Texas State at Louisiana - 2023 Matchup Preview
Texas State logo Texas State Bobcats at Louisiana Ragin' CajunsLouisiana logo
Saturday, October 7th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Louisiana -1 (67.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Louisiana 34 - Texas State: 30  (Sun Belt)

 
Bobcats (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach G. J. Kinne (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 37 - 29 (34 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 5.2 (#47)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TXST 2nd straight Road Game
ULL is playing their 6th straight game
TXST is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Louisiana -4  (SP+ ULL -4)
Projected Score: TXST: 30 - ULL: 34 (65)
ULL Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
TXST Travel: 353 miles
Ragin' Cajuns (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Michael Desormeaux (9 - 8)
Avg Score : 26 - 29 (30 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#54)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Texas State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Texas State at Baylor+26.558.5W 42 - 31OY
Sat 9/9 Texas State at UTSA+13.566.5L 13 - 20UY
Sat 9/16 Texas State vs Jackson State-17.561.5W 77 - 34OY
Sat 9/23 Texas State vs Nevada-17.060.0W 35 - 24UN
Sat 9/30 Texas State at Southern Miss-6.560.0W 50 - 36OY
Sat 10/7 Texas State at Louisiana+1.067.5L 30 - 34UN
Sat 10/14 Texas State vs UL Monroe-18.564.5W 21 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Texas State vs Troy+6.553.0L 13 - 31UN
Sat 11/4 Texas State vs Georgia Southern+2.069.0W 45 - 24UY
Sat 11/11 Texas State at Coastal Carolina-2.555.5L 23 - 31UN
Sat 11/18 Texas State at Arkansas State-3.559.5L 31 - 77ON
Sat 11/25 Texas State vs South Alabama+6.557.0W 52 - 44OY
Tue 12/26 Texas State vs Rice-3.558.5W 45 - 21OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas State's Schedule
Louisiana's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Louisiana vs Northwestern State-35.054.5W 38 - 13UN
Sat 9/9 Louisiana at Old Dominion-6.051.0L 31 - 38ON
Sat 9/16 Louisiana at UAB+2.060.0W 41 - 21OY
Sat 9/23 Louisiana vs Buffalo-10.557.5W 45 - 38ON
Sat 9/30 Louisiana at Minnesota+9.549.0L 24 - 35ON
Sat 10/7 Louisiana vs Texas State-1.067.5W 34 - 30UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Louisiana vs Georgia State-3.062.0L 17 - 20UN
Sat 10/28 Louisiana at South Alabama+11.555.0W 33 - 20UY
Sat 11/4 Louisiana at Arkansas State-9.060.0L 17 - 37UN
Thu 11/9 Louisiana vs Southern Miss-8.551.5L 31 - 34ON
Sat 11/18 Louisiana at Troy+17.547.5L 24 - 31OY
Sat 11/25 Louisiana vs UL Monroe-12.553.0W 52 - 21OY
Sat 12/16 Louisiana vs Jacksonville State+3.558.5L 31 - 34OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisiana's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TXST.1138%36.547%3.1410333%2213.69.1341%2940%42%3.6344.31.42.1
ULL.1340%2643%3.214438%2203.61.1741%29.244%38%3.6255.71.32.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TXST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ULL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TXST Offense1236.534.238.3%3.691.4183241032213.243%56%47%33%21%.11
ULL Defense1329.227.240.5%3.622.2 - - - - - 49%50%44%38%15%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TXST Defense122932.840.7%3.632.1 - - - - - 44%55%40%42%20%.13
ULL Offense132630.340.1%3.611.3203641442204.148%51%43%38%15%.13

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas State1230:2817.737%33%4.844.31.42.16.42.2226.9
Louisiana1329:3019.639%52%6.555.71.32.24.52.1331.1
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TXST Offense1243%47%31.91033.29.133.1475%13%0.84
ULL Defense1349%44% - - - - .183.1268%8%1
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TXST Defense1244%40% - - - - .123.1763%12%0.95
ULL Offense1348%43%35.2144.44.110.13.261%8%0.97

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TXST Offense1256%33%22.836.8220.869.71910.141.633%27%.388%2.2
ULL Defense1350%38% - - - - - - 15.191.630%33%.437%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TXST Defense1255%42% - - - - - - 11.191.433%30%.257%1.8
ULL Offense1351%38%19.433.9219.96.511.4279.191.531%31%.337%2

Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: -2.06  #77
Texas State's Offense Rating: 22.88  #21
Texas State's Defense Rating: 11.42  #91
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #75
Texas State's 2023 Expected Record: 7.80 - 5.20
Texas State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0  #79
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6  #47
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.7  #114

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas State: -2.06   Louisiana: 0.74

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas State: -4.0   Louisiana: 0.3




Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: 0.74  #86
Louisiana's Offense Rating: 19.41  #41
Louisiana's Defense Rating: 13.49  #107
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #75
Louisiana's 2023 Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70
Louisiana's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.3  #64
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3  #37
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4  #102

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.2
Defense: 29 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Texas State's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Louisiana 34
Texas State 30

Projected Total Points: 65
Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.3
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Louisiana's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/08Louisiana42Texas State39Texas State -3.5Louisiana62.5Over
202410/29Texas State17Louisiana23Texas State -4Louisiana60.5Under
202310/07Louisiana34Texas State30Louisiana -1Louisiana67.5Under
202211/26Texas State13Louisiana41Louisiana -5Louisiana44.0Over
202110/30Louisiana45Texas State0Louisiana -21Louisiana58.0Under
202010/31Texas State34Louisiana44Louisiana -17.0Texas State0
201911/02Louisiana31Texas State3Louisiana -23Louisiana55.0Under
201810/06Texas State27Louisiana42Louisiana -3Louisiana57.5Over
201710/12Louisiana24Texas State7Louisiana -14Louisiana55.5Under
201610/22Texas State3Louisiana27Louisiana -11.5Louisiana65.0Under
201510/10Louisiana49Texas State27Louisiana -4Louisiana68.0Over
201410/14Texas State10Louisiana34Texas State -3Louisiana61.5Under
201310/05Louisiana48Texas State24Louisiana -10Louisiana0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Louisiana13124 Overs
Texas State017 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 68 - 56 - 22 - 3
Road Teams6 - 75 - 83 - 22 - 6

(#77) TXST at (#86) ULL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTXSTULL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #77 #86
SP+SP+ #79 #64
Perf GradeGrade #45 #42
OffenseOff #48 #29
DefenseDef #51 #82
Spec TeamsST #53 #41
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #75 #75
Texas State on Offense
CategoryCat
TXST OffULL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #48 #82
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #21 #107
SP+SP+ #47 #102
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Texas State Run Game
CategoryCat
TXST OffULL Def
Run GameRun #53 #107
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #105 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #85
Texas State Pass Game
CategoryCat
TXST OffULL Def
Pass GamePass #36 #53
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #77 #48
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Louisiana on Offense
CategoryCatULL OffTXST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #29 #51
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #41 #91
SP+SP+ #37 #114
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Louisiana Run Game
CategoryCat
ULL OffTXST Def
Run GameRun #55 #76
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #16 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #122
Louisiana Pass Game
CategoryCatULL OffTXST Def
Pass GamePass #54 #48
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #26 #10
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ULL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Down to Top G5

TXST 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'23 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Cajun Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 6
Louisiana -1.0 (67.5)
Louisiana won vs Texas State this year (34-30)

Previous Matchups
Louisiana beat Texas State last year (42-39)
Louisiana beat Texas State in 2024 (23-17)
Louisiana beat Texas State in 2023 (34-30)

  
TXST's OC Mack Leftwich (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
TJ Finley27941467%34392488.3
Malik Hornsby81553%83015.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ismail Mahdi (Tr)2231331106.065
Donerio Davenport9146125.143
Malik Hornsby3522966.531
Jahmyl Jeter4117394.229
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Joey Hobert (Tr)76895811.883
Ashtyn Hawkins55874315.948
Kole Wilson (Tr)66747811.377
Ismail Mahdi (Tr)20275113.889

View Texas State's Full Roster

TXST's DC Jonathan Patke (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brian Holloway10516280
Shawn Holton (Tr)920001
Kaleb Culp (Tr)801005
Ben Bell57161060
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ben Bell57161060
Tavian Coleman (Tr)288410
Deven Wright (Tr)194320
Sam Latham (Tr)156310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joshua Eaton (Tr)221008
Kaleb Ford-Dement (Tr)323107
Kaleb Culp (Tr)801005

ULL's OC Tim Leger (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Zeon Chriss10215367%12221158.0
Chandler Fields9614367%1069737.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacob Kibodi12972975.769
Dre'Lyn Washington9251525.662
Zeon Chriss7349266.780
Zylan Perry5421323.919
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacob Bernard39476112.243
Peter Leblanc30468415.687
Robert Williams31385412.460
Neal Johnson30383512.840

View Louisiana's Full Roster

ULL's DC LaMar Morgan (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
K.C. Ossai955130
Jasper Williams785200
Tyrone Lewis741103
Kendre' Gant6412633
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cameron Whitfield449830
Jordan Lawson439740
Kendre' Gant6412633
Tyler Guidry268520
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keyon Martin531007
Caleb Anderson231005
Shadwell Nkuba II130005