Louisiana at Texas State - 2024 Matchup Preview
Louisiana logo Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns at Texas State BobcatsTexas State logo
Tuesday, October 29th 2024 (7:30 PM EDT)
Texas State -4 (60.5) (-185)  Open: -4.0
Louisiana 23 - Texas State: 17  (Sun Belt)

 
Ragin' Cajuns (10 - 4) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Michael Desormeaux (13 - 14)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (32 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 4 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
ULL coming off BYE
TXST coming off BYE
Our Line: Texas State -4.5   (SP+ TXST -1)

Projected Score: ULL: 27 - TXST: 32 (59)
TXST Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
ULL Travel: 353 miles
Bobcats (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach G. J. Kinne (8 - 5)
Avg Score : 37 - 25 (39 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
 
Louisiana's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Louisiana vs Grambling-26
Sat 9/7 Louisiana at Kennesaw State-14.546.5W 34 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Louisiana vs Tulane+1.553.5L 33 - 41ON
Sat 9/28 Louisiana at Wake Forest+3.059.5W 41 - 38OY
Sat 10/5 Louisiana at Southern Miss-17.557.5W 23 - 13UN
Sat 10/12 Louisiana vs App State-10.064.0W 34 - 24UN
Sat 10/19 Louisiana at Coastal Carolina-6.057.0W 34 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/29 Louisiana at Texas State+4.060.5W 23 - 17UY
Sat 11/9 Louisiana vs Arkansas State-14.060.0W 55 - 19OY
Sat 11/16 Louisiana vs South Alabama-6.560.0L 22 - 24UN
Sat 11/23 Louisiana vs Troy-7.551.5W 51 - 30OY
Sat 11/30 Louisiana at UL Monroe-8.550.5W 37 - 23OY
Sat 12/7 Louisiana vs Marshall-5.058.0L 3 - 31UN
Sat 12/28 Louisiana vs TCU+9.561.0L 3 - 34UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Louisiana's Schedule
Texas State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Texas State vs Lamar-26
Sat 9/7 Texas State vs UTSA-2.558.5W 49 - 10OY
Thu 9/12 Texas State vs Arizona State-2.558.5L 28 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Texas State vs Sam Houston-11.055.0L 39 - 40ON
Thu 10/3 Texas State at Troy-14.556.0W 38 - 17UY
Sat 10/12 Texas State vs Arkansas State-13.566.0W 41 - 9UY
Sat 10/19 Texas State at Old Dominion-10.560.0L 14 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/29 Texas State vs Louisiana-4.060.5L 17 - 23UN
Sat 11/9 Texas State at UL Monroe-9.550.0W 38 - 17OY
Sat 11/16 Texas State vs Southern Miss-27.556.5W 58 - 3OY
Sat 11/23 Texas State vs Georgia State-23.059.5L 44 - 52ON
Fri 11/29 Texas State at South Alabama-2.560.5W 45 - 38OY
Fri 1/3 Texas State vs North Texas-15.567.5W 30 - 28UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ULL#16 (.3)45% (47)30.942% (91)3.24 (35)15947% (17)2424.27 (32)#97 (.22)48% (126)24.153% (133)44% (105)4.43 (121)44.50.61.4
TXST#25 (.25)48% (17)36.549% (14)3.41 (11)19448% (10)2453.89 (72)#50 (.14)39% (31)24.538% (21)39% (54)3.47 (33)56.51.61.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ULL#16 (.3)45% (47)42% (91)3.24 (35)15947% (17)2424.27 (32)#97 (.22)48% (126)53% (133)44% (105)4.43 (121)44.50.61.4
TXST#25 (.25)48% (17)49% (14)3.41 (11)19448% (10)2453.89 (72)#50 (.14)39% (31)38% (21)39% (54)3.47 (33)56.51.61.2



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ULL Offense1430.93244.5%4.270.620401159242553%47%42%47%11%.3
TXST Defense1324.522.138.6%3.471.2 - - - - - 51%48%38%39%19%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ULL Defense1424.120.848.4%4.431.4 - - - - - 50%50%53%44%13%.22
TXST Offense1336.538.748%3.891.6244381942455.252%47%49%48%13%.25

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Louisiana1429:1219.743%64%5.444.50.61.43.91.5228.5
Texas State1328:1724.145%64%6.156.51.61.26.92.4231
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ULL Offense1453% (52)42% (91)31.6158.9526 (36).2 (33)3.24 (35)76% (44)6% (6)1.07 (31)
TXST Defense1351% (72)38% (21) - - - - .12 (67)2.97 (60)68% (34)14% (7)1.13 (123)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ULL Defense1450% (61)53% (133) - - - - .24 (121)3.36 (118)82% (116)7% (125)0.87 (18)
TXST Offense1352% (59)49% (14)37.1193.75.225 (41).16 (49)3.41 (11)75% (53)8% (35)0.88 (110)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ULL Offense1447% (80)47% (17)18.427.5241.98.813.122 (46)7 (26).41 (10)1.6 (50)28% (17)29% (97).39 (48)5% (29)2.3 (9)
TXST Defense1348% (56)39% (54) - - - - - - 7 (104).19 (45)1.6 (62)35% (23)29% (44).3 (65)5% (106)2.2 (110)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ULL Defense1450% (77)44% (105) - - - - - - 15 (18).21 (53)1.4 (11)28% (121)34% (108).33 (84)5% (97)1.9 (33)
TXST Offense1347% (86)48% (10)20.930.2244.78.111.730 (9)13 (103).4 (13)1.5 (91)29% (31)34% (41).32 (74)5% (44)1.7 (131)

Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: -0.52 #67
Louisiana's Offense Rating: 26.51 #11
Louisiana's Defense Rating: 14.25 #103
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Louisiana's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 4.0
Louisiana's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8 #53
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #78

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisiana: -0.52   Texas State: 6.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisiana: 4.8   Texas State: 5.4




Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: 6.45 #52
Texas State's Offense Rating: 23.07 #38
Texas State's Defense Rating: 5.36 #29
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Texas State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Texas State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4 #48
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #20
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #82

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 32
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

Louisiana's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Texas State 32
Louisiana 27


Total Points: 59

Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.7
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.1

Texas State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/29Texas State17Louisiana23LouisianaTexas State -4Louisiana60.5Under
202310/07Louisiana34Texas State30LouisianaLouisiana -1Louisiana67.5Under
202211/26Texas State13Louisiana41LouisianaLouisiana -5Louisiana44.0Over
202110/30Louisiana45Texas State0LouisianaLouisiana -21Louisiana58.0Under
202010/31Texas State34Louisiana44LouisianaLouisiana -17.0Texas State0
201911/02Louisiana31Texas State3LouisianaLouisiana -23Louisiana55.0Under
201810/06Texas State27Louisiana42LouisianaLouisiana -3Louisiana57.5Over
201710/12Louisiana24Texas State7LouisianaLouisiana -14Louisiana55.5Under
201610/22Texas State3Louisiana27LouisianaLouisiana -11.5Louisiana65.0Under
201510/10Louisiana49Texas State27LouisianaLouisiana -4Louisiana68.0Over
201410/14Texas State10Louisiana34LouisianaTexas State -3Louisiana61.5Under
201310/05Louisiana48Texas State24LouisianaLouisiana -10Louisiana0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas State013 Overs
Louisiana12117 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 67 - 56 - 21 - 3
Road Teams6 - 65 - 73 - 12 - 6

(#67) Louisiana Info
Power Rating: -0.52 #67
Offense Rating: 26.51 #11
Defense Rating: 14.25 #103
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8 #53
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #78
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 10.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 45%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.27 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Great Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.43 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 53%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Louisiana has won 4 straight
Louisiana has won 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 6 - 0 (5 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Louisiana Notes
(11/25) Beat Troy, beat ULM=likely in SBC title game
(11/20) QB Wooldridge out for the season, Fields in
(11/18) Awful perf vs S Al, down 20-6 into 4th.
(11/3) Big W @ Tx St, QB good, Rgame good, Def great
(11/3) Only undefeated SBC team left after Tex St W
(10/20) Off 500+ yds, Wooldridge great vs Coastal
(10/12) OG's by App St but forced 5 TOs, Rgame decent
(9/28) Outgained Tul but 2 TOs, 2-9 3rd down cost game
(9/28) Even w/ Wake, Rgame 209 yds, QB good again
(9/25) QB Wooldridge decent, Run Def extremely bad

Louisiana Highlights
Louisiana offense is explosive (#71)
Louisiana defense does not give up big plays (#26)
Louisiana has a great TO Margin (#28)
Louisiana defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#56)

Louisiana Deficiencies
Louisiana has a bad defense (#119)
Louisiana Does Not Stuff Runs (#106)
Louisiana has a bad defensive line (#108)
Louisiana has a bad red zone defense (#92)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatTXSTULL
OverallOver#13#25
OffenseOff#10#14
DefenseDef#20#67
Special TeamsST#37#108
PassingPass#21#7
RushingRush#29#43
Run BlockRBLK#23#21
Pass BlockPBLK#8#40
Route RunningWR Rt#13#20
TacklingTkl#58#110
Run DefenseR Def#14#88
Pass Rush DefPRush#8#101
Coverage DefCov#76#20

Rematch from Week 10
Texas State -4.0 (60.5)
Louisiana won at Texas State this year (23-17)

Previous Matchups
Louisiana beat Texas State last year (23-17)
Louisiana beat Texas State in 2023 (34-30)
Louisiana beat Texas State in 2022 (41-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ULL | TXST
Depth Chart: ULL | TXST
Rosters: ULL | TXST
(#52) Texas State Info
Power Rating: 6.45 #52
Offense Rating: 23.07 #38
Defense Rating: 5.36 #29
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4 #48
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #20
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #82
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.89 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Great Pass Success 48%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Good in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Texas State has lost 1 straight
Texas State has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 3 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Texas State Notes
(11/29) Off torched S Al, 530 yds, Def forced 3 TOs
(11/25) Awful L vs Ga St, Def torched 500+, Off 4 TOs
(11/18) 2 str W's, killed SoMiss, McCloud/Rgame great
(11/3) 2 awful L's, season slipping, McCloud replaced?
(10/20) Off/McCloud awful in bad L (ODU), 2 TOs, woof
(10/12) Off 600 yds (271 rush) killing Ark St. Def OK
(10/4) Great Pass Off, run enough. TO's an issue, fun team
(9/12) Spread Off fun. McCloud looks great w/ weapons
(9/8) Dog fight W over Lamar? 2 TOs, 156 penalty yds!
(9/8) Torched UTSA, McCould good, Run D great

Texas State Highlights
Texas State has Really Good Running Game (#16)
Texas State offense is efficent (#32)
Texas State has a top Offensive Line (#68)
Texas State offense is good on 3rd downs
Texas State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#59)

Texas State has a good run defense (#121)
Texas State Front 7 is disruptive (#80)

Texas State Deficiencies
Texas State has a bad TO Margin (#54)
Texas State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
Texas State offense is not Explosive (#55)
Texas State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#123)


  
Louisiana's OC Tim Leger
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ben Wooldridge19229166%24531768.4
Chandler Fields638772%8975110.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bill Davis16379694.973
Zylan Perry11269546.230
Dre'Lyn Washington7347856.564
Ben Wooldridge6517452.718
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Lance LeGendre49826616.948
Terrance Carter48689414.474
Harvey Broussard31486315.750
Jacob Bernard28375013.452

View Louisiana's Full Roster
Louisiana's DC Jim Salgado
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
K.C. Ossai1153133
Tyrone Lewis763102
Carmycah Glass (Tr)754130
Keyon Martin562026
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cameron Whitfield367631
Jordan Lawson4411651
Mason Narcisse376410
Antoine Baylis224216
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Antoine Baylis224216
Keyon Martin562026
Justin Agu362004

Texas State's OC Mack Leftwich
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jordan McCloud (Tr)27238970%322230138.3
RJ Martinez (Tr)182475%148016.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ismail Mahdi18399145.445
Lincoln Pare9454785.873
Torrance Burgess Jr. (Tr)6036726.157
Jordan McCloud (Tr)7427873.842
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaden Williams (Tr)57807714.270
Joey Hobert7068089.740
Kole Wilson43630414.753
Chris Dawn Jr.37418611.360

View Texas State's Full Roster
Texas State's DC Dexter McCoil
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Polk (Tr)686252
Ryan Nolan521001
James Neal (Tr)502011
Max Harris (Tr)443120
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kalil Alexander4011652
Steven Parker (Tr)299511
Jo'Laison Landry338540
Ben Bell136362
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Mills333107
Bobby Crosby181005
Joshua Eaton242115