Texas State at Florida International

Texas State at Florida International - 2021 Matchup Preview

Texas State Bobcats at Florida International Golden Panthers

Saturday, September 11th 2021 (7:00 PM EDT)
Florida International -2 (55.5)
Texas State 23 - Florida International: 17

Bobcats (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jake Spavital (6 - 21)
Avg Score : 37 - 29 (34 - 33 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

FIU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -0.5 (SP+ TXST -5.5)
Projected Score: TXST: 32 - FIU: 30 (62)
FIU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
TXST Travel: 1109 miles, 1 hrs behind

Golden Panthers (1 - 11) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Butch Davis (24 - 23)
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (31 - 28 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TXST Players
FIU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Texas State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Texas State vs Baylor	+13.5	52.5	L 20 - 29	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Texas State at Florida International	+2.0	55.5	W 23 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Texas State vs Incarnate Word	-10.5	70.0	L 34 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/25	Texas State at Eastern Michigan	+7.5	62.0	L 21 - 59	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/9	Texas State vs South Alabama	+4.0	52.5	W 33 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/16	Texas State vs Troy	+7.5	49.0	L 28 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/23	Texas State at Georgia State	+10.0	58.5	L 16 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/30	Texas State at Louisiana	+21.0	58.0	L 0 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/6	Texas State vs UL Monroe	-3.0	57.5	W 27 - 19	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Texas State vs Georgia Southern	-2.5	52.0	L 30 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/20	Texas State at Coastal Carolina	+24.5	60.5	L 21 - 35	U	Y
Sat 11/27	Texas State at Arkansas State	+2.0	62.0	W 24 - 22	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas State's Schedule

Florida International's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	Florida International vs Long Island University	-35.0	49.0	W 48 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Florida International vs Texas State	-2.0	55.5	L 17 - 23	U	N
Sat 9/18	Florida International at Texas Tech	+20.5	54.0	L 21 - 54	O	N
Sat 9/25	Florida International at Central Michigan	+12.0	55.0	L 27 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Florida International at Florida Atlantic	+10.5	52.0	L 21 - 58	O	N
Fri 10/8	Florida International vs Charlotte	+3.5	61.0	L 33 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	Florida International vs Western Kentucky	+16.5	78.0	L 19 - 34	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Florida International at Marshall	+21.5	64.0	L 0 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/6	Florida International vs Old Dominion	+3.0	50.0	L 24 - 47	O	N
Sat 11/13	Florida International at Middle Tennessee	+10.5	54.0	L 10 - 50	O	N
Sat 11/20	Florida International vs North Texas	+10.0	57.0	L 7 - 49	U	N
Sat 11/27	Florida International at Southern Miss	+14.5	45.5	L 17 - 37	O	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TXST	.14	40%	36.5	41%	2.86	131	40%	239	3.7	.28	49%	29	49%	49%	4.38	49.3	1.5	1.3
FIU	.02	32%	28.5	38%	3.21	156	26%	110	3.22	.19	43%	30	45%	40%	4.03	45	0.8	0.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TXST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
FIU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TXST Offense	12	36.5	34.2	40.3%	3.7	1.5	21	370	131	239	4.2	44%	56%	41%	40%	20%	.14
FIU Defense	5	30	28	42.8%	4.03	0.6	-	-	-	-	-	59%	41%	45%	40%	17%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TXST Defense	12	29	32.8	49.2%	4.38	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	49%	49%	12%	.28
FIU Offense	5	28.5	30.5	32.2%	3.22	0.8	14	266	156	110	4.4	53%	47%	38%	26%	21%	.02

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Texas State	12	25:44	20.6	33%	38%	5.2	49.3	1.5	1.3	4.5	1	3	27.4
Florida International	5	26:00	13.6	35%	42%	6	45	0.8	0.6	7.2	2	2	29.7

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TXST Offense	12	44%	41%	31	131.4	4.2	15	.14	2.86	73%	13%	1.07
FIU Defense	5	59%	45%	-	-	-	-	.17	2.72	72%	12%	1.01

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TXST Defense	12	54%	49%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.16	70%	8%	0.89
FIU Offense	5	53%	38%	35.2	156.4	4.4	8	.18	3.21	92%	13%	1.17

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TXST Offense	12	56%	40%	20.6	33.7	238.7	7.1	11.6	26	14	.14	1.6	34%	29%	.19	7%	2
FIU Defense	5	41%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	.23	1.4	30%	33%	.51	6%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TXST Defense	12	46%	49%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.41	1.5	28%	37%	.48	5%	2
FIU Offense	5	47%	26%	11.4	25.4	110	4.3	9.7	4	2	-.17	1.5	36%	23%	.04	8%	1.3

Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: NR
Texas State's Offense Rating: NR
Texas State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Texas State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Texas State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.0 #119
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.7 #111
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.9 #121

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas State: Florida International: -8.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas State: -16.0 Florida International: -21.6

Florida International's Power Ratings
Florida International's Power Rating: -8.3 NR
Florida International's Offense Rating: NR
Florida International's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #83
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Florida International's 2021 Expected Record: -
Florida International's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.6 #126
Florida International's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #117
Florida International's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.2 #126

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.2
Defense: 29 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Texas State's 2021 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Texas State 32
Florida International 30

Projected Total Points: 62

Florida International Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.5
Defense: 30 PPG
Defense at Home: 28

Florida International's 2021 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	09/10	Texas State	41	Florida International	12	Texas State -13.5	Texas State	62.5	Under
2021	09/11	Florida International	17	Texas State	23	Florida International -2	Texas State	55.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Florida International	0	0	0 Overs
Texas State	2	2	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0	1 - 1

(#) TXST at (#) FIU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TXST	FIU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#119	#126
Perf GradeGrade	#105	#111
OffenseOff	#71	#104
DefenseDef	#117	#100
Spec TeamsST	#50	#90
TalentTal	#97	#83
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Texas State Injury Report

Florida International Injury Report

Texas State on Offense


CategoryCat	TXST Off	FIU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#71	#100
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#111	#126
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Texas State Run Game


CategoryCat	TXST Off	FIU Def
Run GameRun	#102	#77
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#25	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#39

Texas State Pass Game


CategoryCat	TXST Off	FIU Def
Pass GamePass	#105	#100
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#56	#134
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Florida International on Offense


CategoryCat	FIU Off	TXST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#104	#117
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#117	#121
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida International Run Game


CategoryCat	FIU Off	TXST Def
Run GameRun	#55	#97
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#120	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#125

Florida International Pass Game


CategoryCat	FIU Off	TXST Def
Pass GamePass	#117	#127
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#90	#111
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
FIU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Up to Poor G5

TXST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in FIU Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 2
Florida International -2.0 (55.5)
Texas State won at Florida International this year (23-17)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

TXST's OC Jacob Peeler (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Texas State's Full Roster

TXST's DC Zac Spavital (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

FIU's OC Andrew Breiner (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Florida International's Full Roster

FIU's DC Everett Withers (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD