Washington State at Texas State - 2026 Matchup Preview
Washington State logo   Washington State Cougars at Texas State Bobcats  Texas State logo
Saturday, November 21st 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium - San Marcos, TX  (Pac-12)

 
Cougars (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Kirby Moore (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (16 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 4.7 (#35)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 6)
TXST 2nd straight Home Game
TXST is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Texas State -3  (SP+ WSU -1.5)
Projected Score: WSU: 25 - TXST: 28 (53)
TXST Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
WSU Travel: 1554 miles, 2 hrs behind
Bobcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach G. J. Kinne (23 - 16)
Avg Score : 37 - 29 (38 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 4 (#42)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 7)
 
Washington State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Washington State at Washington+24
Sat 9/12 Washington State at Kansas State+9.5
Sat 9/19 Washington State vs Duquesne-23
Sat 9/26 Washington State vs Arizona+7
Fri 10/2 Washington State vs Fresno State-6
Fri 10/9 Washington State at Utah State-4.5
Sat 10/17 Washington State at Oregon State-12
Sat 10/24 Washington State vs Boise State+1
Sat 10/31 Washington State at San Diego State+3.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14 Washington State vs Colorado State-15
Sat 11/21 Washington State at Texas State+3
Sat 11/28 Washington State vs TBD-23

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Washington State's Schedule
Texas State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Texas State at Texas+24.5
Sat 9/12 Texas State vs UTSA-5
Sat 9/19 Texas State vs North Texas+1
Sat 9/26 Texas State vs Incarnate Word-23.5
Sat 10/3 Texas State at San Diego State+3
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/15 Texas State vs Colorado State-15.5
Sat 10/24 Texas State vs Utah State-10
Sat 10/31 Texas State at Boise State+5
Sat 11/7 Texas State at Oregon State-12.5
Sat 11/14 Texas State vs Fresno State-7
Sat 11/21 Texas State vs Washington State-3

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WSU#92 (.13)42% (73)22.543% (69)2.82 (92)12941% (73)2103.93 (49)#21 (.07)40% (55)20.244% (93)37% (27)3.14 (27)56.11.60.8
TXST#6 (.33)46% (24)36.546% (43)3.13 (34)22347% (25)2514.42 (21)#76 (.18)41% (61)2940% (48)43% (87)3.98 (98)59.51.30.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TXST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WSU Offense1322.516.341.9%3.931.6203401292103.949%50%43%41%16%.13
TXST Defense132928.341.2%3.980.9 - - - - - 52%46%40%43%16%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WSU Defense1320.223.740.5%3.140.8 - - - - - 51%47%44%37%15%.07
TXST Offense1336.53846.3%4.421.3234742232515.256%42%46%47%12%.33

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Washington State1332:2319.538%71%6.756.11.60.85.22.4029
Texas State1329:1022.946%60%6.959.51.30.97.21.9227.4
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WSU Offense1349% (76)43% (69)33.5129.53.916 (122).09 (78)2.82 (92)68% (95)9% (61)0.85 (118)
TXST Defense1352% (101)40% (48) - - - - .08 (58)2.67 (25)70% (58)11% (25)1.06 (110)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WSU Defense1351% (87)44% (93) - - - - .08 (55)2.97 (80)71% (70)10% (52)0.83 (12)
TXST Offense1356% (22)46% (43)42.9222.75.236 (4).28 (7)3.13 (34)67% (102)9% (42)1.15 (10)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WSU Offense1350% (64)41% (73)20.131.3210.46.710.519 (61)15 (108).21 (94)1.4 (122)32% (76)27% (100).15 (123)7% (92)1.9 (117)
TXST Defense1346% (44)43% (87) - - - - - - 9 (123).3 (89)1.6 (97)33% (42)32% (98).28 (64)5% (114)1.9 (30)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WSU Defense1347% (47)37% (27) - - - - - - 6.11 (16)1.4 (18)31% (68)23% (7).06 (2)5% (118)1.9 (27)
TXST Offense1342% (115)47% (25)19.527.8250.8912.921 (86)7 (7).42 (17)1.6 (31)29% (29)38% (9).54 (6)4% (10)2 (71)

Washington State's Power Ratings
Washington State's Power Rating: -5.05  #80
Washington State's Offense Rating: 5.06  #105
Washington State's Defense Rating: 15.11  #56
2026 Talent Rating: 702.00  #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #99
Washington State's 2026 Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7
Washington State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.8  #61
Washington State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6  #86
Washington State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5  #32

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 627.25
Average Power Five Talent: 897.88
Average FBS Talent: 712.17

Power Ratings Matchup
Washington State: -5.05   Texas State: 2.575

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Washington State: 3.8   Texas State: 2.3




Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: 2.575  #73
Texas State's Offense Rating: 13.85  #47
Texas State's Defense Rating: 21.00  #101
2026 Talent Rating: 616.00  #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 1  #79
Texas State's 2026 Expected Record: 7.0 - 4.0
Texas State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3  #65
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.6  #15
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.6  #117

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 627.25
Average Power Five Talent: 897.88
Average FBS Talent: 712.17


Washington State Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.3
Defense: 20.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.7

Washington State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Texas State 28
Washington State 25

Projected Total Points: 53
Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38
Defense: 29 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.3

Texas State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas State000 Overs
Washington State000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#80) WSU at (#73) TXST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWSUTXST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #80 #73
SP+SP+ #61 #65
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #74 #86
Blue ChipsBC% #99 #79
Washington State Notes
(2/2) Reset w/ Moore, Rogers 1 yr & out (Iowa St)
(2/2) Roster gutted by portal, 39 out, most starters
Washington State Injury Report
Washington State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
WSU OffTXST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #73 #61
ExplosiveExp #133 #110
PPAPPA #92 #76
PowerPwr #105 #101
SP+SP+ #86 #117
Pts POPPO #49 #98
HavocHav #73 #67
Washington State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
WSU OffTXST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #69 #48
Run ExplRExp #118 #110
PPAExp #78 #58
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #92 #25
Stuff RateStuff #97 #10
TackleTak - NR
Washington State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
WSU OffTXST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #73 #87
Pass ExplPExl #122 #97
PPAExp #94 #89
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #61 #25
DB HavocDB #92 #114
Texas State on Offense
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatTXST OffWSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #24 #55
ExplosiveExp #16 #4
PPAPPA #6 #21
PowerPwr #47 #56
SP+SP+ #15 #32
Pts POPPO #21 #27
HavocHav #15 #98
Texas State Run Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
TXST OffWSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #43 #93
Run ExplRExp #10 #12
PPAExp #7 #55
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #34 #80
Stuff RateStuff #36 #79
TackleTak - NR
Texas State Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatTXST OffWSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #25 #27
Pass ExplPExl #31 #18
PPAExp #17 #16
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #42 #52
DB HavocDB #10 #118
Program Comparison
TXST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'26 Profile: Remains Top G5

WSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
WSU's OC Matt Miller (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Caden Pinnick (Tr)24034570%320632109.3
Julian Dugger2633%39006.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Caden Pinnick (Tr)12543733.527
Maxwell Woods3622506.348
Leo Pulalasi3820505.445
Julian Dugger224722.134
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Josh Meredith57725312.748
Jeremiah Noga20221111.135
Trey Leckner2317437.632
Maxwell Woods1814808.233

View Washington State's Full Roster

WSU's DC Trent Bray (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tucker Large713006
Jaylen Thomas (Tr)591006
Matthew Durrance582002
Colby Humphrey532002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Buddha Peleti227450
Paul Hutson III (Tr)376330
Linus Zunk (Tr)154340
DJ Warner (Tr)62231
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tucker Large713006
Jaylen Thomas (Tr)591006
Jalil Tucker (Tr)251015

TXST's OC Landon Keopple (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brad Jackson25135271%32232179.2
Shaker Reisig (Tr)101953%141127.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Brad Jackson174744174.363
Greg Burrell10067136.761
Beau Sparks674112.349
Shaker Reisig (Tr)7100.18
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Beau Sparks8412001014.373
Chris Dawn Jr.651007415.582
Kylen Evans15211114.145
Greg Burrell1312509.623

View Texas State's Full Roster

TXST's DC Will Windham (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ryan Nolan723022
Ayden Jones521020
Amarion Atwood292023
Cole Nilles273021
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donterry Russell186401
Chancellor Owens (Tr)21100
Ryan Nolan723022
Tice Williams51010
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dexter Ricks Jr. (Tr)181004
Amarion Atwood292023
Ryan Nolan723022