Ole Miss -26.5 | Mississippi State | 63.5 | Under |
| 2023 | 11/23 | Mississippi State | 7 | Ole Miss | 17 | Ole Miss -11 | Mississippi State | 56.0 | Under |
| 2022 | 11/24 | Ole Miss | 22 | Mississippi State | 24 | Ole Miss -2.5 | Mississippi State | 63.0 | Under |
| 2021 | 11/25 | Mississippi State | 21 | Ole Miss | 31 | Mississippi State -2.5 | Ole Miss | 65.0 | Under |
| 2020 | 11/28 | Ole Miss | 31 | Mississippi State | 24 | Ole Miss -10 | Mississippi State | 70.0 | Under |
| 2019 | 11/28 | Mississippi State | 21 | Ole Miss | 20 | Mississippi State -1 | Push | 59.0 | Under |
| 2018 | 11/22 | Ole Miss | 3 | Mississippi State | 35 | Mississippi State -12.5 | Mississippi State | 61.0 | Under |
| 2017 | 11/23 | Mississippi State | 28 | Ole Miss | 31 | Mississippi State -14 | Ole Miss | 64.5 | Under |
| 2016 | 11/26 | Ole Miss | 20 | Mississippi State | 55 | Ole Miss -8 | Mississippi State | 67.5 | Over |
| 2015 | 11/28 | Mississippi State | 27 | Ole Miss | 38 | Ole Miss -2 | Ole Miss | 65.5 | Under |
| 2014 | 11/29 | Ole Miss | 31 | Mississippi State | 17 | Mississippi State -2.5 | Ole Miss | 51.5 | Under |
| 2013 | 11/28 | Mississippi State | 17 | Ole Miss | 10 | Ole Miss -3 | Mississippi State | 0 | |
| 2012 | 11/24 | Ole Miss | 41 | Mississippi State | 24 | ||||
| 2011 | 11/26 | Mississippi State | 31 | Ole Miss | 3 | ||||
| 2010 | 11/27 | Ole Miss | 23 | Mississippi State | 31 | ||||
| 2009 | 11/28 | Mississippi State | 41 | Ole Miss | 27 | ||||
| 2008 | 11/28 | Ole Miss | 45 | Mississippi State | 0 | ||||
| 2007 | 11/23 | Mississippi State | 17 | Ole Miss | 14 | ||||
| 2006 | 11/25 | Ole Miss | 20 | Mississippi State | 17 | ||||
| 2005 | 11/26 | Mississippi State | 35 | Ole Miss | 14 | ||||
| 2004 | 11/27 | Ole Miss | 20 | Mississippi State | 3 | ||||
| 2003 | 11/27 | Mississippi State | 0 | Ole Miss | 31 | ||||
| 2001 | 11/22 | Mississippi State | 36 | Ole Miss | 28 | ||||
| 2000 | 11/22 | Ole Miss | 45 | Mississippi State | 30 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State | 11 | 7 | 1 Overs |
| Ole Miss | 14 | 5 | 11 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 15 - 10 | 3 - 9 | 0 - 6 | 3 - 3 |
| Road Teams | 10 - 15 | 9 - 3 | 3 - 3 | 6 - 0 |
| Overall StatsOvr | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | MISS | MSST |
| Net PPPPPP | NR | NR |
| Power RatePwr | #9 | #38 |
| SP+SP+ | #7 | #58 |
| Perf GradeGrade | #12 | #105 |
| OffenseOff | #9 | #84 |
| DefenseDef | #41 | #119 |
| Spec TeamsST | #18 | #77 |
| TalentTal | #33 | #40 |
| Blue ChipsBC% | #18 | #27 |
(12/1) Hired DC Pete Golding after Kiffin left for LSU
(10/19) Def torched by UGA, 500 yds. Run Def concerning
(9/28) Huge W vs LSU, Def great, Off nearly 500 yds.
(9/28) Penalties and TOs are an issue and could cost 'em
(9/24) QB Chambliss starting vs LSU, has played well
(9/20) Killed Tulane, Rebs better than I thought. Threat
(9/20) Run Off meh besides Chambliss, who's a great QB
(9/15) W/ Simmons injury, Chambliss best QB?
(9/14) QB2 Chambliss a baller, Def is bad, Flag issues
(7/28) Portal TE Hasz will miss most of '25. Big blow
(6/6) WR added 5 portals, still a top 10 unit via PFF
(11/16) Run Def is awful. 300+ to Mizzu. Rebs will run wild
(10/23) Now 1-12 vs P4 teams since start of '24
(9/29) RT Albert Reese IV inj vs Tenn, ? for A&M
(9/26) Hot start, huge W vs ASU. Shapen looks sharp so far
(9/8) Starting DE Will Whitson out for season, big
(8/30) Shapen good, Run Off better, Def better
(5/23) WR huge ? Top 6 are portals? 4 best LY left
(5/23) Added 5 portal OL post spring. Bad sign?
(5/23) Talent #'s of a mid B12 team, and dropping
(5/7) Def 39 ppg, 7 ypp allowed in SEC play LY
(5/2) TE Seydou Traore a good, reliable target
| Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53% | ||
|---|---|---|
| MISS Off | MSST Def | |
| PPPOffPPP | NR | NR |
| Perf GradePerf | #9 | #119 |
| SuccessSuc | #19 | #133 |
| ExplosiveExp | #8 | #18 |
| PPAPPA | #4 | #130 |
| PowerPwr | #7 | #43 |
| SP+SP+ | #3 | #84 |
| Pts POPPO | #58 | #113 |
| HavocHav | #54 | #134 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53% | ||
|---|---|---|
| MISS Off | MSST Def | |
| Run GameRun | #14 | #113 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #76 | #108 |
| Run ExplRExp | #26 | #13 |
| PPAExp | #58 | #80 | Run BlockR Blk | #94 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #72 | #113 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #92 | #114 |
| TackleTak | - | #96 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53% | ||
|---|---|---|
| MISS Off | MSST Def | |
| Pass GamePass | #14 | #87 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #3 | #134 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #46 | #48 |
| PPAExp | #3 | #134 |
| Pass Rush/BlockP Blk | #35 | #132 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #68 | #133 |
| DB HavocDB | #54 | #123 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | MSST Off | MISS Def |
| PPPDefPPP | NR | NR |
| Perf GradePerf | #84 | #41 |
| SuccessSuc | #109 | #3 |
| ExplosiveExp | #6 | #78 |
| PPAPPA | #78 | #6 |
| PowerPwr | #24 | #21 |
| SP+SP+ | #39 | #20 |
| Pts POPPO | #86 | #8 |
| HavocHav | #127 | #1 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53% | ||
|---|---|---|
| MSST Off | MISS Def | |
| Run GameRun | #68 | #18 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #105 | #6 |
| Run ExplRExp | #28 | #23 |
| PPAExp | #92 | #4 | Run BlockR Blk | #98 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #93 | #7 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #44 | #19 |
| TackleTak | - | #81 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | MSST Off | MISS Def |
| Pass GamePass | #43 | #67 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #104 | #13 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #18 | #85 |
| PPAExp | #76 | #20 |
| Pass Block/RushP Blk | #78 | #85 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #122 | #1 |
| DB HavocDB | #116 | #3 |
Program Comparison
MSST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4
MISS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'25 Profile: Remains Title Contenders
MSST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4
MISS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'25 Profile: Remains Title Contenders
Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 48°
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 48°
Ole Miss 7.5 (62.5)
Ole Miss won at Mississippi State this year (38-19)
Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat Mississippi State last year (38-19)
Ole Miss beat Mississippi State in 2024 (26-14)
Ole Miss beat Mississippi State in 2023 (17-7)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trinidad Chambliss (Tr) | 294 | 445 | 66% | 3937 | 22 | 3 | 8.8 |
| Austin Simmons | 45 | 75 | 60% | 744 | 4 | 5 | 9.9 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kewan Lacy (Tr) | 306 | 1567 | 24 | 5.1 | 73 |
| Trinidad Chambliss (Tr) | 133 | 527 | 8 | 4.0 | 41 |
| Logan Diggs | 33 | 189 | 4 | 5.7 | 51 |
| Damien Taylor (Tr) | 28 | 130 | 2 | 4.6 | 20 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Wallace III (Tr) | 61 | 934 | 4 | 15.3 | 55 |
| De'Zhaun Stribling (Tr) | 55 | 811 | 6 | 14.7 | 75 |
| Deuce Alexander (Tr) | 44 | 684 | 2 | 15.5 | 88 |
| Cayden Lee | 44 | 635 | 3 | 14.4 | 62 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Dottery | 98 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Suntarine Perkins | 81 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 5 |
| Wydett Williams (Tr) | 73 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| Kamarion Franklin | 69 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 3 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Princewill Umanmielen (Tr) | 45 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 1 |
| Kamarion Franklin | 69 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 3 |
| William Echoles | 68 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| Suntarine Perkins | 81 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 5 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wydett Williams (Tr) | 73 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| William Echoles | 68 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| Kapena Gushiken (Tr) | 55 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Shapen | 195 | 304 | 64% | 2436 | 15 | 8 | 8.0 |
| Kamario Taylor | 43 | 77 | 56% | 629 | 5 | 1 | 8.2 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluff Bothwell (Tr) | 142 | 677 | 6 | 4.8 | 43 |
| Davon Booth | 136 | 552 | 7 | 4.1 | 22 |
| Kamario Taylor | 82 | 458 | 8 | 5.6 | 39 |
| Xavier Gayten | 29 | 157 | 2 | 5.4 | 25 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brenen Thompson (Tr) | 57 | 1054 | 6 | 18.5 | 58 |
| Anthony Evans III (Tr) | 67 | 831 | 4 | 12.4 | 57 |
| Seydou Traore | 35 | 372 | 5 | 10.6 | 55 |
| Ayden Williams (Tr) | 21 | 252 | 0 | 12.0 | 49 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahron Manning (Tr) | 91 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Nic Mitchell | 78 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Brylan Lanier | 67 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Isaac Smith | 64 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nic Mitchell | 78 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Will Whitson (Tr) | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Darron Reed Jr. (Tr) | 21 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Malick Sylla (Tr) | 33 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelley Jones | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
| Jahron Manning (Tr) | 91 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| DeAgo Brumfeld | 36 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
