Texas State at Louisiana - 2023 Matchup Preview
Texas State logo Texas State Bobcats at Louisiana Ragin' CajunsLouisiana logo
Saturday, October 7th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Louisiana -1 (67.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Louisiana 34 - Texas State: 30  (Sun Belt)

 
Bobcats (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach G. J. Kinne (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 37 - 33 (32 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 5.2 (#47)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TXST 2nd straight Road Game
ULL is playing their 6th straight game
TXST is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Louisiana -4   (SP+ ULL -4)

Projected Score: TXST: 31 - ULL: 35 (67)
ULL Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
TXST Travel: 353 miles
Ragin' Cajuns (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Michael Desormeaux (9 - 8)
Avg Score : 32 - 29 (36 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#54)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Texas State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Texas State at Baylor+26.558.5W 42 - 31OY
Sat 9/9 Texas State at UTSA+13.566.5L 13 - 20UY
Sat 9/16 Texas State vs Jackson State-17.561.5W 77 - 34OY
Sat 9/23 Texas State vs Nevada-17.060.0W 35 - 24UN
Sat 9/30 Texas State at Southern Miss-6.560.0W 50 - 36OY
Sat 10/7 Texas State at Louisiana+1.067.5L 30 - 34UN
Sat 10/14 Texas State vs UL Monroe-18.564.5W 21 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Texas State vs Troy+6.553.0L 13 - 31UN
Sat 11/4 Texas State vs Georgia Southern+2.069.0W 45 - 24UY
Sat 11/11 Texas State at Coastal Carolina-2.555.5L 23 - 31UN
Sat 11/18 Texas State at Arkansas State-3.559.5L 31 - 77ON
Sat 11/25 Texas State vs South Alabama+6.557.0W 52 - 44OY
Tue 12/26 Texas State vs Rice-3.558.5W 45 - 21OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas State's Schedule
Louisiana's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Louisiana vs Northwestern State-35.054.5W 38 - 13UN
Sat 9/9 Louisiana at Old Dominion-6.051.0L 31 - 38ON
Sat 9/16 Louisiana at UAB+2.060.0W 41 - 21OY
Sat 9/23 Louisiana vs Buffalo-10.557.5W 45 - 38ON
Sat 9/30 Louisiana at Minnesota+9.549.0L 24 - 35ON
Sat 10/7 Louisiana vs Texas State-1.067.5W 34 - 30UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Louisiana vs Georgia State-3.062.0L 17 - 20UN
Sat 10/28 Louisiana at South Alabama+11.555.0W 33 - 20UY
Sat 11/4 Louisiana at Arkansas State-9.060.0L 17 - 37UN
Thu 11/9 Louisiana vs Southern Miss-8.551.5L 31 - 34ON
Sat 11/18 Louisiana at Troy+17.547.5L 24 - 31OY
Sat 11/25 Louisiana vs UL Monroe-12.553.0W 52 - 21OY
Sat 12/16 Louisiana vs Jacksonville State+3.558.5L 31 - 34OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisiana's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TXST#23 (.29)47% (20)36.746% (36)3.19 (53)18848% (15)2714.55 (19)#64 (.18)40% (45)32.839% (37)42% (77)3.7 (59)681.81.7
ULL#48 (.22)45% (35)32.246% (42)3.23 (46)17746% (29)2174.16 (42)#71 (.18)45% (110)28.647% (112)43% (87)4.38 (117)49.81.51.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TXST#25 (.25)48% (17)49% (14)3.41 (11)19448% (10)2453.89 (72)#50 (.14)39% (31)38% (21)39% (54)3.47 (33)56.51.61.2
ULL#16 (.3)45% (47)42% (91)3.24 (35)15947% (17)2424.27 (32)#97 (.22)48% (126)53% (133)44% (105)4.43 (121)44.50.61.4



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TXST Offense1336.731.546.7%4.551.8244591882714.651%48%46%48%15%.29
ULL Defense1328.62645%4.381.8 - - - - - 57%42%47%43%16%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TXST Defense1332.838.240.4%3.71.7 - - - - - 50%49%39%42%19%.18
ULL Offense1332.236.245.2%4.161.5203931772174.952%47%46%46%17%.22

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas State1329:0423.944%66%7.2681.81.77.72.6429.1
Louisiana1329:0520.441%55%6.149.81.51.85.62.6430.3
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TXST Offense1351% (56)46% (36)40.5187.84.633 (8).24 (21)3.19 (53)78% (31)11% (84)1.13 (15)
ULL Defense1357% (129)47% (112) - - - - .17 (90)3.31 (111)86% (125)10% (86)0.86 (15)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TXST Defense1350% (69)39% (37) - - - - .12 (56)2.87 (28)54% (3)14% (6)1.21 (127)
ULL Offense1352% (50)46% (42)36.1176.84.925 (37).16 (61)3.23 (46)77% (38)12% (99)1.04 (45)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TXST Offense1348% (73)48% (15)22.133270.98.212.324 (41)9 (40).36 (36)1.5 (97)32% (63)36% (22).47 (24)4% (8)2 (80)
ULL Defense1342% (6)43% (87) - - - - - - 13 (26).26 (63)1.6 (63)26% (131)32% (96).31 (69)6% (74)2 (38)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TXST Defense1349% (68)42% (77) - - - - - - 11 (53).27 (66)1.7 (109)36% (10)36% (123).42 (113)5% (117)2 (47)
ULL Offense1347% (89)46% (29)18.328.2216.77.711.823 (51)9 (40).34 (49)1.5 (107)30% (38)27% (97).23 (100)5% (30)2 (81)

Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: -2.06 #77
Texas State's Offense Rating: 22.88 #21
Texas State's Defense Rating: 11.42 #91
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Texas State's 2023 Expected Record: 7.80 - 5.20
Texas State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #79
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #47
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #114

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas State: -2.06   Louisiana: 0.74

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas State: -4.0   Louisiana: 0.3




Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: 0.74 #86
Louisiana's Offense Rating: 19.41 #41
Louisiana's Defense Rating: 13.49 #107
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Louisiana's 2023 Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70
Louisiana's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.3 #64
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #37
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #102

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.5
Defense: 32.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.2

Texas State's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Louisiana 35
Texas State 31


Total Points: 67

Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.2
Defense: 28.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

Louisiana's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/29Texas State17Louisiana23LouisianaTexas State -4Louisiana60.5Under
202310/07Louisiana34Texas State30LouisianaLouisiana -1Louisiana67.5Under
202211/26Texas State13Louisiana41LouisianaLouisiana -5Louisiana44.0Over
202110/30Louisiana45Texas State0LouisianaLouisiana -21Louisiana58.0Under
202010/31Texas State34Louisiana44LouisianaLouisiana -17.0Texas State0
201911/02Louisiana31Texas State3LouisianaLouisiana -23Louisiana55.0Under
201810/06Texas State27Louisiana42LouisianaLouisiana -3Louisiana57.5Over
201710/12Louisiana24Texas State7LouisianaLouisiana -14Louisiana55.5Under
201610/22Texas State3Louisiana27LouisianaLouisiana -11.5Louisiana65.0Under
201510/10Louisiana49Texas State27LouisianaLouisiana -4Louisiana68.0Over
201410/14Texas State10Louisiana34LouisianaTexas State -3Louisiana61.5Under
201310/05Louisiana48Texas State24LouisianaLouisiana -10Louisiana0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Louisiana12113 Overs
Texas State017 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 67 - 56 - 21 - 3
Road Teams6 - 65 - 73 - 12 - 6

(#77) Texas State Info
Power Rating: -2.06 #77
Offense Rating: 22.88 #21
Defense Rating: 11.42 #91
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #79
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #47
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #114
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 7.80 - 5.20


Texas State has won 3 straight
Texas State has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 4 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

Texas State Highlights
Texas State has Really Good Running Game (#16)
Texas State offense is efficent (#32)
Texas State offense is good in red zone (#30)
Texas State Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Texas State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#41)
Texas State Defensive Line is very good (#119)
Texas State Front 7 is disruptive (#80)

Texas State Deficiencies
Texas State has a bad TO Margin (#54)
Texas State Fumbles a Lot (#89)
Texas State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#25)
Texas State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Texas State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#123)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatULLTXST
OverallOver#35#37
OffenseOff#26#45
DefenseDef#63#43
Special TeamsST#34#45
PassingPass#42#28
RushingRush#39#38
Run BlockRBLK#15#79
Pass BlockPBLK#24#67
Route RunningWR Rt#41#35
TacklingTkl#75#104
Run DefenseR Def#91#66
Pass Rush DefPRush#41#9
Coverage DefCov#43#39

Rematch from Week 6
Louisiana -1.0 (67.5)
Louisiana won vs Texas State this year (34-30)

Previous Matchups
Louisiana beat Texas State last year (23-17)
Louisiana beat Texas State in 2023 (34-30)
Louisiana beat Texas State in 2022 (41-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Cajun Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TXST | ULL
Depth Chart: TXST | ULL
Rosters: TXST | ULL
(#86) Louisiana Info
Power Rating: 0.74 #86
Offense Rating: 19.41 #41
Defense Rating: 13.49 #107
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.3 #64
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #37
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #102
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70


Louisiana has lost 1 straight
Louisiana has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Louisiana Highlights
Louisiana Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Louisiana defense does not give up big plays (#26)
Louisiana defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#56)

Louisiana Deficiencies
Louisiana Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Louisiana has a bad defense (#119)
Louisiana Does Not Stuff Runs (#106)
Louisiana has a bad defensive line (#108)
Louisiana has a bad red zone defense (#92)


  
Texas State's OC Mack Leftwich
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
TJ Finley27941467%34392488.3
Malik Hornsby81553%83015.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ismail Mahdi (Tr)2231331106.065
Donerio Davenport9146125.143
Malik Hornsby3522966.531
Jahmyl Jeter4117394.229
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Joey Hobert (Tr)76895811.883
Ashtyn Hawkins55874315.948
Kole Wilson (Tr)66747811.377
Ismail Mahdi (Tr)20275113.889

View Texas State's Full Roster
Texas State's DC Jonathan Patke
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brian Holloway10516280
Shawn Holton (Tr)920001
Kaleb Culp (Tr)801005
Ben Bell57161060
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ben Bell57161060
Tavian Coleman (Tr)288410
Deven Wright (Tr)194320
Sam Latham (Tr)156310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joshua Eaton (Tr)221008
Kaleb Ford-Dement (Tr)323107
Kaleb Culp (Tr)801005

Louisiana's OC Tim Leger
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Zeon Chriss10215367%12221158.0
Chandler Fields9614367%1069737.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacob Kibodi12972975.769
Dre'Lyn Washington9251525.662
Zeon Chriss7349266.780
Zylan Perry5421323.919
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacob Bernard39476112.243
Peter Leblanc30468415.687
Robert Williams31385412.460
Neal Johnson30383512.840

View Louisiana's Full Roster
Louisiana's DC LaMar Morgan
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
K.C. Ossai955130
Jasper Williams785200
Tyrone Lewis741103
Kendre' Gant6412633
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cameron Whitfield449830
Jordan Lawson439740
Kendre' Gant6412633
Tyler Guidry268520
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keyon Martin531007
Caleb Anderson231005
Shadwell Nkuba II130005