Texas State Bobcats at UTSA Roadrunners
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
UTSA -4.5 (64.5) (-190) Open: -4.5 | 66.5
Texas State 43 - UTSA: 36
Bobcats (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach G. J. Kinne (15 - 10)
Avg Score : 37 - 32 (29 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.7 - 3.3 (#29)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
Coach G. J. Kinne (15 - 10)
Avg Score : 37 - 32 (29 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.7 - 3.3 (#29)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
Our Line: UTSA -4.5 (SP+ UTSA -5)
Projected Score: TXST: 31 - UTSA: 36 (67)
UTSA Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
TXST Travel: 47 miles
Projected Score: TXST: 31 - UTSA: 36 (67)
UTSA Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
TXST Travel: 47 miles
Roadrunners (1 - 2) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Jeff Traylor (45 - 20)
Avg Score : 36 - 35 (42 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.4 - 5.6 (#76)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 8)
Coach Jeff Traylor (45 - 20)
Avg Score : 36 - 35 (42 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.4 - 5.6 (#76)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 8)
| Texas State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Texas State vs Eastern Michigan | -14.0 | 58.5 | W 52 - 27 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Texas State at UTSA | +4.5 | 64.5 | W 43 - 36 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Texas State at Arizona State | +18.5 | 61.5 | L 15 - 34 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Texas State vs Nicholls | -22 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/4 | Texas State at Arkansas State | -11.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Texas State vs Troy | -8 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Texas State at Marshall | -9.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/28 | Texas State vs James Madison | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Texas State at Louisiana | -6 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Texas State at Southern Miss | -1 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Texas State vs UL Monroe | -21 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Texas State vs South Alabama | -6.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Texas State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| UTSA's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | UTSA at Texas A&M | +21.5 | 56.5 | L 24 - 42 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | UTSA vs Texas State | -4.5 | 64.5 | L 36 - 43 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | UTSA vs Incarnate Word | -21.0 | 62.5 | W 48 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | UTSA at Colorado State | -4.5 | 59.5 | ||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/4 | UTSA at Temple | +0.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | UTSA vs Rice | -13.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | UTSA at North Texas | +7 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 10/30 | UTSA vs Tulane | +1.5 | |||||
| Thu 11/6 | UTSA at South Florida | +6 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | UTSA at Charlotte | -14.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | UTSA vs East Carolina | -1 | |||||
| Fri 11/28 | UTSA vs Army | -9.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for UTSA's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST | #27 (.36) | 50% (32) | 36.7 | 52% (30) | 3 (68) | 229 | 46% (52) | 228 | 5.05 (30) | #123 (.33) | 44% (101) | 32.3 | 51% (121) | 37% (51) | 4.56 (107) | 35.7 | 1 | 0 |
| UTSA | #34 (.32) | 43% (74) | 36 | 44% (72) | 3.17 (48) | 228 | 42% (81) | 209 | 4.8 (37) | #118 (.28) | 41% (77) | 35 | 37% (54) | 45% (101) | 6 (135) | 51.3 | 0 | 1.7 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST | #25 (.25) | 48% (17) | 49% (14) | 3.41 (11) | 194 | 48% (10) | 245 | 3.89 (72) | #50 (.14) | 39% (31) | 38% (21) | 39% (54) | 3.47 (33) | 56.5 | 1.6 | 1.2 | ||
| UTSA | #61 (.2) | 40% (100) | 37% (123) | 3.03 (70) | 169 | 43% (61) | 283 | 3.63 (94) | #42 (.13) | 34% (2) | 32% (1) | 36% (16) | 3.78 (66) | 81.1 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST Offense | 3 | 36.7 | 29 | 49.7% | 5.05 | 1 | 23 | 457 | 229 | 228 | 5.5 | 60% | 40% | 52% | 46% | 16% | .36 |
| UTSA Defense | 3 | 35 | 31.5 | 40.7% | 6 | 1.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 49% | 51% | 37% | 45% | 17% | .28 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST Defense | 3 | 32.3 | 35 | 43.7% | 4.56 | 0 | - | - | - | - | - | 49% | 51% | 51% | 37% | 14% | .33 |
| UTSA Offense | 3 | 36 | 42 | 42.9% | 4.8 | 0 | 21 | 437 | 228 | 209 | 6.8 | 44% | 56% | 44% | 42% | 17% | .32 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas State | 3 | 29:57 | 22.7 | 43% | 75% | 4 | 35.7 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 | 2 | 0 | 29.3 |
| UTSA | 3 | 32:45 | 21.3 | 36% | 38% | 5.3 | 51.3 | 0 | 1.7 | 5.7 | 1.7 | 0 | 29 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST Offense | 3 | 60% (19) | 52% (30) | 41.7 | 228.7 | 5.5 | 8 (26) | .32 (27) | 3 (68) | 70% (79) | 10% (93) | 1.11 (40) |
| UTSA Defense | 3 | 49% (59) | 37% (54) | - | - | - | - | .07 (68) | 2.17 (19) | 50% (19) | 10% (74) | 1.05 (89) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST Defense | 3 | 49% (57) | 51% (121) | - | - | - | - | .41 (132) | 3.28 (119) | 75% (80) | 9% (80) | 1.45 (129) |
| UTSA Offense | 3 | 44% (100) | 44% (72) | 33.7 | 228.3 | 6.8 | 7 (38) | .38 (15) | 3.17 (48) | 75% (52) | 12% (117) | 1.61 (3) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST Offense | 3 | 40% (116) | 46% (52) | 18.3 | 27.7 | 228 | 8.2 | 12.4 | 6 (34) | 1 (23) | .4 (44) | 1.6 (45) | 27% (36) | 39% (31) | .54 (34) | 6% (84) | 1.8 (95) |
| UTSA Defense | 3 | 51% (80) | 45% (101) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (28) | .49 (119) | 2 (132) | 36% (38) | 33% (94) | .53 (115) | 7% (41) | 2.3 (113) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST Defense | 3 | 51% (82) | 37% (51) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0 | .25 (79) | 1.6 (86) | 35% (48) | 39% (123) | .61 (124) | 5% (93) | 2.1 (81) |
| UTSA Offense | 3 | 56% (32) | 42% (81) | 24.3 | 37.3 | 209 | 5.6 | 8.6 | 7 (23) | 0 (1) | .28 (71) | 1.5 (87) | 35% (114) | 39% (28) | .69 (19) | 5% (57) | 2.4 (18) |
Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: 0.24 #79
Texas State's Offense Rating: 16.20 #45
Texas State's Defense Rating: 15.96 #104
2025 Talent Rating: 620.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Texas State's 2025 Expected Record: 8.7 - 3.3
Texas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.4 #80
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #45
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #111
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Texas State's Power Rating: 0.24 #79
Texas State's Offense Rating: 16.20 #45
Texas State's Defense Rating: 15.96 #104
2025 Talent Rating: 620.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Texas State's 2025 Expected Record: 8.7 - 3.3
Texas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.4 #80
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #45
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #111
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Texas State: 0.24 UTSA: 2.855
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas State: -3.4 UTSA: 1.2
Texas State: 0.24 UTSA: 2.855
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas State: -3.4 UTSA: 1.2
UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: 2.855 #80
UTSA's Offense Rating: 17.04 #43
UTSA's Defense Rating: 17.53 #109
2025 Talent Rating: 648.00 #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #46
UTSA's 2025 Expected Record: 6.4 - 5.6
UTSA's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #66
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #22
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #109
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
UTSA's Power Rating: 2.855 #80
UTSA's Offense Rating: 17.04 #43
UTSA's Defense Rating: 17.53 #109
2025 Talent Rating: 648.00 #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #46
UTSA's 2025 Expected Record: 6.4 - 5.6
UTSA's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #66
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #22
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #109
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 29
Defense: 32.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 35
Texas State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 36.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 29
Defense: 32.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 35
Texas State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
UTSA 36
Texas State 31
Total Points: 67
UTSA 36
Texas State 31
Total Points: 67
UTSA Scoring
Offense: 36 PPG
Offense at Home: 42
Defense: 35 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.5
UTSA's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 36 PPG
Offense at Home: 42
Defense: 35 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.5
UTSA's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 09/06 | UTSA | 36 | Texas State | 43 | Texas State | UTSA -4.5 | Texas State | 64.5 | Over |
| 2024 | 09/07 | Texas State | 49 | UTSA | 10 | Texas State | Texas State -2.5 | Texas State | 58.5 | Over |
| 2023 | 09/09 | UTSA | 20 | Texas State | 13 | UTSA | UT San Antonio -13.5 | Texas State | 66.5 | Under |
| 2020 | 09/12 | Texas State | 48 | UTSA | 51 | UTSA | Texas State -6.0 | UTSA | 56.5 | Over |
| 2018 | 09/22 | UTSA | 25 | Texas State | 21 | UTSA | UT San Antonio -7 | Texas State | 49.0 | Under |
| 2017 | 09/23 | Texas State | 14 | UTSA | 44 | UTSA | UT San Antonio -13.5 | UTSA | 45.0 | Over |
| 2012 | 11/24 | UTSA | 38 | Texas State | 31 | UTSA |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTSA | 5 | 2 | 4 Overs |
| Texas State | 2 | 4 | 2 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 4 - 3 | 1 - 5 | 1 - 4 | 0 - 1 |
| Road Teams | 3 - 4 | 5 - 1 | 1 - 0 | 4 - 1 |
(#79) Texas State Info
Power Rating: 0.24 #79
Offense Rating: 16.20 #45
Defense Rating: 15.96 #104
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.4 #80
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #45
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #111
Talent Rating: 620.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Expected Record: 8.7 - 3.3
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 40%
Good Offense Success Rate of 50%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5.05 PPO
Good Run Success 52%
Avg Pass Success 46%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.56 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Texas State has won 1 straight
Record on Road: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Texas State Notes
(9/4) Run Off mauled EMU, OL looked outstanding
(8/1) Over Bet Watch, Kinne Off trust, Def struggles
(8/1) OL 3/5 back, good LY. 3 portals, some depth
(8/1) Def portals 10 DL, 5 LB, 6 DBs. Will take time
(7/13) QB1? 4 guys will battle, Jackson & 3 portals
(6/11) RB Pare has 2K yds & 20 total TDs in his career
(5/23) New OC Keopple downgrade Leftwich (T Tech)
(3/24) RB Pare (#2 LY) looks good, Burrell (UNLV)
(3/24) WR rebuild. Dawn/Sparks exp'd, 3 portal adds
(3/24) Def fell apart late LY, replacing most everyone
Texas State Highlights
Texas State has Really Good Running Game (#16)
Texas State offense is good in red zone (#30)
Texas State commits very few Penalties (#25)
Texas State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)
Texas State Deficiencies
Texas State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Texas State has a bad defense (#101)
Texas State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#123)
Texas State has a bad defensive line (#119)
Texas State has a bad red zone defense (#107)
Power Rating: 0.24 #79
Offense Rating: 16.20 #45
Defense Rating: 15.96 #104
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.4 #80
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #45
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #111
Talent Rating: 620.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Expected Record: 8.7 - 3.3
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 40%
Good Offense Success Rate of 50%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5.05 PPO
Good Run Success 52%
Avg Pass Success 46%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.56 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Texas State has won 1 straight
Record on Road: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Texas State Notes
(9/4) Run Off mauled EMU, OL looked outstanding
(8/1) Over Bet Watch, Kinne Off trust, Def struggles
(8/1) OL 3/5 back, good LY. 3 portals, some depth
(8/1) Def portals 10 DL, 5 LB, 6 DBs. Will take time
(7/13) QB1? 4 guys will battle, Jackson & 3 portals
(6/11) RB Pare has 2K yds & 20 total TDs in his career
(5/23) New OC Keopple downgrade Leftwich (T Tech)
(3/24) RB Pare (#2 LY) looks good, Burrell (UNLV)
(3/24) WR rebuild. Dawn/Sparks exp'd, 3 portal adds
(3/24) Def fell apart late LY, replacing most everyone
Texas State Highlights
Texas State has Really Good Running Game (#16)
Texas State offense is good in red zone (#30)
Texas State commits very few Penalties (#25)
Texas State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)
Texas State Deficiencies
Texas State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Texas State has a bad defense (#101)
Texas State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#123)
Texas State has a bad defensive line (#119)
Texas State has a bad red zone defense (#107)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | UTSA | TXST |
| OverallOver | #88 | #47 |
| OffenseOff | #77 | #34 |
| DefenseDef | #101 | #78 |
| Special TeamsST | #111 | #15 |
| PassingPass | #42 | #95 |
| RushingRush | #33 | #4 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #106 | #33 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #88 | #41 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #70 | #53 |
| TacklingTkl | #104 | #109 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #94 | #84 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #97 | #41 |
| Coverage DefCov | #94 | #97 |
Rematch from Week 2
UTSA -4.5 (64.5)
Texas State won at UTSA this year (43-36)
Previous Matchups
Texas State beat UTSA last year (49-10)
UTSA beat Texas State in 2023 (20-13)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Alamodome
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: TXST | UTSA
Depth Chart: TXST | UTSA
Rosters: TXST | UTSA
(#80) UTSA Info
Power Rating: 2.855 #80
Offense Rating: 17.04 #43
Defense Rating: 17.53 #109
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #66
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #22
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #109
Talent Rating: 648.00 #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #46
Expected Record: 6.4 - 5.6
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.8 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Poor OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 41%
Awful in Scoring Position 6 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 37%
Poor Pass Def Success 45%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
UTSA has lost 1 straight
Record at home: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
UTSA Notes
(7/20) RB Emery Jr (5*, LSU) fun add if healthy
(7/6) WR good/deep, 4/6 back. TE Thomas a weapon
(7/6) Proj #1 WR Clark will not play in 2025, NFL
(7/4) Def bad LY, 12 portal adds, 3 DL & 6 DBs
(6/25) Sched opp no Mem/Navy, Tul/Army/ECU home
(6/2) RB Henry returns (#2 LY), depth must develop
(5/11) Most exp'd returning OL in CFB
(4/29) FCS WR AJ Wilson avg'd 28.4 ypc @ Hou Chr LY
(3/24) QB McCown a great one w/ wheels
(3/24) OL 5/5 back, but bad LY. 3 portal adds. Jump?
UTSA Highlights
UTSA has Really Good Running Game (#17)
UTSA offense is explosive (#11)
UTSA Defensive Line is very good (#19)
UTSA has a great TO Margin (#1)
UTSA defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
UTSA Deficiencies
UTSA Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
UTSA Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
UTSA gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#130)
UTSA has a bad red zone defense (#135)
Power Rating: 2.855 #80
Offense Rating: 17.04 #43
Defense Rating: 17.53 #109
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #66
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #22
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #109
Talent Rating: 648.00 #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #46
Expected Record: 6.4 - 5.6
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.8 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Poor OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 41%
Awful in Scoring Position 6 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 37%
Poor Pass Def Success 45%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
UTSA has lost 1 straight
Record at home: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
UTSA Notes
(7/20) RB Emery Jr (5*, LSU) fun add if healthy
(7/6) WR good/deep, 4/6 back. TE Thomas a weapon
(7/6) Proj #1 WR Clark will not play in 2025, NFL
(7/4) Def bad LY, 12 portal adds, 3 DL & 6 DBs
(6/25) Sched opp no Mem/Navy, Tul/Army/ECU home
(6/2) RB Henry returns (#2 LY), depth must develop
(5/11) Most exp'd returning OL in CFB
(4/29) FCS WR AJ Wilson avg'd 28.4 ypc @ Hou Chr LY
(3/24) QB McCown a great one w/ wheels
(3/24) OL 5/5 back, but bad LY. 3 portal adds. Jump?
UTSA Highlights
UTSA has Really Good Running Game (#17)
UTSA offense is explosive (#11)
UTSA Defensive Line is very good (#19)
UTSA has a great TO Margin (#1)
UTSA defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
UTSA Deficiencies
UTSA Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
UTSA Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
UTSA gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#130)
UTSA has a bad red zone defense (#135)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Jackson | 55 | 82 | 67% | 684 | 6 | 1 | 8.3 |
| Keldric Luster (Tr) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln Pare | 46 | 299 | 2 | 6.5 | 57 |
| Jaylen Jenkins | 16 | 140 | 2 | 8.8 | 58 |
| Greg Burrell (Tr) | 12 | 98 | 1 | 8.2 | 20 |
| Brad Jackson | 35 | 91 | 3 | 2.6 | 24 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beau Sparks | 22 | 307 | 5 | 14.0 | 73 |
| Chris Dawn Jr. | 8 | 160 | 0 | 20.0 | 56 |
| Lincoln Pare | 8 | 69 | 0 | 8.6 | 20 |
| Kylen Evans | 6 | 44 | 1 | 7.3 | 13 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treylin Payne | 23 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Ryan Nolan | 21 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Kenard Snyder (Tr) | 13 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Ayden Jones (Tr) | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treylin Payne | 23 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Kenard Snyder (Tr) | 13 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Kalil Alexander | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Donterry Russell (Tr) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Mitchell | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Bobby Crosby | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Treylin Payne | 23 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen McCown | 71 | 110 | 65% | 578 | 6 | 0 | 5.3 |
| Brandon Tennison | 2 | 2 | 100% | 49 | 1 | 0 | 24.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Henry | 47 | 480 | 6 | 10.2 | 75 |
| Will Henderson III | 23 | 94 | 0 | 4.1 | 23 |
| Owen McCown | 11 | 57 | 0 | 5.2 | 22 |
| A'Marion Peterson (Tr) | 13 | 36 | 1 | 2.8 | 10 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Mccuin | 18 | 167 | 2 | 9.3 | 42 |
| AJ Wilson (Tr) | 6 | 151 | 2 | 25.2 | 77 |
| Houston Thomas | 9 | 84 | 0 | 9.3 | 21 |
| David Amador | 5 | 70 | 0 | 14.0 | 22 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shadrach Banks | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jimmy Wyrick | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| KK Meier (Tr) | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Brandon Tucker Jr. | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenny Ozowalu | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Timothy Huff Jr. | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Daemian Wimberly | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jonathan Jones | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakevian Rodgers | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| KK Meier (Tr) | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Johnny Bowens III | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |