Texas State Bobcats at Southern Miss Golden Eagles
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
M. M. Roberts Stadium - Hattiesburg, MS (Sun Belt)
Bobcats (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach G. J. Kinne (15 - 10)
Avg Score : 37 - 32 (29 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.7 - 3.3 (#29)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
Coach G. J. Kinne (15 - 10)
Avg Score : 37 - 32 (29 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.7 - 3.3 (#29)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
TXST 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: Texas State -1 (SP+ TXST -8)
Projected Score: TXST: 32 - USM: 31 (62)
TXST Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
TXST Travel: 520 miles
Our Line: Texas State -1 (SP+ TXST -8)
Projected Score: TXST: 32 - USM: 31 (62)
TXST Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
TXST Travel: 520 miles
Golden Eagles (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Charles Huff (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (31 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 4 (#41)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
Coach Charles Huff (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (31 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 4 (#41)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
| Texas State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Texas State vs Eastern Michigan | -14.0 | 58.5 | W 52 - 27 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Texas State at UTSA | +4.5 | 64.5 | W 43 - 36 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Texas State at Arizona State | +18.5 | 61.5 | L 15 - 34 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Texas State vs Nicholls | -22 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/4 | Texas State at Arkansas State | -11.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Texas State vs Troy | -8 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Texas State at Marshall | -9.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/28 | Texas State vs James Madison | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Texas State at Louisiana | -6 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Texas State at Southern Miss | -1 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Texas State vs UL Monroe | -21 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Texas State vs South Alabama | -6.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Texas State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Southern Miss's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Southern Miss vs Mississippi State | +11.5 | 59.5 | L 17 - 34 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Southern Miss vs Jackson State | -13.5 | 53.0 | W 38 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Southern Miss vs App State | +3.0 | 55.5 | W 38 - 22 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech | +3.0 | 51.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Southern Miss vs Jacksonville State | -11 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 10/9 | Southern Miss at Georgia Southern | -10.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Southern Miss at Louisiana | -3 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Southern Miss vs UL Monroe | -18 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/8 | Southern Miss at Arkansas State | -8 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Southern Miss vs Texas State | +1 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Southern Miss at South Alabama | +2 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Southern Miss vs Troy | -5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST | #27 (.36) | 50% (32) | 36.7 | 52% (30) | 3 (68) | 229 | 46% (52) | 228 | 5.05 (30) | #123 (.33) | 44% (101) | 32.3 | 51% (121) | 37% (51) | 4.56 (107) | 35.7 | 1 | 0 |
| USM | #67 (.2) | 42% (78) | 31 | 40% (99) | 2.91 (76) | 117 | 45% (56) | 234 | 3.76 (81) | #51 (.07) | 40% (76) | 25.3 | 47% (106) | 34% (41) | 3.39 (64) | 59 | 0.7 | 2 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST | #25 (.25) | 48% (17) | 49% (14) | 3.41 (11) | 194 | 48% (10) | 245 | 3.89 (72) | #50 (.14) | 39% (31) | 38% (21) | 39% (54) | 3.47 (33) | 56.5 | 1.6 | 1.2 | ||
| USM | #132 () | 35% (130) | 40% (108) | 2.59 (126) | 109 | 30% (133) | 175 | 2.75 (133) | #125 (.3) | 44% (97) | 45% (89) | 43% (93) | 4.17 (104) | 48.3 | 2.4 | 0.8 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST Offense | 3 | 36.7 | 29 | 49.7% | 5.05 | 1 | 23 | 457 | 229 | 228 | 5.5 | 60% | 40% | 52% | 46% | 16% | .36 |
| USM Defense | 3 | 25.3 | 25.3 | 40.4% | 3.39 | 2 | - | - | - | - | - | 49% | 50% | 47% | 34% | 21% | .07 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST Defense | 3 | 32.3 | 35 | 43.7% | 4.56 | 0 | - | - | - | - | - | 49% | 51% | 51% | 37% | 14% | .33 |
| USM Offense | 3 | 31 | 31 | 42.4% | 3.76 | 0.7 | 20 | 351 | 117 | 234 | 3.7 | 46% | 54% | 40% | 45% | 15% | .2 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas State | 3 | 29:57 | 22.7 | 43% | 75% | 4 | 35.7 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 | 2 | 0 | 29.3 |
| Southern Miss | 3 | 27:16 | 20.3 | 46% | 33% | 7 | 59 | 0.7 | 2 | 5.7 | 3 | 2 | 33.3 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST Offense | 3 | 60% (19) | 52% (30) | 41.7 | 228.7 | 5.5 | 8 (26) | .32 (27) | 3 (68) | 70% (79) | 10% (93) | 1.11 (40) |
| USM Defense | 3 | 49% (64) | 47% (106) | - | - | - | - | .29 (126) | 2.99 (90) | 69% (63) | 8% (101) | 1.16 (107) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST Defense | 3 | 49% (57) | 51% (121) | - | - | - | - | .41 (132) | 3.28 (119) | 75% (80) | 9% (80) | 1.45 (129) |
| USM Offense | 3 | 46% (94) | 40% (99) | 32 | 117 | 3.7 | 3 (95) | .04 (99) | 2.91 (76) | 71% (67) | 8% (53) | 0.91 (81) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST Offense | 3 | 40% (116) | 46% (52) | 18.3 | 27.7 | 228 | 8.2 | 12.4 | 6 (34) | 1 (23) | .4 (44) | 1.6 (45) | 27% (36) | 39% (31) | .54 (34) | 6% (84) | 1.8 (95) |
| USM Defense | 3 | 50% (71) | 34% (41) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 6 (2) | -.13 (11) | 1.4 (37) | 34% (54) | 35% (108) | .37 (96) | 13% (1) | 2.1 (96) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST Defense | 3 | 51% (82) | 37% (51) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0 | .25 (79) | 1.6 (86) | 35% (48) | 39% (123) | .61 (124) | 5% (93) | 2.1 (81) |
| USM Offense | 3 | 54% (43) | 45% (56) | 23.3 | 34 | 234 | 6.9 | 10 | 7 (23) | 2 (60) | .36 (55) | 1.6 (55) | 34% (102) | 35% (48) | .33 (70) | 7% (115) | 2 (70) |
Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: 0.24 #79
Texas State's Offense Rating: 16.20 #45
Texas State's Defense Rating: 15.96 #104
2025 Talent Rating: 620.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Texas State's 2025 Expected Record: 8.7 - 3.3
Texas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.4 #80
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #45
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #111
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Texas State's Power Rating: 0.24 #79
Texas State's Offense Rating: 16.20 #45
Texas State's Defense Rating: 15.96 #104
2025 Talent Rating: 620.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Texas State's 2025 Expected Record: 8.7 - 3.3
Texas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.4 #80
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #45
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #111
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Texas State: 0.24 Southern Miss: -2.33
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas State: -3.4 Southern Miss: -11.4
Texas State: 0.24 Southern Miss: -2.33
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas State: -3.4 Southern Miss: -11.4
Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: -2.33 #76
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: 8.86 #85
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: 7.12 #69
2025 Talent Rating: 804.00 #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Southern Miss's 2025 Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Southern Miss's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.4 #110
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #99
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.4 #113
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Southern Miss's Power Rating: -2.33 #76
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: 8.86 #85
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: 7.12 #69
2025 Talent Rating: 804.00 #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Southern Miss's 2025 Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Southern Miss's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.4 #110
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #99
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.4 #113
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 29
Defense: 32.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 35
Texas State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 36.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 29
Defense: 32.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 35
Texas State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Texas State 32
Southern Miss 31
Total Points: 62
Texas State 32
Southern Miss 31
Total Points: 62
Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense at Home: 31
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.3
Southern Miss's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 1 - 0
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense at Home: 31
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.3
Southern Miss's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/16 | Texas State | 58 | Southern Miss | 3 | Texas State | Texas State -27.5 | Texas State | 56.5 | Over |
| 2023 | 09/30 | Southern Miss | 36 | Texas State | 50 | Texas State | Texas State -6.5 | Texas State | 60.0 | Over |
| 2022 | 10/22 | Texas State | 14 | Southern Miss | 20 | Southern Miss | Southern Mississippi -2.5 | Southern Miss | 43.0 | Under |
| 2015 | 09/19 | Texas State | 50 | Southern Miss | 56 | Southern Miss | Texas State -2 | Southern Miss | 67.0 | Over |
| 2013 | 08/31 | Southern Miss | 15 | Texas State | 22 | Texas State | Southern Mississippi -9.5 | Texas State | 0 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Miss | 2 | 2 | 3 Overs |
| Texas State | 3 | 3 | 1 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 1 - 4 | 1 - 4 | 1 - 2 | 0 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 4 - 1 | 4 - 1 | 2 - 0 | 2 - 1 |
(#79) Texas State Info
Power Rating: 0.24 #79
Offense Rating: 16.20 #45
Defense Rating: 15.96 #104
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.4 #80
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #45
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #111
Talent Rating: 620.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Expected Record: 8.7 - 3.3
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 40%
Good Offense Success Rate of 50%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5.05 PPO
Good Run Success 52%
Avg Pass Success 46%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.56 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Texas State has lost 7 straight
Texas State has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Texas State Notes
(9/4) Run Off mauled EMU, OL looked outstanding
(8/1) Over Bet Watch, Kinne Off trust, Def struggles
(8/1) OL 3/5 back, good LY. 3 portals, some depth
(8/1) Def portals 10 DL, 5 LB, 6 DBs. Will take time
(7/13) QB1? 4 guys will battle, Jackson & 3 portals
(6/11) RB Pare has 2K yds & 20 total TDs in his career
(5/23) New OC Keopple downgrade Leftwich (T Tech)
(3/24) RB Pare (#2 LY) looks good, Burrell (UNLV)
(3/24) WR rebuild. Dawn/Sparks exp'd, 3 portal adds
(3/24) Def fell apart late LY, replacing most everyone
Texas State Highlights
Texas State has Really Good Running Game (#16)
Texas State offense is good in red zone (#30)
Texas State commits very few Penalties (#25)
Texas State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)
Texas State Deficiencies
Texas State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Texas State has a bad defense (#101)
Texas State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#123)
Texas State has a bad defensive line (#119)
Texas State has a bad red zone defense (#107)
Power Rating: 0.24 #79
Offense Rating: 16.20 #45
Defense Rating: 15.96 #104
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.4 #80
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #45
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #111
Talent Rating: 620.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Expected Record: 8.7 - 3.3
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 40%
Good Offense Success Rate of 50%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5.05 PPO
Good Run Success 52%
Avg Pass Success 46%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.56 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Texas State has lost 7 straight
Texas State has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Texas State Notes
(9/4) Run Off mauled EMU, OL looked outstanding
(8/1) Over Bet Watch, Kinne Off trust, Def struggles
(8/1) OL 3/5 back, good LY. 3 portals, some depth
(8/1) Def portals 10 DL, 5 LB, 6 DBs. Will take time
(7/13) QB1? 4 guys will battle, Jackson & 3 portals
(6/11) RB Pare has 2K yds & 20 total TDs in his career
(5/23) New OC Keopple downgrade Leftwich (T Tech)
(3/24) RB Pare (#2 LY) looks good, Burrell (UNLV)
(3/24) WR rebuild. Dawn/Sparks exp'd, 3 portal adds
(3/24) Def fell apart late LY, replacing most everyone
Texas State Highlights
Texas State has Really Good Running Game (#16)
Texas State offense is good in red zone (#30)
Texas State commits very few Penalties (#25)
Texas State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)
Texas State Deficiencies
Texas State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Texas State has a bad defense (#101)
Texas State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#123)
Texas State has a bad defensive line (#119)
Texas State has a bad red zone defense (#107)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | USM | TXST |
| OverallOver | #36 | #47 |
| OffenseOff | #66 | #34 |
| DefenseDef | #19 | #78 |
| Special TeamsST | #23 | #15 |
| PassingPass | #53 | #95 |
| RushingRush | #64 | #4 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #89 | #33 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #52 | #41 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #41 | #53 |
| TacklingTkl | #21 | #109 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #53 | #84 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #25 | #41 |
| Coverage DefCov | #11 | #97 |
Previous Matchups
Texas State beat Southern Miss last year (58-3)
Texas State beat Southern Miss in 2023 (50-36)
Southern Miss beat Texas State in 2022 (20-14)
Weather Forecast
Playing in M. M. Roberts Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: TXST | USM
Depth Chart: TXST | USM
Rosters: TXST | USM
(#76) Southern Miss Info
Power Rating: -2.33 #76
Offense Rating: 8.86 #85
Defense Rating: 7.12 #69
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.4 #110
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #99
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.4 #113
Talent Rating: 804.00 #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.76 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Avg Pass Success 45%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 40%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.39 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Good Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Southern Miss has lost 6 straight
Southern Miss has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 1 (2 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
Southern Miss Notes
(8/1) So Miss could really contend for SBC w/ adds
(8/1) Off added 10 OL, 8 WR, 3 TE, 5 RB & 3 QBs
(8/1) RB has 5 portal adds. Jones/Gray exp'd
(8/1) OL should really improve w/ 10 portal adds
(8/1) Def all new. 25 portals, 11 DL & 12 DBs
(8/1) Most of roster is new. Could be big turnaround
(8/1) New OC Anderson is a great OC, (Ut St HC)
(7/27) More return prod from Marshall than Marshall
(3/24) QB Braxton (Marsh) v good, mobile. Fun QB
(3/24) WR top 2 back, meh LY. 7 portal adds
Southern Miss Highlights
Southern Miss offense is good on 3rd downs
Southern Miss Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Southern Miss Secondary is very good (#1)
Southern Miss has a great TO Margin (#28)
Southern Miss defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#2)
Southern Miss Deficiencies
Southern Miss Can Not Run the Ball (#109)
Southern Miss Does Not Stuff Runs (#105)
Power Rating: -2.33 #76
Offense Rating: 8.86 #85
Defense Rating: 7.12 #69
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.4 #110
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #99
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.4 #113
Talent Rating: 804.00 #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.76 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Avg Pass Success 45%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 40%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.39 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Good Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Southern Miss has lost 6 straight
Southern Miss has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 1 (2 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
Southern Miss Notes
(8/1) So Miss could really contend for SBC w/ adds
(8/1) Off added 10 OL, 8 WR, 3 TE, 5 RB & 3 QBs
(8/1) RB has 5 portal adds. Jones/Gray exp'd
(8/1) OL should really improve w/ 10 portal adds
(8/1) Def all new. 25 portals, 11 DL & 12 DBs
(8/1) Most of roster is new. Could be big turnaround
(8/1) New OC Anderson is a great OC, (Ut St HC)
(7/27) More return prod from Marshall than Marshall
(3/24) QB Braxton (Marsh) v good, mobile. Fun QB
(3/24) WR top 2 back, meh LY. 7 portal adds
Southern Miss Highlights
Southern Miss offense is good on 3rd downs
Southern Miss Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Southern Miss Secondary is very good (#1)
Southern Miss has a great TO Margin (#28)
Southern Miss defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#2)
Southern Miss Deficiencies
Southern Miss Can Not Run the Ball (#109)
Southern Miss Does Not Stuff Runs (#105)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Jackson | 55 | 82 | 67% | 684 | 6 | 1 | 8.3 |
| Keldric Luster (Tr) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln Pare | 46 | 299 | 2 | 6.5 | 57 |
| Jaylen Jenkins | 16 | 140 | 2 | 8.8 | 58 |
| Greg Burrell (Tr) | 12 | 98 | 1 | 8.2 | 20 |
| Brad Jackson | 35 | 91 | 3 | 2.6 | 24 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beau Sparks | 22 | 307 | 5 | 14.0 | 73 |
| Chris Dawn Jr. | 8 | 160 | 0 | 20.0 | 56 |
| Lincoln Pare | 8 | 69 | 0 | 8.6 | 20 |
| Kylen Evans | 6 | 44 | 1 | 7.3 | 13 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treylin Payne | 23 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Ryan Nolan | 21 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Kenard Snyder (Tr) | 13 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Ayden Jones (Tr) | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treylin Payne | 23 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Kenard Snyder (Tr) | 13 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Kalil Alexander | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Donterry Russell (Tr) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Mitchell | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Bobby Crosby | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Treylin Payne | 23 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braylon Braxton (Tr) | 68 | 99 | 69% | 692 | 7 | 2 | 7.0 |
| Landy Lyddy | 1 | 2 | 50% | 11 | 0 | 0 | 5.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffery Pittman (Tr) | 25 | 126 | 2 | 5.0 | 23 |
| Braylon Braxton (Tr) | 29 | 105 | 0 | 3.6 | 17 |
| Robert Briggs (Tr) | 18 | 69 | 1 | 3.8 | 15 |
| Matt Jones (Tr) | 15 | 40 | 0 | 2.7 | 8 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Metcalf (Tr) | 10 | 124 | 0 | 12.4 | 48 |
| Tychaun Chapman (Tr) | 5 | 116 | 0 | 23.2 | 41 |
| Carl Chester (Tr) | 8 | 92 | 0 | 11.5 | 23 |
| Micah Davis (Tr) | 8 | 74 | 3 | 9.3 | 21 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Jones | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Michael Montgomery (Tr) | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Josh Moten (Tr) | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Ian Foster (Tr) | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J'Mond Tapp (Tr) | 15 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Jameer Lewis | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Josh Battle (Tr) | 20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Garrick Ponder | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Moten (Tr) | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Ian Foster (Tr) | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Anthony Richard | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |