Texas State Bobcats at UL Monroe Warhawks
Saturday, November 9th 2024 (12:00 PM EST)
Texas State -9.5 (50.0) (-290) Open: -7.0 | 48.5
Texas State 38 - UL Monroe: 17 (Sun Belt)
Bobcats (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach G. J. Kinne (8 - 5)
Avg Score : 37 - 25 (34 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Coach G. J. Kinne (8 - 5)
Avg Score : 37 - 25 (34 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Our Line: Texas State -21 (SP+ TXST -22)
Projected Score: TXST: 37 - ULM: 16 (53)
TXST Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
TXST Travel: 391 miles
Projected Score: TXST: 37 - ULM: 16 (53)
TXST Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
TXST Travel: 391 miles
Warhawks (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Bryant Vincent (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 21 - 29 (27 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
Coach Bryant Vincent (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 21 - 29 (27 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
| Texas State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Texas State vs Lamar | -26 | |||||
| Sat 9/7 | Texas State vs UTSA | -2.5 | 58.5 | W 49 - 10 | O | Y | |
| Thu 9/12 | Texas State vs Arizona State | -2.5 | 58.5 | L 28 - 31 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/28 | Texas State vs Sam Houston | -11.0 | 55.0 | L 39 - 40 | O | N | |
| Thu 10/3 | Texas State at Troy | -14.5 | 56.0 | W 38 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Texas State vs Arkansas State | -13.5 | 66.0 | W 41 - 9 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Texas State at Old Dominion | -10.5 | 60.0 | L 14 - 24 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/29 | Texas State vs Louisiana | -4.0 | 60.5 | L 17 - 23 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/9 | Texas State at UL Monroe | -9.5 | 50.0 | W 38 - 17 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/16 | Texas State vs Southern Miss | -27.5 | 56.5 | W 58 - 3 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Texas State vs Georgia State | -23.0 | 59.5 | L 44 - 52 | O | N | |
| Fri 11/29 | Texas State at South Alabama | -2.5 | 60.5 | W 45 - 38 | O | Y | |
| Fri 1/3 | Texas State vs North Texas | -15.5 | 67.5 | W 30 - 28 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Predictions for Texas State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
| UL Monroe's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/29 | UL Monroe vs Jackson State | -4.5 | 45.5 | W 30 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | UL Monroe vs UAB | +10.5 | 55.5 | W 32 - 6 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/21 | UL Monroe at Texas | +43.5 | 54.5 | L 3 - 51 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | UL Monroe at Troy | +6.0 | 46.0 | W 13 - 9 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/5 | UL Monroe vs James Madison | +16.5 | 48.5 | W 21 - 19 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | UL Monroe vs Southern Miss | -4.5 | 41.0 | W 38 - 21 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/26 | UL Monroe at South Alabama | +7.0 | 45.0 | L 17 - 46 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | UL Monroe at Marshall | +10.5 | 48.0 | L 23 - 28 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/9 | UL Monroe vs Texas State | +9.5 | 50.0 | L 17 - 38 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | UL Monroe at Auburn | +24.5 | 46.0 | L 14 - 48 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | UL Monroe at Arkansas State | +3.0 | 51.5 | L 21 - 28 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | UL Monroe vs Louisiana | +8.5 | 50.5 | L 23 - 37 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Predictions for UL Monroe's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST | #25 (.25) | 48% (17) | 36.5 | 49% (14) | 3.41 (11) | 194 | 48% (10) | 245 | 3.89 (72) | #50 (.14) | 39% (31) | 24.5 | 38% (21) | 39% (54) | 3.47 (33) | 56.5 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| ULM | #94 (.15) | 37% (121) | 21 | 40% (102) | 2.93 (87) | 173 | 33% (128) | 135 | 3.33 (117) | #89 (.2) | 47% (120) | 28.8 | 53% (134) | 39% (53) | 4.12 (99) | 43.3 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST | #25 (.25) | 48% (17) | 49% (14) | 3.41 (11) | 194 | 48% (10) | 245 | 3.89 (72) | #50 (.14) | 39% (31) | 38% (21) | 39% (54) | 3.47 (33) | 56.5 | 1.6 | 1.2 | ||
| ULM | #94 (.15) | 37% (121) | 40% (102) | 2.93 (87) | 173 | 33% (128) | 135 | 3.33 (117) | #89 (.2) | 47% (120) | 53% (134) | 39% (53) | 4.12 (99) | 43.3 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST Offense | 13 | 36.5 | 33.8 | 48% | 3.89 | 1.6 | 24 | 438 | 194 | 245 | 5.2 | 52% | 47% | 49% | 48% | 13% | .25 |
| ULM Defense | 12 | 28.8 | 22.5 | 46.9% | 4.12 | 1.1 | - | - | - | - | - | 57% | 42% | 53% | 39% | 13% | .2 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST Defense | 13 | 24.5 | 24 | 38.6% | 3.47 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 48% | 38% | 39% | 19% | .14 |
| ULM Offense | 12 | 21 | 26.8 | 37.4% | 3.33 | 1.3 | 15 | 308 | 173 | 135 | 4.6 | 62% | 37% | 40% | 33% | 15% | .15 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas State | 13 | 28:17 | 24.1 | 45% | 64% | 6.1 | 56.5 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 6.9 | 2.4 | 2 | 31 |
| UL Monroe | 12 | 30:46 | 15.3 | 33% | 67% | 5.9 | 43.3 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 1 | 30.3 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST Offense | 13 | 52% (59) | 49% (14) | 37.1 | 193.7 | 5.2 | 25 (41) | .16 (49) | 3.41 (11) | 75% (53) | 8% (35) | 0.88 (110) |
| ULM Defense | 12 | 57% (127) | 53% (134) | - | - | - | - | .24 (122) | 3.48 (129) | 89% (133) | 8% (117) | 0.89 (26) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST Defense | 13 | 51% (72) | 38% (21) | - | - | - | - | .12 (67) | 2.97 (60) | 68% (34) | 14% (7) | 1.13 (123) |
| ULM Offense | 12 | 62% (6) | 40% (102) | 37.8 | 172.8 | 4.6 | 17 (84) | .16 (54) | 2.93 (87) | 74% (64) | 10% (75) | 1.12 (15) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST Offense | 13 | 47% (86) | 48% (10) | 20.9 | 30.2 | 244.7 | 8.1 | 11.7 | 30 (9) | 13 (103) | .4 (13) | 1.5 (91) | 29% (31) | 34% (41) | .32 (74) | 5% (44) | 1.7 (131) |
| ULM Defense | 12 | 42% (6) | 39% (53) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 6 (109) | .17 (38) | 1.5 (20) | 29% (110) | 30% (53) | .27 (50) | 5% (111) | 1.8 (17) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST Defense | 13 | 48% (56) | 39% (54) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7 (104) | .19 (45) | 1.6 (62) | 35% (23) | 29% (44) | .3 (65) | 5% (106) | 2.2 (110) |
| ULM Offense | 12 | 37% (128) | 33% (128) | 11.2 | 20.5 | 134.8 | 6.6 | 12.1 | 11 (122) | 12 (85) | .14 (110) | 1.9 (8) | 34% (118) | 28% (106) | .27 (92) | 5% (26) | 2 (87) |
Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: 2.50 #52
Texas State's Offense Rating: 23.07 #38
Texas State's Defense Rating: 5.36 #29
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Texas State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Texas State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4 #48
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #20
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #82
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Texas State's Power Rating: 2.50 #52
Texas State's Offense Rating: 23.07 #38
Texas State's Defense Rating: 5.36 #29
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Texas State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Texas State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4 #48
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #20
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #82
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Texas State: 2.50 UL Monroe: -16.885
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas State: 5.4 UL Monroe: -16.7
Texas State: 2.50 UL Monroe: -16.885
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas State: 5.4 UL Monroe: -16.7
UL Monroe's Power Ratings
UL Monroe's Power Rating: -16.885 #123
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: 11.51 #124
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: 16.26 #115
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
UL Monroe's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
UL Monroe's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.7 #122
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.9 #126
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.5 #106
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
UL Monroe's Power Rating: -16.885 #123
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: 11.51 #124
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: 16.26 #115
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
UL Monroe's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
UL Monroe's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.7 #122
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.9 #126
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.5 #106
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.8
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 24
Texas State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.8
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 24
Texas State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Texas State 37
UL Monroe 16
Total Points: 53
Texas State 37
UL Monroe 16
Total Points: 53
UL Monroe Scoring
Offense: 21 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.8
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.5
UL Monroe's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Offense: 21 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.8
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.5
UL Monroe's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/09 | UL Monroe | 17 | Texas State | 38 | Texas State | Texas State -9.5 | Texas State | 50.0 | Over |
| 2023 | 10/14 | Texas State | 21 | UL Monroe | 20 | Texas State | Texas State -18.5 | UL Monroe | 64.5 | Under |
| 2022 | 11/05 | UL Monroe | 31 | Texas State | 30 | UL Monroe | Louisiana Monroe -2.5 | Texas State | 52.5 | Over |
| 2021 | 11/06 | Texas State | 27 | UL Monroe | 19 | Texas State | Texas State -3 | Texas State | 57.5 | Under |
| 2020 | 09/19 | UL Monroe | 17 | Texas State | 38 | Texas State | Texas State -3 | Texas State | 58.0 | Under |
| 2019 | 10/10 | Texas State | 14 | UL Monroe | 24 | UL Monroe | Louisiana Monroe -3.5 | UL Monroe | 60.5 | Under |
| 2018 | 10/20 | UL Monroe | 20 | Texas State | 14 | UL Monroe | Louisiana Monroe -10.5 | Texas State | 60.0 | Under |
| 2017 | 10/07 | Texas State | 27 | UL Monroe | 45 | UL Monroe | Louisiana Monroe -6 | UL Monroe | 55.0 | Over |
| 2016 | 10/15 | UL Monroe | 40 | Texas State | 34 | UL Monroe | Louisiana Monroe -4.5 | UL Monroe | 66.5 | Over |
| 2015 | 11/19 | Texas State | 16 | UL Monroe | 3 | Texas State | Texas State -5 | Texas State | 58.5 | Under |
| 2014 | 10/25 | UL Monroe | 18 | Texas State | 22 | Texas State | Louisiana Monroe -2 | Texas State | 0 | |
| 2013 | 10/12 | Texas State | 14 | UL Monroe | 21 | UL Monroe | Texas State -6 | UL Monroe | 0 | |
| 2000 | 09/29 | UL Monroe | 7 | Texas State | 27 | Texas State |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| UL Monroe | 6 | 5 | 4 Overs |
| Texas State | 7 | 7 | 6 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 6 - 7 | 3 - 9 | 3 - 5 | 0 - 4 |
| Road Teams | 7 - 6 | 9 - 3 | 4 - 0 | 5 - 3 |
(#52) Texas State Info
Power Rating: 2.50 #52
Offense Rating: 23.07 #38
Defense Rating: 5.36 #29
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4 #48
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #20
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #82
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.89 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Great Pass Success 48%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Good in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Texas State has lost 2 straight
Texas State has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 1 (3 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Texas State Notes
(11/29) Off torched S Al, 530 yds, Def forced 3 TOs
(11/25) Awful L vs Ga St, Def torched 500+, Off 4 TOs
(11/18) 2 str W's, killed SoMiss, McCloud/Rgame great
(11/3) 2 awful L's, season slipping, McCloud replaced?
(10/20) Off/McCloud awful in bad L (ODU), 2 TOs, woof
(10/12) Off 600 yds (271 rush) killing Ark St. Def OK
(10/4) Great Pass Off, run enough. TO's an issue, fun team
(9/12) Spread Off fun. McCloud looks great w/ weapons
(9/8) Dog fight W over Lamar? 2 TOs, 156 penalty yds!
(9/8) Torched UTSA, McCould good, Run D great
Texas State Highlights
Texas State has Really Good Running Game (#16)
Texas State offense is efficent (#32)
Texas State has a top Offensive Line (#68)
Texas State offense is good on 3rd downs
Texas State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#59)
Texas State has a good run defense (#121)
Texas State Front 7 is disruptive (#80)
Texas State Deficiencies
Texas State has a bad TO Margin (#54)
Texas State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
Texas State offense is not Explosive (#55)
Texas State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#123)
Power Rating: 2.50 #52
Offense Rating: 23.07 #38
Defense Rating: 5.36 #29
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4 #48
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #20
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #82
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.89 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Great Pass Success 48%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Good in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Texas State has lost 2 straight
Texas State has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 1 (3 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Texas State Notes
(11/29) Off torched S Al, 530 yds, Def forced 3 TOs
(11/25) Awful L vs Ga St, Def torched 500+, Off 4 TOs
(11/18) 2 str W's, killed SoMiss, McCloud/Rgame great
(11/3) 2 awful L's, season slipping, McCloud replaced?
(10/20) Off/McCloud awful in bad L (ODU), 2 TOs, woof
(10/12) Off 600 yds (271 rush) killing Ark St. Def OK
(10/4) Great Pass Off, run enough. TO's an issue, fun team
(9/12) Spread Off fun. McCloud looks great w/ weapons
(9/8) Dog fight W over Lamar? 2 TOs, 156 penalty yds!
(9/8) Torched UTSA, McCould good, Run D great
Texas State Highlights
Texas State has Really Good Running Game (#16)
Texas State offense is efficent (#32)
Texas State has a top Offensive Line (#68)
Texas State offense is good on 3rd downs
Texas State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#59)
Texas State has a good run defense (#121)
Texas State Front 7 is disruptive (#80)
Texas State Deficiencies
Texas State has a bad TO Margin (#54)
Texas State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
Texas State offense is not Explosive (#55)
Texas State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#123)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | ULM | TXST |
| OverallOver | #85 | #13 |
| OffenseOff | #89 | #10 |
| DefenseDef | #92 | #20 |
| Special TeamsST | #95 | #37 |
| PassingPass | #86 | #21 |
| RushingRush | #13 | #29 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #102 | #23 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #75 | #8 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #79 | #13 |
| TacklingTkl | #79 | #58 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #109 | #14 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #85 | #8 |
| Coverage DefCov | #25 | #76 |
Rematch from Week 11
Texas State 9.5 (50.0)
Texas State won at UL Monroe this year (38-17)
Previous Matchups
Texas State beat UL Monroe last year (38-17)
Texas State beat UL Monroe in 2023 (21-20)
UL Monroe beat Texas State in 2022 (31-30)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Malone Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: TXST | ULM
Depth Chart: TXST | ULM
Rosters: TXST | ULM
(#123) UL Monroe Info
Power Rating: -16.885 #123
Offense Rating: 11.51 #124
Defense Rating: 16.26 #115
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.7 #122
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.9 #126
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.5 #106
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.33 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.12 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 53%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
UL Monroe has lost 2 straight
UL Monroe has won 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
UL Monroe Notes
(11/3) Run D bad vs Marshall, 2 straight L's now
(11/3) OL coach is unhinged and under investigation
(10/27) Run D abused (S Al), 358 yds, 7.8 ypc, QBs awful
(10/12) Rushed 246 yds (5.9 ypc), D held SMiss 1-13 3rds
(10/8) Off very slow pace. Limited possessions.
(10/8) Great W over JMU. OG'd but timely Def, pass D
(10/8) Incredible job by Vincent so far. UAB's mistake
(10/4) Off near worst, Def v good so far. Somehow 3-1
(7/30) New QB Booty (OU) leads a roster full of Transfers
(7/30) RB Smith decent, top 6 WR gone, OL has 1/5 back
UL Monroe Highlights
UL Monroe offense is explosive (#4)
UL Monroe defense does not give up big plays (#42)
UL Monroe Deficiencies
UL Monroe offense is really bad (#127)
UL Monroe offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#75)
UL Monroe run game is really bad (#105)
UL Monroe pass game is really bad (#121)
UL Monroe offense is bad on 3rd Downs
UL Monroe does not Sack the QB (#112)
UL Monroe has a bad defense (#130)
UL Monroe Does Not Stuff Runs (#136)
UL Monroe has a bad defensive line (#134)
Power Rating: -16.885 #123
Offense Rating: 11.51 #124
Defense Rating: 16.26 #115
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.7 #122
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.9 #126
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.5 #106
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.33 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.12 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 53%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
UL Monroe has lost 2 straight
UL Monroe has won 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
UL Monroe Notes
(11/3) Run D bad vs Marshall, 2 straight L's now
(11/3) OL coach is unhinged and under investigation
(10/27) Run D abused (S Al), 358 yds, 7.8 ypc, QBs awful
(10/12) Rushed 246 yds (5.9 ypc), D held SMiss 1-13 3rds
(10/8) Off very slow pace. Limited possessions.
(10/8) Great W over JMU. OG'd but timely Def, pass D
(10/8) Incredible job by Vincent so far. UAB's mistake
(10/4) Off near worst, Def v good so far. Somehow 3-1
(7/30) New QB Booty (OU) leads a roster full of Transfers
(7/30) RB Smith decent, top 6 WR gone, OL has 1/5 back
UL Monroe Highlights
UL Monroe offense is explosive (#4)
UL Monroe defense does not give up big plays (#42)
UL Monroe Deficiencies
UL Monroe offense is really bad (#127)
UL Monroe offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#75)
UL Monroe run game is really bad (#105)
UL Monroe pass game is really bad (#121)
UL Monroe offense is bad on 3rd Downs
UL Monroe does not Sack the QB (#112)
UL Monroe has a bad defense (#130)
UL Monroe Does Not Stuff Runs (#136)
UL Monroe has a bad defensive line (#134)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan McCloud (Tr) | 272 | 389 | 70% | 3222 | 30 | 13 | 8.3 |
| RJ Martinez (Tr) | 18 | 24 | 75% | 148 | 0 | 1 | 6.2 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ismail Mahdi | 183 | 991 | 4 | 5.4 | 45 |
| Lincoln Pare | 94 | 547 | 8 | 5.8 | 73 |
| Torrance Burgess Jr. (Tr) | 60 | 367 | 2 | 6.1 | 57 |
| Jordan McCloud (Tr) | 74 | 278 | 7 | 3.8 | 42 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Williams (Tr) | 57 | 807 | 7 | 14.2 | 70 |
| Joey Hobert | 70 | 680 | 8 | 9.7 | 40 |
| Kole Wilson | 43 | 630 | 4 | 14.7 | 53 |
| Chris Dawn Jr. | 37 | 418 | 6 | 11.3 | 60 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Polk (Tr) | 68 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
| Ryan Nolan | 52 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| James Neal (Tr) | 50 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Max Harris (Tr) | 44 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalil Alexander | 40 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 2 |
| Steven Parker (Tr) | 29 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| Jo'Laison Landry | 33 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| Ben Bell | 13 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Mills | 33 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Bobby Crosby | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Joshua Eaton | 24 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Armenta | 102 | 188 | 54% | 1294 | 9 | 10 | 6.9 |
| General Booty (Tr) | 29 | 54 | 54% | 306 | 2 | 2 | 5.7 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahmad Hardy | 237 | 1352 | 13 | 5.7 | 80 |
| James Jones | 79 | 336 | 1 | 4.3 | 24 |
| Taven Curry (Tr) | 32 | 153 | 0 | 4.8 | 15 |
| Hunter Herring | 16 | 116 | 2 | 7.3 | 44 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Godfrey | 24 | 265 | 2 | 11.0 | 57 |
| Davon Wells | 29 | 262 | 2 | 9.0 | 51 |
| Tyler Griffin (Tr) | 8 | 193 | 1 | 24.1 | 40 |
| Javon Campbell | 8 | 176 | 1 | 22.0 | 44 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wydett Williams | 90 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| Carl Glass Jr. | 78 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Travor Randle | 63 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 |
| Carl Fauntroy Jr. | 49 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Pullen | 41 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| Tristan Shorter | 16 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| Kevontay Wells | 46 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| Carl Glass Jr. | 78 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travor Randle | 63 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 |
| Wydett Williams | 90 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| Carl Fauntroy Jr. | 49 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |