North Texas Mean Green vs Texas State Bobcats
Friday, January 3rd 2025 (4:00 PM EST)
Texas State -15.5 (67.5) (-650) Open: 0.0
Texas State 30 - North Texas: 28 (SERVPRO First Responder Bowl)
Mean Green (6 - 7) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Eric Morris (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 34 - 34 (35 - 43 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Eric Morris (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 34 - 34 (35 - 43 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Texas State -11 (SP+ TXST -10)
Projected Score: UNT: 28 - TXST: 39 (67)
TXST Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
UNT Travel: 233 miles
Our Line: Texas State -11 (SP+ TXST -10)
Projected Score: UNT: 28 - TXST: 39 (67)
TXST Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
UNT Travel: 233 miles
Bobcats (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach G. J. Kinne (8 - 5)
Avg Score : 37 - 25 (39 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach G. J. Kinne (8 - 5)
Avg Score : 37 - 25 (39 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
| North Texas's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | North Texas at South Alabama | +6.0 | 61.5 | W 52 - 38 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | North Texas vs Stephen F. Austin | -21.5 | 72.5 | W 35 - 20 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | North Texas at Texas Tech | +10.5 | 70.5 | L 21 - 66 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | North Texas vs Wyoming | -7.0 | 55.0 | W 44 - 17 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | North Texas vs Tulsa | -7.0 | 65.5 | W 52 - 20 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/12 | North Texas at Florida Atlantic | -5.5 | 58.5 | W 41 - 37 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | North Texas at Memphis | +10.5 | 67.5 | L 44 - 52 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | North Texas vs Tulane | +7.5 | 70.5 | L 37 - 45 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/9 | North Texas vs Army | +6.5 | 68.0 | L 3 - 14 | U | N | |
| Fri 11/15 | North Texas at UTSA | +1.0 | 73.0 | L 27 - 48 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | North Texas vs East Carolina | -2.5 | 73.5 | L 28 - 40 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | North Texas at Temple | -10.5 | 63.5 | W 24 - 17 | U | N | |
| Fri 1/3 | North Texas vs Texas State | +15.5 | 67.5 | L 28 - 30 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for North Texas's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
| Texas State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Texas State vs Lamar | -26 | |||||
| Sat 9/7 | Texas State vs UTSA | -2.5 | 58.5 | W 49 - 10 | O | Y | |
| Thu 9/12 | Texas State vs Arizona State | -2.5 | 58.5 | L 28 - 31 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/28 | Texas State vs Sam Houston | -11.0 | 55.0 | L 39 - 40 | O | N | |
| Thu 10/3 | Texas State at Troy | -14.5 | 56.0 | W 38 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Texas State vs Arkansas State | -13.5 | 66.0 | W 41 - 9 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Texas State at Old Dominion | -10.5 | 60.0 | L 14 - 24 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/29 | Texas State vs Louisiana | -4.0 | 60.5 | L 17 - 23 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/9 | Texas State at UL Monroe | -9.5 | 50.0 | W 38 - 17 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/16 | Texas State vs Southern Miss | -27.5 | 56.5 | W 58 - 3 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Texas State vs Georgia State | -23.0 | 59.5 | L 44 - 52 | O | N | |
| Fri 11/29 | Texas State at South Alabama | -2.5 | 60.5 | W 45 - 38 | O | Y | |
| Fri 1/3 | Texas State vs North Texas | -15.5 | 67.5 | W 30 - 28 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for Texas State's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNT | #45 (.23) | 42% (70) | 33.5 | 40% (109) | 2.75 (111) | 153 | 44% (39) | 298 | 3.91 (69) | #98 (.22) | 44% (98) | 34.2 | 47% (106) | 42% (79) | 4.03 (93) | 52.5 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| TXST | #25 (.25) | 48% (17) | 36.5 | 49% (14) | 3.41 (11) | 194 | 48% (10) | 245 | 3.89 (72) | #50 (.14) | 39% (31) | 24.5 | 38% (21) | 39% (54) | 3.47 (33) | 56.5 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNT | #45 (.23) | 42% (70) | 40% (109) | 2.75 (111) | 153 | 44% (39) | 298 | 3.91 (69) | #98 (.22) | 44% (98) | 47% (106) | 42% (79) | 4.03 (93) | 52.5 | 1.5 | 1.1 | ||
| TXST | #25 (.25) | 48% (17) | 49% (14) | 3.41 (11) | 194 | 48% (10) | 245 | 3.89 (72) | #50 (.14) | 39% (31) | 38% (21) | 39% (54) | 3.47 (33) | 56.5 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNT Offense | 13 | 33.5 | 34.8 | 42.5% | 3.91 | 1.5 | 22 | 451 | 153 | 298 | 5.6 | 38% | 62% | 40% | 44% | 15% | .23 |
| TXST Defense | 13 | 24.5 | 22.1 | 38.6% | 3.47 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 48% | 38% | 39% | 19% | .14 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNT Defense | 13 | 34.2 | 43 | 44.3% | 4.03 | 1.1 | - | - | - | - | - | 54% | 46% | 47% | 42% | 11% | .22 |
| TXST Offense | 13 | 36.5 | 38.7 | 48% | 3.89 | 1.6 | 24 | 438 | 194 | 245 | 5.2 | 52% | 47% | 49% | 48% | 13% | .25 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Texas | 13 | 25:05 | 22.1 | 36% | 48% | 6.3 | 52.5 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 1 | 28.4 |
| Texas State | 13 | 28:17 | 24.1 | 45% | 64% | 6.1 | 56.5 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 6.9 | 2.4 | 2 | 31 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNT Offense | 13 | 38% (129) | 40% (109) | 27.6 | 153.2 | 5.6 | 22 (55) | .17 (44) | 2.75 (111) | 58% (128) | 9% (51) | 1.25 (4) |
| TXST Defense | 13 | 51% (72) | 38% (21) | - | - | - | - | .12 (67) | 2.97 (60) | 68% (34) | 14% (7) | 1.13 (123) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNT Defense | 13 | 54% (105) | 47% (106) | - | - | - | - | .19 (102) | 3.29 (111) | 75% (74) | 7% (128) | 0.96 (54) |
| TXST Offense | 13 | 52% (59) | 49% (14) | 37.1 | 193.7 | 5.2 | 25 (41) | .16 (49) | 3.41 (11) | 75% (53) | 8% (35) | 0.88 (110) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNT Offense | 13 | 62% (6) | 44% (39) | 25.2 | 39.8 | 298 | 7.5 | 11.9 | 31 (6) | 12 (85) | .26 (64) | 1.6 (60) | 33% (88) | 34% (35) | .35 (64) | 6% (71) | 2 (93) |
| TXST Defense | 13 | 48% (56) | 39% (54) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7 (104) | .19 (45) | 1.6 (62) | 35% (23) | 29% (44) | .3 (65) | 5% (106) | 2.2 (110) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNT Defense | 13 | 46% (26) | 42% (79) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10 (66) | .29 (98) | 1.7 (94) | 31% (90) | 30% (72) | .31 (69) | 4% (128) | 2.1 (93) |
| TXST Offense | 13 | 47% (86) | 48% (10) | 20.9 | 30.2 | 244.7 | 8.1 | 11.7 | 30 (9) | 13 (103) | .4 (13) | 1.5 (91) | 29% (31) | 34% (41) | .32 (74) | 5% (44) | 1.7 (131) |
North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: -9.10 #98
North Texas's Offense Rating: 19.35 #70
North Texas's Defense Rating: 14.51 #105
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
North Texas's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
North Texas's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.5 #89
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #27
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.0 #121
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
North Texas's Power Rating: -9.10 #98
North Texas's Offense Rating: 19.35 #70
North Texas's Defense Rating: 14.51 #105
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
North Texas's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
North Texas's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.5 #89
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #27
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.0 #121
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
North Texas: -9.10 Texas State: 3.95
SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Texas: -4.5 Texas State: 5.4
North Texas: -9.10 Texas State: 3.95
SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Texas: -4.5 Texas State: 5.4
Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: 3.95 #52
Texas State's Offense Rating: 23.07 #38
Texas State's Defense Rating: 5.36 #29
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Texas State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Texas State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4 #48
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #20
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #82
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Texas State's Power Rating: 3.95 #52
Texas State's Offense Rating: 23.07 #38
Texas State's Defense Rating: 5.36 #29
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Texas State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Texas State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4 #48
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #20
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #82
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
North Texas Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.8
Defense: 34.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 43
North Texas's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.8
Defense: 34.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 43
North Texas's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Texas State 39
North Texas 28
Total Points: 67
Texas State 39
North Texas 28
Total Points: 67
Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.7
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.1
Texas State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.7
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.1
Texas State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 01/03 | Texas State | 30 | North Texas | 28 | Texas State | Texas State -15.5 | North Texas | 67.5 | Under |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas State | 1 | 0 | 0 Overs |
| North Texas | 0 | 1 | 1 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 1 - 0 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 0 - 1 | 1 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 1 - 0 |
| North Texas Recent Bowl History | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Bowl | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result |
| 2024 | Responder Bowl | North Texas vs Texas State | +15.5 | 67.5 | L 28 - 30 |
| 2022 | Frisco Bowl | North Texas vs Boise State | +12.0 | 63.0 | L 32 - 35 |
| 2021 | Frisco Football Classic | North Texas vs Miami (OH) | +2.0 | 56.5 | L 14 - 27 |
| 2020 | Beach Bowl | North Texas vs App State | +21.5 | 67.5 | L 28 - 56 |
| 2018 | Mexico Bowl | North Texas vs Utah State | +7.0 | 67.5 | L 13 - 52 |
| Texas State Recent Bowl History | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Bowl | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result |
| 2024 | Responder Bowl | Texas State vs North Texas | -15.5 | 67.5 | W 30 - 28 |
| 2023 | Responder Bowl | Texas State vs Rice | -3.5 | 58.5 | W 45 - 21 |
(#98) North Texas Info
Power Rating: -9.10 #98
Offense Rating: 19.35 #70
Defense Rating: 14.51 #105
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.5 #89
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #27
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.0 #121
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 38%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.91 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.03 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
North Texas has played in 4 Bowls in the last 5 years (0 - 4)
North Texas has played in 12 Bowls since 2000 (2 - 10)
North Texas Notes
(11/25) 5 str L's, Def awful, R Def mauled. Bad vibes
(11/18) Def just abysmal (UTSA). Morris INTs, Rgame great
(11/17) DC Caponi after UTSA blowout
(10/20) Morris great, Rgame great, Def awful (Tulane L)
(10/12) QB Morris great, Rgame Ok in shootout W (F Atl)
(10/4) QB Morris been great, Rgame awful. Over Team
(9/1) Great W @ S Al, Morris 415, run game bad, Def bad
(8/21) Starting DB/S I. Young out for the season.
(8/13) Brutal def LY esp. vs run, Off has much to find
(7/30) QB Morris (TCU) out spring, 20 portals in 2 deep
North Texas Highlights
North Texas offense is explosive (#20)
North Texas Deficiencies
North Texas Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#72)
North Texas run game is really bad (#40)
North Texas Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
North Texas Does Not Stuff Runs (#82)
North Texas has a bad defensive line (#38)
Power Rating: -9.10 #98
Offense Rating: 19.35 #70
Defense Rating: 14.51 #105
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.5 #89
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #27
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.0 #121
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 38%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.91 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.03 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
North Texas has played in 4 Bowls in the last 5 years (0 - 4)
North Texas has played in 12 Bowls since 2000 (2 - 10)
North Texas Notes
(11/25) 5 str L's, Def awful, R Def mauled. Bad vibes
(11/18) Def just abysmal (UTSA). Morris INTs, Rgame great
(11/17) DC Caponi after UTSA blowout
(10/20) Morris great, Rgame great, Def awful (Tulane L)
(10/12) QB Morris great, Rgame Ok in shootout W (F Atl)
(10/4) QB Morris been great, Rgame awful. Over Team
(9/1) Great W @ S Al, Morris 415, run game bad, Def bad
(8/21) Starting DB/S I. Young out for the season.
(8/13) Brutal def LY esp. vs run, Off has much to find
(7/30) QB Morris (TCU) out spring, 20 portals in 2 deep
North Texas Highlights
North Texas offense is explosive (#20)
North Texas Deficiencies
North Texas Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#72)
North Texas run game is really bad (#40)
North Texas Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
North Texas Does Not Stuff Runs (#82)
North Texas has a bad defensive line (#38)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | TXST | UNT |
| OverallOver | #13 | #75 |
| OffenseOff | #10 | #79 |
| DefenseDef | #20 | #81 |
| Special TeamsST | #37 | #53 |
| PassingPass | #21 | #29 |
| RushingRush | #29 | #20 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #23 | #105 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #8 | #73 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #13 | #63 |
| TacklingTkl | #58 | #49 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #14 | #46 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #8 | #103 |
| Coverage DefCov | #76 | #89 |
Rematch from Week 1
Texas State -15.5 (67.5)
Texas State won vs North Texas this year (30-28)
Previous Matchups
Texas State beat North Texas last year (30-28)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: UNT | TXST
Depth Chart: UNT | TXST
Rosters: UNT | TXST
(#52) Texas State Info
Power Rating: 3.95 #52
Offense Rating: 23.07 #38
Defense Rating: 5.36 #29
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4 #48
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #20
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #82
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.89 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Great Pass Success 48%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Good in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Texas State has played in 2 Bowls in the last 5 years (2 - 0)
Texas State has played in 2 Bowls since 2000 (2 - 0)
Texas State Notes
(11/29) Off torched S Al, 530 yds, Def forced 3 TOs
(11/25) Awful L vs Ga St, Def torched 500+, Off 4 TOs
(11/18) 2 str W's, killed SoMiss, McCloud/Rgame great
(11/3) 2 awful L's, season slipping, McCloud replaced?
(10/20) Off/McCloud awful in bad L (ODU), 2 TOs, woof
(10/12) Off 600 yds (271 rush) killing Ark St. Def OK
(10/4) Great Pass Off, run enough. TO's an issue, fun team
(9/12) Spread Off fun. McCloud looks great w/ weapons
(9/8) Dog fight W over Lamar? 2 TOs, 156 penalty yds!
(9/8) Torched UTSA, McCould good, Run D great
Texas State Highlights
Texas State has Really Good Running Game (#16)
Texas State offense is efficent (#32)
Texas State has a top Offensive Line (#68)
Texas State offense is good on 3rd downs
Texas State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#59)
Texas State has a good run defense (#121)
Texas State Front 7 is disruptive (#80)
Texas State Deficiencies
Texas State has a bad TO Margin (#54)
Texas State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
Texas State offense is not Explosive (#55)
Texas State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#123)
Power Rating: 3.95 #52
Offense Rating: 23.07 #38
Defense Rating: 5.36 #29
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4 #48
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #20
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #82
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.89 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Great Pass Success 48%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Good in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Texas State has played in 2 Bowls in the last 5 years (2 - 0)
Texas State has played in 2 Bowls since 2000 (2 - 0)
Texas State Notes
(11/29) Off torched S Al, 530 yds, Def forced 3 TOs
(11/25) Awful L vs Ga St, Def torched 500+, Off 4 TOs
(11/18) 2 str W's, killed SoMiss, McCloud/Rgame great
(11/3) 2 awful L's, season slipping, McCloud replaced?
(10/20) Off/McCloud awful in bad L (ODU), 2 TOs, woof
(10/12) Off 600 yds (271 rush) killing Ark St. Def OK
(10/4) Great Pass Off, run enough. TO's an issue, fun team
(9/12) Spread Off fun. McCloud looks great w/ weapons
(9/8) Dog fight W over Lamar? 2 TOs, 156 penalty yds!
(9/8) Torched UTSA, McCould good, Run D great
Texas State Highlights
Texas State has Really Good Running Game (#16)
Texas State offense is efficent (#32)
Texas State has a top Offensive Line (#68)
Texas State offense is good on 3rd downs
Texas State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#59)
Texas State has a good run defense (#121)
Texas State Front 7 is disruptive (#80)
Texas State Deficiencies
Texas State has a bad TO Margin (#54)
Texas State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
Texas State offense is not Explosive (#55)
Texas State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#123)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Morris (Tr) | 322 | 509 | 63% | 3774 | 31 | 12 | 7.4 |
| Drew Mestemaker | 30 | 46 | 65% | 462 | 2 | 2 | 10.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Porter | 97 | 648 | 5 | 6.7 | 79 |
| Makenzie McGill | 78 | 470 | 10 | 6.0 | 75 |
| Chandler Morris (Tr) | 60 | 242 | 4 | 4.0 | 49 |
| Kiefer Sibley | 44 | 206 | 0 | 4.7 | 19 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DT Sheffield (Tr) | 66 | 822 | 11 | 12.5 | 75 |
| Damon Ward Jr. | 41 | 755 | 4 | 18.4 | 57 |
| Blair Conwright | 40 | 542 | 7 | 13.6 | 96 |
| Miles Coleman | 36 | 378 | 2 | 10.5 | 49 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Smith | 106 | 8 | 0 | 12 | 2 |
| Jayden Hill (Tr) | 86 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Jordan Brown | 79 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Evan Jackson | 59 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breylon Charles | 29 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| Roderick Brown | 29 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| Chavez Brown | 49 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Ethan Wesloski | 57 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ridge Texada | 44 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Taylor Starling | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Brian Nelson II | 53 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan McCloud (Tr) | 272 | 389 | 70% | 3222 | 30 | 13 | 8.3 |
| RJ Martinez (Tr) | 18 | 24 | 75% | 148 | 0 | 1 | 6.2 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ismail Mahdi | 183 | 991 | 4 | 5.4 | 45 |
| Lincoln Pare | 94 | 547 | 8 | 5.8 | 73 |
| Torrance Burgess Jr. (Tr) | 60 | 367 | 2 | 6.1 | 57 |
| Jordan McCloud (Tr) | 74 | 278 | 7 | 3.8 | 42 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Williams (Tr) | 57 | 807 | 7 | 14.2 | 70 |
| Joey Hobert | 70 | 680 | 8 | 9.7 | 40 |
| Kole Wilson | 43 | 630 | 4 | 14.7 | 53 |
| Chris Dawn Jr. | 37 | 418 | 6 | 11.3 | 60 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Polk (Tr) | 68 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
| Ryan Nolan | 52 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| James Neal (Tr) | 50 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Max Harris (Tr) | 44 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalil Alexander | 40 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 2 |
| Steven Parker (Tr) | 29 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| Jo'Laison Landry | 33 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| Ben Bell | 13 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Mills | 33 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Bobby Crosby | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Joshua Eaton | 24 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 |