Texas State at Coastal Carolina - 2021 Matchup Preview

Texas State Bobcats at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

Saturday, November 20th 2021 (1:00 PM EST)
Coastal Carolina -24.5 (60.5)
Coastal Carolina 35 - Texas State: 21 (Sun Belt)

Bobcats (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jake Spavital (6 - 21)
Avg Score : 23 - 33 (18 - 34 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

CCU 2nd straight Home Game
CCU is playing their 5th straight game
TXST is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -17 (SP+ CCU -29)
Projected Score: TXST: 21 - CCU: 37 (58)
CCU Win prob: 95% | Cover: 52%
TXST Travel: 1140 miles, 1 hrs behind

Chanticleers (11 - 2) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jamey Chadwell (22 - 17)
Avg Score : 41 - 22 (46 - 19 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TXST Players
CCU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Texas State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Texas State vs Baylor	+13.5	52.5	L 20 - 29	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Texas State at Florida International	+2.0	55.5	W 23 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Texas State vs Incarnate Word	-10.5	70.0	L 34 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/25	Texas State at Eastern Michigan	+7.5	62.0	L 21 - 59	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/9	Texas State vs South Alabama	+4.0	52.5	W 33 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/16	Texas State vs Troy	+7.5	49.0	L 28 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/23	Texas State at Georgia State	+10.0	58.5	L 16 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/30	Texas State at Louisiana	+21.0	58.0	L 0 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/6	Texas State vs UL Monroe	-3.0	57.5	W 27 - 19	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Texas State vs Georgia Southern	-2.5	52.0	L 30 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/20	Texas State at Coastal Carolina	+24.5	60.5	L 21 - 35	U	Y
Sat 11/27	Texas State at Arkansas State	+2.0	62.0	W 24 - 22	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas State's Schedule

Coastal Carolina's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	Coastal Carolina vs The Citadel	-33.5	54.5	W 52 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/4	Coastal Carolina vs The Citadel	-30
Fri 9/10	Coastal Carolina vs Kansas	-26.5	52.0	W 49 - 22	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Coastal Carolina at Buffalo	-14.0	58.0	W 28 - 25	U	N
Sat 9/25	Coastal Carolina vs Massachusetts	-36.0	66.0	W 53 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/2	Coastal Carolina vs UL Monroe	-33.5	57.5	W 59 - 6	O	Y
Thu 10/7	Coastal Carolina at Arkansas State	-20.5	74.5	W 52 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/20	Coastal Carolina at App State	-4.5	61.0	L 27 - 30	U	N
Thu 10/28	Coastal Carolina vs Troy	-17.0	50.0	W 35 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/6	Coastal Carolina at Georgia Southern	-16.0	56.5	W 28 - 8	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Coastal Carolina vs Georgia State	-12.5	53.5	L 40 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/20	Coastal Carolina vs Texas State	-24.5	60.5	W 35 - 21	U	N
Fri 11/26	Coastal Carolina at South Alabama	-14.5	55.5	W 27 - 21	U	N
Fri 12/17	Coastal Carolina vs Northern Illinois	-11.0	63.0	W 47 - 41	O	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TXST	.18	42%	23.1	46%	3.43	149	39%	193	4.12	.31	48%	33	47%	49%	4.18	58.8	1.7	1.1
CCU	.45	53%	40.9	51%	3.56	229	58%	266	4.95	.18	40%	21.6	43%	39%	4.04	51.2	0.8	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TXST	#25 (.25)	48% (17)		49% (14)	3.41 (11)	194	48% (10)	245	3.89 (72)	#50 (.14)	39% (31)		38% (21)	39% (54)	3.47 (33)	56.5	1.6	1.2
CCU	#73 (.18)	40% (98)		43% (81)	3.05 (63)	173	37% (112)	202	4.24 (36)	#94 (.21)	43% (90)		46% (98)	41% (72)	4.12 (101)	63.8	1.3	1.7

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TXST Offense	12	23.1	17.5	41.8%	4.12	1.7	20	342	149	193	4	48%	50%	46%	39%	21%	.18
CCU Defense	13	21.6	19.4	40.5%	4.04	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	43%	39%	19%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TXST Defense	12	33	34.3	47.9%	4.18	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	47%	49%	15%	.31
CCU Offense	13	40.9	46.1	53.5%	4.95	0.8	24	495	229	266	5.8	58%	42%	51%	58%	14%	.45

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Texas State	12	28:18	20.1	33%	67%	5.8	58.8	1.7	1.1	4.7	1.5	1	26.8
Coastal Carolina	13	31:16	23.8	54%	77%	5.4	51.2	0.8	1.1	6.3	2.5	3	29.3

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TXST Offense	12	48%	46%	36.9	149.2	4	17	.16	3.43	84%	14%	0.9
CCU Defense	13	52%	43%	-	-	-	-	.19	2.93	72%	13%	1.08

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TXST Defense	12	53%	47%	-	-	-	-	.24	3.51	81%	10%	0.98
CCU Offense	13	58%	51%	39.2	228.8	5.8	36	.34	3.56	73%	10%	1.14

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TXST Offense	12	50%	39%	18.6	32.3	193.1	6	10.4	15	12	.22	1.5	36%	28%	.36	7%	2.2
CCU Defense	13	48%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.23	1.7	33%	29%	.31	6%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TXST Defense	12	46%	49%	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	.41	1.4	30%	40%	.54	5%	1.9
CCU Offense	13	42%	58%	17.5	24.8	265.9	10.7	15.2	33	4	.6	1.6	25%	44%	.69	4%	2

Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: NR
Texas State's Offense Rating: NR
Texas State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Texas State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Texas State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.0 #119
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.7 #111
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.9 #121

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas State: Coastal Carolina: 9.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas State: -16.0 Coastal Carolina: 13.2

Coastal Carolina's Power Ratings
Coastal Carolina's Power Rating: 9.1 NR
Coastal Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
Coastal Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Coastal Carolina's 2021 Expected Record: -
Coastal Carolina's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.2 #25
Coastal Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.5 #6
Coastal Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #62

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Texas State Scoring
Offense: 23.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.5
Defense: 33 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.3

Texas State's 2021 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Coastal Carolina 37
Texas State 21

Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
Coastal Carolina 35
Texas State 22

Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
Coastal Carolina 39
Texas State 20

Total Points: 59

Coastal Carolina Scoring
Offense: 40.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 46.1
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.4

Coastal Carolina's 2021 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/11	Coastal Carolina	31	Texas State	23	Texas State -2.5	Coastal Carolina	55.5	Under
2021	11/20	Coastal Carolina	35	Texas State	21	Coastal Carolina -24.5	Texas State	60.5	Under
2020	11/28	Texas State	14	Coastal Carolina	49	Coastal Carolina -16.5	Coastal Carolina	59.0	Over
2019	11/30	Coastal Carolina	24	Texas State	21	Coastal Carolina -7	Texas State	52.0	Under
2017	10/28	Coastal Carolina	7	Texas State	27	Coastal Carolina -9.5	Texas State	54.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Coastal Carolina	4	2	1 Overs
Texas State	1	3	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 2	1 - 4	0 - 3	1 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 3	4 - 1	1 - 1	3 - 0

(#) TXST at (#) CCU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TXST	CCU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#119	#25
Perf GradeGrade	#105	#16
OffenseOff	#71	#8
DefenseDef	#117	#48
Spec TeamsST	#50	#19
TalentTal	#97	#100
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Texas State Injury Report

Coastal Carolina Injury Report

Texas State on Offense


CategoryCat	TXST Off	CCU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#71	#48
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#111	#62
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Texas State Run Game


CategoryCat	TXST Off	CCU Def
Run GameRun	#102	#62
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#25	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#34

Texas State Pass Game


CategoryCat	TXST Off	CCU Def
Pass GamePass	#105	#84
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#56	#14
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Coastal Carolina on Offense


CategoryCat	CCU Off	TXST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#8	#117
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#6	#121
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Coastal Carolina Run Game


CategoryCat	CCU Off	TXST Def
Run GameRun	#23	#97
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#71	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#125

Coastal Carolina Pass Game


CategoryCat	CCU Off	TXST Def
Pass GamePass	#2	#127
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#39	#111
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
CCU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'21 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

TXST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Brooks Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 55°

Rematch from Week 12
Coastal Carolina -24.5 (60.5)
Coastal Carolina won vs Texas State this year (35-21)

Previous Matchups
Coastal Carolina beat Texas State in 2023 (31-23)

TXST's OC Jacob Peeler (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Texas State's Full Roster

TXST's DC Zac Spavital (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

CCU's OC Willy Korn (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Coastal Carolina's Full Roster

CCU's DC Chad Staggs (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD