Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Texas State Bobcats
Saturday, November 16th 2024 (7:00 PM EST)
Texas State -27.5 (56.5) (-4000) Open: -25.5
Texas State 58 - Southern Miss: 3 (Sun Belt)
Golden Eagles (1 - 11) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Reed Stringer (Int) (13 - 24)
Avg Score : 15 - 38 (11 - 43 on Road)
Record Prediction: 1 - 11 (#132)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 5)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Coach Reed Stringer (Int) (13 - 24)
Avg Score : 15 - 38 (11 - 43 on Road)
Record Prediction: 1 - 11 (#132)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 5)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Our Line: Texas State -34 (SP+ TXST -31)
Projected Score: USM: 11 - TXST: 45 (57)
TXST Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
USM Travel: 520 miles
Projected Score: USM: 11 - TXST: 45 (57)
TXST Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
USM Travel: 520 miles
Bobcats (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach G. J. Kinne (8 - 5)
Avg Score : 37 - 25 (39 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Coach G. J. Kinne (8 - 5)
Avg Score : 37 - 25 (39 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
| Southern Miss's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Southern Miss at Kentucky | +25.5 | 50.5 | L 0 - 31 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Southern Miss vs SE Louisiana | -17.5 | 53.5 | W 35 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Southern Miss vs South Florida | +13.0 | 58.5 | L 24 - 49 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Southern Miss at Jacksonville State | +6.0 | 59.5 | L 7 - 44 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | Southern Miss vs Louisiana | +17.5 | 57.5 | L 13 - 23 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Southern Miss at UL Monroe | +4.5 | 41.0 | L 21 - 38 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | Southern Miss vs Arkansas State | +7.0 | 57.0 | L 28 - 44 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Southern Miss at James Madison | +24.0 | 54.0 | L 15 - 32 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/9 | Southern Miss vs Marshall | +13.5 | 53.5 | L 3 - 37 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | Southern Miss at Texas State | +27.5 | 56.5 | L 3 - 58 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | Southern Miss vs South Alabama | +24.0 | 54.0 | L 14 - 35 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Southern Miss at Troy | +17.5 | 48.5 | L 20 - 52 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 4, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 3, Bad: 3, Poor: 2
Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 3, Bad: 3, Poor: 2
| Texas State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Texas State vs Lamar | -26 | |||||
| Sat 9/7 | Texas State vs UTSA | -2.5 | 58.5 | W 49 - 10 | O | Y | |
| Thu 9/12 | Texas State vs Arizona State | -2.5 | 58.5 | L 28 - 31 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/28 | Texas State vs Sam Houston | -11.0 | 55.0 | L 39 - 40 | O | N | |
| Thu 10/3 | Texas State at Troy | -14.5 | 56.0 | W 38 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Texas State vs Arkansas State | -13.5 | 66.0 | W 41 - 9 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Texas State at Old Dominion | -10.5 | 60.0 | L 14 - 24 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/29 | Texas State vs Louisiana | -4.0 | 60.5 | L 17 - 23 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/9 | Texas State at UL Monroe | -9.5 | 50.0 | W 38 - 17 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/16 | Texas State vs Southern Miss | -27.5 | 56.5 | W 58 - 3 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Texas State vs Georgia State | -23.0 | 59.5 | L 44 - 52 | O | N | |
| Fri 11/29 | Texas State at South Alabama | -2.5 | 60.5 | W 45 - 38 | O | Y | |
| Fri 1/3 | Texas State vs North Texas | -15.5 | 67.5 | W 30 - 28 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Predictions for Texas State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USM | #132 () | 35% (130) | 15.3 | 40% (108) | 2.59 (126) | 109 | 30% (133) | 175 | 2.75 (133) | #125 (.3) | 44% (97) | 37.8 | 45% (89) | 43% (93) | 4.17 (104) | 48.3 | 2.4 | 0.8 |
| TXST | #25 (.25) | 48% (17) | 36.5 | 49% (14) | 3.41 (11) | 194 | 48% (10) | 245 | 3.89 (72) | #50 (.14) | 39% (31) | 24.5 | 38% (21) | 39% (54) | 3.47 (33) | 56.5 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USM | #132 () | 35% (130) | 40% (108) | 2.59 (126) | 109 | 30% (133) | 175 | 2.75 (133) | #125 (.3) | 44% (97) | 45% (89) | 43% (93) | 4.17 (104) | 48.3 | 2.4 | 0.8 | ||
| TXST | #25 (.25) | 48% (17) | 49% (14) | 3.41 (11) | 194 | 48% (10) | 245 | 3.89 (72) | #50 (.14) | 39% (31) | 38% (21) | 39% (54) | 3.47 (33) | 56.5 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USM Offense | 12 | 15.3 | 11 | 34.7% | 2.75 | 2.4 | 16 | 284 | 109 | 175 | 3.2 | 49% | 51% | 40% | 30% | 26% | |
| TXST Defense | 13 | 24.5 | 22.1 | 38.6% | 3.47 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 48% | 38% | 39% | 19% | .14 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USM Defense | 12 | 37.8 | 42.5 | 44.1% | 4.17 | 0.8 | - | - | - | - | - | 55% | 45% | 45% | 43% | 14% | .3 |
| TXST Offense | 13 | 36.5 | 38.7 | 48% | 3.89 | 1.6 | 24 | 438 | 194 | 245 | 5.2 | 52% | 47% | 49% | 48% | 13% | .25 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Miss | 12 | 27:22 | 15.5 | 25% | 44% | 6 | 48.3 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 5.4 | 1.7 | 2 | 26.5 |
| Texas State | 13 | 28:17 | 24.1 | 45% | 64% | 6.1 | 56.5 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 6.9 | 2.4 | 2 | 31 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USM Offense | 12 | 49% (79) | 40% (108) | 34.2 | 109 | 3.2 | 13 (105) | .06 (103) | 2.59 (126) | 61% (124) | 18% (133) | 1 (53) |
| TXST Defense | 13 | 51% (72) | 38% (21) | - | - | - | - | .12 (67) | 2.97 (60) | 68% (34) | 14% (7) | 1.13 (123) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USM Defense | 12 | 55% (116) | 45% (89) | - | - | - | - | .27 (129) | 3.22 (101) | 71% (54) | 10% (80) | 1.21 (131) |
| TXST Offense | 13 | 52% (59) | 49% (14) | 37.1 | 193.7 | 5.2 | 25 (41) | .16 (49) | 3.41 (11) | 75% (53) | 8% (35) | 0.88 (110) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USM Offense | 12 | 51% (55) | 30% (133) | 13.8 | 26.5 | 174.9 | 6.6 | 12.6 | 7 (130) | 17 (127) | -.05 (134) | 1.7 (30) | 38% (130) | 24% (125) | .15 (129) | 8% (122) | 2.1 (45) |
| TXST Defense | 13 | 48% (56) | 39% (54) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7 (104) | .19 (45) | 1.6 (62) | 35% (23) | 29% (44) | .3 (65) | 5% (106) | 2.2 (110) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USM Defense | 12 | 45% (20) | 43% (93) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 6 (109) | .35 (114) | 1.7 (114) | 31% (77) | 35% (114) | .51 (124) | 5% (113) | 2.2 (116) |
| TXST Offense | 13 | 47% (86) | 48% (10) | 20.9 | 30.2 | 244.7 | 8.1 | 11.7 | 30 (9) | 13 (103) | .4 (13) | 1.5 (91) | 29% (31) | 34% (41) | .32 (74) | 5% (44) | 1.7 (131) |
Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: -29.09 #133
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: 7.03 #134
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: 18.37 #125
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Southern Miss's 2024 Expected Record: 1.0 - 11.0
Southern Miss's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -25.6 #133
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.4 #130
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.4 #128
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Southern Miss's Power Rating: -29.09 #133
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: 7.03 #134
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: 18.37 #125
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Southern Miss's 2024 Expected Record: 1.0 - 11.0
Southern Miss's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -25.6 #133
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.4 #130
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.4 #128
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: -29.09 Texas State: 6.45
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: -25.6 Texas State: 5.4
Southern Miss: -29.09 Texas State: 6.45
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: -25.6 Texas State: 5.4
Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: 6.45 #52
Texas State's Offense Rating: 23.07 #38
Texas State's Defense Rating: 5.36 #29
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Texas State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Texas State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4 #48
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #20
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #82
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Texas State's Power Rating: 6.45 #52
Texas State's Offense Rating: 23.07 #38
Texas State's Defense Rating: 5.36 #29
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Texas State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Texas State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4 #48
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #20
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #82
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 15.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 11
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 42.5
Southern Miss's 2024 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Offense: 15.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 11
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 42.5
Southern Miss's 2024 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Projected Score
Texas State 45
Southern Miss 11
Total Points: 57
Texas State 45
Southern Miss 11
Total Points: 57
Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.7
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.1
Texas State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.7
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.1
Texas State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/16 | Texas State | 58 | Southern Miss | 3 | Texas State | Texas State -27.5 | Texas State | 56.5 | Over |
| 2023 | 09/30 | Southern Miss | 36 | Texas State | 50 | Texas State | Texas State -6.5 | Texas State | 60.0 | Over |
| 2022 | 10/22 | Texas State | 14 | Southern Miss | 20 | Southern Miss | Southern Mississippi -2.5 | Southern Miss | 43.0 | Under |
| 2015 | 09/19 | Texas State | 50 | Southern Miss | 56 | Southern Miss | Texas State -2 | Southern Miss | 67.0 | Over |
| 2013 | 08/31 | Southern Miss | 15 | Texas State | 22 | Texas State | Southern Mississippi -9.5 | Texas State | 0 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas State | 3 | 3 | 3 Overs |
| Southern Miss | 2 | 2 | 1 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 1 - 4 | 1 - 4 | 1 - 2 | 0 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 4 - 1 | 4 - 1 | 2 - 0 | 2 - 1 |
(#133) Southern Miss Info
Power Rating: -29.09 #133
Offense Rating: 7.03 #134
Defense Rating: 18.37 #125
Overall SP+ Rating: -25.6 #133
Offense SP+ Rating: 14.4 #130
Defense SP+ Rating: 39.4 #128
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 1.0 - 11.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.75 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Awful Pass Success 30%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.17 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 45%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Southern Miss has lost 7 straight
Southern Miss has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 6 (1 - 5 - 0 vs Spread )
Southern Miss Notes
(11/25) Off awful vs S. Al, worst team in SBC
(11/18) Has to be worst Off in CFB. 3 pts in 2 straight L's
(10/22) Def stop rate 42% (#126) into week 9
(10/20) HC Will Hall fired, GM Reed Stringer Int?
(10/12) QB Crawford abysmal, Def torched in L (UL Mon)
(10/4) Def awful (B 10)/Off getting worse. Staff big trouble
(9/14) Allowed 369 yds rushing to S Fla. Rgame awful
(9/11) Worst Rgame in CFB to date. 36% suc, 39% stuffed
(9/1) Miserable L @ UK. Lucky game called. No Off
(7/30) QB Rodemaker (FSU) leads lots of SEC transfers
Southern Miss Highlights
Southern Miss Deficiencies
Southern Miss has a really bad Offense
Southern Miss has a bad TO Margin (#28)
Southern Miss Fumbles a Lot (#1)
Southern Miss Can Not Run the Ball (#109)
Southern Miss throws a Lot of Interceptions (#60)
Southern Miss offense is really bad (#78)
Southern Miss Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#90)
Southern Miss offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#81)
Southern Miss run game is really bad (#99)
Southern Miss pass game is really bad (#56)
Southern Miss offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Southern Miss Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Southern Miss gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#78)
Southern Miss has a bad defensive line (#90)
Southern Miss has a bad red zone defense (#64)
Power Rating: -29.09 #133
Offense Rating: 7.03 #134
Defense Rating: 18.37 #125
Overall SP+ Rating: -25.6 #133
Offense SP+ Rating: 14.4 #130
Defense SP+ Rating: 39.4 #128
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 1.0 - 11.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.75 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Awful Pass Success 30%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.17 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 45%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Southern Miss has lost 7 straight
Southern Miss has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 6 (1 - 5 - 0 vs Spread )
Southern Miss Notes
(11/25) Off awful vs S. Al, worst team in SBC
(11/18) Has to be worst Off in CFB. 3 pts in 2 straight L's
(10/22) Def stop rate 42% (#126) into week 9
(10/20) HC Will Hall fired, GM Reed Stringer Int?
(10/12) QB Crawford abysmal, Def torched in L (UL Mon)
(10/4) Def awful (B 10)/Off getting worse. Staff big trouble
(9/14) Allowed 369 yds rushing to S Fla. Rgame awful
(9/11) Worst Rgame in CFB to date. 36% suc, 39% stuffed
(9/1) Miserable L @ UK. Lucky game called. No Off
(7/30) QB Rodemaker (FSU) leads lots of SEC transfers
Southern Miss Highlights
Southern Miss Deficiencies
Southern Miss has a really bad Offense
Southern Miss has a bad TO Margin (#28)
Southern Miss Fumbles a Lot (#1)
Southern Miss Can Not Run the Ball (#109)
Southern Miss throws a Lot of Interceptions (#60)
Southern Miss offense is really bad (#78)
Southern Miss Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#90)
Southern Miss offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#81)
Southern Miss run game is really bad (#99)
Southern Miss pass game is really bad (#56)
Southern Miss offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Southern Miss Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Southern Miss gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#78)
Southern Miss has a bad defensive line (#90)
Southern Miss has a bad red zone defense (#64)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | TXST | USM |
| OverallOver | #13 | #99 |
| OffenseOff | #10 | #110 |
| DefenseDef | #20 | #102 |
| Special TeamsST | #37 | #74 |
| PassingPass | #21 | #102 |
| RushingRush | #29 | #69 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #23 | #106 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #8 | #89 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #13 | #101 |
| TacklingTkl | #58 | #119 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #14 | #100 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #8 | #55 |
| Coverage DefCov | #76 | #102 |
Rematch from Week 12
Texas State -27.5 (56.5)
Texas State won vs Southern Miss this year (58-3)
Previous Matchups
Texas State beat Southern Miss last year (58-3)
Texas State beat Southern Miss in 2023 (50-36)
Southern Miss beat Texas State in 2022 (20-14)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: USM | TXST
Depth Chart: USM | TXST
Rosters: USM | TXST
(#52) Texas State Info
Power Rating: 6.45 #52
Offense Rating: 23.07 #38
Defense Rating: 5.36 #29
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4 #48
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #20
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #82
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.89 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Great Pass Success 48%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Good in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Texas State has won 1 straight
Texas State has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 3 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
Texas State Notes
(11/29) Off torched S Al, 530 yds, Def forced 3 TOs
(11/25) Awful L vs Ga St, Def torched 500+, Off 4 TOs
(11/18) 2 str W's, killed SoMiss, McCloud/Rgame great
(11/3) 2 awful L's, season slipping, McCloud replaced?
(10/20) Off/McCloud awful in bad L (ODU), 2 TOs, woof
(10/12) Off 600 yds (271 rush) killing Ark St. Def OK
(10/4) Great Pass Off, run enough. TO's an issue, fun team
(9/12) Spread Off fun. McCloud looks great w/ weapons
(9/8) Dog fight W over Lamar? 2 TOs, 156 penalty yds!
(9/8) Torched UTSA, McCould good, Run D great
Texas State Highlights
Texas State has Really Good Running Game (#16)
Texas State offense is efficent (#32)
Texas State has a top Offensive Line (#68)
Texas State offense is good on 3rd downs
Texas State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#59)
Texas State has a good run defense (#121)
Texas State Front 7 is disruptive (#80)
Texas State Deficiencies
Texas State has a bad TO Margin (#54)
Texas State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
Texas State offense is not Explosive (#55)
Texas State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#123)
Power Rating: 6.45 #52
Offense Rating: 23.07 #38
Defense Rating: 5.36 #29
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4 #48
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #20
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #82
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.89 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Great Pass Success 48%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Good in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Texas State has won 1 straight
Texas State has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 3 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
Texas State Notes
(11/29) Off torched S Al, 530 yds, Def forced 3 TOs
(11/25) Awful L vs Ga St, Def torched 500+, Off 4 TOs
(11/18) 2 str W's, killed SoMiss, McCloud/Rgame great
(11/3) 2 awful L's, season slipping, McCloud replaced?
(10/20) Off/McCloud awful in bad L (ODU), 2 TOs, woof
(10/12) Off 600 yds (271 rush) killing Ark St. Def OK
(10/4) Great Pass Off, run enough. TO's an issue, fun team
(9/12) Spread Off fun. McCloud looks great w/ weapons
(9/8) Dog fight W over Lamar? 2 TOs, 156 penalty yds!
(9/8) Torched UTSA, McCould good, Run D great
Texas State Highlights
Texas State has Really Good Running Game (#16)
Texas State offense is efficent (#32)
Texas State has a top Offensive Line (#68)
Texas State offense is good on 3rd downs
Texas State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#59)
Texas State has a good run defense (#121)
Texas State Front 7 is disruptive (#80)
Texas State Deficiencies
Texas State has a bad TO Margin (#54)
Texas State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
Texas State offense is not Explosive (#55)
Texas State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#123)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tate Rodemaker (Tr) | 98 | 165 | 59% | 985 | 7 | 7 | 6.0 |
| Ethan Crawford | 50 | 120 | 42% | 849 | 0 | 7 | 7.1 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodrigues Clark | 124 | 604 | 1 | 4.9 | 54 |
| Kenyon Clay | 84 | 387 | 7 | 4.6 | 70 |
| Ethan Crawford | 97 | 209 | 3 | 2.2 | 21 |
| Jalen Washington | 26 | 118 | 1 | 4.5 | 14 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larry Simmons (Tr) | 27 | 421 | 1 | 15.6 | 75 |
| Tiaquelin Mims | 33 | 393 | 1 | 11.9 | 56 |
| Kenyon Clay | 21 | 225 | 1 | 10.7 | 37 |
| Kyirin Heath (Tr) | 15 | 210 | 2 | 14.0 | 34 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Pinkney (Tr) | 74 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Jay Jones | 46 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Chris Jones | 46 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Ja'Len Sims | 45 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brodarius Lewis | 39 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan Johnson (Tr) | 23 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 0 |
| Jalil Clemons | 34 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Jameer Lewis | 24 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will James (Tr) | 35 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Ques McNeal | 29 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Ja'Len Sims | 45 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan McCloud (Tr) | 272 | 389 | 70% | 3222 | 30 | 13 | 8.3 |
| RJ Martinez (Tr) | 18 | 24 | 75% | 148 | 0 | 1 | 6.2 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ismail Mahdi | 183 | 991 | 4 | 5.4 | 45 |
| Lincoln Pare | 94 | 547 | 8 | 5.8 | 73 |
| Torrance Burgess Jr. (Tr) | 60 | 367 | 2 | 6.1 | 57 |
| Jordan McCloud (Tr) | 74 | 278 | 7 | 3.8 | 42 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Williams (Tr) | 57 | 807 | 7 | 14.2 | 70 |
| Joey Hobert | 70 | 680 | 8 | 9.7 | 40 |
| Kole Wilson | 43 | 630 | 4 | 14.7 | 53 |
| Chris Dawn Jr. | 37 | 418 | 6 | 11.3 | 60 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Polk (Tr) | 68 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
| Ryan Nolan | 52 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| James Neal (Tr) | 50 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Max Harris (Tr) | 44 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalil Alexander | 40 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 2 |
| Steven Parker (Tr) | 29 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| Jo'Laison Landry | 33 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| Ben Bell | 13 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Mills | 33 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Bobby Crosby | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Joshua Eaton | 24 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 |