Texas State Team Profile
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Texas State Bobcats (@TXStateFootball)
G. J. Kinne (3rd year) (18-13)
Record: 3 - 3 (0 - 2)  |  Proj: 7 - 5 (#54)  |  SOS: (#111)
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Texas State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Texas State vs Eastern Michigan-14.058.5W 52 - 27OY
Sat 9/6 Texas State at UTSA+4.564.5W 43 - 36OY
Sat 9/13 Texas State at Arizona State+18.561.5L 15 - 34UN
Sat 9/20 Texas State vs Nicholls-32.557.0W 35 - 3UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Texas State at Arkansas State-14.063.5L 30 - 31UN
Sat 10/11 Texas State vs Troy-7.553.5L 41 - 48ON
Sat 10/18 Texas State at Marshall-3.065.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/28 Texas State vs James Madison+4
Sat 11/8 Texas State at Louisiana-9.5
Sat 11/15 Texas State at Southern Miss+0
Sat 11/22 Texas State vs UL Monroe-15
Sat 11/29 Texas State vs South Alabama-15

Record Prediction: 7.2 - 4.8  #54
Schedule Rating:  #111
Record: 3 - 3( SBC: 0 - 2)
Spread Record 2 - 4 - 0 | O/U 3 - 3
Future 2026 Schedule

Texas State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Texas State vs Lamar W 34 - 27
Sat 9/7 Texas State vs UTSA-2.558.5W 49 - 10OY
Thu 9/12 Texas State vs Arizona State-2.558.5L 28 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Texas State vs Sam Houston-11.055.0L 39 - 40ON
Thu 10/3 Texas State at Troy-14.556.0W 38 - 17UY
Sat 10/12 Texas State vs Arkansas State-13.566.0W 41 - 9UY
Sat 10/19 Texas State at Old Dominion-10.560.0L 14 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/29 Texas State vs Louisiana-4.060.5L 17 - 23UN
Sat 11/9 Texas State at UL Monroe-9.550.0W 38 - 17OY
Sat 11/16 Texas State vs Southern Miss-27.556.5W 58 - 3OY
Sat 11/23 Texas State vs Georgia State-23.059.5L 44 - 52ON
Fri 11/29 Texas State at South Alabama-2.560.5W 45 - 38OY
Fri 1/3 Texas State vs North Texas-15.567.5W 30 - 28UN

2024 Schedule Rating:  #120
2024 Record: 8 - 5 (SBC: 5 - 3)
Spread Record 6 - 6 - 0 | O/U 7 - 6


Opponents: 0 Elite, 0 Good, 3 Avg, 1 Bad, 7 Poor
Played: 0 Elite, 0 Good, 2 Avg, 0 Bad, 3 Poor
Future: 0 Elite, 0 Good, 1 Avg, 1 Bad, 4Poor
Reg Season Opponents: 0 Elite, 1 Good, 1 Avg, 4 Bad, 6 Poor

Show Past Schedules
2025 class: 135 points   #108
2024 class: 153 points   #95
2023 class: 125 points   #105
2022 class: 51 points   #133
2021 class: 9 points   #183

Average Class Ranking:   #125
Average Recruiting Points: 95

Four Year Crootin Profile
Consistent Below Avg G5
4 Year Class:  #107 - Best:  #95 Worst:  #133



CFB Crootin Averages
Sun Belt Class: 144  #98
Group of 5 Class: 135  #102
FBS Class: 179  #69


2020 class: 145 points   #99
2019 class: 111 points   #133
2018 class: 124 points   #107
2017 class: 128 points   #92
2016 class: 112 points   #110

Average Class Ranking:   #108
Average Recruiting Points: 124
 

2025 Portal Class  #81 - 26 players, 84 Avg
2024 Portal Class  #57 - 32 players, 84 Avg
2023 Portal Class  #69 - 39 players, 85 Avg
2022 Portal Class  #75 - 17 players, 82 Avg

Transfer Portal Classes
Portal Data only 2022 forward

Offensive Coordinator Landon Keopple (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brad Jackson10515070%1342718.9
Keldric Luster (Tr)1333%14004.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Lincoln Pare10458185.662
Brad Jackson7133674.763
Greg Burrell (Tr)4130337.459
Jaylen Jenkins2816726.058
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Beau Sparks38506513.373
Chris Dawn Jr.20325016.356
Kylen Evans14182113.045
Lincoln Pare12121010.129
(Tr) - new transfer in 2025

Defensive Coordinator Dexter McCoil (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Treylin Payne423201
Ryan Nolan411022
Bobby Crosby262102
Ayden Jones (Tr)261010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kalil Alexander236300
Treylin Payne423201
Tymere Jackson174220
Donterry Russell (Tr)83200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
William Mitchell100002
Bobby Crosby262102
Ryan Nolan411022
Returning Production
Overall Returning Production: 40%  #115
Offense Returning Production: 40%  #110
Defense Returning Production: 41%  #111

Transfer Portal
2025 Portal Class  #81
26 Commits, 83.5 Avg Rating
49% of 2025 Roster from Portal, 45% TY
Team Talent
2025 Talent Rating: 620.00  #89
Offense Talent  #94 | Defense Talent  #90
2024  #110 | 2023  #1 | 2022  #90 | 2021  #97


2025 - 2022 Records
2025 Record: 3 - 3
2025 Conf Record: 0 - 2
Spread: 2 - 4 - 0 | Totals: 3 - 3

2024 Record: 8 - 5
2024 Conf Record: 5 - 3
Spread: 6 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 7 - 6

2023 Record: 8 - 5
2023 Conf Record: 4 - 4
Spread: 7 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 7

2022 Record: 4 - 8
2022 Conf Record: 2 - 6
Spread: 5 - 7 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 6

Four Year Record: 23 - 21
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 20 - 23 - 0
Four Year Conference Record: 11 - 15
2021 - 2018 Records
2021 Record: 4 - 8
2021 Conf Record: 3 - 5
Spread: 7 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 5 - 7

2020 Record: 2 - 10
2020 Conf Record: 2 - 6
Spread: 7 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 5 - 7

2019 Record: 3 - 9
2019 Conf Record: 2 - 6
Spread: 3 - 8 - 1 | Totals: 4 - 8

2018 Record: 3 - 9
2018 Conf Record: 1 - 7
Spread: 6 - 5 - 1 | Totals: 4 - 8

Eight Year Record: 35 - 57
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 43 - 46 - 2
Eight Year Conference Record: 21 - 39

Texas State Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2024Responder Bowl Texas State vs North Texas-15.567.5W 30 - 28
2023Responder Bowl Texas State vs Rice-3.558.5W 45 - 21
Power Ranking Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense ExplOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense ExplDefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2025.35 (14)1.31 (45)49% (22)5.17 (7)27.4 (106)51%69%.26 (123)1.39 (121)44% (95)4.55 (121)27.8 (62)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense ExplOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense ExplDefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2024.25 (25)1.18 (115)48% (17)3.89 (72)31 (28)45%64%.14 (50)1.35 (107)39% (31)3.47 (33)27.5 (31)



More Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
2025629:3922.751%69%6.254.70.80.27.22.80
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
20241328:1724.145%64%6.156.51.61.26.92.42



Overall Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2025 Offense63642.729.348.8% (22)5.17 (7)0.8234782512265.664% (6)36% (131)50% (22)47% (33)12% (20).35 (14)
2025 Defense629.82633.743.5% (95)4.55 (121)0.2 - - - - - 46% (36)54% (105)47% (113)41% (65)15% (88).26 (123)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2024 Offense1336.538.733.848% (17)3.89 (72)1.6244381942455.252% (59)47% (86)49% (14)48% (10)13% (29).25 (25)
2024 Defense1324.522.12438.6% (31)3.47 (33)1.2 - - - - - 51% (72)48% (56)38% (21)39% (54)19% (26).14 (50)



Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2025 Offense664% (6)50% (22)45.2251.35.621 (3).31 (13)3.03 (59)73% (70)8% (26)1.18 (12)
2025 Defense646% (36)47% (113) - - - - .3 (133)3.23 (123)68% (52)11% (37)1.26 (132)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2024 Offense1352% (59)49% (14)37.1193.75.225 (41).16 (49)3.41 (11)75% (53)8% (35)0.88 (110)
2024 Defense1351% (72)38% (21) - - - - .12 (67)2.97 (60)68% (34)14% (7)1.13 (123)



Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2025 Offense636% (131)47% (33)17.725.5226.38.912.87 (99)1 (4).43 (29)1.5 (71)27% (20)40% (11).56 (19)4% (22)1.8 (102)
2025 Defense654% (105)41% (65) - - - - - - 1 (128).22 (63)1.5 (72)33% (58)36% (126).49 (128)4% (125)2 (80)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2024 Offense1347% (86)48% (10)20.930.2244.78.111.730 (9)13 (103).4 (13)1.5 (91)29% (31)34% (41).32 (74)5% (44)1.7 (131)
2024 Defense1348% (56)39% (54) - - - - - - 7 (104).19 (45)1.6 (62)35% (23)29% (44).3 (65)5% (106)2.2 (110)




Overall
Power Rating  #60 | SP+ Rating  #85
Performance Grade  #40
Special Teams Grade  #15
Record Prediction 7.2 - 4.8  #54
5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

Offense
Power  #29 | SP+  #46 | Grade  #16
Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 36%
Off Success  #22 | Explosivness  #45
Rush Grade  #28 | Pass Grade  #49
Rush Success  #22 | Explosiveness  #12
Pass Success  #33 | Explosiveness  #71
Run Block  #5 | Pass Block  #5
OL YDS  #59 | Stuff Rate  #59
Scoring Zone Off:  #7

Defense
Power  #103 | SP+  #124 | Grade  #76
Def Success  #95 | Explosivness  #121
Rush Success  #113 | Explosiveness  #132
Tackling  #130 | Run Def  #81
Pass Success  #65 | Explosiveness  #72
Pass Rush  #16 | Coverage  #104
F7 Havoc  #37 | DB Havoc  #125
Scoring Zone Def  #121


Roster
Team Talent  #89 Blue Chips: 3%  #65
Offense Talent  #94 Defense Talent  #90
Crootin: '25 Class  #108 - 4 YR Class:  #107
Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
Portal Class  #81 - 26 players, 84 Avg
49% of Roster from Portal, 45% TY
75 New Players, 82% of '25 Roster  #114

Scoring & Records
Scoring: 36 - 29.8 (37 - 25) in '24
Scoring at Home: 43 - 26 | Road: 29 - 34
OC: Landon Keopple - in his first season
DC: Dexter McCoil - in his second season

2025 Record: 3 - 3 (2 - 4 - 0) (SBC: 0 - 2)
2024 Record: 8 - 5 (6 - 6 - 0) (SBC: 5 - 3)
2023 Record: 8 - 5 (7 - 6 - 0) (SBC: 4 - 4)
4 Yr Record: (23 - 21) | 8 Yr Record: (35 - 57)


Notes
Blew 28-7 vs Troy, pass Def torched for 415, 5 TDs
Troy QB Kilcrease doubled season yds pass vs Def
Hard L @ Ark St, Def is really bad and costing W's
rFr QB Brad Jackson looks like the real deal
Run Off mauled EMU, OL looked outstanding
Over Bet Watch, Kinne Off trust, Def struggles
OL 3/5 back, good LY. 3 portals, some depth
Def portals 10 DL, 5 LB, 6 DBs. Will take time
QB1? 4 guys will battle, Jackson & 3 portals
RB Pare has 2K yds & 20 total TDs in his career
 
'25 Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 36%
Great Offense Success Rate of 49%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.17 PPO
Great Run Success 50%
Good Pass Success 47%
Avg Offensive Turnovers
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Great 1st/2nd Down Success 73%
Great when off Schedule 40%

'25 Defense
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.55 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 47%
Avg Pass Def Success 41%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Awful at Forcing Turnovers
Avg Penalty Team, Bad Field Position
Avg 1st/2nd Down Success 67%
Awful when Opp is off Schedule 36%

Returning Prod
TXST lost their '24 starting QB (27%)  #96
Returning Production: 40%  #115
Offense: 40%  #110 | Defense: 41%  #111
OL Prod: 35%  #115, 2 clear starters
OL Snaps: 2071  #100 | From Portal: 28  #88
Rush Prod: 54%  #65 | Rec Prod: 38%  #95
Def Front Seven: 26% - Secondary: 39%
Vegas Preseason Win Total: 7.5 - 4.5

 
4 Year Overall
2025 SP+ Overall:  #85 - Power Rating:  #60
2024 SP+ Overall:  #48 - Power Rating:  #52
2023 SP+ Overall:  #79 - Power Rating:  #77
2022 SP+ Overall:  #102

#102 #78 #50 #73

4 Year Offense
2025 SP+ Offense:  #46 - Power Rating:  #29
2024 SP+ Offense:  #20 - Power Rating:  #38
2023 SP+ Offense:  #47 - Power Rating:  #21
2022 SP+ Offense:  #110

#110 #34 #29 #38

4 Year Defense
2025 SP+ Defense:  #124 - Power Rating:  #103
2024 SP+ Defense:  #82 - Power Rating:  #29
2023 SP+ Defense:  #114 - Power Rating:  #91
2022 SP+ Defense:  #79

#79 #103 #56 #114