Lamar at Texas State - 2024 Matchup Preview
 
Cardinals (0 - 1) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 34 (27 - 34 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Texas State -6.5  (SP+ TXST -5)
TXST Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
Bobcats (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach G. J. Kinne (8 - 5)
Avg Score : 37 - 25 (39 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Lamar's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Lamar at Texas State+5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Lamar's Schedule
Texas State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Texas State vs Lamar-26
Sat 9/7 Texas State vs UTSA-2.558.5W 49 - 10OY
Thu 9/12 Texas State vs Arizona State-2.558.5L 28 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Texas State vs Sam Houston-11.055.0L 39 - 40ON
Thu 10/3 Texas State at Troy-14.556.0W 38 - 17UY
Sat 10/12 Texas State vs Arkansas State-13.566.0W 41 - 9UY
Sat 10/19 Texas State at Old Dominion-10.560.0L 14 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/29 Texas State vs Louisiana-4.060.5L 17 - 23UN
Sat 11/9 Texas State at UL Monroe-9.550.0W 38 - 17OY
Sat 11/16 Texas State vs Southern Miss-27.556.5W 58 - 3OY
Sat 11/23 Texas State vs Georgia State-23.059.5L 44 - 52ON
Fri 11/29 Texas State at South Alabama-2.560.5W 45 - 38OY
Fri 1/3 Texas State vs North Texas-15.567.5W 30 - 28UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas State's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LAM0%270%000%000%340%0%0000
TXST#25 (.25)48% (17)36.549% (14)3.41 (11)19448% (10)2453.89 (72)#50 (.14)39% (31)24.538% (21)39% (54)3.47 (33)56.51.61.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LAM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TXST#25 (.25)48% (17)49% (14)3.41 (11)19448% (10)2453.89 (72)#50 (.14)39% (31)38% (21)39% (54)3.47 (33)56.51.61.2



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LAM Offense127270%00000000%0%0%0%0%
TXST Defense1324.522.138.6%3.471.2 - - - - - 51%48%38%39%19%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LAM Defense134340%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
TXST Offense1336.538.748%3.891.6244381942455.252%47%49%48%13%.25

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Lamar10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Texas State1328:1724.145%64%6.156.51.61.26.92.4231
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LAM Offense10%0%000000%0%0
TXST Defense1351% (72)38% (21) - - - - .12 (67)2.97 (60)68% (34)14% (7)1.13 (123)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LAM Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
TXST Offense1352% (59)49% (14)37.1193.75.225 (41).16 (49)3.41 (11)75% (53)8% (35)0.88 (110)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LAM Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
TXST Defense1348% (56)39% (54) - - - - - - 7 (104).19 (45)1.6 (62)35% (23)29% (44).3 (65)5% (106)2.2 (110)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LAM Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
TXST Offense1347% (86)48% (10)20.930.2244.78.111.730 (9)13 (103).4 (13)1.5 (91)29% (31)34% (41).32 (74)5% (44)1.7 (131)

Lamar's Power Ratings
Lamar's Power Rating: NR
Lamar's Offense Rating: NR
Lamar's Defense Rating: NR
2024 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Lamar's 2024 Expected Record: -
Lamar's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Lamar's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Lamar's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Southland Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Lamar:    Texas State: 6.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Lamar:    Texas State: 5.4




Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: 6.45  #52
Texas State's Offense Rating: 23.07  #38
Texas State's Defense Rating: 5.36  #29
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2  #82
Texas State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Texas State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4  #48
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2  #20
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.4  #82

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Lamar Scoring
Offense: 27 PPG
Offense on Road: 27
Defense: 34 PPG
Defense on Road: 34

Lamar's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Texas State 36
Lamar 29

Total Points: 65

Based on Last 4 Games
Texas State 43
Lamar 25

Total Points: 68

Based on Entire Season
Texas State 36
Lamar 25

Total Points: 61
Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.7
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.1

Texas State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202408/31Texas State34Lamar27
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas State100 Overs
Lamar000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#NR) LAM at (#52) TXST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatLAMTXST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #52
SP+SP+NR #48
Perf GradeGradeNR #16
OffenseOffNR #10
DefenseDefNR #27
Spec TeamsSTNR #43
TalentTalNR #1
Blue ChipsBC%NR #82
Texas State Notes
(11/29) How the fuck did this offense fail so much in 24?
(11/29) Off torched S Al, 530 yds, Def forced 3 TOs
(11/25) Awful L vs Ga St, Def torched 500+, Off 4 TOs
(11/18) 2 str W's, killed SoMiss, McCloud/Rgame great
(11/3) 2 awful L's, season slipping, McCloud replaced?
(10/20) Off/McCloud awful in bad L (ODU), 2 TOs, woof
(10/12) Off 600 yds (271 rush) killing Ark St. Def OK
(10/4) Great Pass Off, run enough. TO's an issue, fun team
(9/12) Spread Off fun. McCloud looks great w/ weapons
(9/8) Dog fight W over Lamar? 2 TOs, 156 penalty yds!
(9/8) Torched UTSA, McCould good, Run D great
(7/30) OL has 3/5 back. RB Mahdi great/depth. WR v good.
Texas State Injury Report
Lamar on Offense
CategoryCat
LAM OffTXST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #27
SuccessSucNR #31
ExplosiveExpNR #107
PPAPPANR #50
PowerPwrNR #29
SP+SP+NR #82
Pts POPPONR #33
HavocHavNR #26
Lamar Run Game
CategoryCat
LAM OffTXST Def
Run GameRunNR #15
Run SuccessRSucNR #21
Run ExplRExpNR #123
PPAExpNR #67
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #60
Stuff RateStuffNR #31
TackleTak -  #66
Lamar Pass Game
CategoryCat
LAM OffTXST Def
Pass GamePassNR #95
Pass SuccessPSucNR #54
Pass ExplPExlNR #62
PPAExpNR #45
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #8
F7 HavocF7NR #7
DB HavocDBNR #106
Texas State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatTXST OffLAM Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #10NR
SuccessSuc #17NR
ExplosiveExp #115NR
PPAPPA #25NR
PowerPwr #38NR
SP+SP+ #20NR
Pts POPPO #72NR
HavocHav #29NR
Texas State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
TXST OffLAM Def
Run GameRun #44NR
Run SuccessRSuc #14NR
Run ExplRExp #110NR
PPAExp #49NR
Run BlockR Blk #27 -
OL YdsOLY #11NR
Stuff RateStuff #23NR
TackleTak - NR
Texas State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatTXST OffLAM Def
Pass GamePass #24NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #10NR
Pass ExplPExl #91NR
PPAExp #13NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #8NR
F7 HavocF7 #35NR
DB HavocDB #44NR
Program Comparison
TXST 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'24 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

LAM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'24 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 87° - Wind: 9 mph
Rematch from Week 1
()
Texas State won vs Lamar this year (34-27)

Previous Matchups
Texas State beat Lamar last year (34-27)

  
LAM's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Lamar's Full Roster

LAM's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kristian Pugh101000
Ken Savanah81000
Hamilton Moore60000
DeJuan Lewis60000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caleb Williams52100
Tah Banda51100
Kristian Pugh101000
Royce Maloles20000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Koda Canady10001
Ronnie Hamrick II (Tr)50001
Kristian Pugh101000

TXST's OC Mack Leftwich (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jordan McCloud (Tr)27238970%322230138.3
RJ Martinez (Tr)182475%148016.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ismail Mahdi18399145.445
Lincoln Pare9454785.873
Torrance Burgess Jr. (Tr)6036726.157
Jordan McCloud (Tr)7427873.842
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaden Williams (Tr)57807714.270
Joey Hobert7068089.740
Kole Wilson43630414.753
Chris Dawn Jr.37418611.360

View Texas State's Full Roster

TXST's DC Dexter McCoil (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Polk (Tr)686252
Ryan Nolan521001
James Neal (Tr)502011
Max Harris (Tr)443120
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kalil Alexander4011652
Steven Parker (Tr)299511
Jo'Laison Landry338540
Ben Bell136362
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Mills333107
Bobby Crosby181005
Joshua Eaton242115