Texas State at Coastal Carolina - 2023 Matchup Preview

Texas State Bobcats at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

Saturday, November 11th 2023 (3:30 PM EST)
Texas State -2.5 (55.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Coastal Carolina 31 - Texas State: 23 (Sun Belt)

Bobcats (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach G. J. Kinne (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 37 - 25 (34 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 5.2 (#47)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Heavy Rain Predicted
CCU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Coastal Carolina -3 (SP+ CCU -1)
Projected Score: TXST: 27 - CCU: 30 (61)
TXST Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
TXST Travel: 1140 miles, 1 hrs behind

Chanticleers (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Tim Beck (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 29 - 32 (30 - 31 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.5 - 5.5 (#50)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TXST Players
CCU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Texas State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Texas State at Baylor	+26.5	58.5	W 42 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Texas State at UTSA	+13.5	66.5	L 13 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Texas State vs Jackson State	-17.5	61.5	W 77 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Texas State vs Nevada	-17.0	60.0	W 35 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/30	Texas State at Southern Miss	-6.5	60.0	W 50 - 36	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Texas State at Louisiana	+1.0	67.5	L 30 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/14	Texas State vs UL Monroe	-18.5	64.5	W 21 - 20	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Texas State vs Troy	+6.5	53.0	L 13 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/4	Texas State vs Georgia Southern	+2.0	69.0	W 45 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Texas State at Coastal Carolina	-2.5	55.5	L 23 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/18	Texas State at Arkansas State	-3.5	59.5	L 31 - 77	O	N
Sat 11/25	Texas State vs South Alabama	+6.5	57.0	W 52 - 44	O	Y
Tue 12/26	Texas State vs Rice	-3.5	58.5	W 45 - 21	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas State's Schedule

Coastal Carolina's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Coastal Carolina at UCLA	+15.5	66.5	L 13 - 27	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Coastal Carolina vs Jacksonville State	-13.5	61.0	W 30 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Coastal Carolina vs Duquesne	-35.0	55.5	W 66 - 7	O	Y
Thu 9/21	Coastal Carolina vs Georgia State	-4.5	62.5	L 17 - 30	U	N
Sat 9/30	Coastal Carolina at Georgia Southern	+6.0	67.5	L 28 - 38	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/10	Coastal Carolina at App State	+4.5	59.0	W 27 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Coastal Carolina at Arkansas State	-8.5	59.0	W 27 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Coastal Carolina vs Marshall	+3.5	47.0	W 34 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Coastal Carolina at Old Dominion	-1.0	51.0	W 28 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Coastal Carolina vs Texas State	+2.5	55.5	W 31 - 23	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Coastal Carolina at Army	-1.5	40.5	L 21 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/25	Coastal Carolina vs James Madison	+9.5	50.5	L 14 - 56	O	N
Sat 12/23	Coastal Carolina vs San José State	+7.5	48.0	W 24 - 14	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TXST	.11	38%	36.5	47%	3.14	103	33%	221	3.69	.13	41%	24.5	40%	42%	3.63	44.3	1.4	2.1
CCU	.3	47%	28.7	45%	3.05	159	49%	246	3.78	.32	45%	31.6	43%	48%	4.1	56.8	1.5	2.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TXST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
CCU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TXST Offense	12	36.5	33.8	38.3%	3.69	1.4	18	324	103	221	3.2	43%	56%	47%	33%	21%	.11
CCU Defense	13	31.6	30.8	45.1%	4.1	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	43%	48%	18%	.32

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TXST Defense	12	24.5	24	40.7%	3.63	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	44%	55%	40%	42%	20%	.13
CCU Offense	13	28.7	29.5	46.9%	3.78	1.5	22	405	159	246	4	54%	46%	45%	49%	14%	.3

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Texas State	12	30:28	17.7	37%	33%	4.8	44.3	1.4	2.1	6.4	2.2	2	26.9
Coastal Carolina	13	32:23	21.8	43%	57%	6.2	56.8	1.5	2.2	6.1	2.6	1	28.1

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TXST Offense	12	43%	47%	31.9	103	3.2	9	.13	3.14	75%	13%	0.84
CCU Defense	13	47%	43%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.06	71%	12%	1.08

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TXST Defense	12	44%	40%	-	-	-	-	.12	3.17	63%	12%	0.95
CCU Offense	13	54%	45%	39.5	159	4	22	.2	3.05	76%	11%	1

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TXST Offense	12	56%	33%	22.8	36.8	220.8	6	9.7	19	10	.14	1.6	33%	27%	.38	8%	2.2
CCU Defense	13	52%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.48	1.7	32%	34%	.49	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TXST Defense	12	55%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.19	1.4	33%	30%	.25	7%	1.8
CCU Offense	13	46%	49%	18.2	27.8	246.2	8.9	13.5	27	6	.46	1.7	31%	34%	.4	3%	2.2

Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: -2.06 #77
Texas State's Offense Rating: 22.88 #21
Texas State's Defense Rating: 11.42 #91
2023 Talent Rating: 140.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Texas State's 2023 Expected Record: 7.80 - 5.20
Texas State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #79
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #47
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #114

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas State: -2.06 Coastal Carolina: -0.04

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas State: -4.0 Coastal Carolina: -2.9

Coastal Carolina's Power Ratings
Coastal Carolina's Power Rating: -0.04 #78
Coastal Carolina's Offense Rating: 16.94 #62
Coastal Carolina's Defense Rating: 9.43 #65
2023 Talent Rating: 496.00 #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Coastal Carolina's 2023 Expected Record: 7.50 - 5.50
Coastal Carolina's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.9 #76
Coastal Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #62
Coastal Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #78

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.8
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 24

Texas State's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Coastal Carolina 30
Texas State 27

Projected Total Points: 61

Coastal Carolina Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.5
Defense: 31.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.8

Coastal Carolina's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/11	Coastal Carolina	31	Texas State	23	Coastal Carolina	Texas State -2.5	Coastal Carolina	55.5	Under
2021	11/20	Coastal Carolina	35	Texas State	21	Coastal Carolina	Coastal Carolina -24.5	Texas State	60.5	Under
2020	11/28	Texas State	14	Coastal Carolina	49	Coastal Carolina	Coastal Carolina -16.5	Coastal Carolina	59.0	Over
2019	11/30	Coastal Carolina	24	Texas State	21	Coastal Carolina	Coastal Carolina -7	Texas State	52.0	Under
2017	10/28	Coastal Carolina	7	Texas State	27	Texas State	Coastal Carolina -9.5	Texas State	54.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Coastal Carolina	4	2	1 Overs
Texas State	1	3	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 2	1 - 4	0 - 3	1 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 3	4 - 1	1 - 1	3 - 0

(#77) Texas State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.06 #77
Offense Rating: 22.88 #21
Defense Rating: 11.42 #91
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #79
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #47
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #114
Talent Rating: 140.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 7.80 - 5.20

Team Profile

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Texas State Ratings Matchup Coastal Carolina

Power #77

#78

Off #21

#62

Def #91

#65

Talent #131

#91

SP+ #79

#76

SP+ Off #47

#62

SP+ Def #114

#78

Rematch from Week 11
Texas State 2.5 (55.5)
Coastal Carolina won vs Texas State this year (31-23)

Previous Matchups
Coastal Carolina beat Texas State in 2023 (31-23)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Brooks Stadium
Conditions: Heavy Rain
Temp: 48° - Wind: 6 mph
Rain: 0.051

Team Information
Injuries: TXST | CCU
Depth Chart: TXST | CCU
Rosters: TXST | CCU

(#78) Coastal Carolina Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -0.04 #78
Offense Rating: 16.94 #62
Defense Rating: 9.43 #65
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.9 #76
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #62
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #78
Talent Rating: 496.00 #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 7.50 - 5.50

Team Profile

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Texas State's OC Mack Leftwich

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
TJ Finley	48	75	64%	490	1	2	6.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Donerio Davenport	31	107	1	3.5	12
Malik Hornsby	5	86	1	17.2	73
TJ Finley	11	20	0	1.8	8
Joey Hobert (Tr)	3	6	0	2.0	7

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Joey Hobert (Tr)	70	680	8	9.7	40
Ashtyn Hawkins	45	567	5	12.6	35
Konner Fox (Tr)	14	143	1	10.2	23
Drew Donley (Tr)	1	60	1	60.0	60

View Texas State's Full Roster

Texas State's DC Jonathan Patke

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Kenny Haynes	35	2	0	0
Chris Mills	33	3	1	7
Kaleb Culp (Tr)	29	1	0	0
Jaylon Shelton (Tr)	26	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Chris Mills	33	3	1	7
Kenny Haynes	35	2	0	0
Kaleb Culp (Tr)	29	1	0	0
Jaylon Shelton (Tr)	26	0	0	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Chris Mills	33	3	1	7
Jaylon Shelton (Tr)	26	0	0	3
Ronnie Hamrick II	5	0	0	1

Coastal Carolina's OC Travis Trickett

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Grayson McCall	53	80	66%	518	3	2	6.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	YPC	LONG
CJ Beasley	13	71	5.5	20
Grayson McCall	19	53	2.8	12
Jared Brown	6	40	6.7	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tyson Mobley	29	276	1	9.5	25
Jared Brown	15	244	1	16.3	51
CJ Beasley	3	16	0	5.3	7
Juan Powell (Tr)	1	4	0	4.0	4

View Coastal Carolina's Full Roster

Coastal Carolina's DC Craig Naivar

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tre Pinkney	74	5	1	2	0
Tobias Fletcher	59	0	0	0	0
Juan Powell (Tr)	57	2	0	1	3
Courtney Eubanks	41	1	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tre Pinkney	74	5	1	2	0
Tobias Fletcher	59	0	0	0	0
Juan Powell (Tr)	57	2	0	1	3
Courtney Eubanks	41	1	0	0	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Juan Powell (Tr)	57	2	0	1	3
Courtney Eubanks	41	1	0	0	2
Tre Pinkney	74	5	1	2	0