Mississippi State Bulldogs at Texas A&M Aggies(#10)
Saturday, October 4th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Kyle Field - College Station, TX (SEC)
Bulldogs (3 - 0) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jeff Lebby (2 - 10)
Avg Score : 40 - 12 (34 - 17 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.4 - 5.6 (#76)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 7) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Coach Jeff Lebby (2 - 10)
Avg Score : 40 - 12 (34 - 17 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.4 - 5.6 (#76)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 7) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
TA&M 2nd straight Home Game
MSST is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Texas A&M -11 (SP+ TA&M -7)
Projected Score: MSST: 25 - TA&M: 36 (61)
TA&M Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
MSST Travel: 484 miles
MSST is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Texas A&M -11 (SP+ TA&M -7)
Projected Score: MSST: 25 - TA&M: 36 (61)
TA&M Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
MSST Travel: 484 miles
Aggies (3 - 0) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Mike Elko (8 - 4)
Avg Score : 42 - 29 (43 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 3 (#21)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 4) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Coach Mike Elko (8 - 4)
Avg Score : 42 - 29 (43 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 3 (#21)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 4) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
| Mississippi State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Mississippi State at Southern Miss | -11.5 | 59.5 | W 34 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Mississippi State vs Arizona State | +6.0 | 58.5 | W 24 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Mississippi State vs Alcorn State | -42.5 | 56.5 | W 63 - 0 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Mississippi State vs Northern Illinois | -21.5 | 49.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Mississippi State vs Tennessee | +5.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Mississippi State at Texas A&M | +11 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/18 | Mississippi State at Florida | +5.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Mississippi State vs Texas | +7 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Mississippi State at Arkansas | +4 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Mississippi State vs Georgia | +9.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Mississippi State at Missouri | +12 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/29 | Mississippi State vs Ole Miss | +6 | |||||
Total: Elite: 7, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 7, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 7, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Texas A&M's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Texas A&M vs UTSA | -21.5 | 56.5 | W 42 - 24 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Texas A&M vs Utah State | -34.5 | 57.5 | W 44 - 22 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Texas A&M at Notre Dame | +7.5 | 48.5 | W 41 - 40 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/27 | Texas A&M vs Auburn | -1 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Texas A&M vs Mississippi State | -11 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Texas A&M vs Florida | -8 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Texas A&M at Arkansas | -4.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Texas A&M at LSU | +2.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/8 | Texas A&M at Missouri | +3.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Texas A&M vs South Carolina | -13 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Texas A&M vs Samford | -46.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Texas A&M at Texas | +3.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 4, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Texas A&M's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSST | #26 (.36) | 50% (33) | 40.3 | 56% (18) | 3.14 (53) | 179 | 44% (62) | 263 | 4.94 (33) | #32 (.02) | 38% (57) | 12.3 | 43% (87) | 32% (29) | 3.4 (65) | 84.7 | 0.7 | 2 |
| TA&M | #32 (.33) | 46% (53) | 42.3 | 44% (74) | 3.25 (41) | 158 | 48% (40) | 323 | 5.35 (20) | #69 (.13) | 35% (36) | 28.7 | 33% (25) | 37% (48) | 4.8 (116) | 63.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSST | #78 (.17) | 39% (109) | 40% (105) | 2.9 (93) | 139 | 38% (104) | 239 | 3.75 (86) | #130 (.32) | 50% (133) | 47% (108) | 55% (134) | 4.32 (113) | 60.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 | ||
| TA&M | #54 (.21) | 45% (41) | 46% (38) | 3.29 (27) | 185 | 43% (58) | 188 | 3.63 (93) | #67 (.16) | 38% (23) | 40% (38) | 37% (22) | 3.03 (9) | 60.7 | 1 | 1.3 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSST Offense | 3 | 40.3 | 34 | 49.7% | 4.94 | 0.7 | 21 | 441 | 179 | 263 | 5 | 50% | 50% | 56% | 44% | 15% | .36 |
| TA&M Defense | 3 | 28.7 | 23 | 35.2% | 4.8 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 46% | 54% | 33% | 37% | 16% | .13 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSST Defense | 3 | 12.3 | 17 | 37.7% | 3.4 | 2 | - | - | - | - | - | 58% | 42% | 43% | 32% | 18% | .02 |
| TA&M Offense | 3 | 42.3 | 43 | 45.9% | 5.35 | 0.7 | 23 | 481 | 158 | 323 | 4.8 | 47% | 53% | 44% | 48% | 7% | .33 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State | 3 | 23:05 | 21 | 55% | 50% | 10 | 84.7 | 0.7 | 2 | 5 | 1.3 | 0 | 34.5 |
| Texas A&M | 3 | 29:08 | 23.3 | 34% | 60% | 8.3 | 63.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 6.7 | 3 | 1 | 31 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSST Offense | 3 | 50% (74) | 56% (18) | 36 | 178.7 | 5 | 9 (17) | .26 (36) | 3.14 (53) | 57% (114) | 7% (32) | 0.95 (72) |
| TA&M Defense | 3 | 46% (41) | 33% (25) | - | - | - | - | .14 (100) | 2.29 (28) | 63% (43) | 12% (38) | 1.5 (132) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSST Defense | 3 | 58% (119) | 43% (87) | - | - | - | - | -.02 (41) | 3.03 (93) | 58% (32) | 9% (79) | 0.75 (25) |
| TA&M Offense | 3 | 47% (90) | 44% (74) | 33 | 157.7 | 4.8 | 6 (49) | .17 (57) | 3.25 (41) | 55% (120) | 3% (3) | 0.92 (79) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSST Offense | 3 | 50% (64) | 44% (62) | 19.7 | 29.3 | 262.7 | 9 | 13.4 | 7 (23) | 2 (60) | .46 (33) | 1.8 (13) | 29% (59) | 38% (33) | .72 (16) | 8% (120) | 2.7 (4) |
| TA&M Defense | 3 | 54% (98) | 37% (48) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 (87) | .13 (47) | 1.5 (67) | 40% (9) | 26% (49) | .17 (45) | 4% (107) | 2 (75) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSST Defense | 3 | 42% (18) | 32% (29) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 (12) | .09 (34) | 1.5 (63) | 32% (84) | 21% (30) | .07 (27) | 9% (16) | 2 (66) |
| TA&M Offense | 3 | 53% (46) | 48% (40) | 20.7 | 35.7 | 323.3 | 9.1 | 15.7 | 10 (7) | 2 (60) | .48 (27) | 1.7 (25) | 31% (79) | 28% (95) | .35 (64) | 3% (33) | 2.3 (24) |
Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 20.59 #28
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: 23.00 #26
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: 2.41 #40
2025 Talent Rating: 844.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 19% #27
Mississippi State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.4 - 5.6
Mississippi State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.7 #45
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #37
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.4 #48
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 20.59 #28
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: 23.00 #26
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: 2.41 #40
2025 Talent Rating: 844.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 19% #27
Mississippi State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.4 - 5.6
Mississippi State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.7 #45
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #37
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.4 #48
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State: 20.59 Texas A&M: 25.635
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State: 8.7 Texas A&M: 16.0
Mississippi State: 20.59 Texas A&M: 25.635
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State: 8.7 Texas A&M: 16.0
Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: 25.635 #10
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: 27.46 #10
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: -2.84 #16
2025 Talent Rating: 990.00 #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 65 #6
Texas A&M's 2025 Expected Record: 9.0 - 3.0
Texas A&M's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0 #20
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.5 #16
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.7 #32
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Texas A&M's Power Rating: 25.635 #10
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: 27.46 #10
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: -2.84 #16
2025 Talent Rating: 990.00 #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 65 #6
Texas A&M's 2025 Expected Record: 9.0 - 3.0
Texas A&M's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0 #20
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.5 #16
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.7 #32
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 40.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 34
Defense: 12.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 17
Mississippi State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Offense: 40.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 34
Defense: 12.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 17
Mississippi State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Texas A&M 36
Mississippi State 25
Total Points: 61
Texas A&M 36
Mississippi State 25
Total Points: 61
Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 42.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 43
Defense: 28.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 23
Texas A&M's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0
Offense: 42.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 43
Defense: 28.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 23
Texas A&M's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10/19 | Mississippi State | 24 | Texas A&M | 34 | Texas A&M | Texas A&M -21 | Mississippi State | 55.5 | Over |
| 2023 | 11/11 | Texas A&M | 51 | Mississippi State | 10 | Texas A&M | Texas A&M -16.5 | Texas A&M | 40.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 10/01 | Mississippi State | 42 | Texas A&M | 24 | Mississippi State | Mississippi State -4 | Mississippi State | 45.0 | Over |
| 2021 | 10/02 | Texas A&M | 22 | Mississippi State | 26 | Mississippi State | Texas A&M -7 | Mississippi State | 45.5 | Over |
| 2020 | 10/17 | Mississippi State | 14 | Texas A&M | 28 | Texas A&M | Texas A&M -4.5 | Texas A&M | 56.0 | Under |
| 2019 | 10/26 | Texas A&M | 49 | Mississippi State | 30 | Texas A&M | Texas A&M -10.5 | Texas A&M | 50.0 | Over |
| 2018 | 10/27 | Mississippi State | 28 | Texas A&M | 13 | Mississippi State | Mississippi State -1.5 | Mississippi State | 42.5 | Under |
| 2017 | 10/28 | Texas A&M | 14 | Mississippi State | 35 | Mississippi State | Mississippi State -3.5 | Mississippi State | 55.5 | Under |
| 2016 | 11/05 | Mississippi State | 35 | Texas A&M | 28 | Mississippi State | Texas A&M -13 | Mississippi State | 61.0 | Over |
| 2015 | 10/03 | Texas A&M | 30 | Mississippi State | 17 | Texas A&M | Texas A&M -6 | Texas A&M | 62.5 | Under |
| 2014 | 10/04 | Mississippi State | 48 | Texas A&M | 31 | Mississippi State | Texas A&M -1 | Mississippi State | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/09 | Texas A&M | 51 | Mississippi State | 41 | Texas A&M | Texas A&M -19 | Mississippi State | 0 | |
| 2012 | 11/03 | Mississippi State | 13 | Texas A&M | 38 | Texas A&M | ||||
| 2000 | 12/30 | Mississippi State | 43 | Texas A&M | 41 | Mississippi State |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas A&M | 7 | 4 | 6 Overs |
| Mississippi State | 7 | 8 | 4 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 9 - 5 | 8 - 4 | 5 - 2 | 3 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 5 - 9 | 4 - 8 | 2 - 3 | 2 - 5 |
(#28) Mississippi State Info
Power Rating: 20.59 #28
Offense Rating: 23.00 #26
Defense Rating: 2.41 #40
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.7 #45
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #37
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.4 #48
Talent Rating: 844.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 19% #27
Expected Record: 6.4 - 5.6
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Good Offense Success Rate of 50%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.94 PPO
Great Run Success 56%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.4 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Good Pass Def Success 32%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Mississippi State has lost 2 straight
Mississippi State has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
Mississippi State Notes
(8/30) Shapen good, Run Off better, Def better
(5/23) WR huge ? Top 6 are portals? 4 best LY left
(5/23) Added 5 portal OL post spring. Bad sign?
(5/23) Talent #'s of a mid B12 team, and dropping
(5/7) Def 39 ppg, 7 ypp allowed in SEC play LY
(5/2) TE Seydou Traore a good, reliable target
(4/19) Watch Fr QB KaMario Taylor. Dynamic runner
(4/19) DL improved, SEC caliber bodies unlike LY
(3/18) QB1? Shapen or Kromenhoek (FSU)
(3/18) RBs Booth/Bothwell/Daniels good depth
Mississippi State Highlights
Mississippi State is Undefeated vs Spread
Mississippi State in Undefeated
Mississippi State offense is good on 3rd downs
Mississippi State defense does not give up big plays (#13)
Mississippi State has a good pass defense (#29)
Mississippi State Secondary is very good (#16)
Mississippi State has a great TO Margin (#28)
Mississippi State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
Mississippi State Deficiencies
Mississippi State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#133)
Power Rating: 20.59 #28
Offense Rating: 23.00 #26
Defense Rating: 2.41 #40
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.7 #45
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #37
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.4 #48
Talent Rating: 844.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 19% #27
Expected Record: 6.4 - 5.6
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Good Offense Success Rate of 50%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.94 PPO
Great Run Success 56%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.4 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Good Pass Def Success 32%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Mississippi State has lost 2 straight
Mississippi State has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
Mississippi State Notes
(8/30) Shapen good, Run Off better, Def better
(5/23) WR huge ? Top 6 are portals? 4 best LY left
(5/23) Added 5 portal OL post spring. Bad sign?
(5/23) Talent #'s of a mid B12 team, and dropping
(5/7) Def 39 ppg, 7 ypp allowed in SEC play LY
(5/2) TE Seydou Traore a good, reliable target
(4/19) Watch Fr QB KaMario Taylor. Dynamic runner
(4/19) DL improved, SEC caliber bodies unlike LY
(3/18) QB1? Shapen or Kromenhoek (FSU)
(3/18) RBs Booth/Bothwell/Daniels good depth
Mississippi State Highlights
Mississippi State is Undefeated vs Spread
Mississippi State in Undefeated
Mississippi State offense is good on 3rd downs
Mississippi State defense does not give up big plays (#13)
Mississippi State has a good pass defense (#29)
Mississippi State Secondary is very good (#16)
Mississippi State has a great TO Margin (#28)
Mississippi State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
Mississippi State Deficiencies
Mississippi State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#133)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | TA&M | MSST |
| OverallOver | #26 | #38 |
| OffenseOff | #37 | #46 |
| DefenseDef | #41 | #38 |
| Special TeamsST | #5 | #84 |
| PassingPass | #76 | #28 |
| RushingRush | #67 | #13 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #42 | #79 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #12 | #46 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #13 | #65 |
| TacklingTkl | #105 | #39 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #50 | #36 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #34 | #75 |
| Coverage DefCov | #39 | #20 |
Previous Matchups
Texas A&M beat Mississippi State last year (34-24)
Texas A&M beat Mississippi State in 2023 (51-10)
Mississippi State beat Texas A&M in 2022 (42-24)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Kyle Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: MSST | TA&M
Depth Chart: MSST | TA&M
Rosters: MSST | TA&M
(#10) Texas A&M Info
Power Rating: 25.635 #10
Offense Rating: 27.46 #10
Defense Rating: -2.84 #16
Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0 #20
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.5 #16
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.7 #32
Talent Rating: 990.00 #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 65 #6
Expected Record: 9.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 46%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.35 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Good Pass Success 48%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.8 PPO
Good Run Def Success 33%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Texas A&M has lost 1 straight
Texas A&M has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Texas A&M Notes
(7/27) DL dominated OL in spring? Good or bad sign?
(7/27) Run game has top 3 potential. Off could explode
(7/25) QB Reed led SEC in Fr QBR, but must elevate
(7/17) OL returns 5/5. PFF grades top 5, go 7 deep
(7/17) More I learn, the more I like this A&M team
(6/6) WR added Concepcion +3 others, PFF top 10 unit
(5/21) Elko says RB Moss is full go for fall camp
(5/11) OL has top 20 exp & all of it returning/no portal
(4/4) LB Taurean York a top 10 LB via PFF
(4/4) A. Reed-Adams (G) a top IOL via PFF
Texas A&M Highlights
Texas A&M in Undefeated
Texas A&M is Undefeated at Home
Texas A&M offense is explosive (#30)
Texas A&M offense is good in red zone (#20)
Texas A&M Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Texas A&M has a good run defense (#25)
Texas A&M Defensive Line is very good (#28)
Texas A&M has a great TO Margin (#28)
Texas A&M Deficiencies
Texas A&M Commits a Lot of Penalties (#121)
Texas A&M offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Texas A&M gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#124)
Texas A&M has a bad red zone defense (#116)
Power Rating: 25.635 #10
Offense Rating: 27.46 #10
Defense Rating: -2.84 #16
Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0 #20
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.5 #16
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.7 #32
Talent Rating: 990.00 #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 65 #6
Expected Record: 9.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 46%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.35 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Good Pass Success 48%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.8 PPO
Good Run Def Success 33%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Texas A&M has lost 1 straight
Texas A&M has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Texas A&M Notes
(7/27) DL dominated OL in spring? Good or bad sign?
(7/27) Run game has top 3 potential. Off could explode
(7/25) QB Reed led SEC in Fr QBR, but must elevate
(7/17) OL returns 5/5. PFF grades top 5, go 7 deep
(7/17) More I learn, the more I like this A&M team
(6/6) WR added Concepcion +3 others, PFF top 10 unit
(5/21) Elko says RB Moss is full go for fall camp
(5/11) OL has top 20 exp & all of it returning/no portal
(4/4) LB Taurean York a top 10 LB via PFF
(4/4) A. Reed-Adams (G) a top IOL via PFF
Texas A&M Highlights
Texas A&M in Undefeated
Texas A&M is Undefeated at Home
Texas A&M offense is explosive (#30)
Texas A&M offense is good in red zone (#20)
Texas A&M Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Texas A&M has a good run defense (#25)
Texas A&M Defensive Line is very good (#28)
Texas A&M has a great TO Margin (#28)
Texas A&M Deficiencies
Texas A&M Commits a Lot of Penalties (#121)
Texas A&M offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Texas A&M gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#124)
Texas A&M has a bad red zone defense (#116)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Shapen | 55 | 81 | 68% | 722 | 6 | 2 | 8.9 |
| Luke Kromenhoek (Tr) | 2 | 4 | 50% | 20 | 0 | 0 | 5.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluff Bothwell (Tr) | 30 | 170 | 4 | 5.7 | 25 |
| Davon Booth | 27 | 126 | 1 | 4.7 | 16 |
| Xavier Gayten | 4 | 50 | 1 | 12.5 | 25 |
| Johnnie Daniels | 9 | 44 | 0 | 4.9 | 13 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brenen Thompson (Tr) | 15 | 278 | 3 | 18.5 | 58 |
| Anthony Evans III (Tr) | 17 | 210 | 2 | 12.4 | 48 |
| Jordan Mosley | 3 | 94 | 1 | 31.3 | 75 |
| Seydou Traore | 5 | 77 | 1 | 15.4 | 55 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Smith | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Nic Mitchell | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Derion Gullette (Tr) | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jahron Manning (Tr) | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Whitson (Tr) | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Deonte Anderson | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Darron Reed Jr. (Tr) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Joseph Head Jr. | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelley Jones | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| DeAgo Brumfeld | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Isaac Smith | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcel Reed | 58 | 99 | 59% | 869 | 9 | 1 | 8.8 |
| Miles O'Neill | 4 | 7 | 57% | 101 | 1 | 1 | 14.4 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le'Veon Moss | 33 | 168 | 4 | 5.1 | 21 |
| Marcel Reed | 25 | 142 | 1 | 5.7 | 24 |
| Rueben Owens | 15 | 82 | 0 | 5.5 | 30 |
| Jamarion Morrow | 4 | 32 | 0 | 8.0 | 22 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Craver (Tr) | 20 | 443 | 4 | 22.2 | 86 |
| Kevin Concepcion (Tr) | 13 | 227 | 3 | 17.5 | 45 |
| Terry Bussey | 7 | 87 | 1 | 12.4 | 34 |
| Ashton Bethel-Roman | 4 | 68 | 0 | 17.0 | 25 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Ratcliffe | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Taurean York | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Albert Regis | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Will Lee III | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cashius Howell | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Daymion Sanford | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Albert Regis | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Scooby Williams | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Ratcliffe | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Dezz Ricks | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Will Lee III | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |