


Saturday, October 18th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Ben Hill Griffin Stadium - Gainesville, FL (SEC)
Bulldogs (3 - 0) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jeff Lebby (2 - 10)
Avg Score : 40 - 12 (34 - 17 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.4 - 5.6 (#76)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 7) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Coach Jeff Lebby (2 - 10)
Avg Score : 40 - 12 (34 - 17 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.4 - 5.6 (#76)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 7) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
MSST coming off BYE
Our Line: Florida -5.5 (SP+ FLA -3)
Projected Score: MSST: 21 - FLA: 26 (47)
FLA Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
MSST Travel: 462 miles, 1 hrs behind
Our Line: Florida -5.5 (SP+ FLA -3)
Projected Score: MSST: 21 - FLA: 26 (47)
FLA Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
MSST Travel: 462 miles, 1 hrs behind
Gators (1 - 2) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Billy Napier (18 - 19)
Avg Score : 27 - 13 (36 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.9 - 7.1 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 7) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Coach Billy Napier (18 - 19)
Avg Score : 27 - 13 (36 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.9 - 7.1 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 7) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Mississippi State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
Sat 8/30 | Mississippi State at Southern Miss | -11.5 | 59.5 | W 34 - 17 | U | Y | |
Sat 9/6 | Mississippi State vs Arizona State | +6.0 | 58.5 | W 24 - 20 | U | Y | |
Sat 9/13 | Mississippi State vs Alcorn State | -42.5 | 56.5 | W 63 - 0 | O | Y | |
Sat 9/20 | Mississippi State vs Northern Illinois | -21.5 | 49.5 | ||||
Sat 9/27 | Mississippi State vs Tennessee | +5.5 | |||||
Sat 10/4 | Mississippi State at Texas A&M | +11 | |||||
BYE WEEK | |||||||
Sat 10/18 | Mississippi State at Florida | +5.5 | |||||
Sat 10/25 | Mississippi State vs Texas | +7 | |||||
Sat 11/1 | Mississippi State at Arkansas | +4 | |||||
Sat 11/8 | Mississippi State vs Georgia | +9.5 | |||||
Sat 11/15 | Mississippi State at Missouri | +12 | |||||
BYE WEEK | |||||||
Sat 11/29 | Mississippi State vs Ole Miss | +6 |
Total: Elite: 7, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 7, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 7, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Florida's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
Sat 8/30 | Florida vs Long Island University | -46.5 | 56.5 | W 55 - 0 | U | Y | |
Sat 9/6 | Florida vs South Florida | -18.5 | 58.0 | L 16 - 18 | U | N | |
Sat 9/13 | Florida at LSU | +5.5 | 47.5 | L 10 - 20 | U | N | |
Sat 9/20 | Florida at Miami | +7.5 | 51.5 | ||||
BYE WEEK | |||||||
Sat 10/4 | Florida vs Texas | +4 | |||||
Sat 10/11 | Florida at Texas A&M | +8 | |||||
Sat 10/18 | Florida vs Mississippi State | -5.5 | |||||
BYE WEEK | |||||||
Sat 11/1 | Florida vs Georgia | +6.5 | |||||
Sat 11/8 | Florida at Kentucky | -6 | |||||
Sat 11/15 | Florida at Ole Miss | +7.5 | |||||
Sat 11/22 | Florida vs Tennessee | +2.5 | |||||
Sat 11/29 | Florida vs Florida State | -0.5 |
Total: Elite: 8, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 7, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Florida's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 7, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MSST | #26 (.36) | 50% (33) | 40.3 | 56% (18) | 3.14 (53) | 179 | 44% (62) | 263 | 4.94 (33) | #32 (.02) | 38% (57) | 12.3 | 43% (87) | 32% (29) | 3.4 (65) | 84.7 | 0.7 | 2 |
FLA | #91 (.13) | 45% (56) | 27 | 51% (33) | 3.41 (32) | 137 | 42% (77) | 253 | 3.89 (72) | #27 (-) | 32% (18) | 12.7 | 27% (7) | 38% (55) | 2.36 (29) | 53.3 | 2 | 1 |
Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MSST | #78 (.17) | 39% (109) | 40% (105) | 2.9 (93) | 139 | 38% (104) | 239 | 3.75 (86) | #130 (.32) | 50% (133) | 47% (108) | 55% (134) | 4.32 (113) | 60.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 | ||
FLA | #72 (.18) | 43% (64) | 45% (54) | 3.04 (66) | 164 | 41% (82) | 226 | 4.17 (46) | #53 (.14) | 44% (95) | 49% (118) | 39% (44) | 3.12 (14) | 54 | 1.4 | 1.9 |
Overall Stats 2025
Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MSST Offense | 3 | 40.3 | 34 | 49.7% | 4.94 | 0.7 | 21 | 441 | 179 | 263 | 5 | 50% | 50% | 56% | 44% | 15% | .36 |
FLA Defense | 3 | 12.7 | 9 | 32.1% | 2.36 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 49% | 27% | 38% | 15% | - |
Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MSST Defense | 3 | 12.3 | 17 | 37.7% | 3.4 | 2 | - | - | - | - | - | 58% | 42% | 43% | 32% | 18% | .02 |
FLA Offense | 3 | 27 | 35.5 | 45.5% | 3.89 | 2 | 23 | 391 | 137 | 253 | 4.3 | 40% | 59% | 51% | 42% | 16% | .13 |
Additional Stats 2025
Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mississippi State | 3 | 23:05 | 21 | 55% | 50% | 10 | 84.7 | 0.7 | 2 | 5 | 1.3 | 0 | 34.5 |
Florida | 3 | 35:28 | 23.3 | 40% | 100% | 6 | 53.3 | 2 | 1 | 3.3 | 0.3 | 0 | 30.3 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MSST Offense | 3 | 50% (74) | 56% (18) | 36 | 178.7 | 5 | 9 (17) | .26 (36) | 3.14 (53) | 57% (114) | 7% (32) | 0.95 (72) |
FLA Defense | 3 | 51% (78) | 27% (7) | - | - | - | - | -.21 (6) | 2.01 (11) | 63% (43) | 8% (96) | 0.9 (62) |
Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MSST Defense | 3 | 58% (119) | 43% (87) | - | - | - | - | -.02 (41) | 3.03 (93) | 58% (32) | 9% (79) | 0.75 (25) |
FLA Offense | 3 | 40% (125) | 51% (33) | 32 | 137.3 | 4.3 | 1 (127) | .21 (45) | 3.41 (32) | 100% (1) | 10% (88) | 0.83 (102) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MSST Offense | 3 | 50% (64) | 44% (62) | 19.7 | 29.3 | 262.7 | 9 | 13.4 | 7 (23) | 2 (60) | .46 (33) | 1.8 (13) | 29% (59) | 38% (33) | .72 (16) | 8% (120) | 2.7 (4) |
FLA Defense | 3 | 49% (68) | 38% (55) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 (87) | .22 (68) | 1.5 (59) | 35% (46) | 20% (27) | .18 (52) | 6% (56) | 2.2 (109) |
Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MSST Defense | 3 | 42% (18) | 32% (29) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 (12) | .09 (34) | 1.5 (63) | 32% (84) | 21% (30) | .07 (27) | 9% (16) | 2 (66) |
FLA Offense | 3 | 59% (12) | 42% (77) | 27.7 | 39.3 | 253.3 | 6.4 | 9.2 | 7 (23) | 6 (132) | .13 (107) | 1.4 (106) | 30% (60) | 31% (72) | .12 (114) | 6% (92) | 1.8 (93) |
Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 20.59 #28
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: 23.00 #26
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: 2.41 #40
2025 Talent Rating: 844.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 19% #27
Mississippi State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.4 - 5.6
Mississippi State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.7 #45
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #37
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.4 #48
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 20.59 #28
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: 23.00 #26
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: 2.41 #40
2025 Talent Rating: 844.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 19% #27
Mississippi State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.4 - 5.6
Mississippi State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.7 #45
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #37
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.4 #48
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State: 20.59 Florida: 20.295
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State: 8.7 Florida: 11.6
Mississippi State: 20.59 Florida: 20.295
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State: 8.7 Florida: 11.6
Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: 20.295 #18
Florida's Offense Rating: 17.79 #38
Florida's Defense Rating: -6.20 #7
2025 Talent Rating: 976.00 #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 52 #12
Florida's 2025 Expected Record: 4.9 - 7.1
Florida's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.6 #30
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #47
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #24
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Florida's Power Rating: 20.295 #18
Florida's Offense Rating: 17.79 #38
Florida's Defense Rating: -6.20 #7
2025 Talent Rating: 976.00 #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 52 #12
Florida's 2025 Expected Record: 4.9 - 7.1
Florida's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.6 #30
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #47
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #24
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 40.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 34
Defense: 12.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 17
Mississippi State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Offense: 40.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 34
Defense: 12.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 17
Mississippi State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Florida 26
Mississippi State 21
Total Points: 47
Florida 26
Mississippi State 21
Total Points: 47
Florida Scoring
Offense: 27 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.5
Defense: 12.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 9
Florida's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 27 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.5
Defense: 12.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 9
Florida's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 09/21 | Mississippi State | 28 | Florida | 45 | Florida | Florida -6.5 | Florida | 58.0 | Over |
2018 | 09/29 | Mississippi State | 6 | Florida | 13 | Florida | Mississippi State -6.5 | Florida | 49.5 | Under |
2010 | 10/16 | Florida | 7 | Mississippi State | 10 | Mississippi State | ||||
2009 | 10/24 | Mississippi State | 19 | Florida | 29 | Florida | ||||
2005 | 10/08 | Florida | 35 | Mississippi State | 9 | Florida | ||||
2004 | 10/23 | Mississippi State | 38 | Florida | 31 | Mississippi State | ||||
2001 | 09/29 | Florida | 52 | Mississippi State | 0 | Florida | ||||
2000 | 09/29 | Mississippi State | 47 | Florida | 35 | Mississippi State |
Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
---|---|---|---|
Florida | 5 | 2 | 1 Overs |
Mississippi State | 3 | 0 | 1 Unders |
Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Home Teams | 4 - 4 | 0 - 2 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 1 |
Road Teams | 4 - 4 | 2 - 0 | 1 - 0 | 1 - 0 |
(#28) Mississippi State Info
Power Rating: 20.59 #28
Offense Rating: 23.00 #26
Defense Rating: 2.41 #40
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.7 #45
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #37
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.4 #48
Talent Rating: 844.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 19% #27
Expected Record: 6.4 - 5.6
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Good Offense Success Rate of 50%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.94 PPO
Great Run Success 56%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.4 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Good Pass Def Success 32%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Mississippi State has lost 3 straight
Mississippi State has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
Mississippi State Notes
(8/30) Shapen good, Run Off better, Def better
(5/23) WR huge ? Top 6 are portals? 4 best LY left
(5/23) Added 5 portal OL post spring. Bad sign?
(5/23) Talent #'s of a mid B12 team, and dropping
(5/7) Def 39 ppg, 7 ypp allowed in SEC play LY
(5/2) TE Seydou Traore a good, reliable target
(4/19) Watch Fr QB KaMario Taylor. Dynamic runner
(4/19) DL improved, SEC caliber bodies unlike LY
(3/18) QB1? Shapen or Kromenhoek (FSU)
(3/18) RBs Booth/Bothwell/Daniels good depth
Mississippi State Highlights
Mississippi State is Undefeated vs Spread
Mississippi State in Undefeated
Mississippi State offense is good on 3rd downs
Mississippi State defense does not give up big plays (#13)
Mississippi State has a good pass defense (#29)
Mississippi State Secondary is very good (#16)
Mississippi State has a great TO Margin (#28)
Mississippi State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
Mississippi State Deficiencies
Mississippi State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#133)
Power Rating: 20.59 #28
Offense Rating: 23.00 #26
Defense Rating: 2.41 #40
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.7 #45
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #37
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.4 #48
Talent Rating: 844.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 19% #27
Expected Record: 6.4 - 5.6
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Good Offense Success Rate of 50%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.94 PPO
Great Run Success 56%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.4 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Good Pass Def Success 32%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Mississippi State has lost 3 straight
Mississippi State has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
Mississippi State Notes
(8/30) Shapen good, Run Off better, Def better
(5/23) WR huge ? Top 6 are portals? 4 best LY left
(5/23) Added 5 portal OL post spring. Bad sign?
(5/23) Talent #'s of a mid B12 team, and dropping
(5/7) Def 39 ppg, 7 ypp allowed in SEC play LY
(5/2) TE Seydou Traore a good, reliable target
(4/19) Watch Fr QB KaMario Taylor. Dynamic runner
(4/19) DL improved, SEC caliber bodies unlike LY
(3/18) QB1? Shapen or Kromenhoek (FSU)
(3/18) RBs Booth/Bothwell/Daniels good depth
Mississippi State Highlights
Mississippi State is Undefeated vs Spread
Mississippi State in Undefeated
Mississippi State offense is good on 3rd downs
Mississippi State defense does not give up big plays (#13)
Mississippi State has a good pass defense (#29)
Mississippi State Secondary is very good (#16)
Mississippi State has a great TO Margin (#28)
Mississippi State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
Mississippi State Deficiencies
Mississippi State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#133)
Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
---|---|---|
CategoryCat | FLA | MSST |
OverallOver | #19 | #38 |
OffenseOff | #44 | #46 |
DefenseDef | #15 | #38 |
Special TeamsST | #61 | #84 |
PassingPass | #50 | #28 |
RushingRush | #76 | #13 |
Run BlockRBLK | #22 | #79 |
Pass BlockPBLK | #4 | #46 |
Route RunningWR Rt | #57 | #65 |
TacklingTkl | #14 | #39 |
Run DefenseR Def | #3 | #36 |
Pass Rush DefPRush | #80 | #75 |
Coverage DefCov | #35 | #20 |
(#18) Florida Info
Power Rating: 20.295 #18
Offense Rating: 17.79 #38
Defense Rating: -6.20 #7
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.6 #30
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #47
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #24
Talent Rating: 976.00 #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 52 #12
Expected Record: 4.9 - 7.1
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 40%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 45%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.89 PPO
Good Run Success 51%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 32%
Good in Scoring Position 2.36 PPO
Great Run Def Success 27%
Avg Pass Def Success 38%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Florida has lost 5 straight
Florida has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
Florida Notes
(9/7) Allowed 18 TFL through two games, Off a mess
(8/20) QB2 uncertain, but massive drop off either way
(8/13) Lagway health an issue, missing camp w/ others.
(6/30) DT Banks game wrecker, top 10 PFF w/ DE Sapp
(6/6) DL a top 5 unit via PFF, front line + depth
(6/6) OL 2 starters, 2 w/ exp. PFF rates at top 5 OL
(5/23) Safety duo of Thorton & Castell a top unit in CFB
(5/6) Proj starting CB D Johnson arrested (serious)
(5/1) Fr WR D Wilson dominated spring ball, will play
(4/4) OT Jake Slaughter the top T via PFF
Florida Highlights
Florida has a really good defense (#18)
Florida defense is really good in red zone (#29)
Florida has a good run defense (#7)
Florida Defensive Line is very good (#11)
Florida Deficiencies
Florida has a bad TO Margin (#116)
Florida throws a Lot of Interceptions (#132)
Florida offense is not Explosive (#103)
Florida does not Sack the QB (#130)
Power Rating: 20.295 #18
Offense Rating: 17.79 #38
Defense Rating: -6.20 #7
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.6 #30
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #47
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #24
Talent Rating: 976.00 #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 52 #12
Expected Record: 4.9 - 7.1
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 40%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 45%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.89 PPO
Good Run Success 51%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 32%
Good in Scoring Position 2.36 PPO
Great Run Def Success 27%
Avg Pass Def Success 38%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Florida has lost 5 straight
Florida has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
Florida Notes
(9/7) Allowed 18 TFL through two games, Off a mess
(8/20) QB2 uncertain, but massive drop off either way
(8/13) Lagway health an issue, missing camp w/ others.
(6/30) DT Banks game wrecker, top 10 PFF w/ DE Sapp
(6/6) DL a top 5 unit via PFF, front line + depth
(6/6) OL 2 starters, 2 w/ exp. PFF rates at top 5 OL
(5/23) Safety duo of Thorton & Castell a top unit in CFB
(5/6) Proj starting CB D Johnson arrested (serious)
(5/1) Fr WR D Wilson dominated spring ball, will play
(4/4) OT Jake Slaughter the top T via PFF
Florida Highlights
Florida has a really good defense (#18)
Florida defense is really good in red zone (#29)
Florida has a good run defense (#7)
Florida Defensive Line is very good (#11)
Florida Deficiencies
Florida has a bad TO Margin (#116)
Florida throws a Lot of Interceptions (#132)
Florida offense is not Explosive (#103)
Florida does not Sack the QB (#130)
Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Blake Shapen | 55 | 81 | 68% | 722 | 6 | 2 | 8.9 |
Luke Kromenhoek (Tr) | 2 | 4 | 50% | 20 | 0 | 0 | 5.0 |
Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fluff Bothwell (Tr) | 30 | 170 | 4 | 5.7 | 25 |
Davon Booth | 27 | 126 | 1 | 4.7 | 16 |
Xavier Gayten | 4 | 50 | 1 | 12.5 | 25 |
Johnnie Daniels | 9 | 44 | 0 | 4.9 | 13 |
Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brenen Thompson (Tr) | 15 | 278 | 3 | 18.5 | 58 |
Anthony Evans III (Tr) | 17 | 210 | 2 | 12.4 | 48 |
Jordan Mosley | 3 | 94 | 1 | 31.3 | 75 |
Seydou Traore | 5 | 77 | 1 | 15.4 | 55 |
Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Isaac Smith | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Nic Mitchell | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Derion Gullette (Tr) | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Jahron Manning (Tr) | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Whitson (Tr) | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Deonte Anderson | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Darron Reed Jr. (Tr) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Joseph Head Jr. | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kelley Jones | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
DeAgo Brumfeld | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Isaac Smith | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
D.J. Lagway | 71 | 100 | 71% | 629 | 5 | 6 | 6.3 |
Tramell Jones Jr. | 12 | 18 | 67% | 131 | 2 | 0 | 7.3 |
Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jadan Baugh | 37 | 243 | 1 | 6.6 | 26 |
Ja'Kobi Jackson | 20 | 59 | 0 | 3.0 | 13 |
D.J. Lagway | 18 | 31 | 0 | 1.7 | 10 |
Anthony Rubio | 5 | 27 | 0 | 5.4 | 12 |
Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Vernell Brown III | 16 | 197 | 0 | 12.3 | 41 |
Hayden Hansen | 13 | 117 | 1 | 9.0 | 28 |
J.Michael Sturdivant (Tr) | 7 | 71 | 1 | 10.1 | 18 |
Eugene Wilson | 14 | 66 | 2 | 4.7 | 32 |
Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Myles Graham | 17 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Jaden Robinson | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Brendan Bett (Tr) | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
George Gumbs | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tyreak Sapp | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Myles Graham | 17 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Titus Bullard | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Javion Toombs | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bryce Thornton | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
Myles Graham | 17 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Devin Moore | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |