Texas State at Arizona State Game Matchup

Texas State Bobcats at Arizona State Sun Devils

Saturday, September 13th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Sun Devil Stadium - Tempe, AZ

Bobcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach G. J. Kinne (15 - 10)
Avg Score : 37 - 25 (34 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 5.3 (#63)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)

TXST 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: Arizona State -22 (SP+ ASU -19)
Projected Score: TXST: 18 - ASU: 40 (59)
ASU Win prob: 96% | Cover: 52%
TXST Travel: 858 miles, 2 hrs ahead

Sun Devils (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Kenny Dillingham (14 - 11)
Avg Score : 33 - 23 (34 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 2.8 (#14)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 5) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 4)

Matchup
Schedules
TXST Players
ASU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Texas State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	Texas State vs Eastern Michigan	-14.0	0.0
Sat 9/6	Texas State at UTSA	+8
Sat 9/13	Texas State at Arizona State	+22
Sat 9/20	Texas State vs Nicholls	-19
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	Texas State at Arkansas State	-4
Sat 10/11	Texas State vs Troy	-2
Sat 10/18	Texas State at Marshall	-10
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/28	Texas State vs James Madison	+4
Sat 11/8	Texas State at Louisiana	+0.5
Sat 11/15	Texas State at Southern Miss	-1.5
Sat 11/22	Texas State vs UL Monroe	-13
Sat 11/29	Texas State vs South Alabama	-0.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas State's Schedule

Arizona State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	Arizona State vs Northern Arizona	-38
Sat 9/6	Arizona State at Mississippi State	-11
Sat 9/13	Arizona State vs Texas State	-22
Sat 9/20	Arizona State at Baylor	-3
Fri 9/26	Arizona State vs TCU	-6
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11	Arizona State at Utah	-2
Sat 10/18	Arizona State vs Texas Tech	-5
Sat 10/25	Arizona State vs Houston	-16.5
Sat 11/1	Arizona State at Iowa State	-1.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	Arizona State vs West Virginia	-17.5
Sat 11/22	Arizona State at Colorado	-8
Sat 11/29	Arizona State vs Arizona	-19.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arizona State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TXST	#25 (.25)	48% (17)	36.5	49% (14)	3.41 (11)	194	48% (10)	245	3.89 (72)	#50 (.14)	39% (31)	24.5	38% (21)	39% (54)	3.47 (33)	56.5	1.6	1.2
ASU	#13 (.31)	50% (8)	32.9	52% (6)	3.35 (19)	187	47% (21)	208	4.14 (48)	#36 (.12)	42% (79)	22.6	41% (49)	44% (106)	3.64 (51)	50.1	0.6	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TXST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ASU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TXST Offense	13	36.5	33.8	48%	3.89	1.6	24	438	194	245	5.2	52%	47%	49%	48%	13%	.25
ASU Defense	14	22.6	22.3	42.4%	3.64	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	45%	54%	41%	44%	16%	.12

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TXST Defense	13	24.5	24	38.6%	3.47	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	38%	39%	19%	.14
ASU Offense	14	32.9	33.8	49.8%	4.14	0.6	20	395	187	208	4.9	59%	41%	52%	47%	12%	.31

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Texas State	13	28:17	24.1	45%	64%	6.1	56.5	1.6	1.2	6.9	2.4	2	31
Arizona State	14	29:54	20.4	47%	53%	6	50.1	0.6	1.4	4	1.3	3	28.6

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TXST Offense	13	52% (59)	49% (14)	37.1	193.7	5.2	25 (41)	.16 (49)	3.41 (11)	75% (53)	8% (35)	0.88 (110)
ASU Defense	14	45% (14)	41% (49)	-	-	-	-	.04 (27)	2.97 (61)	63% (19)	8% (116)	1 (76)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TXST Defense	13	51% (72)	38% (21)	-	-	-	-	.12 (67)	2.97 (60)	68% (34)	14% (7)	1.13 (123)
ASU Offense	14	59% (14)	52% (6)	38.1	187	4.9	28 (25)	.27 (12)	3.35 (19)	73% (76)	7% (18)	0.96 (71)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TXST Offense	13	47% (86)	48% (10)	20.9	30.2	244.7	8.1	11.7	30 (9)	13 (103)	.4 (13)	1.5 (91)	29% (31)	34% (41)	.32 (74)	5% (44)	1.7 (131)
ASU Defense	14	54% (119)	44% (106)	-	-	-	-	-	-	15 (18)	.21 (57)	1.4 (18)	32% (65)	30% (68)	.14 (5)	8% (21)	1.9 (27)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TXST Defense	13	48% (56)	39% (54)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (104)	.19 (45)	1.6 (62)	35% (23)	29% (44)	.3 (65)	5% (106)	2.2 (110)
ASU Offense	14	41% (120)	47% (21)	14.9	23.9	208.4	8.7	14	25 (31)	5 (6)	.39 (14)	1.6 (43)	27% (11)	38% (5)	.45 (21)	4% (16)	1.9 (115)

Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: -2.23 #70
Texas State's Offense Rating: 13.59 #71
Texas State's Defense Rating: 15.82 #76
2025 Talent Rating: 554.00 #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #61
Texas State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.7 - 5.3
Texas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #92
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #65
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #111

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 526.43
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas State: -2.23 Arizona State: 17.22

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas State: -7.2 Arizona State: 12.2

Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: 17.22 #16
Arizona State's Offense Rating: 24.57 #13
Arizona State's Defense Rating: 7.33 #27
2025 Talent Rating: 828.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #51
Arizona State's 2025 Expected Record: 9.2 - 2.8
Arizona State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.2 #22
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6 #26
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.4 #27

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 774.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31

Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.8
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 24

Texas State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Arizona State 40
Texas State 18

Projected Total Points: 59

Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.8
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

Arizona State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/12	Texas State	28	Arizona State	31	Arizona State	Texas State -2.5	Arizona State	58.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arizona State	1	1	1 Overs
Texas State	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#70) Texas State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.23 #70
Offense Rating: 13.59 #71
Defense Rating: 15.82 #76
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #92
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #111
Talent Rating: 554.00 #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #61
Expected Record: 6.7 - 5.3

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.89 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Great Pass Success 48%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Good in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Texas State Notes
(5/23) New OC Keopple downgrade Leftwich (T Tech)
(3/24) QB McCoy (Oreg St) likely, Yarnell (Pitt) #2
(3/24) RB Pare (#2 LY) looks good, Burrell (UNLV)
(3/24) WR rebuild. Dawn/Sparks exp'd, 3 portal adds
(3/24) OL 3/5 back, good LY. 1 portal, some depth
(3/24) Def fell apart late LY, replacing most everyone
(3/24) Def portals 5 DL, 4 LB, 5 DBs. Will take time
(3/24) Kinne great HC, but has a ton to replace TY

Texas State Ratings Matchup Arizona State

Power #70

#16

Off #71

#13

Def #76

#27

Talent #92

#37

SP+ #92

#22

SP+ Off #65

#26

SP+ Def #111

#27

Previous Matchups
Arizona State beat Texas State last year (31-28)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Devil Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TXST | ASU
Depth Chart: TXST | ASU
Rosters: TXST | ASU

(#16) Arizona State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 17.22 #16
Offense Rating: 24.57 #13
Defense Rating: 7.33 #27
Overall SP+ Rating: 12.2 #22
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6 #26
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.4 #27
Talent Rating: 828.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #51
Expected Record: 9.2 - 2.8

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
Great Offense Success Rate of 50%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.14 PPO
Great Run Success 52%
Great Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.64 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Arizona State Notes
(5/23) ASU was 6-2 in 1 score games LY
(5/11) Least exp'd B12 OL, almost no exp from portals
(5/2) TE Metayer a good reliable target, underrated
(3/20) RBs Udoh (Army) or K. Brown fill in for Skat?
(3/18) QB Leavitt a top QB in CFB, mobile. Depth?
(3/18) WRs Tyson a weapon, who's #2/depth?
(3/18) OL rebuilding with only 2/5 back
(3/18) Def returns a ton, improved a ton LY
(1/1) HC Dillingham new 5 yr deal, top tier B12 #'s

Texas State's OC Landon Keopple

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Nate Yarnell (Tr)	98	167	59%	1056	10	5	6.3
Brad Jackson	8	15	53%	118	1	0	7.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lincoln Pare	94	547	8	5.8	73
Greg Burrell (Tr)	66	370	3	5.6	42
Torrance Burgess Jr.	60	367	2	6.1	57
Brad Jackson	23	171	4	7.4	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Chris Dawn Jr.	37	418	6	11.3	60
Tiaquelin Mims (Tr)	33	393	1	11.9	56
Beau Sparks	25	271	2	10.8	24
Lincoln Pare	12	134	0	11.2	22

View Texas State's Full Roster

Texas State's DC Dexter McCoil

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ryan Nolan	52	1	0	0	1
Kalil Alexander	40	11	6	5	2
Jo'Laison Landry	33	8	5	4	0
DJ Jackson	29	1	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kalil Alexander	40	11	6	5	2
Jo'Laison Landry	33	8	5	4	0
Kenard Snyder (Tr)	8	2	2	0	0
Jermy Jackson Jr.	2	1	1	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bobby Crosby	18	1	0	0	5
Trez Moore	26	3	0	2	4
Kalil Alexander	40	11	6	5	2

Arizona State's OC Marcus Arroyo

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Sam Leavitt	216	350	62%	2885	24	6	8.2
Kanyon Floyd	2	2	100%	47	0	0	23.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kanye Udoh (Tr)	179	1117	10	6.2	72
Sam Leavitt	110	443	5	4.0	40
Kyson Brown	73	351	2	4.8	38
Raleek Brown	9	42	0	4.7	14

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jordyn Tyson	75	1101	10	14.7	59
Jalen Moss (Tr)	49	582	4	11.9	49
Chamon Metayer	32	306	5	9.6	29
Kyson Brown	13	189	1	14.5	68

View Arizona State's Full Roster

Arizona State's DC Brian Ward

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Myles Rowser	98	4	1	2	4
Xavion Alford	85	0	0	1	5
Keyshaun Elliott	64	4	2	2	1
Jordan Crook	57	4	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Elijah O'Neal	28	5	4	5	5
Jacob Kongaika	10	5	3	1	0
Prince Dorbah	12	4	3	3	1
Clayton Smith	33	6	3	12	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Keith Abney	52	0	0	1	9
Nyland Green (Tr)	23	2	2	0	5
Xavion Alford	85	0	0	1	5