Texas State at James Madison - 2022 Matchup Preview

Texas State Bobcats at James Madison Dukes

Saturday, October 1st 2022 (1:30 PM EDT)
James Madison -22 (51.5)
James Madison 40 - Texas State: 13 (Sun Belt)

Bobcats (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jake Spavital (9 - 27)
Avg Score : 37 - 29 (34 - 33 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TXST is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -11.5 (SP+ JMU -18)
Projected Score: TXST: 26 - JMU: 35 (61)
JMU Win prob: 96% | Cover: 52%
TXST Travel: 1236 miles, 1 hrs behind

Dukes (8 - 3) (7 - 4 - 0)
Coach Curt Cignetti (33 - 5)
Avg Score : 37 - 18 (40 - 15 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TXST Players
JMU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Texas State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Texas State at Nevada	-2.0	51.5	L 14 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/10	Texas State vs Florida International	-13.5	62.5	W 41 - 12	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Texas State at Baylor	+30.0	53.0	L 7 - 42	U	N
Sat 9/24	Texas State vs Houston Christian	-26.5	65.0	W 34 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Texas State at James Madison	+22.0	51.5	L 13 - 40	O	N
Sat 10/8	Texas State vs App State	+19.5	54.5	W 36 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/15	Texas State at Troy	+16.5	47.0	L 14 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Texas State vs Southern Miss	+2.5	43.0	L 14 - 20	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Texas State at UL Monroe	+2.5	52.5	L 30 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Texas State at South Alabama	+16.0	46.0	L 21 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/19	Texas State vs Arkansas State	-6.0	50.0	W 16 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/26	Texas State vs Louisiana	+5.0	44.0	L 13 - 41	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas State's Schedule

James Madison's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	James Madison vs Middle Tennessee	-4.5	60.5	W 44 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/10	James Madison vs Norfolk State	-41.5	54.5	W 63 - 7	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/24	James Madison at App State	+6.0	57.0	W 32 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/1	James Madison vs Texas State	-22.0	51.5	W 40 - 13	O	Y
Sat 10/8	James Madison at Arkansas State	-11.5	55.0	W 42 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/15	James Madison at Georgia Southern	-13.0	68.0	L 38 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/22	James Madison vs Marshall	-9.5	48.5	L 12 - 26	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	James Madison at Louisville	+6.5	53.0	L 10 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/12	James Madison at Old Dominion	-7.5	48.0	W 37 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/19	James Madison vs Georgia State	-10.0	51.5	W 42 - 40	O	N
Sat 11/26	James Madison vs Coastal Carolina	-15.5	53.0	W 47 - 7	O	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TXST	.18	42%	36.5	46%	3.43	149	39%	193	4.12	.31	48%	29	47%	49%	4.18	58.8	1.7	1.1
JMU		0%	37.1	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	18.4	0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TXST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
JMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TXST Offense	12	36.5	34.2	41.8%	4.12	1.7	20	342	149	193	4	48%	50%	46%	39%	21%	.18
JMU Defense	0	18.4	15	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TXST Defense	12	29	32.8	47.9%	4.18	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	47%	49%	15%	.31
JMU Offense	0	37.1	40	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Texas State	12	28:18	20.1	33%	67%	5.8	58.8	1.7	1.1	4.7	1.5	1	26.8
James Madison	0	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TXST Offense	12	48%	46%	36.9	149.2	4	17	.16	3.43	84%	14%	0.9
JMU Defense	0	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TXST Defense	12	53%	47%	-	-	-	-	.24	3.51	81%	10%	0.98
JMU Offense	0	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TXST Offense	12	50%	39%	18.6	32.3	193.1	6	10.4	15	12	.22	1.5	36%	28%	.36	7%	2.2
JMU Defense	0	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TXST Defense	12	46%	49%	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	.41	1.4	30%	40%	.54	5%	1.9
JMU Offense	0	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0

Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: NR
Texas State's Offense Rating: NR
Texas State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #90
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Texas State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Texas State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.5 #102
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.4 #110
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #79

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas State: James Madison: 5.75

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas State: -11.5 James Madison: 6.5

James Madison's Power Ratings
James Madison's Power Rating: 5.75 NR
James Madison's Offense Rating: NR
James Madison's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #159
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
James Madison's 2022 Expected Record: -
James Madison's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.5 #51
James Madison's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #52
James Madison's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #44

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.2
Defense: 29 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Texas State's 2022 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
James Madison 35
Texas State 26

Projected Total Points: 61

James Madison Scoring
Offense: 37.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 40
Defense: 18.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 15

James Madison's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 4
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/28	Texas State	20	James Madison	52	James Madison -7.5	James Madison	55.5	Over
2022	10/01	James Madison	40	Texas State	13	James Madison -22	James Madison	51.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
James Madison	2	2	2 Overs
Texas State	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 1

(#) TXST at (#) JMU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TXST	JMU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#102	#51
Perf GradeGrade	#42	#11
OffenseOff	#98	#38
DefenseDef	#3	#9
Spec TeamsST	#99	#84
TalentTal	#90	#159
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Texas State Injury Report

James Madison Injury Report

Texas State on Offense


CategoryCat	TXST Off	JMU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#98	#9
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#110	#44
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Texas State Run Game


CategoryCat	TXST Off	JMU Def
Run GameRun	#113	#2
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#75	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#31

Texas State Pass Game


CategoryCat	TXST Off	JMU Def
Pass GamePass	#105	#50
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#22	#18
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

James Madison on Offense


CategoryCat	JMU Off	TXST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#38	#3
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#52	#79
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

James Madison Run Game


CategoryCat	JMU Off	TXST Def
Run GameRun	#74	#1
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#52	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#77

James Madison Pass Game


CategoryCat	JMU Off	TXST Def
Pass GamePass	#33	#27
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#111	#3
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
JMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'22 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

TXST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bridgeforth Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 5
James Madison -22.0 (51.5)
James Madison won vs Texas State this year (40-13)

Previous Matchups
James Madison beat Texas State last year (52-20)

TXST's OC Jake Spavital (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Texas State's Full Roster

TXST's DC Zac Spavital (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

JMU's OC Mike Shanahan (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View James Madison's Full Roster

JMU's DC Bryant Haines (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD