Tulsa at Mississippi State - 2020 Matchup Preview
Tulsa logo   Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs Mississippi State Bulldogs  Mississippi State logo
Thursday, December 31st 2020 (12:00 PM EST)
Tulsa -2.5 (48.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Mississippi State 28 - Tulsa: 26  (Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl)

 
Golden Hurricane (6 - 3) (7 - 2 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (19 - 31 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Bulldogs (4 - 7) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (34 - 28 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Tulsa's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 Tulsa at Oklahoma State+23.567.0L 7 - 16UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 Tulsa at UCF+19.570.0W 34 - 26UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/23 Tulsa at South Florida-11.551.5W 42 - 13OY
Fri 10/30 Tulsa vs East Carolina-17.059.5W 34 - 30ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14 Tulsa vs SMU+2.064.0W 28 - 24UY
Thu 11/19 Tulsa vs Tulane-5.555.5W 30 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/5 Tulsa at Navy-12.046.0W 19 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/19 Tulsa at Cincinnati+14.044.5L 24 - 27OY
Thu 12/31 Tulsa vs Mississippi State-2.548.0L 26 - 28ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule
Mississippi State's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26 Mississippi State at LSU+14.557.0W 44 - 34OY
Sat 10/3 Mississippi State vs Arkansas-16.568.0L 14 - 21UN
Sat 10/10 Mississippi State at Kentucky+3.557.5L 2 - 24UN
Sat 10/17 Mississippi State vs Texas A&M+4.556.0L 14 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31 Mississippi State at Alabama+32.0
Sat 11/7 Mississippi State vs Vanderbilt-18.545.0W 24 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21 Mississippi State at Georgia+25.544.5L 24 - 31OY
Sat 11/28 Mississippi State at Ole Miss+10.070.0L 24 - 31UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/12 Mississippi State vs Auburn+5.550.5L 10 - 24UN
Sat 12/19 Mississippi State vs Missouri+1.549.0W 51 - 32OY
Thu 12/31 Mississippi State vs Tulsa+2.548.0W 28 - 26OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TLSA.1339%23.236%2.5113840%2813.49.1639%28.939%38%3.9779.11.61.9
MSST.2646%30.449%3.4622141%1794.29.2146%30.245%46%3.8644.51.82.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TLSA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MSST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TLSA Offense1223.21939.1%3.491.6224201382813.349%50%36%40%25%.13
MSST Defense1330.227.946.2%3.862.2 - - - - - 51%47%45%46%23%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TLSA Defense1228.930.739.3%3.971.9 - - - - - 57%41%39%38%18%.16
MSST Offense1330.433.946.1%4.291.8214002211795.459%40%49%41%20%.26

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tulsa1230:3921.943%57%9.179.11.61.96.71.4027.1
Mississippi State1331:4021.539%39%5.544.51.82.26.92.3227.2
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TLSA Offense1249%36%41.9138.33.318.012.5171%14%1.01
MSST Defense1351%45% - - - - .092.9377%14%0.95
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TLSA Defense1257%39% - - - - .052.865%11%1.06
MSST Offense1359%49%40.7220.65.427.273.4677%13%1.09

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TLSA Offense1250%40%21.237281.37.613.3209.251.738%34%.2511%1.7
MSST Defense1347%46% - - - - - - 10.361.832%38%.3610%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TLSA Defense1241%38% - - - - - - 5.321.734%31%.397%2
MSST Offense1340%41%14.324.2179.57.412.51910.251.631%36%.418%1.7

Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: NR
Tulsa's Offense Rating: NR
Tulsa's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Tulsa's 2020 Expected Record: -
Tulsa's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8  #39
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7  #69
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6  #22

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulsa:    Mississippi State: 1.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: 6.8   Mississippi State: 2.2




Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 1.1 NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Mississippi State's 2020 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.2  #58
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8  #79
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7  #49

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 19
Defense: 28.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.7

Tulsa's 2020 Record
Record: 6 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 5
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Mississippi State 31
Tulsa 25

Projected Total Points: 56
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.9
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.9

Mississippi State's 2020 Record
Record: 4 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202012/31Mississippi State28Tulsa26Tulsa -2.5Mississippi State48.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Mississippi State111 Overs
Tulsa000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0

Tulsa Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2020Forces Bowl Tulsa vs Mississippi State-2.548.0L 26 - 28
2016Beach Bowl Tulsa vs Central Michigan-11.068.0W 55 - 10
2015Independence Bowl Tulsa vs Virginia Tech+14.0L 52 - 55
Mississippi State Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2020Forces Bowl Mississippi State vs Tulsa+2.548.0W 28 - 26
2019City Bowl Mississippi State vs Louisville-5.064.5L 28 - 38
2018Outback Bowl Mississippi State vs Iowa-7.040.0L 22 - 27
2017N/A Mississippi State vs Louisville+6.562.0W 31 - 27
2016Petersburg Bowl Mississippi State vs Miami (OH)-11.558.0W 17 - 16
2015N/A Mississippi State vs NC State-7.0W 51 - 28
2014N/A Mississippi State vs Georgia Tech-5.559.5L 34 - 49
  
(#) TLSA at (#) MSST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTLSAMSST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #39 #58
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #79 #24
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Tulsa on Offense
CategoryCat
TLSA OffMSST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #69 #49
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Tulsa Run Game
CategoryCat
TLSA OffMSST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Tulsa Pass Game
CategoryCat
TLSA OffMSST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Mississippi State on Offense
CategoryCatMSST OffTLSA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #79 #22
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Mississippi State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSST OffTLSA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Mississippi State Pass Game
CategoryCatMSST OffTLSA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MSST 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'20 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

TLSA 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'20 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Amon G. Carter Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
Tulsa 2.5 (48.0)
Mississippi State won vs Tulsa this year (28-26)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
TLSA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Tulsa's Full Roster

TLSA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MSST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Mississippi State's Full Roster

MSST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD