Arkansas State Red Wolves at Texas State Bobcats
Saturday, October 12th 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
Texas State -13.5 (66.0) (-535) Open: -11.0
Texas State 41 - Arkansas State: 9 (Sun Belt)
Red Wolves (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Butch Jones (11 - 26)
Avg Score : 26 - 32 (21 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 5)
Coach Butch Jones (11 - 26)
Avg Score : 26 - 32 (21 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 5)
Our Line: Texas State -15.5 (SP+ TXST -15)
Projected Score: ARST: 24 - TXST: 39 (59)
TXST Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
ARST Travel: 589 miles
Projected Score: ARST: 24 - TXST: 39 (59)
TXST Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
ARST Travel: 589 miles
Bobcats (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach G. J. Kinne (8 - 5)
Avg Score : 37 - 25 (39 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 5)
Coach G. J. Kinne (8 - 5)
Avg Score : 37 - 25 (39 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 5)
| Arkansas State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Arkansas State vs Central Arkansas | -18.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/7 | Arkansas State vs Tulsa | -9.5 | 65.5 | W 28 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Arkansas State at Michigan | +22.0 | 47.5 | L 18 - 28 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Arkansas State at Iowa State | +20.5 | 52.0 | L 7 - 52 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | Arkansas State vs South Alabama | +2.5 | 62.5 | W 18 - 16 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Arkansas State at Texas State | +13.5 | 66.0 | L 9 - 41 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | Arkansas State at Southern Miss | -7.0 | 57.0 | W 44 - 28 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Arkansas State vs Troy | -8.5 | 50.0 | W 34 - 31 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/9 | Arkansas State at Louisiana | +14.0 | 60.0 | L 19 - 55 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | Arkansas State at Georgia State | +2.5 | 60.0 | W 27 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Arkansas State vs UL Monroe | -3.0 | 51.5 | W 28 - 21 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Arkansas State vs Old Dominion | +5.5 | 58.5 | L 32 - 40 | O | N | |
| Thu 12/26 | Arkansas State vs Bowling Green | +10.5 | 54.5 | W 38 - 31 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Texas State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Texas State vs Lamar | -26 | |||||
| Sat 9/7 | Texas State vs UTSA | -2.5 | 58.5 | W 49 - 10 | O | Y | |
| Thu 9/12 | Texas State vs Arizona State | -2.5 | 58.5 | L 28 - 31 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/28 | Texas State vs Sam Houston | -11.0 | 55.0 | L 39 - 40 | O | N | |
| Thu 10/3 | Texas State at Troy | -14.5 | 56.0 | W 38 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Texas State vs Arkansas State | -13.5 | 66.0 | W 41 - 9 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Texas State at Old Dominion | -10.5 | 60.0 | L 14 - 24 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/29 | Texas State vs Louisiana | -4.0 | 60.5 | L 17 - 23 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/9 | Texas State at UL Monroe | -9.5 | 50.0 | W 38 - 17 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/16 | Texas State vs Southern Miss | -27.5 | 56.5 | W 58 - 3 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Texas State vs Georgia State | -23.0 | 59.5 | L 44 - 52 | O | N | |
| Fri 11/29 | Texas State at South Alabama | -2.5 | 60.5 | W 45 - 38 | O | Y | |
| Fri 1/3 | Texas State vs North Texas | -15.5 | 67.5 | W 30 - 28 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Predictions for Texas State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2023)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST | #81 (.17) | 42% (73) | 25.8 | 43% (71) | 3.12 (65) | 148 | 41% (80) | 225 | 3.21 (114) | #110 (.25) | 42% (72) | 32.2 | 44% (80) | 41% (59) | 4.05 (92) | 60.9 | 1 | 1.2 |
| TXST | #23 (.29) | 47% (20) | 36.5 | 46% (36) | 3.19 (53) | 188 | 48% (15) | 271 | 4.55 (19) | #64 (.18) | 40% (45) | 24.5 | 39% (37) | 42% (77) | 3.7 (59) | 68 | 1.8 | 1.7 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| TXST | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Offense | 13 | 25.8 | 20.7 | 41.6% | 3.21 | 1 | 20 | 374 | 148 | 225 | 4.2 | 50% | 49% | 43% | 41% | 16% | .17 |
| TXST Defense | 13 | 24.5 | 22.1 | 40.4% | 3.7 | 1.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 50% | 49% | 39% | 42% | 19% | .18 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Defense | 13 | 32.2 | 37.3 | 42.3% | 4.05 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | - | 50% | 49% | 44% | 41% | 15% | .25 |
| TXST Offense | 13 | 36.5 | 38.7 | 46.7% | 4.55 | 1.8 | 24 | 459 | 188 | 271 | 4.6 | 51% | 48% | 46% | 48% | 15% | .29 |
Additional Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State | 13 | 26:17 | 19.8 | 36% | 35% | 6.2 | 60.9 | 1 | 1.2 | 6.2 | 1.8 | 4 | 30.4 |
| Texas State | 13 | 29:04 | 23.9 | 44% | 66% | 7.2 | 68 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 7.7 | 2.6 | 4 | 29.1 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Offense | 13 | 50% (72) | 43% (71) | 35.3 | 148.2 | 4.2 | 20 (61) | .16 (66) | 3.12 (65) | 69% (104) | 9% (58) | 1.05 (43) |
| TXST Defense | 13 | 50% (69) | 39% (37) | - | - | - | - | .12 (56) | 2.87 (28) | 54% (3) | 14% (6) | 1.21 (127) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Defense | 13 | 50% (65) | 44% (80) | - | - | - | - | .17 (88) | 3.09 (66) | 85% (124) | 10% (71) | 1.01 (78) |
| TXST Offense | 13 | 51% (56) | 46% (36) | 40.5 | 187.8 | 4.6 | 33 (8) | .24 (21) | 3.19 (53) | 78% (31) | 11% (84) | 1.13 (15) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Offense | 13 | 49% (65) | 41% (80) | 16 | 28.5 | 225.5 | 7.9 | 14.1 | 17 (85) | 9 (40) | .24 (83) | 1.7 (40) | 31% (59) | 31% (68) | .28 (88) | 6% (87) | 2.1 (53) |
| TXST Defense | 13 | 49% (68) | 42% (77) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 11 (53) | .27 (66) | 1.7 (109) | 36% (10) | 36% (123) | .42 (113) | 5% (117) | 2 (47) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST Defense | 13 | 49% (73) | 41% (59) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 8 (100) | .34 (105) | 1.6 (59) | 31% (83) | 24% (11) | .3 (66) | 5% (111) | 2.2 (116) |
| TXST Offense | 13 | 48% (73) | 48% (15) | 22.1 | 33 | 270.9 | 8.2 | 12.3 | 24 (41) | 9 (40) | .36 (36) | 1.5 (97) | 32% (63) | 36% (22) | .47 (24) | 4% (8) | 2 (80) |
Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: -7.76 #91
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: 20.48 #62
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: 17.18 #124
2024 Talent Rating: 646.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Arkansas State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Arkansas State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #104
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #87
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.2 #119
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 471.71
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Arkansas State's Power Rating: -7.76 #91
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: 20.48 #62
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: 17.18 #124
2024 Talent Rating: 646.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Arkansas State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Arkansas State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #104
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #87
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.2 #119
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 471.71
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: -7.76 Texas State: 6.45
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: -9.9 Texas State: 5.4
Arkansas State: -7.76 Texas State: 6.45
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: -9.9 Texas State: 5.4
Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: 6.45 #52
Texas State's Offense Rating: 23.07 #38
Texas State's Defense Rating: 5.36 #29
2024 Talent Rating: 456.00 #110
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Texas State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Texas State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4 #48
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #20
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #82
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 471.71
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Texas State's Power Rating: 6.45 #52
Texas State's Offense Rating: 23.07 #38
Texas State's Defense Rating: 5.36 #29
2024 Talent Rating: 456.00 #110
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Texas State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Texas State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4 #48
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #20
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #82
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 471.71
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.7
Defense: 32.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.3
Arkansas State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.7
Defense: 32.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.3
Arkansas State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Texas State 39
Arkansas State 24
Projected Total Points: 59
Texas State 39
Arkansas State 24
Projected Total Points: 59
Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.7
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.1
Texas State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.7
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.1
Texas State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10/12 | Texas State | 41 | Arkansas State | 9 | Texas State | Texas State -13.5 | Texas State | 66.0 | Under |
| 2023 | 11/18 | Arkansas State | 77 | Texas State | 31 | Arkansas State | Texas State -3.5 | Arkansas State | 59.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 11/19 | Texas State | 16 | Arkansas State | 13 | Texas State | Texas State -6 | Arkansas State | 50.0 | Under |
| 2021 | 11/27 | Arkansas State | 22 | Texas State | 24 | Texas State | Arkansas State -2 | Texas State | 62.0 | Under |
| 2020 | 11/21 | Texas State | 47 | Arkansas State | 45 | Texas State | Arkansas State -4.5 | Texas State | 69.5 | Over |
| 2019 | 10/26 | Arkansas State | 38 | Texas State | 14 | Arkansas State | Arkansas State -11.5 | Arkansas State | 60.5 | Under |
| 2018 | 11/24 | Texas State | 7 | Arkansas State | 33 | Arkansas State | Arkansas State -13 | Arkansas State | 48.5 | Under |
| 2017 | 11/18 | Arkansas State | 30 | Texas State | 12 | Arkansas State | Arkansas State -26.5 | Texas State | 58.5 | Under |
| 2016 | 12/03 | Texas State | 14 | Arkansas State | 36 | Arkansas State | Arkansas State -21.5 | Arkansas State | 54.0 | Under |
| 2015 | 12/05 | Arkansas State | 55 | Texas State | 17 | Arkansas State | Arkansas State -21.5 | Arkansas State | 68.0 | Over |
| 2014 | 11/20 | Texas State | 45 | Arkansas State | 27 | Texas State | Arkansas State -6.5 | Texas State | 58.0 | Over |
| 2013 | 11/16 | Arkansas State | 38 | Texas State | 21 | Arkansas State | Arkansas State -6.5 | Arkansas State | 0 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas State | 5 | 5 | 4 Overs |
| Arkansas State | 7 | 7 | 7 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 9 - 3 | 7 - 5 | 4 - 3 | 3 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 3 - 9 | 5 - 7 | 2 - 3 | 3 - 4 |
(#91) Arkansas State Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -7.76 #91
Offense Rating: 20.48 #62
Defense Rating: 17.18 #124
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #104
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #87
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.2 #119
Talent Rating: 646.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.96 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.62 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position
Arkansas State Notes
(10/27) Worst Def in CFB? Near L to Troy? Raynor great
(10/26) Off improving, will be a threat to win out
(10/12) Killed by Tex St, gave up 600 yds, 2 TO's
(10/12) QB Raynor torched S Al, Def enough 4 upset W
(9/1) Lines beaten badly vs C Ark, RG 140 (3.3) vs 235 (7.3)
(7/30) Vet. staff saved themselves LY to bowl game
(7/30) Def was poor LY, took a lot of P4 portals
(7/30) Off was meh LY but returns nearly everyone
(7/30) QB Raynor was SBC ROY in 23. JAG+ with legs
(7/30) OL has 4/5 back, RBs good, WR good
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -7.76 #91
Offense Rating: 20.48 #62
Defense Rating: 17.18 #124
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #104
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #87
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.2 #119
Talent Rating: 646.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.96 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.62 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position
Arkansas State Notes
(10/27) Worst Def in CFB? Near L to Troy? Raynor great
(10/26) Off improving, will be a threat to win out
(10/12) Killed by Tex St, gave up 600 yds, 2 TO's
(10/12) QB Raynor torched S Al, Def enough 4 upset W
(9/1) Lines beaten badly vs C Ark, RG 140 (3.3) vs 235 (7.3)
(7/30) Vet. staff saved themselves LY to bowl game
(7/30) Def was poor LY, took a lot of P4 portals
(7/30) Off was meh LY but returns nearly everyone
(7/30) QB Raynor was SBC ROY in 23. JAG+ with legs
(7/30) OL has 4/5 back, RBs good, WR good
Power #91
#52Off #62
#38Def #124
#29Talent #65
#110SP+ #104
#48SP+ Off #87
#20SP+ Def #119
#82Rematch from Week 7
Texas State -13.5 (66.0)
Texas State won vs Arkansas State this year (41-9)
Previous Matchups
Texas State beat Arkansas State last year (41-9)
Arkansas State beat Texas State in 2023 (77-31)
Texas State beat Arkansas State in 2022 (16-13)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 88° - Wind: 9 mph
Team Information
Injuries: ARST | TXST
Depth Chart: ARST | TXST
Rosters: ARST | TXST
(#52) Texas State Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 6.45 #52
Offense Rating: 23.07 #38
Defense Rating: 5.36 #29
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4 #48
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #20
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #82
Talent Rating: 456.00 #110
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.89 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Great Pass Success 48%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Good in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Texas State Notes
(11/29) Off torched S Al, 530 yds, Def forced 3 TOs
(11/25) Awful L vs Ga St, Def torched 500+, Off 4 TOs
(11/18) 2 str W's, killed SoMiss, McCloud/Rgame great
(11/3) 2 awful L's, season slipping, McCloud replaced?
(10/20) Off/McCloud awful in bad L (ODU), 2 TOs, woof
(10/12) Off 600 yds (271 rush) killing Ark St. Def OK
(10/4) Great Pass Off, run enough. TO's an issue, fun team
(9/12) Spread Off fun. McCloud looks great w/ weapons
(9/8) Dog fight W over Lamar? 2 TOs, 156 penalty yds!
(9/8) Torched UTSA, McCould good, Run D great
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 6.45 #52
Offense Rating: 23.07 #38
Defense Rating: 5.36 #29
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4 #48
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #20
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #82
Talent Rating: 456.00 #110
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.89 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Great Pass Success 48%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Good in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Texas State Notes
(11/29) Off torched S Al, 530 yds, Def forced 3 TOs
(11/25) Awful L vs Ga St, Def torched 500+, Off 4 TOs
(11/18) 2 str W's, killed SoMiss, McCloud/Rgame great
(11/3) 2 awful L's, season slipping, McCloud replaced?
(10/20) Off/McCloud awful in bad L (ODU), 2 TOs, woof
(10/12) Off 600 yds (271 rush) killing Ark St. Def OK
(10/4) Great Pass Off, run enough. TO's an issue, fun team
(9/12) Spread Off fun. McCloud looks great w/ weapons
(9/8) Dog fight W over Lamar? 2 TOs, 156 penalty yds!
(9/8) Torched UTSA, McCould good, Run D great
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Raynor | 259 | 420 | 62% | 2783 | 16 | 10 | 6.6 |
| Timmy McClain (Tr) | 14 | 21 | 67% | 163 | 3 | 0 | 7.8 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Quez Cross | 115 | 638 | 2 | 5.5 | 49 |
| Jaylen Raynor | 137 | 387 | 3 | 2.8 | 40 |
| Devin Spencer | 40 | 206 | 0 | 5.2 | 23 |
| Malik Hornsby (Tr) | 5 | 86 | 1 | 17.2 | 73 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Rucker | 69 | 1053 | 7 | 15.3 | 79 |
| Ja'Quez Cross | 35 | 228 | 1 | 6.5 | 20 |
| Hunter Summers (Tr) | 9 | 116 | 2 | 12.9 | 32 |
| Miller McCrumby | 11 | 79 | 0 | 7.2 | 13 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Ham II (Tr) | 98 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Websley Etienne | 56 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Dontay Joyner | 50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 |
| Tim Hardiman | 31 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Whitehead II | 24 | 11 | 4 | 15 | 0 |
| Jayden Jones | 25 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| Ian Jeffries | 21 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| Noah Collins (Tr) | 26 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dontay Joyner | 50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 |
| Websley Etienne | 56 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Jordan Mahoney (Tr) | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan McCloud (Tr) | 272 | 389 | 70% | 3222 | 30 | 13 | 8.3 |
| RJ Martinez (Tr) | 18 | 24 | 75% | 148 | 0 | 1 | 6.2 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ismail Mahdi | 183 | 991 | 4 | 5.4 | 45 |
| Lincoln Pare | 94 | 547 | 8 | 5.8 | 73 |
| Greg Burrell | 66 | 370 | 3 | 5.6 | 42 |
| Torrance Burgess Jr. (Tr) | 60 | 367 | 2 | 6.1 | 57 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Williams (Tr) | 57 | 807 | 7 | 14.2 | 70 |
| Kole Wilson | 43 | 630 | 4 | 14.7 | 53 |
| Chris Dawn Jr. | 37 | 418 | 6 | 11.3 | 60 |
| Beau Sparks (Tr) | 25 | 271 | 2 | 10.8 | 24 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Polk (Tr) | 68 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
| Ryan Nolan | 52 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| James Neal (Tr) | 50 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Max Harris (Tr) | 44 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalil Alexander | 40 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 2 |
| Steven Parker (Tr) | 29 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| Jo'Laison Landry | 33 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| Ben Bell | 13 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Eaton | 24 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| Bobby Crosby | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Trez Moore (Tr) | 26 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 |