Arkansas Razorbacks at Mississippi State Bulldogs
Saturday, October 26th 2024 (12:45 PM EDT)
Arkansas -7.5 (55.0) (-280) Open: -7.0 | 58.0
Arkansas 58 - Mississippi State: 25 (SEC)
Razorbacks (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Sam Pittman (23 - 25)
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (34 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Coach Sam Pittman (23 - 25)
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (34 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
MSST 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Arkansas -15.5 (SP+ ARK -15)
Projected Score: ARK: 37 - MSST: 21 (58)
ARK Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
ARK Travel: 355 miles
Our Line: Arkansas -15.5 (SP+ ARK -15)
Projected Score: ARK: 37 - MSST: 21 (58)
ARK Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
ARK Travel: 355 miles
Bulldogs (2 - 10) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jeff Lebby (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 34 (31 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#128)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 3) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Coach Jeff Lebby (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 34 (31 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#128)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 3) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
| Arkansas's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/29 | Arkansas vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff | -50.5 | 60.5 | W 70 - 0 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Arkansas at Oklahoma State | +10.5 | 60.5 | L 31 - 39 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Arkansas vs UAB | -23.5 | 60.5 | W 37 - 27 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Arkansas at Auburn | +2.5 | 53.5 | W 24 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Arkansas vs Texas A&M | +6.5 | 50.5 | L 17 - 21 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/5 | Arkansas vs Tennessee | +14.0 | 57.5 | W 19 - 14 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/19 | Arkansas vs LSU | +3.0 | 57.0 | L 10 - 34 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Arkansas at Mississippi State | -7.5 | 55.0 | W 58 - 25 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | Arkansas vs Ole Miss | +8.0 | 54.0 | L 31 - 63 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/16 | Arkansas vs Texas | +13.0 | 57.5 | L 10 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Arkansas vs Louisiana Tech | -23.5 | 48.5 | W 35 - 14 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Arkansas at Missouri | +3.5 | 51.5 | L 21 - 28 | U | N | |
| Fri 12/27 | Arkansas vs Texas Tech | +3.5 | 52.5 | W 39 - 26 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Arkansas's Schedule
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Mississippi State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Mississippi State vs Eastern Kentucky | -26.5 | 61.5 | W 56 - 7 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Mississippi State at Arizona State | +6.5 | 57.5 | L 23 - 30 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Mississippi State vs Toledo | -10.5 | 56.5 | L 17 - 41 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Mississippi State vs Florida | +6.5 | 58.0 | L 28 - 45 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | Mississippi State at Texas | +37.0 | 58.5 | L 13 - 35 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/12 | Mississippi State at Georgia | +34.0 | 53.5 | L 31 - 41 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Mississippi State vs Texas A&M | +21.0 | 55.5 | L 24 - 34 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Mississippi State vs Arkansas | +7.5 | 55.0 | L 25 - 58 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | Mississippi State vs Massachusetts | -19.5 | 59.5 | W 45 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/9 | Mississippi State at Tennessee | +26.5 | 61.5 | L 14 - 33 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/23 | Mississippi State vs Missouri | +9.5 | 58.0 | L 20 - 39 | O | N | |
| Fri 11/29 | Mississippi State at Ole Miss | +26.5 | 63.5 | L 14 - 26 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: 5, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARK | #27 (.25) | 48% (13) | 30.9 | 52% (5) | 3.23 (38) | 168 | 44% (41) | 248 | 3.95 (64) | #45 (.13) | 42% (66) | 25 | 39% (32) | 44% (100) | 3.31 (22) | 56.3 | 1.7 | 1 |
| MSST | #78 (.17) | 39% (109) | 25.8 | 40% (105) | 2.9 (93) | 139 | 38% (104) | 239 | 3.75 (86) | #130 (.32) | 50% (133) | 34.1 | 47% (108) | 55% (134) | 4.32 (113) | 60.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARK | #27 (.25) | 48% (13) | 52% (5) | 3.23 (38) | 168 | 44% (41) | 248 | 3.95 (64) | #45 (.13) | 42% (66) | 39% (32) | 44% (100) | 3.31 (22) | 56.3 | 1.7 | 1 | ||
| MSST | #78 (.17) | 39% (109) | 40% (105) | 2.9 (93) | 139 | 38% (104) | 239 | 3.75 (86) | #130 (.32) | 50% (133) | 47% (108) | 55% (134) | 4.32 (113) | 60.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARK Offense | 13 | 30.9 | 33.5 | 48.2% | 3.95 | 1.7 | 23 | 416 | 168 | 248 | 4.9 | 51% | 48% | 52% | 44% | 19% | .25 |
| MSST Defense | 12 | 34.1 | 34.9 | 50.4% | 4.32 | 0.9 | - | - | - | - | - | 59% | 41% | 47% | 55% | 11% | .32 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARK Defense | 13 | 25 | 26.5 | 41.5% | 3.31 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 50% | 50% | 39% | 44% | 14% | .13 |
| MSST Offense | 12 | 25.8 | 30.7 | 39.2% | 3.75 | 1.5 | 20 | 378 | 139 | 239 | 4 | 50% | 50% | 40% | 38% | 21% | .17 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas | 13 | 28:07 | 22.6 | 43% | 59% | 6.4 | 56.3 | 1.7 | 1 | 4.4 | 1.9 | 0 | 27.3 |
| Mississippi State | 12 | 25:41 | 20.3 | 37% | 57% | 6.8 | 60.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 3.9 | 0.8 | 2 | 28.1 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARK Offense | 13 | 51% (64) | 52% (5) | 34.4 | 167.9 | 4.9 | 32 (14) | .21 (29) | 3.23 (38) | 82% (13) | 12% (109) | 0.97 (67) |
| MSST Defense | 12 | 59% (132) | 47% (108) | - | - | - | - | .15 (80) | 3.3 (113) | 71% (57) | 7% (133) | 0.85 (13) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARK Defense | 13 | 50% (64) | 39% (32) | - | - | - | - | -.01 (11) | 2.84 (42) | 79% (104) | 8% (123) | 0.82 (8) |
| MSST Offense | 12 | 50% (73) | 40% (105) | 34.8 | 138.6 | 4 | 19 (73) | .09 (92) | 2.9 (93) | 73% (71) | 13% (122) | 1.08 (28) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARK Offense | 13 | 48% (71) | 44% (41) | 18.8 | 30.2 | 248.4 | 8.2 | 13.2 | 14 (108) | 9 (48) | .3 (46) | 1.6 (42) | 32% (72) | 37% (17) | .43 (25) | 7% (106) | 2.2 (25) |
| MSST Defense | 12 | 41% (3) | 55% (134) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7 (104) | .58 (134) | 1.5 (48) | 24% (134) | 39% (131) | .55 (130) | 4% (123) | 1.9 (38) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARK Defense | 13 | 50% (70) | 44% (100) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 8 (93) | .28 (92) | 1.5 (43) | 33% (48) | 27% (23) | .2 (25) | 7% (45) | 1.9 (37) |
| MSST Offense | 12 | 50% (62) | 38% (104) | 17.9 | 30.6 | 239.3 | 7.8 | 13.4 | 19 (65) | 8 (40) | .25 (76) | 1.8 (18) | 34% (113) | 32% (62) | .33 (73) | 8% (116) | 2.1 (56) |
Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 10.16 #30
Arkansas's Offense Rating: 24.60 #22
Arkansas's Defense Rating: 8.73 #60
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 21% #26
Arkansas's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Arkansas's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0 #24
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #40
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Arkansas's Power Rating: 10.16 #30
Arkansas's Offense Rating: 24.60 #22
Arkansas's Defense Rating: 8.73 #60
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 21% #26
Arkansas's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Arkansas's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0 #24
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #40
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: 10.16 Mississippi State: -4.72
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: 11.0 Mississippi State: -4.1
Arkansas: 10.16 Mississippi State: -4.72
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: 11.0 Mississippi State: -4.1
Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: -4.72 #101
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: 16.56 #100
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: 21.21 #130
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #26
Mississippi State's 2024 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Mississippi State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.1 #88
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #98
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Mississippi State's Power Rating: -4.72 #101
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: 16.56 #100
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: 21.21 #130
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #26
Mississippi State's 2024 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Mississippi State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.1 #88
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #98
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.5
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.5
Arkansas's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.5
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.5
Arkansas's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Arkansas 37
Mississippi State 21
Total Points: 58
Arkansas 37
Mississippi State 21
Total Points: 58
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.7
Defense: 34.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.9
Mississippi State's 2024 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.7
Defense: 34.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.9
Mississippi State's 2024 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10/26 | Mississippi State | 25 | Arkansas | 58 | Arkansas | Arkansas -7.5 | Arkansas | 55.0 | Over |
| 2023 | 10/21 | Arkansas | 3 | Mississippi State | 7 | Mississippi State | Arkansas -6.5 | Mississippi State | 46.5 | Under |
| 2022 | 10/08 | Mississippi State | 40 | Arkansas | 17 | Mississippi State | Mississippi State -8 | Mississippi State | 55.5 | Over |
| 2021 | 11/06 | Arkansas | 31 | Mississippi State | 28 | Arkansas | Arkansas -4 | Mississippi State | 54.0 | Over |
| 2020 | 10/03 | Mississippi State | 14 | Arkansas | 21 | Arkansas | Mississippi State -16.5 | Arkansas | 68.0 | Under |
| 2019 | 11/02 | Arkansas | 24 | Mississippi State | 54 | Mississippi State | Mississippi State -7 | Mississippi State | 59.0 | Over |
| 2018 | 11/17 | Mississippi State | 52 | Arkansas | 6 | Mississippi State | Mississippi State -22.5 | Mississippi State | 49.0 | Over |
| 2017 | 11/18 | Arkansas | 21 | Mississippi State | 28 | Mississippi State | Mississippi State -14 | Arkansas | 56.0 | Under |
| 2016 | 11/19 | Mississippi State | 42 | Arkansas | 58 | Arkansas | Mississippi State -1 | Arkansas | 57.5 | Over |
| 2015 | 11/21 | Arkansas | 50 | Mississippi State | 51 | Mississippi State | Arkansas -3 | Mississippi State | 59.0 | Over |
| 2014 | 11/01 | Mississippi State | 17 | Arkansas | 10 | Mississippi State | Mississippi State -14 | Arkansas | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/23 | Arkansas | 17 | Mississippi State | 24 | Mississippi State | Mississippi State -3 | Mississippi State | 0 | |
| 2012 | 11/17 | Mississippi State | 45 | Arkansas | 14 | Mississippi State | ||||
| 2011 | 11/19 | Arkansas | 44 | Mississippi State | 17 | Arkansas | ||||
| 2010 | 11/20 | Mississippi State | 31 | Arkansas | 38 | Arkansas | ||||
| 2009 | 11/21 | Arkansas | 42 | Mississippi State | 21 | Arkansas | ||||
| 2008 | 11/22 | Mississippi State | 31 | Arkansas | 28 | Mississippi State | ||||
| 2007 | 11/17 | Arkansas | 45 | Mississippi State | 31 | Arkansas | ||||
| 2006 | 11/18 | Mississippi State | 14 | Arkansas | 28 | Arkansas | ||||
| 2005 | 11/19 | Arkansas | 44 | Mississippi State | 10 | Arkansas | ||||
| 2004 | 11/20 | Mississippi State | 21 | Arkansas | 24 | Arkansas | ||||
| 2003 | 11/22 | Arkansas | 52 | Mississippi State | 6 | Arkansas | ||||
| 2001 | 11/17 | Arkansas | 24 | Mississippi State | 21 | Arkansas | ||||
| 2000 | 11/17 | Mississippi State | 10 | Arkansas | 17 | Arkansas |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State | 10 | 7 | 7 Overs |
| Arkansas | 14 | 5 | 3 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 12 - 12 | 3 - 9 | 2 - 6 | 1 - 3 |
| Road Teams | 12 - 12 | 9 - 3 | 3 - 1 | 6 - 2 |
(#30) Arkansas Info
Power Rating: 10.16 #30
Offense Rating: 24.60 #22
Defense Rating: 8.73 #60
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0 #24
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #40
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 21% #26
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.95 PPO
Great Run Success 52%
Good Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 42%
Great in Scoring Position 3.31 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Arkansas has lost 1 straight
Arkansas has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 2 (3 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Arkansas Highlights
Arkansas offense is efficent (#12)
Arkansas defense does not give up big plays (#43)
Arkansas defense is really good in red zone (#86)
Arkansas Deficiencies
Arkansas has a bad TO Margin (#54)
Arkansas Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Arkansas Commits a Lot of Penalties (#75)
Arkansas Does Not Stuff Runs (#54)
Power Rating: 10.16 #30
Offense Rating: 24.60 #22
Defense Rating: 8.73 #60
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0 #24
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #40
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 21% #26
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.95 PPO
Great Run Success 52%
Good Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 42%
Great in Scoring Position 3.31 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Arkansas has lost 1 straight
Arkansas has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 2 (3 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Arkansas Highlights
Arkansas offense is efficent (#12)
Arkansas defense does not give up big plays (#43)
Arkansas defense is really good in red zone (#86)
Arkansas Deficiencies
Arkansas has a bad TO Margin (#54)
Arkansas Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Arkansas Commits a Lot of Penalties (#75)
Arkansas Does Not Stuff Runs (#54)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | MSST | ARK |
| OverallOver | #96 | #31 |
| OffenseOff | #86 | #25 |
| DefenseDef | #114 | #53 |
| Special TeamsST | #47 | #63 |
| PassingPass | #37 | #23 |
| RushingRush | #76 | #13 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #91 | #50 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #92 | #71 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #66 | #19 |
| TacklingTkl | #89 | #45 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #73 | #6 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #115 | #65 |
| Coverage DefCov | #112 | #100 |
Rematch from Week 9
Arkansas 7.5 (55.0)
Arkansas won at Mississippi State this year (58-25)
Previous Matchups
Arkansas beat Mississippi State last year (58-25)
Mississippi State beat Arkansas in 2023 (7-3)
Mississippi State beat Arkansas in 2022 (40-17)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: ARK | MSST
Depth Chart: ARK | MSST
Rosters: ARK | MSST
(#101) Mississippi State Info
Power Rating: -4.72 #101
Offense Rating: 16.56 #100
Defense Rating: 21.21 #130
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.1 #88
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #98
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #26
Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.75 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.32 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Awful Pass Def Success 55%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Mississippi State has lost 6 straight
Mississippi State has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 5 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)
Mississippi State Notes
(12/17) Signed QB Kromenhoek (FSU)
(11/29) 3rd down Defense worst in CFB > 48%
(11/29) Fought w/ Rebs, Def better but 3rd/4th bad
(11/13) QB Van Buren awful, Rgame OK, Run Def torched
(10/22) Def stop rate 38% (#131) last in P4 into wk 9
(10/19) Van Buren good (A&M) Def better, still fighting
(10/12) QB Van Buren torched UGA, Rgame & Def awful
(10/4) Def #132 Success rate, giving up 30+ every game
(9/24) QB Shapen out for the season (shoulder)
(9/17) Worst SEC team in 10/15 years not named Vandy
Mississippi State Highlights
Mississippi State offense is explosive (#41)
Mississippi State defense does not give up big plays (#13)
Mississippi State Deficiencies
Mississippi State Fumbles a Lot (#1)
Mississippi State offense is really bad (#33)
Mississippi State run game is really bad (#18)
Mississippi State pass game is really bad (#62)
Mississippi State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Mississippi State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Mississippi State does not Sack the QB (#97)
Mississippi State has a bad defense (#57)
Mississippi State Does Not Stuff Runs (#66)
Mississippi State has a bad defensive line (#93)
Mississippi State has a bad red zone defense (#65)
Power Rating: -4.72 #101
Offense Rating: 16.56 #100
Defense Rating: 21.21 #130
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.1 #88
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #98
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #26
Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.75 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.32 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Awful Pass Def Success 55%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Mississippi State has lost 6 straight
Mississippi State has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 5 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)
Mississippi State Notes
(12/17) Signed QB Kromenhoek (FSU)
(11/29) 3rd down Defense worst in CFB > 48%
(11/29) Fought w/ Rebs, Def better but 3rd/4th bad
(11/13) QB Van Buren awful, Rgame OK, Run Def torched
(10/22) Def stop rate 38% (#131) last in P4 into wk 9
(10/19) Van Buren good (A&M) Def better, still fighting
(10/12) QB Van Buren torched UGA, Rgame & Def awful
(10/4) Def #132 Success rate, giving up 30+ every game
(9/24) QB Shapen out for the season (shoulder)
(9/17) Worst SEC team in 10/15 years not named Vandy
Mississippi State Highlights
Mississippi State offense is explosive (#41)
Mississippi State defense does not give up big plays (#13)
Mississippi State Deficiencies
Mississippi State Fumbles a Lot (#1)
Mississippi State offense is really bad (#33)
Mississippi State run game is really bad (#18)
Mississippi State pass game is really bad (#62)
Mississippi State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Mississippi State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Mississippi State does not Sack the QB (#97)
Mississippi State has a bad defense (#57)
Mississippi State Does Not Stuff Runs (#66)
Mississippi State has a bad defensive line (#93)
Mississippi State has a bad red zone defense (#65)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylen Green (Tr) | 230 | 381 | 60% | 3153 | 15 | 9 | 8.3 |
| Malachi Singleton | 21 | 28 | 75% | 358 | 1 | 0 | 12.8 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Quinden Jackson (Tr) | 149 | 790 | 15 | 5.3 | 46 |
| Taylen Green (Tr) | 156 | 602 | 8 | 3.9 | 41 |
| Braylen Russell | 67 | 354 | 3 | 5.3 | 75 |
| Rashod Dubinion | 56 | 335 | 2 | 6.0 | 23 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Armstrong | 78 | 1140 | 1 | 14.6 | 43 |
| Isaac Teslaa | 28 | 545 | 3 | 19.5 | 75 |
| Isaiah Sategna | 37 | 490 | 1 | 13.2 | 58 |
| Luke Hasz | 26 | 324 | 4 | 12.5 | 43 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavian Sorey Jr. (Tr) | 99 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Doneiko Slaughter (Tr) | 78 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| Stephen Dix Jr. (Tr) | 70 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| TJ Metcalf | 56 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landon Jackson | 49 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 3 |
| Brad Spence | 55 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| Eric Gregory | 43 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| Xavian Sorey Jr. (Tr) | 99 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Metcalf | 56 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Marquise Robinson (Tr) | 35 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Doneiko Slaughter (Tr) | 78 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Van Buren Jr. | 140 | 256 | 55% | 1886 | 11 | 7 | 7.4 |
| Blake Shapen (Tr) | 74 | 108 | 69% | 974 | 8 | 1 | 9.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davon Booth (Tr) | 152 | 759 | 5 | 5.0 | 43 |
| Johnnie Daniels | 108 | 540 | 4 | 5.0 | 36 |
| Keyvone Lee | 29 | 140 | 1 | 4.8 | 18 |
| Xavier Gayten | 8 | 115 | 1 | 14.4 | 72 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Coleman Jr. | 69 | 844 | 5 | 12.2 | 80 |
| Jordan Mosley | 23 | 405 | 3 | 17.6 | 65 |
| Kelly Akharaiyi (Tr) | 25 | 391 | 2 | 15.6 | 49 |
| Mario Craver | 17 | 368 | 3 | 21.6 | 72 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Smith | 127 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Stone Blanton (Tr) | 124 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Nic Mitchell | 80 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Branden Jennings | 56 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zakari Tillman | 30 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
| Branden Jennings | 56 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Ty Cooper | 29 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Kalvin Dinkins | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brice Pollock | 48 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Isaac Smith | 127 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Stone Blanton (Tr) | 124 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |