Texas State Bobcats at Troy Trojans
Thursday, October 3rd 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
Texas State -14.5 (56.0) (-625) Open: -13.5
Texas State 38 - Troy: 17 (Sun Belt)
Bobcats (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach G. J. Kinne (8 - 5)
Avg Score : 37 - 25 (34 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
Coach G. J. Kinne (8 - 5)
Avg Score : 37 - 25 (34 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
TXST 2nd straight Road Game
TROY 3rd straight Home Game
TROY is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Texas State -12 (SP+ TXST -12)
Projected Score: TXST: 34 - TROY: 22 (57)
TXST Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
TXST Travel: 722 miles
TROY 3rd straight Home Game
TROY is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Texas State -12 (SP+ TXST -12)
Projected Score: TXST: 34 - TROY: 22 (57)
TXST Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
TXST Travel: 722 miles
Trojans (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Gerad Parker (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 28 (29 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)
Coach Gerad Parker (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 28 (29 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)
| Texas State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Texas State vs Lamar | -26 | |||||
| Sat 9/7 | Texas State vs UTSA | -2.5 | 58.5 | W 49 - 10 | O | Y | |
| Thu 9/12 | Texas State vs Arizona State | -2.5 | 58.5 | L 28 - 31 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/28 | Texas State vs Sam Houston | -11.0 | 55.0 | L 39 - 40 | O | N | |
| Thu 10/3 | Texas State at Troy | -14.5 | 56.0 | W 38 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Texas State vs Arkansas State | -13.5 | 66.0 | W 41 - 9 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Texas State at Old Dominion | -10.5 | 60.0 | L 14 - 24 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/29 | Texas State vs Louisiana | -4.0 | 60.5 | L 17 - 23 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/9 | Texas State at UL Monroe | -9.5 | 50.0 | W 38 - 17 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/16 | Texas State vs Southern Miss | -27.5 | 56.5 | W 58 - 3 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Texas State vs Georgia State | -23.0 | 59.5 | L 44 - 52 | O | N | |
| Fri 11/29 | Texas State at South Alabama | -2.5 | 60.5 | W 45 - 38 | O | Y | |
| Fri 1/3 | Texas State vs North Texas | -15.5 | 67.5 | W 30 - 28 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Predictions for Texas State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
| Troy's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Troy vs Nevada | -7.5 | 44.5 | L 26 - 28 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Troy at Memphis | +18.5 | 57.5 | L 17 - 38 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Troy at Iowa | +23.5 | 39.5 | L 21 - 38 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Troy vs Florida A&M | -21.5 | 48.5 | W 34 - 12 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Troy vs UL Monroe | -6.0 | 46.0 | L 9 - 13 | U | N | |
| Thu 10/3 | Troy vs Texas State | +14.5 | 56.0 | L 17 - 38 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/15 | Troy at South Alabama | +10.0 | 53.0 | L 9 - 25 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Troy at Arkansas State | +8.5 | 50.0 | L 31 - 34 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | Troy vs Coastal Carolina | +4.0 | 52.0 | W 38 - 24 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/16 | Troy at Georgia Southern | +7.0 | 54.0 | W 28 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Troy at Louisiana | +7.5 | 51.5 | L 30 - 51 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Troy vs Southern Miss | -17.5 | 48.5 | W 52 - 20 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Predictions for Troy's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST | #25 (.25) | 48% (17) | 36.5 | 49% (14) | 3.41 (11) | 194 | 48% (10) | 245 | 3.89 (72) | #50 (.14) | 39% (31) | 24.5 | 38% (21) | 39% (54) | 3.47 (33) | 56.5 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| TROY | #50 (.22) | 44% (49) | 26 | 42% (94) | 2.88 (95) | 157 | 48% (15) | 213 | 4.43 (22) | #77 (.18) | 43% (87) | 28.4 | 45% (87) | 42% (76) | 3.77 (65) | 58.8 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST | #25 (.25) | 48% (17) | 49% (14) | 3.41 (11) | 194 | 48% (10) | 245 | 3.89 (72) | #50 (.14) | 39% (31) | 38% (21) | 39% (54) | 3.47 (33) | 56.5 | 1.6 | 1.2 | ||
| TROY | #50 (.22) | 44% (49) | 42% (94) | 2.88 (95) | 157 | 48% (15) | 213 | 4.43 (22) | #77 (.18) | 43% (87) | 45% (87) | 42% (76) | 3.77 (65) | 58.8 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST Offense | 13 | 36.5 | 33.8 | 48% | 3.89 | 1.6 | 24 | 438 | 194 | 245 | 5.2 | 52% | 47% | 49% | 48% | 13% | .25 |
| TROY Defense | 12 | 28.4 | 22.5 | 43.3% | 3.77 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 53% | 47% | 45% | 42% | 17% | .18 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST Defense | 13 | 24.5 | 24 | 38.6% | 3.47 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 48% | 38% | 39% | 19% | .14 |
| TROY Offense | 12 | 26 | 29.3 | 44.3% | 4.43 | 1.3 | 20 | 370 | 157 | 213 | 4.4 | 54% | 46% | 42% | 48% | 16% | .22 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas State | 13 | 28:17 | 24.1 | 45% | 64% | 6.1 | 56.5 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 6.9 | 2.4 | 2 | 31 |
| Troy | 12 | 30:17 | 20.3 | 50% | 47% | 6.7 | 58.8 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 6.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 27 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST Offense | 13 | 52% (59) | 49% (14) | 37.1 | 193.7 | 5.2 | 25 (41) | .16 (49) | 3.41 (11) | 75% (53) | 8% (35) | 0.88 (110) |
| TROY Defense | 12 | 53% (89) | 45% (87) | - | - | - | - | .12 (68) | 2.99 (64) | 71% (52) | 11% (40) | 0.91 (36) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST Defense | 13 | 51% (72) | 38% (21) | - | - | - | - | .12 (67) | 2.97 (60) | 68% (34) | 14% (7) | 1.13 (123) |
| TROY Offense | 12 | 54% (43) | 42% (94) | 36.1 | 157.3 | 4.4 | 17 (84) | .11 (82) | 2.88 (95) | 76% (49) | 11% (89) | 0.95 (77) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST Offense | 13 | 47% (86) | 48% (10) | 20.9 | 30.2 | 244.7 | 8.1 | 11.7 | 30 (9) | 13 (103) | .4 (13) | 1.5 (91) | 29% (31) | 34% (41) | .32 (74) | 5% (44) | 1.7 (131) |
| TROY Defense | 12 | 47% (48) | 42% (76) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 6 (109) | .25 (79) | 1.6 (76) | 29% (107) | 30% (71) | .28 (58) | 5% (91) | 2 (47) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST Defense | 13 | 48% (56) | 39% (54) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7 (104) | .19 (45) | 1.6 (62) | 35% (23) | 29% (44) | .3 (65) | 5% (106) | 2.2 (110) |
| TROY Offense | 12 | 46% (92) | 48% (15) | 17.8 | 28.3 | 213.1 | 7.5 | 12 | 21 (51) | 9 (48) | .36 (25) | 1.5 (81) | 31% (64) | 35% (32) | .41 (35) | 5% (50) | 1.9 (109) |
Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: 2.50 #52
Texas State's Offense Rating: 23.07 #38
Texas State's Defense Rating: 5.36 #29
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Texas State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Texas State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4 #48
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #20
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #82
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Texas State's Power Rating: 2.50 #52
Texas State's Offense Rating: 23.07 #38
Texas State's Defense Rating: 5.36 #29
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Texas State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Texas State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4 #48
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #20
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #82
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Texas State: 2.50 Troy: -8.115
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas State: 5.4 Troy: -6.6
Texas State: 2.50 Troy: -8.115
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas State: 5.4 Troy: -6.6
Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: -8.115 #112
Troy's Offense Rating: 20.68 #58
Troy's Defense Rating: 15.27 #111
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Troy's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Troy's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.6 #96
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #93
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #90
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Troy's Power Rating: -8.115 #112
Troy's Offense Rating: 20.68 #58
Troy's Defense Rating: 15.27 #111
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Troy's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Troy's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.6 #96
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #93
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #90
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.8
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 24
Texas State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.8
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 24
Texas State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Texas State 34
Troy 22
Total Points: 57
Texas State 34
Troy 22
Total Points: 57
Troy Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.3
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.5
Troy's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.3
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.5
Troy's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10/03 | Troy | 17 | Texas State | 38 | Texas State | Texas State -14.5 | Texas State | 56.0 | Under |
| 2023 | 10/28 | Texas State | 13 | Troy | 31 | Troy | Troy -6.5 | Troy | 53.0 | Under |
| 2022 | 10/15 | Troy | 17 | Texas State | 14 | Troy | Troy -16.5 | Texas State | 47.0 | Under |
| 2021 | 10/16 | Texas State | 28 | Troy | 31 | Troy | Troy -7.5 | Texas State | 49.0 | Over |
| 2020 | 10/10 | Troy | 37 | Texas State | 17 | Troy | Troy -7.0 | Troy | 59.0 | Under |
| 2019 | 11/16 | Texas State | 27 | Troy | 63 | Troy | Troy -7 | Troy | 65.0 | Over |
| 2018 | 11/17 | Troy | 12 | Texas State | 7 | Troy | Troy -23 | Texas State | 47.5 | Under |
| 2017 | 11/24 | Troy | 62 | Texas State | 9 | Troy | Troy -23.5 | Troy | 53.5 | Over |
| 2016 | 11/26 | Texas State | 7 | Troy | 40 | Troy | Troy -26.5 | Troy | 57.5 | Under |
| 2013 | 11/29 | Troy | 42 | Texas State | 28 | Troy | Troy -4.5 | Troy | 0 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Troy | 9 | 6 | 3 Overs |
| Texas State | 1 | 4 | 6 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 5 - 5 | 4 - 6 | 3 - 2 | 1 - 4 |
| Road Teams | 5 - 5 | 6 - 4 | 4 - 1 | 2 - 3 |
(#52) Texas State Info
Power Rating: 2.50 #52
Offense Rating: 23.07 #38
Defense Rating: 5.36 #29
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4 #48
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #20
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #82
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.89 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Great Pass Success 48%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Good in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Texas State has lost 2 straight
Texas State has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 1 (3 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Texas State Notes
(11/29) Off torched S Al, 530 yds, Def forced 3 TOs
(11/25) Awful L vs Ga St, Def torched 500+, Off 4 TOs
(11/18) 2 str W's, killed SoMiss, McCloud/Rgame great
(11/3) 2 awful L's, season slipping, McCloud replaced?
(10/20) Off/McCloud awful in bad L (ODU), 2 TOs, woof
(10/12) Off 600 yds (271 rush) killing Ark St. Def OK
(10/4) Great Pass Off, run enough. TO's an issue, fun team
(9/12) Spread Off fun. McCloud looks great w/ weapons
(9/8) Dog fight W over Lamar? 2 TOs, 156 penalty yds!
(9/8) Torched UTSA, McCould good, Run D great
Texas State Highlights
Texas State has Really Good Running Game (#16)
Texas State offense is efficent (#32)
Texas State has a top Offensive Line (#68)
Texas State offense is good on 3rd downs
Texas State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#59)
Texas State has a good run defense (#121)
Texas State Front 7 is disruptive (#80)
Texas State Deficiencies
Texas State has a bad TO Margin (#54)
Texas State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
Texas State offense is not Explosive (#55)
Texas State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#123)
Power Rating: 2.50 #52
Offense Rating: 23.07 #38
Defense Rating: 5.36 #29
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4 #48
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #20
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #82
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.89 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Great Pass Success 48%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Good in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Texas State has lost 2 straight
Texas State has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 1 (3 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Texas State Notes
(11/29) Off torched S Al, 530 yds, Def forced 3 TOs
(11/25) Awful L vs Ga St, Def torched 500+, Off 4 TOs
(11/18) 2 str W's, killed SoMiss, McCloud/Rgame great
(11/3) 2 awful L's, season slipping, McCloud replaced?
(10/20) Off/McCloud awful in bad L (ODU), 2 TOs, woof
(10/12) Off 600 yds (271 rush) killing Ark St. Def OK
(10/4) Great Pass Off, run enough. TO's an issue, fun team
(9/12) Spread Off fun. McCloud looks great w/ weapons
(9/8) Dog fight W over Lamar? 2 TOs, 156 penalty yds!
(9/8) Torched UTSA, McCould good, Run D great
Texas State Highlights
Texas State has Really Good Running Game (#16)
Texas State offense is efficent (#32)
Texas State has a top Offensive Line (#68)
Texas State offense is good on 3rd downs
Texas State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#59)
Texas State has a good run defense (#121)
Texas State Front 7 is disruptive (#80)
Texas State Deficiencies
Texas State has a bad TO Margin (#54)
Texas State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
Texas State offense is not Explosive (#55)
Texas State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#123)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | TROY | TXST |
| OverallOver | #63 | #13 |
| OffenseOff | #45 | #10 |
| DefenseDef | #87 | #20 |
| Special TeamsST | #102 | #37 |
| PassingPass | #69 | #21 |
| RushingRush | #36 | #29 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #52 | #23 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #78 | #8 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #27 | #13 |
| TacklingTkl | #82 | #58 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #61 | #14 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #112 | #8 |
| Coverage DefCov | #86 | #76 |
Rematch from Week 6
Texas State 14.5 (56.0)
Texas State won at Troy this year (38-17)
Previous Matchups
Texas State beat Troy last year (38-17)
Troy beat Texas State in 2023 (31-13)
Troy beat Texas State in 2022 (17-14)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Veterans Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: TXST | TROY
Depth Chart: TXST | TROY
Rosters: TXST | TROY
(#112) Troy Info
Power Rating: -8.115 #112
Offense Rating: 20.68 #58
Defense Rating: 15.27 #111
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.6 #96
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #93
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #90
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.43 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Great Pass Success 48%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.77 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 45%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Troy has lost 1 straight
Troy has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 3 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
Troy Notes
(11/3) Blasted C. Car, Rgame 344 yds, 6.4 ypc in upset
(10/27) Still fighting, close L (Ark St), Off 450+, Def bad
(10/22) QB Crowder out for season, 2 QB split for now
(10/16) Run game is awful, Run defense is almost as bad
(10/4) Runs 56% but horrible success. QB decent, D bad
(9/8) Serious Rgame issues, bad 0-2 start. Lotta flags
(9/8) QB Crower JAG, D all. 214 Ryds @ home (Nev L)
(7/30) New HC Parker (ND OC), OC Reagan (WVU QB)
(7/30) Major roster TO. 25 transfers out, only 11 in
(7/30) Bottom 5 ret prod. Lost QB, RB, top 3 WR
Troy Highlights
Troy offense is good in red zone (#115)
Troy offense is good on 3rd downs
Troy Deficiencies
Troy does not Sack the QB (#31)
Power Rating: -8.115 #112
Offense Rating: 20.68 #58
Defense Rating: 15.27 #111
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.6 #96
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #93
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #90
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.43 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Great Pass Success 48%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.77 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 45%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Troy has lost 1 straight
Troy has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 3 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
Troy Notes
(11/3) Blasted C. Car, Rgame 344 yds, 6.4 ypc in upset
(10/27) Still fighting, close L (Ark St), Off 450+, Def bad
(10/22) QB Crowder out for season, 2 QB split for now
(10/16) Run game is awful, Run defense is almost as bad
(10/4) Runs 56% but horrible success. QB decent, D bad
(9/8) Serious Rgame issues, bad 0-2 start. Lotta flags
(9/8) QB Crower JAG, D all. 214 Ryds @ home (Nev L)
(7/30) New HC Parker (ND OC), OC Reagan (WVU QB)
(7/30) Major roster TO. 25 transfers out, only 11 in
(7/30) Bottom 5 ret prod. Lost QB, RB, top 3 WR
Troy Highlights
Troy offense is good in red zone (#115)
Troy offense is good on 3rd downs
Troy Deficiencies
Troy does not Sack the QB (#31)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan McCloud (Tr) | 272 | 389 | 70% | 3222 | 30 | 13 | 8.3 |
| RJ Martinez (Tr) | 18 | 24 | 75% | 148 | 0 | 1 | 6.2 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ismail Mahdi | 183 | 991 | 4 | 5.4 | 45 |
| Lincoln Pare | 94 | 547 | 8 | 5.8 | 73 |
| Torrance Burgess Jr. (Tr) | 60 | 367 | 2 | 6.1 | 57 |
| Jordan McCloud (Tr) | 74 | 278 | 7 | 3.8 | 42 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Williams (Tr) | 57 | 807 | 7 | 14.2 | 70 |
| Joey Hobert | 70 | 680 | 8 | 9.7 | 40 |
| Kole Wilson | 43 | 630 | 4 | 14.7 | 53 |
| Chris Dawn Jr. | 37 | 418 | 6 | 11.3 | 60 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Polk (Tr) | 68 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
| Ryan Nolan | 52 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| James Neal (Tr) | 50 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Max Harris (Tr) | 44 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalil Alexander | 40 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 2 |
| Steven Parker (Tr) | 29 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| Jo'Laison Landry | 33 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| Ben Bell | 13 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Mills | 33 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Bobby Crosby | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Joshua Eaton | 24 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Caldwell | 141 | 224 | 63% | 1608 | 13 | 8 | 7.2 |
| Will Crowder | 44 | 63 | 70% | 547 | 5 | 0 | 8.7 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damien Taylor | 173 | 1010 | 7 | 5.8 | 56 |
| Gerald Green (Tr) | 111 | 545 | 3 | 4.9 | 51 |
| Tucker Kilcrease | 39 | 118 | 0 | 3.0 | 25 |
| Will Crowder | 17 | 63 | 1 | 3.7 | 12 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devonte Ross | 76 | 1044 | 11 | 13.7 | 98 |
| Landon Parker | 27 | 350 | 0 | 13.0 | 33 |
| Peyton Higgins | 31 | 301 | 1 | 9.7 | 37 |
| Zeriah Beason | 16 | 208 | 0 | 13.0 | 35 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Jackson (Tr) | 77 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Jordan Stringer | 77 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Justin Powe | 67 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| Ian Conerly-Goodly (Tr) | 54 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillip Lee | 30 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 1 |
| Julian Peterson | 25 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Brendan Jackson (Tr) | 77 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Jordan Stringer | 77 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damaje Yancey | 49 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| LJ Green | 27 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Justin Powe | 67 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 |