Texas State at Marshall Game Matchup
Texas State logo Texas State Bobcats at Marshall Thundering HerdMarshall logo
Saturday, October 18th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Joan C. Edwards Stadium - Huntington, WV  (Sun Belt)

 
Bobcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach G. J. Kinne (15 - 10)
Avg Score : 37 - 25 (34 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 5.3 (#63)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)
MRSH 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Texas State -10   (SP+ TXST -2)
Projected Score: TXST: 34 - MRSH: 24 (58)
TXST Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
TXST Travel: 1062 miles, 1 hrs behind
Thundering Herd (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Tony Gibson (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 23 (36 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#120)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
 
Texas State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Texas State vs Eastern Michigan-14.00.0
Sat 9/6 Texas State at UTSA+8
Sat 9/13 Texas State at Arizona State+22
Sat 9/20 Texas State vs Nicholls-19
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Texas State at Arkansas State-4
Sat 10/11 Texas State vs Troy-2
Sat 10/18 Texas State at Marshall-10
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/28 Texas State vs James Madison+4
Sat 11/8 Texas State at Louisiana+0.5
Sat 11/15 Texas State at Southern Miss-1.5
Sat 11/22 Texas State vs UL Monroe-13
Sat 11/29 Texas State vs South Alabama-0.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas State's Schedule
Marshall's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Marshall at Georgia+39.50.0
Sat 9/6 Marshall vs Missouri State-3.5
Sat 9/13 Marshall vs Eastern Kentucky-6.5
Sat 9/20 Marshall at Middle Tennessee+2
Sat 9/27 Marshall at Louisiana+13
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Marshall vs Old Dominion+4.5
Sat 10/18 Marshall vs Texas State+10
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/30 Marshall at Coastal Carolina+8.5
Sat 11/8 Marshall vs James Madison+16.5
Sat 11/15 Marshall at Georgia State+3
Sat 11/22 Marshall at App State+5.5
Sat 11/29 Marshall vs Georgia Southern+11

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Marshall's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TXST#25 (.25)48% (17)36.549% (14)3.41 (11)19448% (10)2453.89 (72)#50 (.14)39% (31)24.538% (21)39% (54)3.47 (33)56.51.61.2
MRSH#60 (.21)43% (66)31.845% (47)3.35 (18)20340% (88)1813.93 (66)#47 (.13)40% (46)23.143% (75)37% (21)3.87 (79)42.50.71.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TXST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MRSH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TXST Offense1336.533.848%3.891.6244381942455.252%47%49%48%13%.25
MRSH Defense1323.120.340%3.871.5 - - - - - 53%46%43%37%19%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TXST Defense1324.52438.6%3.471.2 - - - - - 51%48%38%39%19%.14
MRSH Offense1331.836.342.9%3.930.7203842031815.259%41%45%40%13%.21

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas State1328:1724.145%64%6.156.51.61.26.92.4231
Marshall1328:3919.840%59%5.442.50.71.56.62.6231.1
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TXST Offense1352% (59)49% (14)37.1193.75.225 (41).16 (49)3.41 (11)75% (53)8% (35)0.88 (110)
MRSH Defense1353% (99)43% (75) - - - - .17 (93)2.95 (57)70% (50)12% (30)1.11 (118)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TXST Defense1351% (72)38% (21) - - - - .12 (67)2.97 (60)68% (34)14% (7)1.13 (123)
MRSH Offense1359% (12)45% (47)38.8202.55.221 (59).22 (27)3.35 (18)76% (49)8% (32)1.06 (39)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TXST Offense1347% (86)48% (10)20.930.2244.78.111.730 (9)13 (103).4 (13)1.5 (91)29% (31)34% (41).32 (74)5% (44)1.7 (131)
MRSH Defense1346% (37)37% (21) - - - - - - 13 (31).13 (23)1.6 (58)34% (37)26% (14).24 (40)7% (25)2.2 (102)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TXST Defense1348% (56)39% (54) - - - - - - 7 (104).19 (45)1.6 (62)35% (23)29% (44).3 (65)5% (106)2.2 (110)
MRSH Offense1341% (123)40% (88)14.925.6181.17.112.127 (20)4 (1).23 (82)1.7 (36)30% (36)30% (84).25 (98)5% (52)2 (76)

Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: -2.23 #70
Texas State's Offense Rating: 13.59 #71
Texas State's Defense Rating: 15.82 #76
2025 Talent Rating: 554.00 #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #61
Texas State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.7 - 5.3
Texas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #92
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #65
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #111

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 526.43
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas State: -2.23   Marshall: -14.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas State: -7.2   Marshall: -9.4




Marshall's Power Ratings
Marshall's Power Rating: -14.7 #134
Marshall's Offense Rating: 1.32 #131
Marshall's Defense Rating: 26.32 #125
2025 Talent Rating: 470.00 #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #61
Marshall's 2025 Expected Record: 3.9 - 8.1
Marshall's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #99
Marshall's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #87
Marshall's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #110

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 526.43
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31


Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.8
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 24

Texas State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Texas State 34
Marshall 24

Projected Total Points: 58
Marshall Scoring
Offense: 31.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.3
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.3

Marshall's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Marshall000 Overs
Texas State000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#70) Texas State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.23 #70
Offense Rating: 13.59 #71
Defense Rating: 15.82 #76
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #92
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #111
Talent Rating: 554.00 #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #61
Expected Record: 6.7 - 5.3

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.89 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Great Pass Success 48%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Good in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Texas State Notes
(5/23) New OC Keopple downgrade Leftwich (T Tech)
(3/24) QB McCoy (Oreg St) likely, Yarnell (Pitt) #2
(3/24) RB Pare (#2 LY) looks good, Burrell (UNLV)
(3/24) WR rebuild. Dawn/Sparks exp'd, 3 portal adds
(3/24) OL 3/5 back, good LY. 1 portal, some depth
(3/24) Def fell apart late LY, replacing most everyone
(3/24) Def portals 5 DL, 4 LB, 5 DBs. Will take time
(3/24) Kinne great HC, but has a ton to replace TY
Texas State     Ratings Matchup     Marshall
Power #70
#134
Off #71
#131
Def #76
#125
Talent #92
#114
SP+ #92
#99
SP+ Off #65
#87
SP+ Def #111
#110

Weather Forecast
Playing in Joan C. Edwards Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TXST | MRSH
Depth Chart: TXST | MRSH
Rosters: TXST | MRSH
(#134) Marshall Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -14.7 #134
Offense Rating: 1.32 #131
Defense Rating: 26.32 #125
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #99
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #87
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #110
Talent Rating: 470.00 #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #61
Expected Record: 3.9 - 8.1

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.93 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Great Pass Def Success 37%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Marshall Notes
(3/22) 47 portals: 6 QB, 7 WR, 6 OL, 7 DL, 6 LB, 8 DB
(3/22) 3/4 of roster is new, along with staff
(3/22) QB Rio-Wilson(SU), Turner(JS), Shockey(NC St)
(3/22) RB Houston back, Barbie (McNeese) added
(3/22) WR complete rebuild, 7 portals, Harmon (MSU)
(3/22) OL 2/5 back, 6 portal adds.
(3/22) Def complete rebuild. 21 portal adds
(3/22) Shameful '24, bowl decline, Huff pushed out
(3/22) New OC Smith was RichRod's OC @ Jax St


  
Texas State's OC Landon Keopple
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nate Yarnell (Tr)9816759%10561056.3
Brad Jackson81553%118107.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Lincoln Pare9454785.873
Greg Burrell (Tr)6637035.642
Torrance Burgess Jr.6036726.157
Brad Jackson2317147.418
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Dawn Jr.37418611.360
Tiaquelin Mims (Tr)33393111.956
Beau Sparks25271210.824
Lincoln Pare12134011.222

View Texas State's Full Roster
Texas State's DC Dexter McCoil
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ryan Nolan521001
Kalil Alexander4011652
Jo'Laison Landry338540
DJ Jackson291001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kalil Alexander4011652
Jo'Laison Landry338540
Kenard Snyder (Tr)82200
Jermy Jackson Jr.21110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bobby Crosby181005
Trez Moore263024
Kalil Alexander4011652

Marshall's OC Rod Smith
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Zion Turner (Tr)010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Houston11159225.345
Michael Allen (Tr)1910805.736
Demarcus Lacey (Tr)51302.64
Zion Turner (Tr)1303.03
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Houston13173113.375
Toby Payne1716869.932
Demarcus Lacey (Tr)884010.517
Bryan Robinson882010.320

View Marshall's Full Roster
Marshall's DC Shannon Morrison
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marvae Myers-Glover (Tr)411004
TyQaze Leggs386162
Jadarius Green-McKnight381113
Jibreel Al-Amin (Tr)230010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jadarius Green-McKnight381113
RaQuan Thompson203120
Monroe Beard173100
Braydin Ward142101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marvae Myers-Glover (Tr)411004
Jadarius Green-McKnight381113
TyQaze Leggs386162