Texas State at Louisiana - 2023 Matchup Preview

Texas State Bobcats at Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

Saturday, October 7th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Louisiana -1 (67.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Louisiana 34 - Texas State: 30 (Sun Belt)

Bobcats (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach G. J. Kinne (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 37 - 25 (34 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 5.2 (#47)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 13 MPH
TXST 2nd straight Road Game
ULL is playing their 6th straight game
TXST is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Louisiana -4 (SP+ ULL -4)
Projected Score: TXST: 30 - ULL: 34 (58)
ULL Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
TXST Travel: 353 miles

Ragin' Cajuns (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Michael Desormeaux (9 - 8)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (34 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#54)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TXST Players
ULL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Texas State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Texas State at Baylor	+26.5	58.5	W 42 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Texas State at UTSA	+13.5	66.5	L 13 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Texas State vs Jackson State	-17.5	61.5	W 77 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Texas State vs Nevada	-17.0	60.0	W 35 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/30	Texas State at Southern Miss	-6.5	60.0	W 50 - 36	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Texas State at Louisiana	+1.0	67.5	L 30 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/14	Texas State vs UL Monroe	-18.5	64.5	W 21 - 20	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Texas State vs Troy	+6.5	53.0	L 13 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/4	Texas State vs Georgia Southern	+2.0	69.0	W 45 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Texas State at Coastal Carolina	-2.5	55.5	L 23 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/18	Texas State at Arkansas State	-3.5	59.5	L 31 - 77	O	N
Sat 11/25	Texas State vs South Alabama	+6.5	57.0	W 52 - 44	O	Y
Tue 12/26	Texas State vs Rice	-3.5	58.5	W 45 - 21	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas State's Schedule

Louisiana's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Louisiana vs Northwestern State	-35.0	54.5	W 38 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/9	Louisiana at Old Dominion	-6.0	51.0	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/16	Louisiana at UAB	+2.0	60.0	W 41 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Louisiana vs Buffalo	-10.5	57.5	W 45 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/30	Louisiana at Minnesota	+9.5	49.0	L 24 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/7	Louisiana vs Texas State	-1.0	67.5	W 34 - 30	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Louisiana vs Georgia State	-3.0	62.0	L 17 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/28	Louisiana at South Alabama	+11.5	55.0	W 33 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Louisiana at Arkansas State	-9.0	60.0	L 17 - 37	U	N
Thu 11/9	Louisiana vs Southern Miss	-8.5	51.5	L 31 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/18	Louisiana at Troy	+17.5	47.5	L 24 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Louisiana vs UL Monroe	-12.5	53.0	W 52 - 21	O	Y
Sat 12/16	Louisiana vs Jacksonville State	+3.5	58.5	L 31 - 34	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TXST	.11	38%	36.5	47%	3.14	103	33%	221	3.69	.13	41%	24.5	40%	42%	3.63	44.3	1.4	2.1
ULL	.13	40%	30.9	43%	3.2	144	38%	220	3.61	.17	41%	24.1	44%	38%	3.62	55.7	1.3	2.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TXST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ULL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TXST Offense	12	36.5	33.8	38.3%	3.69	1.4	18	324	103	221	3.2	43%	56%	47%	33%	21%	.11
ULL Defense	13	24.1	25.6	40.5%	3.62	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	44%	38%	15%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TXST Defense	12	24.5	24	40.7%	3.63	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	44%	55%	40%	42%	20%	.13
ULL Offense	13	30.9	34	40.1%	3.61	1.3	20	364	144	220	4.1	48%	51%	43%	38%	15%	.13

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Texas State	12	30:28	17.7	37%	33%	4.8	44.3	1.4	2.1	6.4	2.2	2	26.9
Louisiana	13	29:30	19.6	39%	52%	6.5	55.7	1.3	2.2	4.5	2.1	3	31.1

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TXST Offense	12	43%	47%	31.9	103	3.2	9	.13	3.14	75%	13%	0.84
ULL Defense	13	49%	44%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.12	68%	8%	1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TXST Defense	12	44%	40%	-	-	-	-	.12	3.17	63%	12%	0.95
ULL Offense	13	48%	43%	35.2	144.4	4.1	10	.1	3.2	61%	8%	0.97

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TXST Offense	12	56%	33%	22.8	36.8	220.8	6	9.7	19	10	.14	1.6	33%	27%	.38	8%	2.2
ULL Defense	13	50%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.19	1.6	30%	33%	.43	7%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TXST Defense	12	55%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.19	1.4	33%	30%	.25	7%	1.8
ULL Offense	13	51%	38%	19.4	33.9	219.9	6.5	11.4	27	9	.19	1.5	31%	31%	.33	7%	2

Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: -2.06 #77
Texas State's Offense Rating: 22.88 #21
Texas State's Defense Rating: 11.42 #91
2023 Talent Rating: 140.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Texas State's 2023 Expected Record: 7.80 - 5.20
Texas State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #79
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #47
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #114

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas State: -2.06 Louisiana: 0.74

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas State: -4.0 Louisiana: 0.3

Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: 0.74 #86
Louisiana's Offense Rating: 19.41 #41
Louisiana's Defense Rating: 13.49 #107
2023 Talent Rating: 492.00 #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Louisiana's 2023 Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70
Louisiana's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.3 #64
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #37
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #102

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.8
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 24

Texas State's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Louisiana 34
Texas State 30

Projected Total Points: 58

Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.6

Louisiana's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/29	Texas State	17	Louisiana	23	Louisiana	Texas State -4	Louisiana	60.5	Under
2023	10/07	Louisiana	34	Texas State	30	Louisiana	Louisiana -1	Louisiana	67.5	Under
2022	11/26	Texas State	13	Louisiana	41	Louisiana	Louisiana -5	Louisiana	44.0	Over
2021	10/30	Louisiana	45	Texas State	0	Louisiana	Louisiana -21	Louisiana	58.0	Under
2020	10/31	Texas State	34	Louisiana	44	Louisiana	Louisiana -17.0	Texas State	0
2019	11/02	Louisiana	31	Texas State	3	Louisiana	Louisiana -23	Louisiana	55.0	Under
2018	10/06	Texas State	27	Louisiana	42	Louisiana	Louisiana -3	Louisiana	57.5	Over
2017	10/12	Louisiana	24	Texas State	7	Louisiana	Louisiana -14	Louisiana	55.5	Under
2016	10/22	Texas State	3	Louisiana	27	Louisiana	Louisiana -11.5	Louisiana	65.0	Under
2015	10/10	Louisiana	49	Texas State	27	Louisiana	Louisiana -4	Louisiana	68.0	Over
2014	10/14	Texas State	10	Louisiana	34	Louisiana	Texas State -3	Louisiana	61.5	Under
2013	10/05	Louisiana	48	Texas State	24	Louisiana	Louisiana -10	Louisiana	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Louisiana	12	11	3 Overs
Texas State	0	1	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 6	7 - 5	6 - 2	1 - 3
Road Teams	6 - 6	5 - 7	3 - 1	2 - 6

(#77) Texas State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.06 #77
Offense Rating: 22.88 #21
Defense Rating: 11.42 #91
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #79
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #47
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #114
Talent Rating: 140.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 7.80 - 5.20

Team Profile

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Texas State Ratings Matchup Louisiana

Power #77

#86

Off #21

#41

Def #91

#107

Talent #131

#93

SP+ #79

#64

SP+ Off #47

#37

SP+ Def #114

#102

Rematch from Week 6
Louisiana -1.0 (67.5)
Louisiana won vs Texas State this year (34-30)

Previous Matchups
Louisiana beat Texas State last year (23-17)
Louisiana beat Texas State in 2023 (34-30)
Louisiana beat Texas State in 2022 (41-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Cajun Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 78° - Wind: 13 mph

Team Information
Injuries: TXST | ULL
Depth Chart: TXST | ULL
Rosters: TXST | ULL

(#86) Louisiana Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 0.74 #86
Offense Rating: 19.41 #41
Defense Rating: 13.49 #107
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.3 #64
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #37
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #102
Talent Rating: 492.00 #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70

Team Profile

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Texas State's OC Mack Leftwich

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
TJ Finley	48	75	64%	490	1	2	6.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Donerio Davenport	31	107	1	3.5	12
Malik Hornsby	5	86	1	17.2	73
TJ Finley	11	20	0	1.8	8
Joey Hobert (Tr)	3	6	0	2.0	7

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Joey Hobert (Tr)	70	680	8	9.7	40
Ashtyn Hawkins	45	567	5	12.6	35
Konner Fox (Tr)	14	143	1	10.2	23
Drew Donley (Tr)	1	60	1	60.0	60

View Texas State's Full Roster

Texas State's DC Jonathan Patke

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Kenny Haynes	35	2	0	0
Chris Mills	33	3	1	7
Kaleb Culp (Tr)	29	1	0	0
Jaylon Shelton (Tr)	26	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Chris Mills	33	3	1	7
Kenny Haynes	35	2	0	0
Kaleb Culp (Tr)	29	1	0	0
Jaylon Shelton (Tr)	26	0	0	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Chris Mills	33	3	1	7
Jaylon Shelton (Tr)	26	0	0	3
Ronnie Hamrick II	5	0	0	1

Louisiana's OC Tim Leger

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ben Wooldridge	192	291	66%	2453	17	6	8.4
Zeon Chriss	83	130	64%	824	4	8	6.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Zeon Chriss	113	381	4	3.4	71
Ben Wooldridge	65	174	5	2.7	18
Chandler Fields	26	88	2	3.4	34
Lance LeGendre	1	10	0	10.0	10

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lance LeGendre	49	826	6	16.9	48
Jacob Bernard	28	375	0	13.4	52
Tavion Smith	12	168	4	14.0	56
Dalen Cambre	5	46	0	9.2	13

View Louisiana's Full Roster

Louisiana's DC LaMar Morgan

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
K.C. Ossai	115	3	1	3	3
Tyrone Lewis	76	3	1	0	2
Keyon Martin	56	2	0	2	6
Amir McDaniel	56	5	1	4	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mason Narcisse	37	6	4	1	0
Antoine Baylis	22	4	2	1	6
Amir McDaniel	56	5	1	4	1
K.C. Ossai	115	3	1	3	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Keyon Martin	56	2	0	2	6
Antoine Baylis	22	4	2	1	6
K.C. Ossai	115	3	1	3	3