Incarnate Word at Texas State - 2026 Matchup Preview
Incarnate Word logo   Incarnate Word Cardinals at Texas State Bobcats  Texas State logo
Saturday, September 26th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium - San Marcos, TX

 
Cardinals (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 20 - 48 (20 - 48 on Road)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TXST 3rd straight Home Game
TXST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Texas State -2.5  (SP+ TXST -2)
TXST Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
Bobcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach G. J. Kinne (23 - 16)
Avg Score : 37 - 29 (38 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 4 (#42)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 7)
 
Incarnate Word's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26 Incarnate Word at Texas State+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Incarnate Word's Schedule
Texas State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Texas State at Texas+24.5
Sat 9/12 Texas State vs UTSA-5
Sat 9/19 Texas State vs North Texas+1
Sat 9/26 Texas State vs Incarnate Word-23.5
Sat 10/3 Texas State at San Diego State+3
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/15 Texas State vs Colorado State-15.5
Sat 10/24 Texas State vs Utah State-10
Sat 10/31 Texas State at Boise State+5
Sat 11/7 Texas State at Oregon State-12.5
Sat 11/14 Texas State vs Fresno State-7
Sat 11/21 Texas State vs Washington State-3

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IW0%200%000%000%480%0%0000
TXST#6 (.33)46% (24)36.546% (43)3.13 (34)22347% (25)2514.42 (21)#76 (.18)41% (61)2940% (48)43% (87)3.98 (98)59.51.30.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IW0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TXST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IW Offense120200%00000000%0%0%0%0%
TXST Defense132928.341.2%3.980.9 - - - - - 52%46%40%43%16%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IW Defense148480%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
TXST Offense1336.53846.3%4.421.3234742232515.256%42%46%47%12%.33

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Incarnate Word10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Texas State1329:1022.946%60%6.959.51.30.97.21.9227.4
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IW Offense10%0%000000%0%0
TXST Defense1352% (101)40% (48) - - - - .08 (58)2.67 (25)70% (58)11% (25)1.06 (110)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IW Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
TXST Offense1356% (22)46% (43)42.9222.75.236 (4).28 (7)3.13 (34)67% (102)9% (42)1.15 (10)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IW Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
TXST Defense1346% (44)43% (87) - - - - - - 9 (123).3 (89)1.6 (97)33% (42)32% (98).28 (64)5% (114)1.9 (30)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IW Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
TXST Offense1342% (115)47% (25)19.527.8250.8912.921 (86)7 (7).42 (17)1.6 (31)29% (29)38% (9).54 (6)4% (10)2 (71)

Incarnate Word's Power Ratings
Incarnate Word's Power Rating: NR
Incarnate Word's Offense Rating: NR
Incarnate Word's Defense Rating: NR
2026 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Incarnate Word's 2026 Expected Record: -
Incarnate Word's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Incarnate Word's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Incarnate Word's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Southland Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 897.88
Average FBS Talent: 712.17

Power Ratings Matchup
Incarnate Word:    Texas State: 2.575

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Incarnate Word:    Texas State: 2.3




Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: 2.575  #73
Texas State's Offense Rating: 13.85  #47
Texas State's Defense Rating: 21.00  #101
2026 Talent Rating: 616.00  #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 1  #79
Texas State's 2026 Expected Record: 7.0 - 4.0
Texas State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3  #65
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.6  #15
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.6  #117

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 627.25
Average Power Five Talent: 897.88
Average FBS Talent: 712.17


Incarnate Word Scoring
Offense: 20 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 48 PPG
Defense on Road: 48

Incarnate Word's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Texas State 35
Incarnate Word 33

Projected Total Points: 68
Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38
Defense: 29 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.3

Texas State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202109/18Texas State34Incarnate Word42Texas State -10.5Incarnate Word70.0Over
201610/01Texas State48Incarnate Word17Texas State -17Texas State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas State111 Overs
Incarnate Word110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#) IW at (#73) TXST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatIWTXST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #73
SP+SP+NR #65
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNR #86
Blue ChipsBC%NR #79
Incarnate Word on Offense
CategoryCat
IW OffTXST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNR #61
ExplosiveExpNR #110
PPAPPANR #76
PowerPwrNR #101
SP+SP+NR #117
Pts POPPONR #98
HavocHavNR #67
Incarnate Word Run Game
CategoryCat
IW OffTXST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNR #48
Run ExplRExpNR #110
PPAExpNR #58
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #25
Stuff RateStuffNR #10
TackleTak - NR
Incarnate Word Pass Game
CategoryCat
IW OffTXST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNR #87
Pass ExplPExlNR #97
PPAExpNR #89
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NR #25
DB HavocDBNR #114
Texas State on Offense
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatTXST OffIW Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #24NR
ExplosiveExp #16NR
PPAPPA #6NR
PowerPwr #47NR
SP+SP+ #15NR
Pts POPPO #21NR
HavocHav #15NR
Texas State Run Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
TXST OffIW Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #43NR
Run ExplRExp #10NR
PPAExp #7NR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #34NR
Stuff RateStuff #36NR
TackleTak - NR
Texas State Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatTXST OffIW Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #25NR
Pass ExplPExl #31NR
PPAExp #17NR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #42NR
DB HavocDB #10NR
Program Comparison
TXST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'26 Profile: Remains Top G5

IW 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'26 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
IW's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
TJ Finley (Tr)12720163%1244676.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Damashja Harris (Tr)135204.020
TJ Finley (Tr)28-510-1.815
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Price Morgan (Tr)112012.012
Damashja Harris (Tr)1-10-1.00

View Incarnate Word's Full Roster

IW's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Walt Gray (Tr)51100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Walt Gray (Tr)51100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Walt Gray (Tr)51100

TXST's OC Landon Keopple (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brad Jackson25135271%32232179.2
Shaker Reisig (Tr)101953%141127.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Brad Jackson174744174.363
Greg Burrell10067136.761
Beau Sparks674112.349
Shaker Reisig (Tr)7100.18
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Beau Sparks8412001014.373
Chris Dawn Jr.651007415.582
Kylen Evans15211114.145
Greg Burrell1312509.623

View Texas State's Full Roster

TXST's DC Will Windham (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ryan Nolan723022
Ayden Jones521020
Amarion Atwood292023
Cole Nilles273021
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donterry Russell186401
Chancellor Owens (Tr)21100
Ryan Nolan723022
Tice Williams51010
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dexter Ricks Jr. (Tr)181004
Amarion Atwood292023
Ryan Nolan723022