Incarnate Word at Texas State - 2021 Matchup Preview
Incarnate Word logo   Incarnate Word Cardinals at Texas State Bobcats  Texas State logo
Saturday, September 18th 2021 (7:00 PM EDT)
Texas State -10.5 (70.0)
Incarnate Word 42 - Texas State: 34

 
Cardinals (1 - 0) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 20 - 48 (20 - 48 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -5.5  (SP+ TXST -16)
TXST Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
Bobcats (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jake Spavital (6 - 21)
Avg Score : 37 - 29 (38 - 28 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Incarnate Word's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/18 Incarnate Word at Texas State+10.570.0W 42 - 34OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Incarnate Word's Schedule
Texas State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Texas State vs Baylor+13.552.5L 20 - 29UY
Sat 9/11 Texas State at Florida International+2.055.5W 23 - 17UY
Sat 9/18 Texas State vs Incarnate Word-10.570.0L 34 - 42ON
Sat 9/25 Texas State at Eastern Michigan+7.562.0L 21 - 59ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/9 Texas State vs South Alabama+4.052.5W 33 - 31OY
Sat 10/16 Texas State vs Troy+7.549.0L 28 - 31OY
Sat 10/23 Texas State at Georgia State+10.058.5L 16 - 28UN
Sat 10/30 Texas State at Louisiana+21.058.0L 0 - 45UN
Sat 11/6 Texas State vs UL Monroe-3.057.5W 27 - 19UY
Sat 11/13 Texas State vs Georgia Southern-2.552.0L 30 - 38ON
Sat 11/20 Texas State at Coastal Carolina+24.560.5L 21 - 35UY
Sat 11/27 Texas State at Arkansas State+2.062.0W 24 - 22UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas State's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IW0%200%000%000%480%0%0000
TXST.1440%36.541%2.8613140%2393.7.2849%2949%49%4.3849.31.51.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IW0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TXST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IW Offense020200%00000000%0%0%0%0%
TXST Defense122928.349.2%4.381.3 - - - - - 54%46%49%49%12%.28
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IW Defense048480%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
TXST Offense1236.53840.3%3.71.5213701312394.244%56%41%40%20%.14

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Incarnate Word00:000NAN%0%0000000100
Texas State1225:4420.633%38%5.249.31.51.34.51327.4
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IW Offense00%0%000000%0%0
TXST Defense1254%49% - - - - .183.1670%8%0.89
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IW Defense00%0% - - - - 00%0%0
TXST Offense1244%41%31131.44.215.142.8673%13%1.07

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IW Offense00%0%000000000%0%0%0
TXST Defense1246%49% - - - - - - 7.411.528%37%.485%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IW Defense00%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
TXST Offense1256%40%20.633.7238.77.111.62614.141.634%29%.197%2

Incarnate Word's Power Ratings
Incarnate Word's Power Rating: NR
Incarnate Word's Offense Rating: NR
Incarnate Word's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #183
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Incarnate Word's 2021 Expected Record: -
Incarnate Word's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Incarnate Word's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Incarnate Word's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Southland Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Incarnate Word:    Texas State: -5.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Incarnate Word:    Texas State: -16.0




Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: -5.5 NR
Texas State's Offense Rating: NR
Texas State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Texas State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Texas State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.0  #119
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.7  #111
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.9  #121

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Incarnate Word Scoring
Offense: 20 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 48 PPG
Defense on Road: 48

Incarnate Word's 2021 Record
Record: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Texas State 43
Incarnate Word 25

Projected Total Points: 68
Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38
Defense: 29 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.3

Texas State's 2021 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202109/18Texas State34Incarnate Word42Texas State -10.5Incarnate Word70.0Over
201610/01Texas State48Incarnate Word17Texas State -17Texas State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas State111 Overs
Incarnate Word110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#) IW at (#) TXST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatIWTXST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NR #119
Perf GradeGradeNR #105
OffenseOffNR #71
DefenseDefNR #117
Spec TeamsSTNR #50
TalentTal #183 #97
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Incarnate Word on Offense
CategoryCat
IW OffTXST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #117
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NR #121
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Incarnate Word Run Game
CategoryCat
IW OffTXST Def
Run GameRunNR #97
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #125
Incarnate Word Pass Game
CategoryCat
IW OffTXST Def
Pass GamePassNR #127
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #111
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Texas State on Offense
CategoryCatTXST OffIW Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #71NR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #111NR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Texas State Run Game
CategoryCat
TXST OffIW Def
Run GameRun #102NR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #25 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Texas State Pass Game
CategoryCatTXST OffIW Def
Pass GamePass #105NR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #56NR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TXST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

IW 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'21 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
Texas State -10.5 (70.0)
Incarnate Word won at Texas State this year (42-34)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
IW's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Incarnate Word's Full Roster

IW's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TXST's OC Jacob Peeler (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Texas State's Full Roster

TXST's DC Zac Spavital (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD